I've been waiting for an exchange to list $XTZ so I can do some trend analysis. Unfortunately there is not enough history on Bitfinex to create anything meaningful. I only consider the betanet when trying to chart out a price so the $11 high on HitBTC should not be table into consideration. The first exchange to trade was gate.io and it came out between $4-$3 dollars. IT quickly fell to a little over $1 and has been trading sideways since. I think a breakout would need to be over $2 to see any real momentum.