Get started

Banking

FHN: Bearish retest after channel break – more downside ahead?First Horizon Corporation is a regional U.S. banking company offering commercial, mortgage, and investment services. It operates mainly across the southern United States and is among the largest regional banks in its sector. Technical Analysis: FHN recently broke down from a long-term ascending channel and is now retesting the lower boundary as resistance. Price stalled near 18.65 with weakening bullish momentum. RSI is trending lower and volume on retest is soft. Key downside levels: 15.00, 13.50, and possibly 10.24 if weakness continues. Fundamentals: FHN faces headwinds from tightening monetary policy, rising credit costs, and profitability pressures. Regional banks are under investor scrutiny following sector instability. Latest earnings report showed declining margins and weaker guidance. Scenarios: Bearish bias – rejection at 18.65 → drop toward 15.00 → 13.50 → 10.24 Bullish reversal – break back above 18.65 → re-entry into channel toward 21.00+
NYSE:FHNShort
by TotoshkaTrades
Quantum's BAC Trading Guide 4/8/25BAC (Bank of America Corporation) - Sector: Financials (Banking) Sentiment: --Neutral (slight bullish tilt). Pre-market options lean call-heavy, RSI likely ~48 (up from ~45 with +1.8% from $35.58 to $36.23), X posts overnight mixed—rate fears vs. recovery hopes—suggesting a bounce from $34.19 (April 4). Tariff Impact: --Moderate. 10% tariffs could hit loan demand (trade-sensitive clients), but BAC’s diversified revenue softens impact. Sentiment drives here. News/Catalysts: --Consumer Credit (April 8) key—strong data could lift BAC; X posts on banking resilience or tariff delays might boost today. Technical Setup: -Weekly Chart: ---HVN near $37 as resistance, weekly low ~$34 as support (April 4: $34.19). ---Sideways (8-week EMA ≈ 13-week ≈ 48-week, reflecting $35–$40 range). ---RSI ~48 (neutral), ---MACD near signal (histogram flat), ---Bollinger Bands near midline, ---Donchian Channels at midline, ---Williams %R -50 (neutral). -One-Hour Chart: ---Support at $35.58 (prev. close), resistance at $36.68 (day high), weekly alignment. ---RSI ~50, MACD near signal (histogram flat), ---Bollinger Bands near midline, ---Donchian Channels at midline, ---Williams %R -48 (neutral). -10-Minute Chart: ---Pre-market uptick to $36.23, 8/13/48 EMAs flat-to-up, RSI ~52, ---MACD flat near zero. Options Data: --GEX: Neutral (slight bullish tilt)—pinning shifts mildly upward. --DEX: Neutral (slight bullish tilt)—call delta edges out puts. --IV: Low—~20–25% vs. norm 25–30%, steady post-drop. --OI: Balanced (slight call tilt)—OI leans above $36. --Directional Bias: Neutral (slight bullish tilt). GEX’s mild upward pinning, DEX’s call delta hint at buying, low IV limits big swings, and slight call-heavy OI nudges up—neutral with a bullish edge. Sympathy Plays: --JPM (JPMorgan Chase): Rises if BAC gains, falls if BAC fades. --WFC (Wells Fargo): Gains with BAC upside, drops if BAC weakens. --Opposite Mover: BAC rallies → cyclicals like ALK fade; BAC dumps → JPM/WFC soften. Sector Positioning with RRG: --- Financials (Banking). --RRG Position: Improving Quadrant. BAC’s bounce from $34.19 lifts it vs. XLF. Targets: Bullish +2% ($36.95, hourly resistance); Bearish -2% ($35.50, hourly support).
