Short term we are due for at least a small bounce since we finally have some signs of buying volume increasing. Note the bull volume spikes end of this week as well as back in June before the last uptrend started. Daily MACD is just about to cross which when combined with stochastics rising out of oversoold indicate a likely uptrend beginning. $0.15 was a major...
The price has completed a Head and Shoulders pattern on 1W (RSI = 45.662, MACD = -8.520, Highs/Lows = 0.0000). The neckline is within 293.90 - 341.40, a range that Soybean Meal roughly traded in for 540 days (August 2016 - February 2018). This can be used as a basis for a long term sideways strategy of selling near the Resistance and buying near the Support. **...
Soybeans market created a strong S/R zone around 900. If the price will go up over 900 then I see a good potential for reaching 1000 or more.
Corn has been practically neutral on 1W (RSI = 54.490, ADX = 23.173), trading sideways since mid July. With the price currently testing the inner 374'2 Resistance, we consider it to be high enough for a short towards the 0.618 1D Fibonacci = 356'6.
Both TP =574.20 & 588.20 hit as the 1W Channel Up (MACD = 9.620, B/BP = 0.3280) made a 598.40 Higher High. It has since pulled back to make a Higher Low, which was most likely priced at 498.20. This commodity (Hard Red Winter Wheat) is on a very long term uptrend and we are now holding a long with TP = 569, 598 in extension.
Cocoa (CC1!) is on a very aggressive long term Channel Down on 1W (RSI = 37.498, MACD = -53.170, Highs/Lows = -176.9286, B/BP = -379.8580) and is currently also trending lower on the latest 1D bearish leg, equally as aggressive (STOCH = 21.862, Williams = -90.823). This is the third leg downwards on this Channel Down and based on the previous two it should reach a...
Lean Hogs (HE1!) are on a 1D Channel Up (MACD = 2.610, Highs/Lows = 4.5150, B/BP = 9.0280) but highly overbought (RSI = 72.148, STOCHRSI = 96.420) hence in need of a technically pull back. Based on the recurring patterns this will come in the form of a consolidation/ slow down and not a standard pull back. The next Higher High and TP is projected at 70.000.
Feeder Cattle (GF1!) is trading within a long term 1W Channel Up (RSI = 63.368, B/BP = 10.8420) on a very stable pace setup (MACD = 2.490, Highs/Lows = 3.4700) that allows us for a better pattern recognition. If those recurrences are valid, the GF should seek a Higher Low near 155.000 before making a Higher High near 164.000 (target).
Live Cattle (LE1!) is trading within a long term 1W Channel Up (RSI = 60.152, ADX = 29.000, Highs/Lows = 7.0679, B/BP = 14.6880) that has recently made a Higher High with an obvious Resistance zone at 114.00 - 114.325. Being on overbought STOCHRSI, Williams and CCI, a pull back to a Higher Low (~110.000) is required to sustain a healthy uptrend, which should most...
Soybeans (ZS1!) are consolidating (Highs/Lows = 0) near the 1D Rectangle's support (810 - 910). Based on this sideways pattern since late June, the price should now approach the 910 Resistance. We are long, TP = 900.
Soybean Meal (ZM1!) made a Lower High on the 1W Channel Down (RSI = 39.076, MAC = -8.620, Highs/Lows = -5.800, B/BP = -25.7200) and should now reverse lower towards a new Lower Low. The first short target is 293.80 as the Lower Low extension since the last bottoms supports there. If crossed, we will continue shorting, TP = 275.20.
The Hard Red Winter Wheat is trading sideways within a long term 1W Rectangle (RSI = 51.682, Williams = -53.356, CCI = 24.4952, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) and the High Volatility (ATR = 43.4643) sustains this movement. After a successful support test, we are long with TP = 562.60.
Feeder Cattle is trading within a Channel Down on 1D (MACD = -0.360, Highs/Lows = -0.0614, B/BP = -1.7440). The neutral RSI = 45.095 suggests that it is coming off a recent Lower High, which as seen on the chart was at 151.500. We have opened short and our TP is 146.900 and 144.975 in extension (we will update if needed to pursuit the extension).
Technical Analysis: - Double Bottom at 10.45 from August 2015 - Oversold on daily/weekly timeframes - Retest of 5monthSMA likely @ 11.50 Fundamental Analysis: - Look for Brazil Real bounce against USD - this will lead to less selling for $ and more domestic demand in Brazil - Higher lows since 1985 reflecting growing demand - Higher energy means more domestic...
$WEAT (wheat ETF) setting up for possible break of downtrend on monthly
Soybean Meal is trading sideways inside a 1D Rectangle (325 - 341) since late June (RSI = 46.257, CCI = -35.7793, Highs/Lows = 0.0000, Ultimate Oscillator = 49.818). Our optimal strategy involves scalping within 326.60 - 338.10.
Elliott Wave price structure and projections in beans.
Long Sugar @ 10.82; TP @ 11.04, SL your choice