climbing_stars
Short

USO Bearish Gartley

AMEX:USO   UNITED STATES OIL FUND
206 11 0
USO popping based on the recent Syria turmoil. These moves always get faded. It is in a perfect Bearish Gartley . Looking for a retrace somewhere in the $36.40 range.
I am cautious here - I agree but I have a target of 114 for CL so I have to wait
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climbing_stars MarketAlly
You have an ultimate target of $114?
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MarketAlly PRO climbing_stars
Yes, 114 then a pullback into 106 which will test the channel I have for the move from 4/15. My absolute downside target is 98 with maximum downside of 91. Looking for the swoon to be in and around early-mid October.
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climbing_stars MarketAlly
For USO? Do you have a chart?
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MarketAlly PRO climbing_stars
Making one now - I have it on my TOS currently. give me 5 mins.
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MarketAlly PRO climbing_stars
Next 6 months of oil...
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climbing_stars MarketAlly
Ohhhhhh.... Your talking about futures. I though you were referring to the USO ETF reaching $114. I was going to say I would love to see how you came to that conclusion, haha. I see what your saying, the move isn't completely out of the question. I just think it will reverse where we currently sit. I suppose USO (ETF) could push up around $40 or $41 to tag the top of the 4 year channel it's been in. Which would then turn the pattern into a Bearish Bat. Signals are strong where we currently sit though. I guess we will have to wait and see.
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I agree with MarketAlly. I missed the entry for Crude and also calculated a target of 114. I will not go short before the downmove is confirmed. But of course you may be right. But I am cautious too.
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Compare current chart with 2007-09-17, assuming history often repeats itself (although not in same steps), it looks like USO is headed higher in coming months but possibly might stay near/above 37.30 area for a week or two before flying high...
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climbing_stars isitpossible
I am by no means saying we can't go higher.The chart is simply a trade down near 36.50 or so. It would be possible to go higher after this. I have traded thousands of Gartley patterns. If the PRZ breaks then the pattern breaks. Until then we will have to wait and see. Good luck.
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Tagged my target. Now I will switch to the long side.
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