NYSE:BAC
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
1
Jefferies: Maintains "Buy" Rating with a €6.25 Target PriceJefferies: Piraeus' Acquisition of National Insurance Boosts Profitability and Capital Position – Maintains "Buy" Rating with a €6.25 Target Price The acquisition of 90% of National Insurance by Piraeus Bank for €540 million is a highly strategic move that, according to Jefferies' analysis, will significantly enhance the bank's profitability and overall financial position. A Deal That Strengthens Piraeus – “Buy” Rating Maintained Jefferies estimates that the National Insurance acquisition diversifies Piraeus' revenue streams and strengthens its fee income sector, bringing it closer to leading European banking institutions. The investment firm maintains its “buy” rating for Piraeus Bank, setting a €6.25 price target, confirming its confidence in the bank’s prospects following this strategic move. Profitability & Return on Equity Boost This transaction is expected to increase earnings per share (EPS) by approximately 5%, while return on tangible book value (RoaTBV) is projected to rise by 100 basis points (bp). At the same time, Piraeus continues to target a cost-to-core-income ratio of around 35% for the 2025-2027 period, maintaining strong operational efficiency. Positive Capital Impact – Danish Compromise Implementation The acquisition will impact Piraeus’ total capital ratio by 150 basis points, reducing it from 20% to over 18.5% in 2025. However, the bank plans to apply the Danish Compromise, which, if implemented, would reduce the impact by 50 basis points, keeping the net effect at 100 basis points. Importantly, the CET1 ratio is expected to remain above 13% throughout the 2025-2027 business plan, while the dividend distribution policy at 50% of profits remains unchanged. National Insurance: A Leading Player in the Greek Market National Insurance is the top insurance company in Greece, with 15.8% growth in gross written premiums (GWP) in 2024, surpassing the market average of 8.7%. The company is expected to maintain a 14.6% market share in 2024, with 17% in life insurance and 11% in general insurance. With total assets of €4 billion and equity of €400 million, National Insurance reported normalized net earnings of €100 million in 2023. Its extensive network of corporate and affiliated insurance agencies generates a significant portion of its revenue. Strong Growth in the Bancassurance Market Piraeus Bank expects the Greek insurance market to continue expanding, with gross written premiums rising to €7 billion from €5.5 billion by the end of 2024. In Bancassurance, a key strategic sector for Piraeus, the market size is projected to grow from €1.4 billion to €2 billion, highlighting the increasing significance of bank-led insurance services in Greece.
ATHEX:TPEIRLong
by kgougakis
$KBE’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGEAMEX:KBE ’S BANKING BOOM—Q4 STRENGTH & POST-ELECTION SURGE (1/9) Good morning, Tradingview! AMEX:KBE ’s riding high—up 8.3% since the Nov ‘24 election, beating AMEX:SPY ’s 3.3% 📈🔥. Banks are cashing in on trading and dealmaking post-election. Let’s dive into the AMEX:KBE rally! 🚀 (2/9) – PERFORMANCE & REVENUE • Post-Election Gain: +8.3% vs. AMEX:SPY +3.3% 💥 • Q4 Revenue Growth: Holdings ( NYSE:GS , NYSE:JPM , NYSE:BAC ) up 5-10% YoY • Sector EPS Est.: +7-8% for Q4 2024 Fixed income trading and investment banking are fueling the fire! (3/9) – BIG EVENTS • Pro-Business Vibes: Deregulation hopes lift sentiment 🏛️ • M&A/IPO Surge: Banks thriving in deal flow 📊 • NYSE:GS Q4 Est.: GPW:11B + revenue, +5-7% YoY 🚗 X posts buzz about a banking renaissance! (4/9) – SECTOR SHOWDOWN • AMEX:KBE : +8.3% vs. AMEX:XLF +6%, AMEX:IWM +5.4% 🌍 • Forward P/E: ~10x ( AMEX:KBE ) vs. 12x ( AMEX:XLF ), 20x ( AMEX:SPY ) • P/B: 1.2x vs. AMEX:XLF ’s 1.5x Undervalued vs. peers, but banking focus shines! (5/9) – RISKS TO WATCH • Rates: Rising costs could pinch margins 📉 • Trade Policy: Tariffs might slow deals ⚠️ • Loan Demand: Weakness or credit dips a threat 🏦 • Sentiment: Undervaluation lingers—earnings key! (6/9) – SWOT: STRENGTHS • Trading Power: FICC up 10% in Q4 🌟 • Dealmaking: Top banks lead M&A/IPO surge 🔍 • Low Cost: 0.35% expense ratio beats most 🚦 AMEX:KBE ’s got muscle in the banking game! (7/9) – SWOT: WEAKNESSES & OPPORTUNITIES • Weaknesses: Cyclical reliance, bank-only focus 💸 • Opportunities: Deregulation, 10-15% earnings pop in ‘25 🌍 Can AMEX:KBE cash in on policy and growth? (8/9) – AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 strength—where’s it going? 1️⃣ Bullish—Banks keep soaring. 2️⃣ Neutral—Growth holds, risks balance. 3️⃣ Bearish—Rate woes hit hard. Vote below! 🗳️👇 (9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY AMEX:KBE ’s Q4 glows—trading and deals lift banks high 🌍. Cheap at 10x P/E, but risks lurk. Undervalued gem or cyclical trap?
