hungry_hippo

XRT Retai ETF Straddle for China trade talks

AMEX:XRT   SPDR S&P Retail ETF
You can't predict Trump, not even Trump can predict Trump. So who knows if we get a China deal or not...

With the market stalled out for the day, I'm looking forward to next week. I expect XRT to close the gap next week and stay in the $42 waffle range. Trade talks Thu/Fri and you know Trump will Tweet something because he can't help himself. So a straddle in tariff sensitive sector like transport or retail makes the most sense, buying XRT Oct 18 straddle Wed before close.

XRT options have good liquidity and low premiums.
Comment:
I'm kinda guessing they'll extend talk through the weekend.... might wait until Friday to buy the straddle, we'll see.
Comment:
Candlestick pattern is identical to the mid May bear flag, might be worth a few calls at the end of the day if it holds for a one day play.

On a big red day like today, I like to wait until the end of the day for any long positions. No FOMO for me in case there's another leg down.
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