Victor.Y.F
Long

To be clear I'm an optimism and I take this as a long

157 1 9
4 months ago
Today, I'm showing you guys shanghai composite             index chart which is measured by DXY             . I'm not calling the end of world or something pessimism. As we can see, the index is lack of the 7th. swing before touching down ideal inflection zone. Last week China CPI             data fallen to 1.8%. Now the CPI             tends to be falling lower which is too low for achieving GDP target. We got clearly warning from Deputy governor of the people's bank of China Mr. Yigang. We got USDCNY             weekly closed high enough to break out for it's final target around 7.2 (head- shoulder PO 6.0-6.6-7.2). It's going to be ugly for global indexes when it breaks out. I'm feeling something familiar in the market before last year's striking. A squeezing is incoming again. Take care.
4 months ago
Comment: SPX500 measured by DXY
snapshot
4 months ago
Comment: Be patient this cycle is a 2001 positive cycle but not like 2008 cycle.
snapshot
3 months ago
Comment: Nasdaq new high gold rising and DXY compensation. Looks like everything is going well...... Before renminbi strikes again.
3 months ago
Comment: There is no turning point without capital squeezing and volitality and extreme speculation sentiment. (Check out those fibs they're adjusted finely.)
snapshot
3 months ago
Comment: time window 0310- 0710
3 months ago
Comment: Kiwi is crashing, by the way, as a risk on leading currency is at risk off mode now.
3 months ago
Comment: SPX/DXY is at 21.5 now.
2 months ago
Comment: For those who are singing long songs, this is still bearish.
snapshot
2 months ago
Comment: We now have Renminbi striking as predicted but the market isn't moving yet. it's very very suspicious that indexes are breaking out to new highs. Before FRB rising rates second time, we could see some DXY pullback for a bounce off from 21.3 level.
2 months ago
Comment: A kindness warning. Don't buy it! A shares is like our old slogan that "using cold water for boiling frogs", would you like to be that frog?
2 months ago
Comment: It is beginning.
a month ago
Comment: After Brexit from Jul. 2016 to Dec. 2016 the weighted JPY is weakening for 6 months already. NOW everybody saw it with the last impulse. For me it's an alert. Be careful with stocks markets now it's not sustainable without BOJ.
a month ago
Comment: From my point of view, the 7th. swing is an healthy wave for reaching 2% inflation target and a big chance to buy stocks at bottom. I'm waiting for this crashing for a long time and also China social funds ( retirement funds money) is waiting for this bottom like an hungry predator.
a month ago
Comment: Today we have confirmed that Renminbi will be tighten in 2017 and should rise rates in the next year.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/china-set-slower-growth-tighter-policy-2017-government-101536655--business.html
This will be bottomed between 24-25 and DXY should be weakening from there to form a real overheat phase. I think we now have had a stagflation phase already for 20 months first and an overheat after it because FRB rising rates and they inverted inflation. In the overheat phase A shares will rise to pullback about 30% of the collapsing like 2008 crashing because it's inflation sensitive till the China inflation is high enough to hike. Also if the weighted JPY hikes before Renminbi then it's over too. After the Renminbi hike or weighted JPY hike, A shares will go to sleep for 4-5 years to form very very long term stagflation phase. 7 years each, and 1 year lasting. How we called it in English? "impotence"?
Victor.Y.F
4 months ago
Thank you for your likes!
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