weekendanalyst

USDCAD | LT Short D1 | Oil to power CAD Strength

Short
FX:USDCAD   U.S. Dollar / Canadian Dollar
Pair: USDCAD
Timeframe: D1 - Long Term (LT)
Direction: Short

Technical Confluences for Trade:
- Stochastics are in Overbought Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames
- Price action is at the top-end resistance of a parallel channel
- Horizontal trendline looks like a supply zone across few periods
- Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level

Fundamental Confluences for Trade:
- A strong oil story from ongoing geopolitical risks is a strong story for CAD's economy to remain their hold on interest rates while US's reflation story has been priced in by markets
- Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension which continue the rush to safe-havens like USD or JPY.

Suggested Trade:
Entry @ Area of Interest 1.3750 - 1.3850
SL @ 1.3898
TP 1 @ 1.3640 (TP Half-Position & move SL to Entry level for B/Even once TP1 is achieved)
TP 2 @ 1.3567
Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.08 (Depending on Entry Level)


May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D

*This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Comment:
Resistance Trendlines are holding up at the moment. Good entry if you have yet to enter. SL levels remain the same.
Comment:
Price is close to TP1 levels. Can TP for half the position and move S/L to Breakeven levels.

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