AMEX:KBELong
by DCAChampion
8
XRP FINAL STEEP DISCOUNT OPPORTUNITY IS IMMINENTMy time-wave cycles analysis (among other components) indicating we will have a final sell wave to 1.45-1.7 zone over coming days (before FOMC meeting in March imo). Granted I was a little off on exact timing to reach the buy-side targets back in December but nonetheless accurate on projected price levels..See prior analysis at attached link for the projected high coming in at 3.1-3.3, exactly as it happened... I have no doubt this final sell wave will also occur. Depending on your goals & trading style, you may treat this next sell wave as an opportunity to simply add more at discounted levels via DCA'ing....or choose to sell at these relative highs to maximize position size once again from sub-1.70 levels.. I DO NOT EXPECT US TO SEE sub-3$ ANYTIMEagain after this next sell wave completes & then buyers take us to 4+ in q2 & beyond. Expecting this to be the FINAL steep discount buying opportunity for those interested in maximizing their capital purchasing power for long term speculative hodling Follow for additional actionable alerts & analysis. Appreciate the boosts & looking forward to your comments as well!
COINBASE:XRPUSD
by DaveTradesLive
Citigroup ($C): Fourth Test of Key Levels Since 2018The shares of Citigroup gained an impressive 7% today following its earnings report, which delivered a beat ✅. The company is projecting revenue between $83.5 billion and $84.5 billion for 2025, up from $81.1 billion last year and $77.1 billion in the year prior (excluding divestitures). Positive news for both the company and its investors! We’ve been monitoring NYSE:C but haven’t found a trigger yet—this might change soon. The stock is approaching its most significant resistance zone since 2018, a level tested three times in the past. Could the fourth test finally break through? We remain cautious, expecting that another pullback, even a minor one, might be necessary to push past $83. If this pullback materializes, we’ll evaluate opportunities to position ourselves. Currently, there’s a bearish RSI divergence, and unless the stock can make a higher high compared to 2021, another major pullback remains possible. However, a short position doesn’t align with our strategy at the moment. We’d need to see a lower time frame structure change to consider that route. This stock doesn’t lend itself well to Elliott Wave analysis as it has been trending sideways for years, and we’re not forcing patterns onto it. Stay alert for future opportunities on NYSE:C
NYSE:C
by freeguy_by_wmc
4 Big Banks and their relation to KBEWeekly time frame....White line front runs a change in direction...be it temporary or permanent to long to explain...but white peak before blue peak and things head down...if blue continues with white or stays flat...there is little change to direction or price just chops sideways a bit. use other indicators to confirm...but white line can bounce off or hug envelope channel and explain price -------- The 4 headless horsemen of banking are next to each other... Does something seem quite interesting among them since each is way different in area of investment...political control...money-metals exposure....MBS and the like... So why are three pretty close to copies if you glance for more than a second or two, yet the fourth is somewhat similar but trending differently... Just an interesting thought experiment
NYSE:C
by CYQOTEK
Goldman Sachs ... simple levels, earnings and future tradeUsing simple lines that are from key pivot points and using a "Bow string method"- taking a fib channel and connecting to highs or lows and putting the third point of the channel tool on the lowest or highest point between the first two highs or lows respectively. You can see a top may of been in along the top line...granted it was due to the election crack up boom attempt number 1...probably 4 more coming to try and prop things up. Anywho...here are all the touches to show congruence back to 2009...the last time a crap load free-falled into the bowl that is the economic market. Check out the Minds on here about GS I'll put up for more analysis showing why i say that top line is quite significant...
