From Uncertainty to Risk, from the Casino to Strategy In our previous post, we explored the distinction between uncertainty and risk, underscoring how the ability to measure risk serves as the bedrock of a successful trading system. Now, let's delve deeper into this foundational concept. Understanding the difference between risk and uncertainty is paramount. It...
REPORT HIGHLIGHTS: The fourth bitcoin halving event, scheduled on or around April 19, 2024, heralds a significant transformation in the cryptocurrency landscape. This halving, marked by the reduction of bitcoin supply subsidy, the emergence of a liquid investment ecosystem via CME Group futures and options, the advent of spot Bitcoin ETFs and the introduction of...
This strategy is intended to be a method to help to differentiate a pullback from reversal. Here we're using the butterfly pattern which is a continuation pattern, but the failure of this continuation pattern can mean the failure of the trend. It's a very useful signal that can be used on all time frames. You can find great examples of this before crashes...
Ico Investors are increasing this year Traders in crypto are in for a rude wake-up because there is so many opportunities in this market Watch out for Buying at the wrong time. Remember that too much Greed to keep profit for more than a day will destroy your profits if you buy at the wrong time you will lose all your money this is called bag holding Look for a...
The butterfly can appear as a corrective pattern in a trend. When it does, it's a two leg correction. The second leg is a false breakout of the first. Being a harmonic, the final leg (D leg) is always the strongest. When the butterfly serves as a corrective pattern, strong follow through can come. In the times this works, we usually see the next swing...
Harmonics are a very useful tool for gaining insight into possible reversal levels after strong trends. "M" shapes are often found at the bottom of trends and "W" shapes at the top. Most often these fit into the rules of the butterfly reversal. A defining characteristic of the butterfly is the final leg (D leg) is always a very strong leg. It's a strong and...
In trading, traders always have expectations or mental images of how the price will move. The greater their confidence, the larger the position size they might take, which can lead to potentially heavier losses. This is because actual price movements often differ from expectations, making most expectations illusions. Here's a common chart example: A nice...
I am sharing steps to do analysis and how to wait for a low risk trading execution.
A lot of traders apply trend lines for trading and making predictions on different financial markets. Trend line can also be an important element of price action patterns. However, only few knows that some trend lines are better to be avoided. In this article, I will share with you the types of trend lines that you should avoid and not rely on for...
## Unveiling the Multifaceted Impact of CPI on All Markets: A Deep Dive The Consumer Price Index (CPI) stands as a powerful economic barometer, influencing a vast array of markets beyond traditional stocks and bonds. Understanding its ripple effects across asset classes is crucial for investors and traders navigating the ever-shifting currents of the financial...
Welcome to Swing Mapping Part 3, where we delve into three different approaches to trade management using swing mapping methods. Trade management always represents a trade-off between taking profits early and letting winning trades run. There is no perfect solution, but by understanding different approaches, traders can tailor their strategies to their risk...
The 1.61 head fake strategy is intended to give early signals of where a high/low might be and be an early tell on the potential turn of the trend. This strategy can be used for both pullbacks and reversals. When traded as a correction, this strategy usually is successful in the forecasting and trading of the end of Elliot wave 5 heading into the ABC....
The 76 correction strategy aims to pick up optimal continuation trades into large retracements. It's a trend following strategy that aims to enter into strong counter trend moves to a 76% retracement of the previous trend leg. This strategy usually performs best when combined with Elliot wave. Waiting for there to be a full impulsive leg in 5 waves followed by a...
How to Use Fibonacci Retracements for Crypto Fibonacci retracements have long been used in traditional financial markets. However, with the advent of crypto trading, they’ve also found popularity amongst digital asset traders. In this article, we answer the question “What is Fibonacci in crypto?”, discuss how to trade retracements and offer some strategies you...
🚀 Unlocking Your Trading Potential with Bar Replay on TradingView In the whirlwind of trading, having ace tools up your sleeve can dramatically shape your strategy and success. The spotlight shines bright on TradingView’s Bar Replay feature, a gem that offers a rewind on market movements, setting the stage for strategic mastery. Let's dive into what...
Hey Rich Friends, Happy Monday! It's a new week which means many new opportunities to get into the market...but it doesn't mean that you have to take all of them. Make sure you focus on finding the best setups by sticking to your plan and following your confirmation checklist. The best out of 25 will give you a good idea of your win/loss ratio. If you are...
Hey Rich Friends, This quick video will explain how I easily find my TP and SL for my Forex Trades. I've noticed how many new traders struggle with this, so hopefully this video will help. Here is what I do: 1 . Identify the overall trend of the market. It is important to understand that a Selling market will look like a roller coaster going up, have more...
We take on a discipline to do something we don't naturally do or want to do. We set some rules that will be uncomfortable and ride out the restless energy. Keep in mind that a good practice destroys itself, the whole point of a discipline is to get to the point where we don't need the discipline anymore. That is called transformation and it takes time. By being...