TheArtOfCharting

VLO - 10 months Sloping Down HEAD & SHOULDERS CONTINUATION

Long
NYSE:VLO   Valero Energy Corporation
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Since 2014, my markets approach is to spot trading
opportunities based solely on the development of
CLASSICAL CHART PATTERNS


🤝Let’s learn and grow together 🤝
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Hello Traders ✌

Here we have a quite perfect Head & Shoulders Continuation with a slightly sloping down neckline. I know most Chartist would draw only a horizontal neckline with basically the same implications but I'm kind of obsessed with the original rules when it comes about lines so I usually prefer drawing the "handbook neckline" (blue bold line), then also the horizontal one (blue dashed line) and finally reflect on both. This is an easy case since the breakout would exceed both of them at the same time. We can also see that the Head was a 2 months long Head & Shoulders which, given certain circumstances, could have been considered as a trade itself. If prices go towards the target, keep in mind that we will have to deal with the 102.00 previous level.

Instead of making another post on the educational section, I want to point out something about what seemed to be another Head & Shoulder (black one). When evaluating a chart pattern, we must always consider two aspects:
If the pattern itself has all the characteristics it must have to be considered as such;
Where it is developing and with which proportion compared with the macro situation;
In that case, looking only at the pattern, we can label it as a Head & Shoulders Bottom BUT it is not at the bottom of anything! It is not trying to revert any previous downtrend compared with its proportion!
If we look at weekly chart, we can see that it is just testing the march 2020 level at 35.00. This is true EVEN if it has quickly reached its target at 83.00!

Almost identical scenario with NR stock: Both are energetic stocks involved in Oil services so be aware that considering both opportunities is like doubling the risk.

  • Pattern Class: 🌕🌕🌕🌕🌑
  • Target area: 108.00
  • Breakout area above: 88.00
Entry Point and Initial Stop Loss depends on your Trading Plan Tactics and Money Management rules.

🔎🔎🔎 ALWAYS REMEBER
"A pattern IS NOT a Pattern until the breakout is completed. Before that moment it is just a bunch of colorful candlesticks on a chart of your watchlist"
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⚠ DISCLAIMER ⚠
The content is The Art Of Charting's personal opinion and it is posted purely for educational purpose and therefore it must not be taken as a direct or indirect investing recommendations or advices. Any action taken upon these information is at your own risk.
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