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Looks like capitulation to me on UVXY             . VIX             / VXV             ratio below .80 only weekly chart, 3 of past 5 weeks, which hasn't happened in over 3 years. It's possible we see a big move next week. The probabilities support it, IMO             .

I get it, TA on a derivative of a derivative isn't technically sound, but providing perspective based on the MASSIVE sell volume into these lows. Open gaps above and none below.

Surprising to see this type of complacency at major resistance and so much global risk. Wreaks of manipulation. Friday, we saw VIX             May $25C's being bought and a 5K block of UVXY             Apr             22 $24C's. Could be a cheap hedge on larger position, but I like the R/R here.

Also VIX             OPEX on Wednesday w/ max pain at $19. Friday's OI still needs to settle, but Put premium at $57M and Call premium at $60M. VIX             closing with a $13 handle sure makes it interesting. If they keep vola low into Tues             , I will load the boat on $UVXY calls.

Friday, I went long $UVXY Apr             29 $23C's @.66

Related Ideas

manipulation? yeah. is there anything else in this market that is real? no.
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