NYSE:GS
by CYQOTEK
Goldman Sachs ($GS): Trend Channel in FocusGoldman Sachs has been trending higher since our analysis two months ago, prompting us to reevaluate our stance. We’ve concluded that it makes more sense to remain bullish for now and not anticipate a bearish scenario at this stage. We are particularly encouraged by how consistently NYSE:GS has respected its trend channel, which strengthens our belief that it will continue to hold. However, there is a significant concern: we don’t want to see NYSE:GS losing this trend channel or creating a false breakdown, only to trap bears and continue higher. Goldman Sachs has its earnings call scheduled for the same day as BlackRock and JP Morgan this Wednesday. This adds pressure, and with additional uncertainty from the upcoming political shifts, such as the inauguration of Trump, the potential impact on NYSE:GS , NYSE:BLK , and NYSE:JPM remains unclear. Setting a limit at the 23.6%-38.2% Fibonacci levels feels too risky given the current environment and the uncertainty in the near future. While we favor this updated bullish scenario over the previous one, the bearish scenario isn’t entirely off the table. It could quickly come back into play if NYSE:GS loses key support levels. For now, NYSE:GS needs to touch the $536–$489 zone and reclaim the trend channel promptly to validate our bullish scenario. If it fails to do so, we’ll need to approach with extreme caution, and as a result, we are not rushing into a trade at the moment.
NYSE:GS
by freeguy_by_wmc
JP Morgan (JPM): Correction on the HorizonJP Morgan ( NYSE:JPM ) is back on our radar as the upcoming earnings season begins, with the banking sector leading the reports. We’ve analyzed JP Morgan before, and the current setup offers intriguing opportunities. Since 2023, the stock has maintained a steady upward trend that continues into 2024. Currently, NYSE:JPM appears to be in sub-wave ((iii)) within the larger wave (3) or possibly wave 5. However, we anticipate that sub-wave ((iv)) correction is yet to occur, aligning with the broader structural narrative of the chart. Presently, the stock is trading near a critical trendline originating from the top of sub-wave ((i)). This trendline, which has shifted from resistance to support after multiple touchpoints, now risks being broken. Should it fail, the price could fall from its current level of $243 into a range between $204 and $173. A drop to $173 would represent the maximum correction in our view, while a more realistic pullback would fall within the $204 to $188 range. On the bullish side, the wave 5 could push up to approximately $260, a modest increase from the current price. This scenario fits within the Elliott Wave framework, anticipating a wave ((iv)) correction before the final upward moves to complete wave 5 and the larger wave (3).
NYSE:JPM
by freeguy_by_wmc
XAUUSD 10/11/24XAU Followed our newly established selling buyer last week, a clear shift to the downside. Of course, this was helped by the US election and the results. We now have the same scenario and the same bias in place. We have one area of supply that has already been tapped into. We have 2 liquid highs that are situated at that area of supply and then a higher point of supply which is untapped. Now ultimately we aim for the low as always a pullback is not necessary, but this is gold. So there is a scenario that all these points for selling will fail and we will then aim for the all time high. Our current bias is bearish if this changes during the week and we will update everybody. if it does not we will continue to sell this down to lower pricing before institute becomes interested once again. Follow your plan and stick to your risk!
OANDA:XAUUSD
by PipSurfingSociety
DXY H8 - Long SignalDXY H8 We are picking up where we left off last week here on the dollar index, markets are breaking the trading zones we were expecting, but we haven't really seen anything of a correction yet, the least i would expect is to see 101.850 price see a test again. We don't have too much in the way of resistance at the moment, but we can see that price is exhausting where it is, at 102.500 price. We would expect resistance at 103, as this is an area of confluence, built up of whole number, supply and resistance.
