Gol-DTrader

the CPI scenarios on gold

Gol-DTrader Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
today very important economic data being the CPI , the US inflation indicator , a very strong indicator that will hardly impact gold .
here's my scenarios with the CPI and it's impact on gold :

1- a high CPI : this will give strenght to the dollar since a high inflation means an agressive rate hike from the FED.

it's impact on gold will be negative it will drag it down , that the kind of CPI we want to see since technically gold is bearish .

2- a low CPI : this will give weakness to the dollar since a good inflation doesn't need agressive hikes .

it's impact on gold will be positive and it will take it to the high and even possibly swaps from it's bearishness to bullishness.

* beware of the liquidity grap : usually after the CPI release gold make a counter movement to stop the retailers before continuing with it's general direction , which means for example the cpi is high instead of gold falling it may rise to stop early seller before falling down and continuing it's direction , and vice versa with low CPI.



I hope the explanations are clear and makes sens to you .

hard day for gold and USD pairs today do not go wild with your trades !!
Comment:
like predicted CPI high , gold did a liquidity grap and now falling

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