geopolitics

FXpoliticaldynamics FXpoliticaldynamics EURTRY, D, Short , 10 days ago
EURTRY: EUR / TRY - Politics to remain on the spotlight
161 0 3
EURTRY, D Short
EUR / TRY - Politics to remain on the spotlight

Since late January, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey has produced consistent efforts to stabilize the currency. This has produced tangible results with a upward correction although persistent political tensions. Erdogan's referendum victory is likely to be the most market-friendly option. A "No" scenario may lead to early elections and a period of ...

MarcusWilliamson MarcusWilliamson GLD/OIL, D, 10 months ago
GLD/OIL: Long Gold Short Oil
68 1 4
GLD/OIL, D
Long Gold Short Oil

Gold has a historic relevance as being a price appreciator in times of volatility, geopolitical risk and economic uncertainty. Current day presents a plethora of risks both economic and political; from emerging market credit risk through to south china sea politics. Oil, like Gold has benefitted from a fall in the USD which has lead to some price recovery, ...

theStrangler theStrangler SPY, W, Short , a year ago
SPY: Ah... China, and we've just begun - yellow line of despair
230 0 3
SPY, W Short
Ah... China, and we've just begun - yellow line of despair

We won't be getting higher than the yellow line any time soon. With recent events around China's "real" numbers coming in (who knows what's real anymore?) and the issues around oil production (which are NEVER going away b/c in 15 years we won't even need oil anymore), the market is in a major, structure re-evaluation phase. Why? 1. Global unease in the old model ...

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