inflation

KlendathuCap KlendathuCap PRO SPX, W, Short , 2 months ago
SPX: Transitioning to Risk-OFF Inflationary Environment
107 0 5
SPX, W Short
Transitioning to Risk-OFF Inflationary Environment
We are about to transition from a risk-ON inflationary environment to a risk-OFF inflationary environment. That means bond yields might fall even though inflation is rising. The US has been a huge beneficiary of the risk-ON move and as a result should see outflows. That means lower equities, and a weaker dollar. ...
IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO CNHUSD/XAUUSD, W, 9 months ago
CNHUSD/XAUUSD: Intermarket analysis: Currency performance YTD and forecasting
416 11 26
CNHUSD/XAUUSD, W
Intermarket analysis: Currency performance YTD and forecasting
In this chart I'm sharing my breakdown of the relative strength analysis of currencies, as suggested by Ashraf Laidi in his book 'Currency trading and intermarket analysis', a great read that was reccomended to me by David Alcindor. Thanks for that one David. I'll quickly summarize my train of thought here: I see ...
Victor.Y.F Victor.Y.F USOIL, M, 13 days ago
USOIL: "Great Leap Forward"-inspired by Great Culture Revolution 1960's
110 3 6
USOIL, M
"Great Leap Forward"-inspired by Great Culture Revolution 1960's
The "Great Leap Forward" movement idea is inspired by the "Great Culture Revolution" from 1960's to 1970's in our history. "Let's play the GAME." - Victor.Y.F play 0, commodities above zero, a trial play for free. Lol... play 1, stocks under zero. play 2, commodities under zero. play 3, inflations under ...
KlendathuCap KlendathuCap PRO RBS, W, Long , 20 days ago
RBS: Bullish European Banks RBS
26 0 5
RBS, W Long
Bullish European Banks RBS
I believe inflation is about to rip through the EU and push yields higher, breathing new life into the banking sector. For more information please read: https://klendathucapitalist.com/2016/12/24/predictions-for-2017-shit-escalates/
DzhuneytYusein DzhuneytYusein USDTRY, 60, Short , a month ago
USDTRY: USDTRY Setting Lower Lows, 61.8% Retracement Complete
217 4 10
USDTRY, 60 Short
USDTRY Setting Lower Lows, 61.8% Retracement Complete
Can we expect more decline from this point? I believe so and here is why: Since it reached all time high, USDTRY was unable to continue that trend and started making lower lows if you look at the 1h graph. First real decrease happened in the previous few days and 61.8% retrace was completed with the pair unable to ...
Sebastian_Urbanski Sebastian_Urbanski PRO ZARJPY, M, Long , 2 months ago
ZARJPY: ZARJPY Long based on Gold and Central Bank View
32 0 3
ZARJPY, M Long
ZARJPY Long based on Gold and Central Bank View
I am looking to position myself for positive gold moves, and inflation threads. I belive this way FX_IDC:ZARJPY we can get very good reward and less risk than trading directly gold or silver. Investors are not fully discounting this instrument as there are political problems in Africa.
pjlbtv pjlbtv SPX500, D, Short , 2 months ago
SPX500: Longterm view on S&P 500
105 0 2
SPX500, D Short
Longterm view on S&P 500
Kinda cluttered, these are areas I'm paying attention to, depending how the market enters those zones I might think about taking a long/short position. Some fun facts: - Fiat currencies get stronger in market corrections, since people are selling whatever they can for dollars/fiat. - Approximately HALF the ...
pjlbtv pjlbtv XAUUSD, D, Long , 2 months ago
XAUUSD: Longterm view on Gold
80 0 2
XAUUSD, D Long
Longterm view on Gold
Pretty self explanatory, shaded areas are where I think price will turn, based on unfilled orders existing right outside those candles. I'm particularly convinced by Jim Rickards(https://youtu.be/2xDSgOMifo8), who argues that gold will go through a severe re-pricing whenever the relentless expansion of central ...
broughro broughro USDEUR, W, 2 months ago
USDEUR: Intermediate 5 of Primary C Circle ends near parity
45 0 2
USDEUR, W
Intermediate 5 of Primary C Circle ends near parity
This is an update to my posts from months ago...looks like intermediate 4 has taken the shape of a triangle resulting in the final burst in intermediate 5 of primary C Circle's .618 retracement...once this occurs it appears USD inflation will kick in with EUR deflation driving the dollar value relative to EUR down ...
