chartwatchers

GOLD - hourly update: toasting the bulls

Short
FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
22
After a key reversal (Bearish pin bar) and a double top yesterday gold finally broke down the 1290$ level.
We tested back this level and turned down from the neckline of the double top pattern.
The 10 EMA was catching up the price and supporting the downtrend. The market is a little bit nervous so we will test back again and again the 20 EMA ( like 2 hours ago).
In these hours price is fighting the 100 EMA. As the dollar continues its rally we will break down this level also.
Those who entered yesterday or the day before yesterday now can sit back and enjoy the show because this decline will be a tough one. The late bulls must be stopped out in 2 weeks. By the end of May everybody will be talking about the bear is back and gold is heading to 1000$.

My first big target is the 50 EMA (daily chart) : 1235$.
And the final target is the 200 EMA daily chart : 1181$.
Comment:
As I posted we broke down the 100 EMA (hourly chart)
DUST will be on fire today with a runaway GAP open.
Comment:
Bulls last hope is the testback in the green box.
When we break below it significantly they will realize that something went wrong and
everybody wants to exit from the long positions in the same time.
It's not a testback or a pullback.
This is a horrible intermediate decline when everybody is bullish and will be caught at the wrong direction.
Comment:
I think we are going to test back the 100 EMA in the following 1-23 hours at 1279-1280.
It's a good entry point I think.
Or you can enter now and add there the other half of the position.
But please don't go all in.
Comment:
Gold is a Son*O*B*.
The bulls will come and try to buy the dips again and again /till the last phase (4-5weeks from now) when all of them will be stopped out in the panic selling stage . / so that dip buyers are the reason that you MUST SURVIVE THE POPS. In these dip buyers there will be big funds who are buying for the next 3-4 years and governments like China. They don't care if we go down to 1150$. They buy at the price what was ordered to them and those buyings will push the price up.
But the Key reversal will hold now.
Comment:
WE are coming close to the 100 EMA .
0.75-1$ more
Comment:
100 EMA
I'm adding now
Comment:
Anyone was adding at the 100 EMA?
We had the perfect backtest.
Comment:
100 EMA is next.
We will stop there for some time.
The daytraders could take profit there and add back later.
Comment:
I think we have seen the 1st fund buying in the decline in that green candle 3-4 hours before.
We tested back the neckline again.
If we reach the 200 EMA on the hourly day traders could take profit on half of the position. And get back later...
The daily 10 EMA is at 1266$ it is an important level. Bulls will move into action then.

But this gold is done guys. We will eat toasted bulls in May.


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