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The price action we've seen since October looks a lot like the tech bubble of Y2K. The combination of mean aversion and valuation levels like this have only occurred two times in the past(1929,2000). Corporate buy backs and excess leverage(everywhere) where also traits of these historical crashes. Using the first tech bubble as a model, I've projected what...
It is important to understand that primary trends of stocks, bonds, and commodities are determined by the attitude of investors during unfolding of events in the business cycle. An understanding of the interrelationship of credit, equity, and commodity markets provides a useful framework for identifying major reversals in each. MARKET MOVEMENTS AND BUSINESS...
Recently, the Russel2000 and the Nasdaq100 are developing more and more in different directions. Since we expect a weaker stock market in the coming weeks and months and the Nasdaq100 can drop significantly lower, the possibility exists for a spread trade in both assets. The approach is relatively simple: Long in the Russel2000 and short the Nasdaq100. IMPORTANT...