Quick comparison chart to see which performed better (or worse) during bull and bear markets.
It's not always a straight-forward answer, and more variables involved.
But... should give you an idea all things else equal regarding ticker choices and weights.
For an idea of what is in the realms of possibility with other bear markets for BTC (ignoring the current macro landscape); this post overlays the 2014 and 2018 bear markets over the current 2022 Bear Market PA.
Do we have more to drop?
Have we already put in our cycle bottom and are in our current cycle bottom accumulation trading range?
On the chart are four bear markets. I decided to add the 2011 bear market too.
All three green lines are the tops of bull cycles, and the red lines are the bottoms of the bear markets.
As you can see, previous bottoms never touched the tops. Here are some metrics:
1) from a lower low in 2015 to a higher high in 2011 is around an 80% difference.
2) from a bottom...
You can see the second, third and present fourth bear markets on the chart.
The second and third had the same pattern of three movements (waves) down:
1. 0 - A
2. B - C
3. D - E
I depicted the same movement in the present situation based on 200 days of EMA and MA.
And here are such exciting historical circumstances. Look closely at the previous bottoms of 2015...
S&P 500 IS IN FOR A DEEP CORRECTION.
Monthly SPX Regression Channel, spanning 40 years, with bands of +4/-4 standard deviations.
This is a long-term channel showing a Normal Distribution of SPX price occurrences.
At least 95% of the price occurrences occurred within the Comfort Zone, the blue area between +2/-2 stdev as it should be.
For 14 months (3.54% of...
Hi All,
As we have discussed in our previous analysis (see the link below), BTCUSDT broke below the mini-bull uptrend line from January and bounced off the 1st support level at 38K.
Now, if BTC can break above the local downtrend line, would expect a move up possibly to 41,800 resistance line. Otherwise, it would break the 38K support line and sell to the 2nd...
This weekly-chart of BTC represents how previous rallies were followed by deeper corrections all the while comparing them with MACD. We'll notice some similar price movements, fake-outs and then breakouts.
(i) The cycle starts after making an ATH by a big and strong impulse during the bull market, subsequently there's always a major pullback, hence a Bear...
BULL MARKET TOPS = A TAD BEFORE 2nd BLUE LINE FROM PREVIOUS PURPLE LINE
BEAR MART BOTTOMS = 3rd BLUE LINE FROM PREVIOUS PURPLE LINE
GREEN ARROWS = BUY
RED ARROWS = SELL
*Blue & Purple lines are 1 year apart from March each year & clearly call the bottoms and tops of the Bitcoin cycles. Nothing special, but this gives a...
It's great discovery , the ratio copper gold anticipates Yield Us treasury 10 years and then , the difference of Yield 10y and Yield 2y anticipates bear market .....
