andrew.berg

USD/RUB A+ set-up when fundamentals and technicals join together

Long
FOREXCOM:USDRUB   U.S. Dollar / Russian Ruble
the U.S. and the European Union announced a fresh round of sanctions against Russia on Wednesday 16 of July following the annexation of Crimea back in March and ongoing tensions in the east of Ukraine. The U.S. package was the largest round of penalties so far, with Russia's oil producer Rosneft hit as well as other energy, financial and defense firms.

Technically USD/RUB came into play after new portion of sanctions were announced against Russia. In February 2014, currency pair broke up major resistance level at 33.50 and had nice follow through to 37.00. During this period of mark-up it was nicely controlled and followed by 8 and 21 EMAs. In April price entered into consolidation, after it dropped its 8 and 21 first time since break up. Break down of this range lead to move lower to 200 EMA. Bear chanel was created with series of lower highs and lower lows. But after price bounced off from support which acted like resistance earlier, then broke up this chanel, regained all key moving averages and had a nice 2nd day follow through. Lets see if it can build some construction above 34.43-34.59 support zone - break out point and moving averages. It will be healthy to see some digestion after six days move up in a row. And then it may continue higher. Next reasonable level of resistance is 35.35 - break down point of April's consolidation.

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