GmmaTech

Exxon Mobil (XOM) earnings preview: on track to ramp up its capi

NYSE:XOM   Exxon Mobil
Exxon is planning to ramp up capital spending with the goal of doubling earnings and cash flow from 2017 levels by 2025 and delivering a return on capital employed of 15%, compared with 7% in 2017. While investors have been clamoring for greater capital discipline from integrated oils, Exxon’s view is that it holds a host of high-return projects that can leverage its superior integrated model and thus warrant the investment.

Exxon is the highest-quality integrated oil overall (operating and assets) and that its downstream and chemicals segments are key differentiators. So it stands to reason that it should invest to maximize those advantages. However, integrated oils have a spotty record of delivering on long-dated volume and return targets.

The upstream segment will lead the charge, with earnings growing threefold and new investments seeing 20% return on capital employed. Exxon has bolstered its portfolio in recent years through discovery (Guyana) and acquisition (Permian, Mozambique), and these new resources will contribute the bulk of its estimated 1 mmboe/d in net production growth. Its 2025 targeted production of 5 mmboe/d represents a 3% CAGR.

www.finstead.com/bit...preview-july-24-2018

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