hawkish

IvanLabrie IvanLabrie RUT, 3D, Long , 3 months ago
RUT: Russell 2000: The bullish case
147 0 13
RUT, 3D Long
Russell 2000: The bullish case
We have potential for a new uptrend signal emerging this week, after NFP comes out. If I'm right, we might see a strong rally in equities, lasting well into November. The time target would put a top by November 16th or sooner, which interestingly aligns with the Federal Reserve's FOMC November meeting, which has ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 4 months ago
DXY: DXY/ USD: THE WEEK AHEAD - ITS ALL IN THE CHART
660 0 30
DXY, D Long
DXY/ USD: THE WEEK AHEAD - ITS ALL IN THE CHART
DXY: 1. Given the firming of USD STIR/ Fed funds following Yellens JH remarks and the markets hawkish reaction i still think there is another % or so of topside to be priced into USD topside. - Fed funds implying 36% probability of a Sept hike - the highest implied prob in 3 months - hence given cables 50pip ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPJPY, D, Short , 4 months ago
GBPJPY: SELL GBPJPY: RISK-OFF SHIFT COMING? LOWER BOE MONPOL EQUILIBRIUM
387 4 15
GBPJPY, D Short
SELL GBPJPY: RISK-OFF SHIFT COMING? LOWER BOE MONPOL EQUILIBRIUM
GBPJPY: 1. Given Fed Yellen's "hawkish" market response and GBPUSD, GBPNZD and GBPAUD shorts TPd on the rally lower today cleared (FX risk book clear too), im looking to add some safe haven assets to my portfolio. 2. Looking at GBPJPY and GBP structures on the whole, there has been alot of sterling longs in the ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, 4 months ago
DXY: SELL GBPUSD & USDJPY: FED CHAIR YELLEN JACKSON HOLE HIGHLIGHTS
476 0 14
DXY, D
SELL GBPUSD & USDJPY: FED CHAIR YELLEN JACKSON HOLE HIGHLIGHTS
Yellen as interpreted by the market was bullish, though price action immediately following the JH Speech Highlights was anything but this clear cut and imo said alot more about what was actually said i.e. there is still uncertainty/ no clear commitment, as DXY moved higher immediately after before aggressively ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short , 5 months ago
EURUSD: SHORT GBPUSD & EURUSD: FOMC DUDLEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
247 2 12
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT GBPUSD & EURUSD: FOMC DUDLEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
Fed Dudley reiterated his hawkish sentiment from earlier in the week today, concentrating somewhat purely on the labour market and its gains (ignoring every other data point since that would mean being dovish) nonetheless this is supportive of USD bulls regardless of the genuineness. As posted earlier, i like ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, 5 months ago
NZDUSD: NZDUSD/ AUDUSD: MONETARY POLICY DECISION HIGHLIGHTS
259 0 11
NZDUSD, D
NZDUSD/ AUDUSD: MONETARY POLICY DECISION HIGHLIGHTS
Relatively poor delivery from the RBNZ, by the looks of the whipsaw the market wanted/ expected 50bps based on the AUD differential and the RBA rate cut last week 50bps or some alt policy (e.g. QE) seemed like the smart move to make. From here Kiwi and Aussie longs look preferential as the macro environment shifts ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 5 months ago
DXY: BUY USD DIPS VS GBP/ NZD: DOVISH FED W. DUDLEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
125 5 8
DXY, D Long
BUY USD DIPS VS GBP/ NZD: DOVISH FED W. DUDLEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
Fed Dudley was speaking At A joint New York Fed, Indonesian Central Bank Seminar On Sunday evening when he left a mixed impression for the markets to digest - saying "it is premature to rule out an interest-rate increase this year" but then on the contrary saying "Raising Rates Prematurely Would Be Riskier Than ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 5 months ago
DXY: LONG DXY / USD: HAWKISH FOMC RATE STATEMENT - SEPTEMBER HIKE?
308 4 7
DXY, D Long
LONG DXY / USD: HAWKISH FOMC RATE STATEMENT - SEPTEMBER HIKE?
The FOMC rate statement was largely in line with expectations and to the hawkish side - with a september hike hinted at. Much of which followed the rhetoric of FOMC members in the past few weeks (see previous posts) and data (disregarding the poor -4% durable goods mom print). Perhaps the most hawkish/ promising ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short , 5 months ago
NZDUSD: NZDUSD SHORT UPDATE: EYE RBNZ GOV G. WHEELER SPEECH CLOSELY!
242 2 13
NZDUSD, D Short
NZDUSD SHORT UPDATE: EYE RBNZ GOV G. WHEELER SPEECH CLOSELY!