IvanLabrie IvanLabrie PRO DXY*CPIAUCSL, W, 2 months ago
DXY*CPIAUCSL: Post-election returns pattern from 1996
611 7 23
DXY*CPIAUCSL, W
Post-election returns pattern from 1996
We have an interesting pattern, going back to the 1996 elections. I overlay the one year inflation adjusted returns of the dollar, S&P500, gold and 30 year treasury yields. I see some paralells regarding price action, and would be interesting to see if we get a similar situation going forward. This is just an ...
priyesh priyesh PRO AUDUSD, D, Short , 2 months ago
AUDUSD: AUDUSD - Possible Bearish Breakout
67 1 2
AUDUSD, D Short
AUDUSD - Possible Bearish Breakout
AUDUSD has been trading within an ascending triangle for the majority of this year and a breakout is expected within the next two weeks. With the US Dollar hitting nine month highs earlier this week, a December rate hike is strongly expected which would strengthen the greenback further. Meanwhile, the pressure of a ...
tmp_cox tmp_cox NKY, D, 3 months ago
NKY: Prediction of the S&P500 and NIkkei based on financials and CPI
68 0 3
NKY, D
Prediction of the S&P500 and NIkkei based on financials and CPI
In the following content i will explain how you can forecast the market with CPI (inflation) and Financials: If we look at our figure we can say a few things, i will assume them below: 1. ABN AMRO (a dutch Financial) is highly correlated to the NIKKEI225 index. 2. Since nearly May 2016 we can see that the CPI ...
FXStreetContributors FXStreetContributors RATEINF/INFLATION_EUR, D, Long , 5 months ago
RATEINF/INFLATION_EUR: TECHNICAL  ANALYS OF EUROZONE INFLATION
5 0 0
RATEINF/INFLATION_EUR, D Long
TECHNICAL ANALYS OF EUROZONE INFLATION
Technical analysis can be used in any data series. In this case the application in fact is inflation we see fairly clear upward or lateral bullish signs.
JamesHelliwell JamesHelliwell PRO BKX, W, Long , 5 months ago
BKX: Financials will benefit if the reflation theme continues
145 0 4
BKX, W Long
Financials will benefit if the reflation theme continues
Related to the reflation theme described in my view "Crude Oil: The Most Important Chart in the World". This trade relates to a steepening of the US yield curve as rates adjust upwards through either rising inflation or a pickup in US growth (or both) having been driven to a record low in June. BKX Index ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading USDJPY, D, Long , 5 months ago
USDJPY: LONG USDJPY: ANOTHER BOJ OUTPERFORM CASE - 28TRN GOVT STIMULUS
403 11 11
USDJPY, D Long
LONG USDJPY: ANOTHER BOJ OUTPERFORM CASE - 28TRN GOVT STIMULUS
Another argument for the BOJ outperform case - Post BOJ Buy $Yen @MRKT 111tp: 1. We know BOJ and JPY Govt Abe/ Aso have had many meetings post-brexit and as it follows the JPY Govt have announced today that they will deliver a fiscal stimulus package of 28trn - which was to the very right of the curve (10-30 was ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading EURUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
EURUSD: SHORT EURUSD: ECB MEMBER NOWOTNY + DOWNSIDE ECONOMIC REVISIONS
235 0 16
EURUSD, D Short
SHORT EURUSD: ECB MEMBER NOWOTNY + DOWNSIDE ECONOMIC REVISIONS
ECB nowotny reiterated senior member official sentiments regarding the situation with Italian banks unsurprisingly saying people "Should not over dramatise situation regarding Italian Banks". He also hawkish said that the Brexit impact forecasted on the EUROZONE economy would be less than the IMF forecasts. Perhaps ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
NZDUSD: SHORT NZDUSD: RBNZ DOVISH ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT HIGHLIGHTS
416 2 11
NZDUSD, D Short
SHORT NZDUSD: RBNZ DOVISH ECONOMIC ASSESSMENT HIGHLIGHTS
The RBNZ was dovish in their economic assesment and IMO used it to communicate their 100% commitment to a OCR cut. Key drivers of this view were quotes such as "futher policy easing will be required, and monetary policy will remain accomodative.", "NZD currency strength makes it difficult to hit target inflation" ...
QuantumLogicTrading QuantumLogicTrading NZDUSD, D, Short , 6 months ago
NZDUSD: SELL NZDUSD: EYES ON CPI PRINT 23:45GMT - >0.5%=0.73; <0.4%=0.67
465 19 17
NZDUSD, D Short
SELL NZDUSD: EYES ON CPI PRINT 23:45GMT - >0.5%=0.73; <0.4%=0.67
Short NZDUSD based on low CPI/ inflation = an RBNZ OCR cut is 90% likely - 105 mins after market open at 23:45GMT NZD releases their June CPI print. - In all RBNZ mandates they reiterate how they consider CPI to be their "main/ sole" target or dictator of the monetary policy they set (check any of their minutes ...
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