Shark
IWM Appears Due for a Minimum 40-60% Downside CorrectionOn the lower timeframes IWM has been treating $223 as short term support with much sold put leverage building at $220 and recently IWM has begun to retrace back down into those levels putting those sold puts at risk of expanding the volatility and of squeezing through these short puts as a result.
The short term the loss of this zone could likely squeeze down to $200.
However in the longer term we have been trading within this much larger parallel channel since the peak and bottom of 2008-2009 GFC and have started to form a potential peak paired with a Bearish Shark. I think that if we were to start to see some serious downside the IWM could trade back down to not just the bottom of the channel but down to one of the 3 major horizontal supports I have plotted on the cart down at $121, $85.74, or even $41.11 if things get real bad.
Personally I will be targeting one of the 2 upper horizontal supports in the longer dated positioning while targeting the $210-$200 levels in the short term.
I'd suspect this decline to come especially as Fed Rate cut expectations are completely priced out of the market, it is worth mentioning that fed funds futures around the start of the month dropped their expectations of rate cuts for the September meeting down to 0 and we may now be on the path to pricing in rate hikes as seen in the chart below.
Alternatively the expectations for rates going into the end of December has been on a fast trajectory of pricing out rate cuts as well, starting at 90BPS of rate cuts at the start of the year, now pricing in only 37.5BPS in rate cuts:
This ongoing shift in these fed futures spreads from positive to negative signifies the amount that Fed Funds Futures are expecting the Fed to hike rates with both the instance of rate hikes and rate cuts likely to cause a collapse in credit spreads as the bond market yield shift higher leaving the interest rate sensitive IWM to be one of the most negatively affected.
EURNZD Bearish Shark Follow-UpFrom my previous post regarding potential Bearish Shark forming on the EURNZD (see Related Publications ->) a shooting star pattern might be forming right around the 1.97500 level. I usually don't trade candlestick patterns, but will look for a handful of certain ones around areas of fib confluence, S/R, S/D, and divergence. The Kiwi is weak relative to all other currencies, but I think the Euro is exhausted. Nevertheless, I would not be surprised if bulls make another exhausted push up towards 1.98500.
Currently short at 1.9755
COSUSDT.P | 1H Short ThermOpening a short setup on COSUSDT.P (1H) based on the completion of a Shark harmonic pattern at point D.
🔎 Confluences:
– Shark pattern completion aligning with resistance
– TDG indicator flashing bearish momentum (Sell mode)
– Market structure respecting the pitchfork channel
📉 Setup:
– Entry: Point D rejection
– Targets: TP1 → TP2 → TP3 (scaling out)
– Stop: Above X to limit risk
⚠️ This is not financial advice, just sharing my analysis for discussion.
Question: Do you guys find Shark patterns reliable compared to Bat/Crab, or do you mostly ignore them?
Exide Ltd is currently trading near its 200-day moving averageExide Ltd – Technical Outlook
Exide Ltd is currently trading near its 200-day moving average, which is acting as a key resistance level. A decisive breakout above this level could trigger a positional upmove of approximately 15%, making it a strong candidate for a medium-term long trade.
Additionally, the stock has been consolidating within a narrow 5% range, indicating a phase of accumulation. A breakout from this sideways range could present a short-term swing trading opportunity.
Actionable Insight:
Keep Exide Ltd on your watchlist for both positional and swing long trades, contingent on a breakout above key resistance levels.
Bitcoin Bearish Shark Detected – CME Gap Below $115K in Sight?Today's analysis is on the 15-minute timeframe , following the previous analysis I shared with you on the 1-hour timeframe .
Bitcoin ( BINANCE:BTCUSDT ) is currently trading in the Resistance zone($120,100-$118,240) near the Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage($121,490-$119,965) .
From a technical perspective , it looks like Bitcoin is completing the Bearish Shark Harmonic Pattern on the 15-minute timeframe .
From an Elliott wave theory perspective, it looks like Bitcoin is completing the microwave 5 of wave C of the Zigzag Correction(ABC/5-3-5) .
I expect Bitcoin to start falling from the top of the ascending channel and at least decline to the lower line of the descending channel, and if the ascending channel breaks this time, we should wait for the CME Gap($117,255-$116,675)/CME Gap($115,060-$114,947) to fill.
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $117,556-$116,465
Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $115,773-$114,513
Do you think Bitcoin can create a new ATH again?
Note: Stop Loss(SL)= $121,620
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Bitcoin Analyze (BTCUSDT), 15-minute time frame.
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Oil Futures Approaching Key Reversal Zone – Bullish HarmonicOil futures may be forming a bullish Shark harmonic pattern, with price approaching the potential reversal zone at point D. This pattern suggests a possible bounce if buyers step in around this area. If price action shows signs of support or a shift in momentum, it could offer a solid long opportunity. Look for confirmation like bullish candles or indicators turning up before entering. If the pattern plays out, it could provide a strong risk-to-reward setup.
ONDO Bullish Shark to T1 & Potential Bearish BatTicker: ONDO
Timeframe: Daily
Entry: 0.84887
Stop Loss: 0.76000
Take Profit: 1.386
R/R Ratio: 6.05
Pattern: Bullish Shark & Potential Bearish Bat
DOT: 1
HSI: 46
AmpRSI: 41
This bullish shark has held up during the last few months while we form a potential bearish bat with a C point at the terminal bar of the bullish shark. While HSI and AmpRSI are under the 50 it signals that we may spend more time down here. I added a stop under the terminal bar and structure low
1000APU Shark to T11h showing bullish shark pattern. Confirmed XA level with 2 bullish dots. HSI over 50. AmpRSI under 50 but making higher lows. Stop just under C point wicks. TP at T1
Ticker: 1000APU
Entry: 0.178
Stop Loss: 0.1723
Take Profit: 0.1975
R/R Ratio: 3.83
Pattern: Shark
DOT: 2
HSI: 57
AmpRSI: 42
$NVDA - head and shoulders + possible bull shark harmonicOn my chart, NVDA appears to be potentially forming a head and shoulders pattern.
At the same time, an almost perfect bullish shark harmonic woukd comple around the target for the head and shoulders pattern.
Could be something, could be nothing.
But I'll be careful and not spend my money on NVDA just yet.
Positive earnings might invalidate this idea and send NASDAQ:NVDA to the moon instead.
Let's see what happens.
The Bond Shark Attack.The bond yield has taken its first dive to the 0.88 level, and according to the ever-so-fishy harmonic shark pattern , we’re bracing ourselves for a dramatic tumble at the 1.138 level.
Now, what does this mean for the stock market? Well, think of it as a domino effect but with a flair for drama.
Investors might start sweating over higher borrowing costs, causing a ripple of caution through equities.
Golden Shark Caught in the 4-hour FVG Trap?It seems the "golden shark" is about to get tangled in the net of the four-hour FVG, meeting its bloody demise.
If this prediction holds true, brace yourselves for a dramatic plunge in gold prices—like a shark diving headfirst into a whirlpool.
Hold onto your treasure
because the waters are about to get choppy!