Have asked yourself why Wallstreet Bets popularity and Best years for Citadel overlaps?
Or
Why Citadel’s CEO Keneth C. Griffins thanks WSB for creating the best pipeline they ever had?
Let’s review some data before making any hypothesis..!
Ken Griffin's Citadel raked in $16 billion in 2022, marking the best year for any hedge fund in history. Ken Griffin's...
Bear Market Rally, Suckers Rally, Dead Cat Bounce, Bull trap, Whipsaw, Pullback,and Mean Reversion are all examples of counter trend moves.
They all have common features:
- They are all countertrend moves.
- Their duration is shorter than the main trend.
- They could be faster and more volatile.
- They are not supported by fundamental changes
Bear market rallies...
What Is the Head and Shoulders Pattern?
A head and shoulders pattern is a technical indicator with a chart pattern of three peaks, where the outer two are close in height, and the middle is the highest.
A head and shoulders pattern—considered one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns—is a chart formation that predicts a bullish-to-bearish trend reversal.
An...
Wyckoff's stock selection process always included an analysis of comparative strength. To identify candidates for long positions, he looked for stocks or industries that were outperforming the market, both during trends and within trading ranges. In short positions, he looked for underperformers.
Therefore, he conducted his comparative strength analysis between a...
On the left side, You see a Cup and Handle pattern which is one of the most profit-making patterns in the market, while on the right side you see a Double Top which indicates the probability of lower prices in the coming days!
Which one would you pick? in which you will put your money?
Let's look at the volume and see if it could help us:
A: In a cup and handle...
It was March 7th when I published my first VLO analysis:
I revised my target price to 140 on April 26:
then VLO went up to 148
+84% in less than 100 days..!
Now you see the highest ever revenue and learning per share, but the price is 25% below its All time high???
Why?
Maybe the best answer is provided by George Soros:
The reality is that...
These days everyone talks about Tesla closing 75% of its bitcoin position.
Let's evaluate it and see if there is anything that we can learn from it:
1- A Perfect Entry: according to Tesla's earnings call average entry price was $31,620..! Considering 27829 was the lowest price of 2021 and bitcoin traded only 22 days below Tesla's average.
2- Missing...
"Truth Social is currently beating Twitter & TikTok on the Apple Store" this tweet from Elon Musk could be enough to pump it higher..!
This is the effect of Social media, and Elon Musk knows it better than anyone else..!
I believe SEC should investigate Buyers of (out of money call) options on DWAC..!
A company with a 1.5 Billion USD market cap and less than...
"The term is commonly used in phrases like, "don't try to catch a falling knife," which can be translated to mean, "wait for the price to bottom out before buying it." A falling knife can quickly rebound - in what's known as a whipsaw—or the security may lose all of its value, as in the case of bankruptcy." (Investopedia)
"A falling knife refers to a sharp drop,...
Rate of change is used to mathematically describe the percentage change in value over a defined period of time, and it represents the momentum of a variable. The calculation for ROC is simple in that it takes the current value of a stock or index and divides it by the value from an earlier period. Subtract one and multiply the resulting number by 100 to give it a...
I think whatever you need to know about a Formation of bubbles and their burst you can see in the ZM chart:
An 805% move in 18 months followed by an 84% decline in the next 17 months:
During that 84% decline, you see a 36% and 48% positive surge, but the aftermath remained the same..!
Even a significant change in the fundamental did not help:
But ZM...
Let's observe charts the way Wyckoff looked at them:
Analysis of supply and demand on bar charts, through examination of volume and price movements, represents one of the central pillars of the Wyckoff method.
Wyckoff's third law (Effort versus Result) involves identifying price-volume convergences and divergences to anticipate potential turning points in price...
AAPL is in a downward trend since January 4th, 2022!'
Although AAPL could go down another 10% in the coming weeks, I believe this is not a good place to short it just before the Quadruple Witch(March 18th).
Education:
If you detect a Downward regression channel try to open a short position in the upper half or at least near the midline..!
The biggest problem...
A quiz is usually a short test and often doesn't have a huge impact on your grades as a test has. But this one could have a huge impact on your portfolio..!
I provide the chart and the cheat sheet.
For more help you can look at my previous analysis as well:
or
or
You like to learn more, read this article:
www.investopedia.com
Question:
How you...
Let's look at the mechanism that leads to this phenomenon
1-Short Covering Trades
2- Short Squeeze + Gama Squeeze just before Quadruple Witch, it was top rank on Wallstreet Bets in this trading week.
3- Market Makers: Max Pain: 113 which means market makers are the winner of this game..!
Do not forget:
A: BABA is still 65% away from its all-time high..!
B:...
If you want to have a good forecast, you need to calculate all the possibilities ..!
A comparison between 2008 & 2022:
A Comparison between 2000 & 2022:
My Observation:
1- In the 2000 market crash, after the early -39.5% market bounce back 43% in the next 3 months and then go down 73%.
2-In the 2008 market crash, after the early -25.5% market bounce...
As you can see in the weekly charts Gold has made a bearish bat pattern and has reached the first target..!
Further correction in the high inflation era is less likely..! do not count on the 2nd and 3rd targets..!
Always consider the probability of something happening, and Keep in mind nothing is impossible in the market!!!
Best,
Dr. Moshkelgosha...
Most of Cathie Wood's followers were playing in the kindergarten or elementary school playground when she underperform the market in 2008.
According to Alliance Bernstein documents, she had -46.72% net return and -45.12% pure gross return in 2008..!
Interestingly, Positive alpha over every annualized time period (10-year alpha: 2.4%)
Cathie Wood on her way to...
