CRInvestor

USO 15m Anaysis - She bounced and then stalled

BATS:USO   United States Oil Fund
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In a most interesting turn of developments, the previously mentioned key low of $38.21 did turn out to be a significant pivot point for USO. I say this because the US stock market was closed through Monday yet futures markets were trading. Crude Oil itself did violently gap lower through the Sunday evening session but by time today's retail trading rolled around prices had rebounded. So much so, USO actually gaped higher to start today off - go figure. Because of this odd trading, I still do believe we need to have USO itself trade down into that OTE Long Sweet Spot and maybe today's price action has set that move up. Specifically, we rallied through the early part of today's session (I was able to get one long trade off and took 36 ticks by going long at 107.84 and exited on a trailing stop at 108.20) up into resistance (the previously mentioned potential bull 'bot' formation key entry level and hourly trend line) and then promptly failed. The failure can clearly be seen in the momentum indicator as we actually finished the day with a negative reading there. While it is far too early to call a 'top', I shall be watching tomorrow's session for signs of that top and a potential trade down into the larger time frame OTE L SS zone.

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