usdlong

TanayUK TanayUK PRO USDJPY, 240, Long , 7 days ago
USDJPY: USDJPY LONG: Fib retracement
83 0 7
USDJPY, 240 Long
USDJPY LONG: Fib retracement

Fundamentally USD is still supported. Today the 61.8% retracement offers a good entry.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO US10Y, 240, Long , 7 days ago
US10Y: US YIELDS AND USD LONG
20 0 4
US10Y, 240 Long
US YIELDS AND USD LONG

Great time to scale in to USD longs Dovish Fed hike won't stop term premia returning to historical norms. This is bullish for USD and bearish for USTs.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO GBPUSD, M, Short , 10 days ago
GBPUSD: LONG TERM CABLE SHORT
49 0 8
GBPUSD, M Short
LONG TERM CABLE SHORT

Massive head and shoulders pattern on monthly chart. We may test all time lows at 1.05.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO AUDUSD, 60, Short , 17 days ago
AUDUSD: Short AUDUSD baby
131 0 6
AUDUSD, 60 Short
Short AUDUSD baby

Short - rejection from 0.76 round number and 38.2% retracement of the down leg. Fundamentally there is monetary policy divergence between RBA and Fed which supports this trade. Hedge with AUDJPY longs from current levels.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO XAUUSD, 240, Long , 19 days ago
XAUUSD: BUY GOLD TO HEDGE USD LONGS
113 0 6
XAUUSD, 240 Long
BUY GOLD TO HEDGE USD LONGS

Buy gold at spot. Add at key levels: 1205, 1180, 1150. Hedge with shorts on AUDUSD, NZDUSD, GBPUSD (since these are risk-on trades). I think this will be the perfect way to play 2017 - long USD, long gold.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO US10Y, 240, Long , 22 days ago
US10Y: What's really driving USD at the moment
93 2 7
US10Y, 240 Long
What's really driving USD at the moment

10 year yields. 2.30% level has been very supportive. Breakout of the wedge will mean uptrend will continue. Fundamentally this is supported by higher term premia being demanded, and Chinese flight capital leaving the UST market. I'm long USD and will add to my positions if 10 year yields really start to move a lot higher.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO USDJPY, 240, Long , a month ago
USDJPY: Fundamentals haven't changed - in fact they've got better!
113 0 11
USDJPY, 240 Long
Fundamentals haven't changed - in fact they've got better!

Fundamentally, looking at global equities, data from the US, Fedspeak and Yellen's comments, USD should be trading much higher. Why isn't it? 1) JPY-positive flows before the end of the Japanese fiscal year 2) 'Uncertainty' of the Trump administration 3) Profit taking at 115.00 - including option defending and strong sell interest However, I view this as an ...

timmynorin timmynorin EURUSD, 15, Short , a month ago
EURUSD: EURUSD (15min) Structure based - Short
259 2 21
EURUSD, 15 Short
EURUSD (15min) Structure based - Short

Opportunity to get short with structure + fibo based entry. We're running into previous support which could act as resistance. Adding to the case we're hitting 0.618 fib. Adding to our defense we also have falling trendline. Targetting historical support level. Lets see how we do.

timmynorin timmynorin XAUUSD, 15, a month ago
XAUUSD: XAUUSD (15min) Short term - Short opportunity with 2618
87 2 12
XAUUSD, 15
XAUUSD (15min) Short term - Short opportunity with 2618

A potential 2618 setup is closing in on 15min XAUUSD. Price is currently meeting resistance at a previous strong support level looking back on higher time frame. Perhaps this could add to the case with the price consolidating around this area, and just maybe push price back down enough for us to profit. Im not looking for extended targets, only retest of the ...

timmynorin timmynorin GBPUSD, 15, a month ago
GBPUSD: GBPUSD 15m - Bearish bat - Short opportunity
94 0 15
GBPUSD, 15
GBPUSD 15m - Bearish bat - Short opportunity

Bearish bat with trend line together with structure as resistance. Lets see if we can squeeze out some profit

TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, D, Long , 2 months ago
DXY: LONG USD AT SPOT
76 0 6
DXY, D Long
LONG USD AT SPOT

NFP reaction has given us a chance to add to USD longs for the medium-term. Fundamentals haven't changed and are still in play. Weaker wage growth doesn't change the fact that a structural dollar shortage and monetary policy divergence remains.

MagicGreen MagicGreen GBPUSD, D, Short , 2 months ago
GBPUSD: Gbp/Usd Short From Daily Trendline
36 0 2
GBPUSD, D Short
Gbp/Usd Short From Daily Trendline

Time for a correction before further upside

MarcuDan MarcuDan EURUSD, 240, Short , 2 months ago
EURUSD: EUR/USD very short term buy then sell
68 0 3
EURUSD, 240 Short
EUR/USD very short term buy then sell

Pair is reaching some very important levels for the short and medium term. I am waiting for the price to get stuck somewhere around 1.0850-1.0930 and i will be looking from there. Very short term it makes sense to buy at current levels.

TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, D, Long , 2 months ago
DXY: BUY USD: Month-end rebalancing flows
181 0 5
DXY, D Long
BUY USD: Month-end rebalancing flows

Today's month-end rebalancing flows were understandably USD negative, given the recent USD positioning in the market. They have given us excellent levels to add to USD longs. The USD uptrend should resume, given the strong fundamentals in play. Donald Trump's jawboning simply cannot weaken the USD materially, since he cannot reduce the structural dollar ...

TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, D, Long , 2 months ago
DXY: DXY TO RESUME UPTREND: Divergence with 10Y Yield
92 0 6
DXY, D Long
DXY TO RESUME UPTREND: Divergence with 10Y Yield

Bond yields are moving upwards - NOT because of rate hike or inflation expectations - but because of changes in term premia of longer dated bonds. Investors are demanding a higher premium to hold longer dated Treasuries. This naturally pushes bond yields up. DXY is normally extremely correlated with Treasury yields. Right now, DXY is trading at a discount ...

TanayUK TanayUK PRO DXY, D, Long , 3 months ago
DXY: US DOLLAR (DXY) MEDIUM TERM LONG: Fundamental and Technical
45 0 6
DXY, D Long
US DOLLAR (DXY) MEDIUM TERM LONG: Fundamental and Technical

Fundamentally: rising interest rates, higher inflation expectations and a rise in US yields relative to other major G10 currencies should continue to drive the dollar higher. Further into 2017, $10 trillion of off-shore dollar denominated debt is massively bullish for the greenback. Technically: The dollar index has broken 100.50 - a major multi-year resistance ...

timmynorin timmynorin EURUSD, D, Short , 4 months ago
EURUSD: EURUSD Daily Short setup
205 3 27
EURUSD, D Short
EURUSD Daily Short setup

Why? Broken bullish trendline, should as act resistance. 61.8 fibo retrace Structure, previous support, should act as resistance Bearish trendline, should act as resistance What more would I want? I'd prefer RSI to show even more overbought, but still, enough to hold my case. Taking profit above previous structure support. NFP tomorrow, but since this trade ...

timmynorin timmynorin XAUUSD, 60, Short , 4 months ago
XAUUSD: XAUUSD - 2618 Short Setup
240 1 19
XAUUSD, 60 Short
XAUUSD - 2618 Short Setup

Double top followed by break to the downside. Selling the retrace with falling trendline as resistance together with previous structure-zone. Looking to take profit above 61.8 retrace of the leg. Stop loss above highest of the tops. Since is NFP tomorrow I will definitely be on the lookout.

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