fxstudent299
Short

Short USDJPY – is it too obvious?

FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar/Japanese Yen
- USDJPY             seems to be caught in a pretty clear range on 4h and 1h charts
- resistance zone is between 118.60 and 118.90
- support zone is between 117.25 and 117.40

The daily chart has lower highs and price is mostly below 20EMA (on 1d chart), so I would prefer to short in that range, close but not reverse the position near support and in case price falls below 117.25 wait for a pullback to reshort again
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I place a limit short order at 118.55, Risk-Reward = 2.87
SL@ 118.95 (-40), TP@ 117.40 (+150)

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Disclaimer: There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading forex . I assume no responsibility or liability for any trading or investment results. My posted statements and charts may unintentionally include inaccuracies. All content posted is for educational purposes only and is not a financial advice. The presented set-ups are not solicitations of any order to buy or sell.
HexVex
2 years ago
Bull flag on 15 min retesting break out of tirangle resistance now turned support and stocks are up.
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HexVex
2 years ago
snapshot
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fxstudent299 PRO
2 years ago
1. well, I need that bull flag to play out to get my limit order filled
2. stocks werde even more down yesterday and USDJPY still jumped off the support...
...its just about the 1h-range play, everything else might be just overanalyzing
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fxstudent299 PRO
2 years ago
regarding
snapshot

the last 2 times your MACD gave the best hints on the next direction and right now there is a sell signal from it, isn't there?
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fxstudent299 PRO
2 years ago
Squeeze, if you go long that break-out, I can double your long position at 118.55 and one of us will be happy before the weekend :)
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fxstudent299 PRO
2 years ago
my biggest fear right now is, I will not enter that trade and the price falls from here not going above 118.40
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HexVex
2 years ago
118.055 is a good stop for a long. Remember there is Japanese CPI in 40 mins.
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fxstudent299 PRO
2 years ago
as I said earlier, my biggest fear is not coming into that trade as price seems to turn down now, ...one might try to go short on 118.35 with SL 118.50 but then again, that SL does not fit then to the original idea of shorting at 118.55...
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fxstudent299 PRO
2 years ago
most probably (even if in a hindsight) the correct limet sell order would have been at 118.40 (going for daily double top pattern)
will stick to my original plan with sell at 118.55 but going to bed now, good night all
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HexVex
2 years ago
A good night's sleep is much better than a Japanese CPI. Stick to what you believe in.
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godforex
2 years ago
i trade technicals and factor them in with fundamentals, we have strong US data tmro around 1pm gmt which supports a sell move.move.
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HexVex godforex
2 years ago
Who's your god
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Ice_
2 years ago
Nice trade
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HexVex
2 years ago
Well done! I'm long now
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fxstudent299 PRO HexVex
2 years ago
thanks,
...long? not a little too riisky? where is SL?
if long at all then between 117.30 and 117.45 with a SL under 117.25
everything else is not a clear idea for me, but good luck to you
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HexVex fxstudent299
2 years ago
Longed at 117,550 moved my stop just above to protect my position so if it doesn't work out no loss in expectation for a move to 118 and beyond.
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fxstudent299 PRO HexVex
2 years ago
well done
seems like a day trading setup, which I am not that good at
I prefer to hold for 2-3 days more
...if we break 117.25 today, I would definitly not want to be long as the move could go at least till 116.10
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HexVex fxstudent299
2 years ago
It can last as long as you want if the market is moving in the right direction :) Might also mean you get stopped out a few times and have to re enter until you decide the position isn't worth keeping.

Break of 117,4 and first stop is 116 .10 I agree.

Good luck!
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DO you think it will go lower or higher?
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fxstudent299 PRO CryptoCurrency Inc.
2 years ago
I think it will open lower today (near 117) and then run again up towards 118.40
between 118.40 and 118.60 would be again good spot to short
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