Kumowizard

Can it be a long term bull flag? Long has better RR

Long
FX:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
13
Weekly:
- Long term Ichimoku setup is healthy bullish, with Kijun support at 1287.
- Well defined trendline, with support at 1300
- Heikin-Ashi pattern: 10 mixed weekly candles -> indecision, some correction, rather a consolidation phase. This consolidation is surprisingly less volatile. This often occurs before next major move in direction of existing trend.
haOscillator crosses up, but of course this week will depend a lot on the FED.
- EWO is bullish, value is well above zero.
- MACD has been showing price consolidation too. Both lines are well above zero.

- As I have been wathcing this structure for several weeks now, I have a strong feeling that a long term bullish flag pattern is being formed here. Validation would come with a break and close above 1345-1350 (please see closer look on daily). If the flag gets validation, next measured tgt will come about 1475-1500.

Daily:
- As I wrote yesterday, Ichimoku setup is absolutely neutral.
- Heikin-Ashi shows initial signal of a possible bullish reversal: doji candle at trendline and Kumo support, haDelta and haOscillator turn up, but they still below zero line.
- Bulls have to fight through upper resistances of 1330 and 1350. Above that space opens.

This is the way, how trendfollowers think! We do not fade a trend, until we have a proof of a break and reversal. We are not afraid of buying, if we see good risk/reward with high possible target, and a really well defined tight stop.
If you place stop to 1290, compared to long term possible tgt at 1475, that is more than 6 : 1 RR.
What is the worst? That we will be wrong? I have no problem with that, I am not here to raise my ego. Or that we lose 2-3 %? It should not make big harm, if you have a solid money management system :-)

For now I see this point as a good risk/reward bullish entry level. Obviously we don't have to go all in leveraged. That we can do later, if price action confirms and price shoots higher.

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