SoxKeepYouWarm

USDJPY Elliot Wave, false breakout

Short
FX:USDJPY   U.S. Dollar / Japanese Yen
I don't regularly use Elliot wave theory in my ideas so I'm not 100% on this one, any advice is very welcome.

Things to note are that USDJPY is in a consolidation pattern on the daily. It tried to breakout a few days ago but failed. Going up for another test but is running into a lot of resistance.

Put in a long wick right along previous structure support, which lines up fairly closely with 382 fib confluence

I tried to add the elliot wave theory as an after thought but I'm not quite sure if this is valid. Leg 3 is nice and leg, leg 4 doesn't close above leg 1 lows. ABC pattern seems to be completing right around the beginning of leg 4 which is about right.

I'm expecting a move downwards about the length of leg 1, though it could reach all the way to the bottom of the consolidation pattern
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