The Govenor of the RBNZ is speaking in 16 hours time - there could be significant up/ downside volatility in Kiwi - as we have seen after the past 3wks where the RBNZ have gone through the full hawk-dove cycle in their inferences/ rhetoric. We had RBNZ Spencer's comments on house inflation back on the 7th of July ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
AUDUSD: SELL AUDUSD - JUNE RBA MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - DOVISH/ CUT POSSIBLE
242 3 14
AUDUSD, D Short
SELL AUDUSD - JUNE RBA MINUTES HIGHLIGHTS - DOVISH/ CUT POSSIBLE
On the margin RBA remained in line with previous meetings, adding little but still keeping it on the dovish side imo. Once again, as in previous minutes (and from several other central banks) RBA continued to communicate the necessity of "watching key data" to drive future policy decisions. Interestingly though, ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
EURUSD: SHORT EURUSD: MISPRICING ECB & FED POLICY/ FUTURE POLICY/ BREXIT
487 2 17
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT EURUSD: MISPRICING ECB & FED POLICY/ FUTURE POLICY/ BREXIT
The Gross underpricing of ECB and FOMC Monetary Policy Changes - A fully-priced medium-term equilibrium Lower coming? EURUSD: *Short EURUSD 3m-12m Duration: 1/2lots @1.11 - 1.07TP1; 1.04-5TP2 1.01TP3 1. On Decemeber 2nd the ECB cut their rate by 10bps to 0.05%, paradoxically this actually caused EURUSD to rally ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, W, Short , 6 months ago
DXY: EOW SUMMARY: RISK THE OVERALL WINNER - US30 & SPX @ 2% NEW HIGHS
528 2 13
DXY, W Short
EOW SUMMARY: RISK THE OVERALL WINNER - US30 & SPX @ 2% NEW HIGHS
End of Week Summary: 1. On the week we saw risk outperform safe havens for the first time since the brexit vote and the SPX and DJ30 set new all time highs by 2% and 1.2% respectively - somewhat encouraging given this was the longest period post-crisis that equity indexes have had since new highs, with a total ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
458 0 20
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: DOVISH BOE M. CARNEY SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS - AUG CUT
IMO Mark Carney was very dovish on the margin, certainly reinforcing their/ my view of an August cut being 90% on the table. The most supportive statements were "MonPol Important In Cushioning Effects Of Any Relapse In Recovery In Months & Quarters Ahead", "The MPC Does Not Have The ''Luxury '' and "More Should Be ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 6 months ago
DXY: LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
189 0 10
DXY, D Long
LONG DXY/ USD VS GBP: HAWKISH FOMC LOCKHART SPEECH HIGHLIGHTS
FOMC Lockhart was the 4th Fed this week to imo be relatively Hawkish with his words, most notably reinforcing with the others brexits near-term stability saying "Doesn't Expect 'Brexit' to Have Near Term Impact on Economy" and " So Far 'Brexit' Reaction Largely Orderly". Most interestingly though was Lockharts view ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Long , 6 months ago
EURUSD: LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY
579 8 23
EURUSD, D Long
LONG USD VS JPY, EUR, GBP: HAWISK FED BULLARD - FED FUNDS RALLY
Bullard is the lone Fed official forecasting just one additional rate increase, and expects modest growth over the next two and a half years. But he reiterated Tuesday he's not expecting the economy to head south. However, did go out of his way to mention a relatively dovish point "We Have Some Ammunition if We ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading AUDUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
AUDUSD: SHORT AUDUSD TP 800PIPS:  BREXIT, RBA, FED & USDJPY HEDGE
1520 4 44
AUDUSD, D Short
SHORT AUDUSD TP 800PIPS: BREXIT, RBA, FED & USDJPY HEDGE
Short AUDUSD is in my top 3 FX Trades for several reasons: 1. AUD is considered a riskier G10 currency cross, so AUD trades weaker in risk-off markets, or when equities/ SPX trade lower (you can see the high correlation with SPX at the bottom of the graph). - With Brexit concurring last week, global risk has ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, 15, 6 months ago
USDJPY: BREXIT AND GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: BUY USDJPY - HOW TO TRADE
287 1 18
USDJPY, 15
BREXIT AND GEO-POLITICAL AFTERMATH: BUY USDJPY - HOW TO TRADE
Now that the Brexit risk has been realised the mentioned pairs above will share some correlation this week as the market changes between risk-on and risk-off as MANY on the events continually drive the sentiment shifts. My Plan & Expectations USDJPY 1. My conviction for UJ is long 8/10. -UJ traded to lows of ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPJPY, 15, 7 months ago
GBPJPY: DYNAMIC STRADDLE: USDJPY & GBPJPY - TP FROM BOJ & FOMC EVENT VOL
152 0 13
GBPJPY, 15
DYNAMIC STRADDLE: USDJPY & GBPJPY - TP FROM BOJ & FOMC EVENT VOL
The best Idea to play BOJ and FOMC from a risk-averse perspective is to own both in a Long Straddle Strategy Dynamic Straddle: Long USDJPY & Short GBPJPY - TP from volatility & Event likely hoods TP levels = cannot be greedy else you may miss one trades exit point so <25 pips when it goes in your direction for ...
12 Show More Ideas
Market
Interval
Browse
Time
Author
Widgets
Ideas Scripts Chart
United States
United Kingdom
India
España
Italia
Brasil
Россия
Türkiye
日本
한국
Home Stock Screener Economic Calendar How It Works Chart Features House Rules Moderators For the WEB Widgets Stock Charting Library Priority Support Feature Request Blog & News FAQ Help & Wiki Twitter
Private Messages Chat Ideas Published Followers Following Priority Support Public Profile Profile Settings Billing Sign Out