TVC:DXYLong
by Trade_Simple_FX
JP Morgan Chase (JPM): Bearish Scenario on the HorizonYou have to hear us out on this one, as we are presenting a very bearish scenario, but we will explain why we think it could unfold this way. First, let's look at the weekly chart (yes, the weekly chart). This chart shows a near-perfect Elliott wave and Fibonacci count, respecting all the important theoretical points well. If this analysis is correct, we are currently in the last push of wave (5) to end this large cycle. After that, we should see lower prices for a higher wave II. We give the current wave (5) a maximum target of $271, but it is more likely to drop before we reach that level. In the the main chart, we zoomed in to make it clearer. Everything depends on whether we are correct about wave (3) and wave (4). If our count is accurate, wave (3) should conclude between the 227.2% and 261.8% levels. NYSE:JPM has formed a bearish divergence on the RSI, and if the stock drops below $190, we expect prices to fall further, ideally between $178.46 and $149, for one last push higher to conclude this cycle. It will take some time until we get there, but good things take time, and we are ready for it to play out. Alerts are set, and the plan is in place. 😎
NYSE:JPMLong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Is Warren Buffett Losing Faith in Bank of America?A Strategic Shift with Far-Reaching Implications Warren Buffett, the legendary investor and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, has taken a significant step that has sent ripples through the financial world. Berkshire, a long-time major shareholder of Bank of America (BofA), has been steadily selling its stake in the bank. This strategic move, totaling over $3.8 billion in sales, has raised eyebrows and sparked speculation about the future of BofA. Buffett's decision to reduce Berkshire's holdings in BofA is a departure from his typical investment strategy, which often involves long-term, unwavering commitments. This shift raises questions about his perception of the bank's prospects and the broader financial landscape. The implications of this move extend beyond Berkshire and BofA. As one of the most closely watched investors in the world, Buffett's actions can influence market sentiment and investor behavior. His decision to sell BofA shares could signal a potential shift in his outlook on the banking sector or broader economic conditions. To learn more about the reasons behind Buffett's decision, the potential impact on Bank of America, and the broader implications for the financial sector, please visit our website.
NYSE:BACShort
by MorMedia
2
JPM as A Gauge For Bull Run I consider JPM as a source of truth in this bull run for several reasons: Post-Banking Crisis Fragility: Especially following the banking crisis in 2023, banks are more fragile, and money has consolidated in some bigger, safer banks. Exposure to Various Crises: They have a lot of skin in the game, so any crisis coming from either a tech bust, Japan, bonds, or inflation will surely affect them. Too Big to Fail: They most probably won't go bankrupt; they are too big to fail. Correlation with S&P 500: JPM is almost perfectly correlated with the S&P 500. Lately, I have been observing new all-time highs from both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, and of course, JPM. It hasn't even dropped below the weekly 20 MA as it did in 2021. So, it is still uncertain if this is a breather or the beginning of the end. Over the last four weeks, the wicks were up but pressured down. Making another local top will be the third in 2024, and that also create 2nd bearish divergence on RSI, so I would watch out for a quick meltdown.
NYSE:JPMShort
by muratyukselnet
2
US Bank about to implode! Regional Banking is gonna take a hit!First you have the FDIC come out and say no matter what we can whether a large US Bank failure - out of nowhere! Japan is stuck in a corner, can't sell bonds to defend its currency, and can't raise rates enough. Like every Central Bank they're stuck. So now a large US bank will be "allowed" to fail that will give Powell the excuse to cut rates - leading to a large reinflation boost (precious metals). Biden even hinted at rates coming down in July so this regional bank implosion has to happen soon. I don't see banking in the USA doing good long term because the banking structure needs to be consolidated to isolate and do away with cash so they can bring out CBDC's. At that point banks will be "stakeholders" which is fancy speak for fascist government control over corporations, but from an international level. Also, TTM Squeeze indicator is loaded on every TF except Monthly, which showed that it already went off and is gathering steam for the next leg down in the breakout, but a very powerful move since this is signaling on the weekly chart.
AMEX:KREShort
by EmptyEternity
1