impliedprobability

QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, 4 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD: STERLING STRENGTH MYTH? ARITCLE 50 ODDS - 50% NOT HAPPEN
337 5 13
GBPUSD, D
GBPUSD: STERLING STRENGTH MYTH? ARITCLE 50 ODDS - 50% NOT HAPPEN
Mysterious sterling strength: 1. Sterling has managed to par losses and actually rise in past days despite a number of heavily weighted factors increasing GBP downside pressure e.g. MPC M. Weale switching to the doves, PMI/ Business Optimism 8yr lows, Sterling rates markets consistently pricing >25bps of cuts to ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading DXY, D, Long , 4 months ago
DXY: DXY/ USD: FOMC - GS 65% 2016 RATE HIKE; RABO ONE 2016 RATE HIKE
162 0 8
DXY, D Long
DXY/ USD: FOMC - GS 65% 2016 RATE HIKE; RABO ONE 2016 RATE HIKE
Goldman Sachs on July FOMC Decision : - The run of positive economic news in recent weeks has coincided with generally dovish comments from Fed offcials. Policymakers have indicated that they are not “behind the curve”, and have expressed increased uncertainty about the neutral level of interest rates. We ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading GBPUSD, D, Short , 4 months ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
339 2 18
GBPUSD, D Short
GBPUSD SHORT: BOE/ FOMC POLICY EXPECTATIONS INCREASINGLY BEARISH
Following today's Service/ Manufacturing PMI miss (worst contraction in 88 months - since 2009) the Sterling market has come under significant pressure as BOE rate cut expectations increase with OIS rates markets pricing a 94% chance of a 4th Aug cut vs 85% before the PMI's were released. Further, the PMI misses ...
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