EuroMotif

XAU.USD may have one more leg Down. Gold retrace continues?

EuroMotif Mod Updated   
OANDA:XAUUSD   Gold Spot / U.S. Dollar
Part of my ongoing analysis of Gold price movements (see links below).

This is an early in week plot (before London Open Monday).
We seem poised for a final leg down of an ABCDE correction.
Sentiment was Risk On last week, and no new events since.

$ 1473.90-1474.90 is immediate resistance and possible end of wave (4)
$ 1480.00-1481.50 is stronger resistance and likely to end the bounce.
$ 1487.95-1489.27 is bearish INVALIDATION, might go bull if breaks.

Previous Gold Analysis (click):
$1450 bounce Call
Exact Map of Top
$1516 Top Call
$1498 top call
$1650 then $2100?<= Still Plausible
$1480 short TP
$1515 top call<= Awesome Short
$1555 top call<= Just in Time
$1406 to $1525<= Caught the Jump
$1439 top call<= To the Penny
$1332 bounce
$1270 bounce<= To the Penny
$1280 break
$1380 call <= 9 mos ago

Of course, I have had total FAILS on some ideas too, not going to pretend.
But all of my plots show PRECISE entries, TIGHT stops, and EXACT targets.
Precision is the way of the Fib. Almost every turn happens at a Fib Line.

.
Comment:
Trade War news just now, per CNBC
"Mood in Beijing about #trade deal is pessimistic, government source tells me. China troubled after Trump said no tariff rollback. (China thought both had agreed in principle.) Strategy now to talk but wait due to impeachment, US election. Also prioritize China economic support."
So we are seeing a spike in Gold, and as mentioned, be wary of these news bits hitting the air ...

.
Comment:
Back on course, as of end of US session Monday
Zooming in, there look to be two impulses at play, Red and Blue
Now looking for the Confluences of these two new fibs there are two right proximities, at $1455 and 14520-ish.
Thus we can expect a reaction at one or both of those areas.
If we are in wave 5, then it should have 5 subwaves of its own.
Thus we could see the sw3 (sub-wave 3) ending at one of the above confluences, and a bounce for sw4.
Preliminary target of end of main wave 5 is still 1438-1441.
But, if/when we get the sw4 bounce, there will be some new clues.
And when sw5 starts, there will be more clues, at which point a refined target should be available.
Comment:
I have just posted a new short term plot with fined tuned target zones:
.

the Golden Ratio is my Religion
the Trading View is my Nation
the Moderator Tag is my Flag

Related Ideas

Disclaimer

The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.