POLONIEX:USDTBTC   Tether USD / Bitcoin (calculated by TradingView)
Hi everyone.

I wanted to have a discussion (or at least express my personal views) about USDT/Tether here, looking at the pros and cons of having USDT in the cryptomarket.

In terms of TA, the chart itself has just the Fib lines only. I selected two points on the chart and both are inverse as the value of USDT is being measured against BTC here. If the second point from mid-July is taken into account, then USDT is touching the 0.236 fib line. It can very well go to 0.382 or 0.5 value, which will correspond to BTCs prices in September-October 2017. The value of USDT was declining until 2018, and then it started to rise back up slowly. This is expected as USDT is pegged against USD. But then there is a catch - it is not EXACTLY FIXED with USD, as it is a digital currency. The value of USDT has fallen to 93 cents many times in the past (and at times even lower), and also the value has been higher than USD at $1. 01 many times, and even higher at certain points on some exchanges. This makes things interesting.

The pros:
- Digital format - not controlled (YET) by any government.
- Easily transferred between exchanges.
- Can be used on most major exchanges.
- Low volatility , meaning better reliability and security that the value of the digital currency doesn't actually decrease much during transit, which can happen when market is very volatile. This is one of the biggest advantages of USDT.
- During the times when BTC and the whole market is crashing, USDT value starts to go up slightly. This is fine as people sell their coins and buy USDT (especially on exchanges where that is the only option). During such times the buying power of any USDT hodler actually increases. Example: BTC drops in price from $7000 to $6700. USDT value goes up from $1 to $1. 01 . Anyone who sold BTC at the peak for 7000 USDT, now has 7007 USDT and can buy BTC at $6700 value but now the value of USDT has risen by around 1% (sometimes even more).
- If someone wants to buy another cryptocurrency listed at another exchange which has USDT, money can be moved between exchanges during a 'crash' period and the user can buy that cryptocurrency - USDT will still at least hold its current value or may even go higher. Please note that this is NOT guaranteed to work every time.
- Listed and used by lots of exchanges.

The cons:
- NO AUDIT and lack of transparency.
- Pegged to USD - The US government can technically shut it down at any time! They have the right!
- Controversy surrounding cryptomarket price manipulation.
- If USDT/Tether is ordered to shut down, the whole market will see a huge impact on prices. This WILL probably induce a major bear market lasting for months or years, not just days or weeks.

I am not against USDT and also do not condone it. If Tether can sort the issues/problems they are facing, then it is NOT a bad thing to have in the crypto space. Other coins such as Houbi's token, Binance Coin, True USD, are basically the same with a different name. To me, BNB looks even more suspicious. And now we have CoinBene and other exchanges popping up with a different model but same ideology behind them.

Now that USDT is so much incorporated into the cryptomarket, I truly hope USDT/Tether gets rid of all the controversies and gets a proper audit soon. If they are shut down, then it will be very very very bad for the cryptospace.

Once again, these are my personal thoughts, so please try to be nice and have a healthy discussion rather than a war :)

Comments

I think the ideals of tether are really good, weather the tether that we have today fits those ideals is another story. people scream manipulation all the time, but the charts actually look very organic when compared to other markets as far as i can see
+1 Reply
@jamesasb, manipulation was always an issue... and that was long before Bitfinex or Tether even existed. First it was Mt Gox - charts in 2013-2014 are clear. Then others. Flash crashes in the absence of margin trading etc.. 2013-2014 charts at many exchanges. BCH price manipulation in December 2017 and even Coinbase accepted it. But then it does happen in all other markets, i.e. stocks, housing, too.

Yes the ideals are really good, and if Tether can get the audit done and published, it will be good for everyone.
Reply
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