We are going down the question is how far we are going in this drop.
In my previous OIL - False breakout post I mentioned this: "So this time we are not just going to tag the bottom of the range at 49.13$ but we are going to break it down and heading to the 50 EMA (48$). "
Today we broke down from the green range.
My first target was the 50 EMA at 48$. We are getting close to that level.
I think all of us underestimated the possible impacts of the US elections. I checked the last 2 elections and I noticed that S&P 500 was falling before every elections ( 1-2 weeks of fall).
If stocks are going down hard in the next 2 weeks oil might not stop at the 50 EMA it could be testing the green trendline. This oil cycle should be a longer cycle - when my webpage finally will be ready I will explain there how the length of oil cycles are changing - so we have the time for a deeper HCL correction. We also might tag the 100 or the 200 EMA before finishing this decline.
I will set this idea as a short idea though we might have only 1$ drop from here to 48$. For those who are still short with me for the last 8 days I suggest to take some profit around 48$ and ride the possible drop to the trendline with tight stop. I'M going to do the same.
In my previous OIL - False breakout post I mentioned this: "So this time we are not just going to tag the bottom of the range at 49.13$ but we are going to break it down and heading to the 50 EMA (48$). "
Today we broke down from the green range.
My first target was the 50 EMA at 48$. We are getting close to that level.
I think all of us underestimated the possible impacts of the US elections. I checked the last 2 elections and I noticed that S&P 500 was falling before every elections ( 1-2 weeks of fall).
If stocks are going down hard in the next 2 weeks oil might not stop at the 50 EMA it could be testing the green trendline. This oil cycle should be a longer cycle - when my webpage finally will be ready I will explain there how the length of oil cycles are changing - so we have the time for a deeper HCL correction. We also might tag the 100 or the 200 EMA before finishing this decline.
I will set this idea as a short idea though we might have only 1$ drop from here to 48$. For those who are still short with me for the last 8 days I suggest to take some profit around 48$ and ride the possible drop to the trendline with tight stop. I'M going to do the same.
Comment:
As we almost entered at the exact top with this short today Im going to take profit on HALF OF THE POSITION (47.39$) as we sliced through the 50 EMA. It seems we will tag the trendline but in a bull market when you go short you mustn't sit into the position. Surprises are coming to the upside...
Comment:
With the rest of the position Im going to wait to tag the trendline.
Comment:
We are getting close enough to the 100 EMA on the daily chart.
Closing half of the rest of the position. We have now the 25% of the original position.
Closing half of the rest of the position. We have now the 25% of the original position.
Comment:
This decline is getting too serious..
I have a feeling that we are heading down to the daily cycle low and it's not a half cycle low?!
In this case we could be in the first daily cycle in this intermediate cycle.
In this case we might even tag 42$.
I have a feeling that we are heading down to the daily cycle low and it's not a half cycle low?!
In this case we could be in the first daily cycle in this intermediate cycle.
In this case we might even tag 42$.
Comment:
So my suggestion is do not try to open any longs right now....
Comment:
Oil new post is coming only after market close today...
Comment:
Closing the rest of the position (25%) at 45.92$.
We broken the trendline and we are very close to my last target at the 100 EMA.
Waiting for a long entry.
We broken the trendline and we are very close to my last target at the 100 EMA.
Waiting for a long entry.
Comment:
Mistyped : ... we are very close to my last target at the 200 EMA...
Trade closed manually
Comment:
I started to buy oil a few minutes ago.
Small amounts but we are tagging the 200 SMA and I don't want to miss this opportunity.
This is a risky trade so just small position: 10-15% margin impact maximum...
Posting in a few minutes.
Small amounts but we are tagging the 200 SMA and I don't want to miss this opportunity.
This is a risky trade so just small position: 10-15% margin impact maximum...
Posting in a few minutes.