Analyticssage

Gold elliot wave analysis 08.08.2020

Long
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
The current wave up has very complex structure. I tried to verify all the wave counts up to 10min chart.
based on my count we still need 1 more wave up to complete the 5 way impulsive wave.
we finished wave 3 of a bigger degree so It wont be any surprise if we spend some time on correction
I am considering a 5 wave impulsive wave because the wave 3 broke the trend line
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this is the daily chart. it matches the wave count and we need another wave up (wave 5) to complete the RSI pattern
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is the wave 3 finished or not ?
lets see 3h chart
the RSI has a divergance so I am expective a wave 4 to happen, the wave 4 should not be very deep but I could be long
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teh reverse RSI alos suggest 1876 as the target level so I will "WAIT" for the 4th correction to finish and if satisfies all the criteria and i see a buy signal I will buy fr wave 5
DO NOT short this market now it is very risky
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if you want to short the market for any reason male sure that the trend line gets broken
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I will count the waves live for the next week under this post
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such a complex correction !
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the market is moving perfectly as predicted
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we have hit the 38% fibo level which is a usual retracement level for wave 4.
it might goo deeper to 50% but I am starting to look for a bullish count
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perfect, reversal at the predicted target :)
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everything seems to work as planned
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the correction is taking longer than expected! possible scenarios:
1- we are on wave 1 correction
2- the whole count is corrective not impulsive
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I am still bullish so I will consider this count
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all, I am not sure about the wave count for this pattern, it seems bullish but we are also close to an important RSI resistance level, I am still bullish but I have not open any long position myself yet, I need more confirmation

Trade closed: target reached:
well we had the wave 4 pullback which was what i expected for short term, the wave 4 might still goes on for a while but I am gonna count for wave 5 from next week :)

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