Can Software Win Wars and Transform Commerce?Palantir Technologies has emerged as a dominant force in artificial intelligence, achieving explosive growth through its unique positioning at the intersection of national security and enterprise transformation. The company reported its first billion-dollar quarter with 48% year-over-year sales growth, driven by an unprecedented 93% surge in U.S. commercial revenue. This performance stems from Palantir's proprietary Ontology architecture, which solves the critical challenge of unifying disparate data sources across organizations, and its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) that accelerates deployment through intensive bootcamp sessions. The company's technological moat is reinforced by strategic patent protections and a remarkable 94% Rule of 40 score, signaling exceptional operational efficiency.
Palantir's defense entrenchment provides a formidable competitive advantage and guaranteed revenue streams. The company secured a $618.9 million Army Vantage contract and deployed the Maven Smart System for the Marine Corps, positioning itself as essential infrastructure for the Pentagon's Combined Joint All-Domain Command and Control strategy. These systems enhance battlefield decision-making, with targeting officers processing 80 targets per hour versus 30 without the platform. Beyond U.S. forces, Palantir supports NATO operations, assists Ukraine, and partners with the UK Ministry of Defence, creating a global network of high-margin, long-term government contracts across democratic allies.
Despite achieving profitability with 26.8% operating margins and maintaining $6 billion in cash with virtually no debt, Palantir trades at extreme valuations of 100 times revenue and 224 times forward earnings. With 84% of analysts recommending Hold or Sell ratings, the market remains divided on whether the premium is justified. Bulls argue the valuation reflects Palantir's transformation from niche government contractor to critical AI infrastructure provider, with analysts projecting potential revenue growth from $4.2 billion to $21 billion. The company's success across nine strategic domains—from military modernization to healthcare analytics—suggests it has built an "institutionally required platform" that could justify sustained premium pricing.
The investment thesis ultimately hinges on whether Palantir's structural advantages—its proprietary data integration technology, defense entrenchment, and accelerating commercial adoption—can sustain the growth trajectory demanded by its valuation. While the platform's complexity requires heavy customization and limits immediate scalability compared to simpler competitors, the 93% commercial growth rate validates enterprise demand. Investors must balance the company's undeniable technological and strategic positioning against valuation risk, with any growth deceleration likely triggering significant multiple compression. For long-term investors willing to weather volatility, Palantir represents a bet on AI infrastructure dominance across both military and commercial domains.
Beyond Technical Analysis
XAUUSD (ONDA) IntraSwing Levels For 29 -30th Oct (2.30 pm) 2025🌡️Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
Ethereum is deciding where it wants to live.This is not a trade idea, this is a long term concept, most of my portfolio is swing when bull market comes (monthly/yearly) not trade (daily/weekly).
This is a solid question that will have to be played out in the upcoming years, Ethereum keeps changing its monetary policy and right now has less supply increase than BTC (due to burning mechanisms), will that stay forever? What will happen in the future to the policy? What it will mean for price?
Right now we can clearly see this is a bull case for future months.
Those must be one of the best times to buy Cardano tokens [ADA]It very rarely happens that a coin similar to both BTC (UTXO model/limited supply) and ETH (programmable/smart contracts) has its bearish low lower than the last cycle's highest top.
Tech stocks are somehow related to Crypto tech tokens, Therefore BTC likes to correlate to other Alts, but for the longer-term BTC on itself is closer to Gold from the Store of value standpoint and medium of exchange (the lightning network has been developing rapidly recently).
The bottom line is sometimes BTC and crypto will correlate to gold and sometimes it will correlate to stocks, it's not one or the other only. The statistics are very clear that crypto is the most uncorrelated asset.
Keep in mind the global situation with Russia and Ukraine is somehow dragging the US stock market that was already long overdue to pop bubble sooner than later.
The situation with Canadian truckers only confirmed that storing BTC and any crypto on custodian exchange is a bad idea and breaks the purpose of decentralization, do keep your crypto off those central points of failure, and remember, those news are not negative for BTC and other cryptos, they are positive. Truly decentralized ledger blockchain technology cannot be stopped, govs can only block fiat on/off ramps, and even there people are getting smarter and more creative.
For the longer timeframes in my opinion any buy below 0.95 cents for ADA is a good buy, make sure not to wait too long, this thought has 5-year time horizon. Do not trade daily, it's a waste of time and money.
Dragonfly doji indicating possible bullish reversalG'day thanks for viewing.
My personal target for VGZ when it becomes an established steady-state 153,000 oz pa producer is USD13. This is at $4000 gold, a $150 higher AISC per ounce as in the Feasibility Study, and a quite pessimistic price to free-cash multiple. Less pessimistic scenarios could easily see prices above $30. The earliest production outlook probable would be early 2029 ramp-up. Even though that is some time away, I feel that I will be well-remunerated for my patience. Entry price is $0.74.
The dragonfly doji is seen as a bullish signal. Basically, it shows that continued bearish pressure is losing strength, support may have been reached, and further price pressure to the downside is easily counter-acted by buying pressure. Prices were pushed down, but are easily pushed back up, and closed in positive territory. Whether you believe in Japanese Candlesticks, trading psychology, or whatever, gold is finding support and one must admit that the sell-off is possibly easing. In the end a few cents here and there won't matter so much as there is a good and increasing chance that this project is going to happen. I would put the chances currently as about 60% chance of progressing to production within 5 years. If I hadn't taken a position in March, I would look at it like this;
Do you think it would be worthwhile investing X amount with a 60% chance of a 6 to 13 x return? "Yes" would be my answer. That is a very attractive risk-reward ratio.
It may be easier for me to envisage as I have flown over the mine - not that this given me an 'edge.' It's more that I have seen the project, know that it is real and concrete (albeit unexecuted), and can talk to real locals who have various opinions on the project. I also see people selling gold nuggets collected in the Pine Creek area weekly on FB marketplace (not that VGZ's Mt Todd open-pit is "nuggety.") There are other gold miners opening up around Mt Todd under the current gold price environment. Luckily for you, Vista Gold is still drastically uncovered (I saw three recent posts from VGZ that had ZERO LIKES in a day, 4 likes in 1 day and 2 likes in 4 days after posting) - other much smaller miners have hugely greater social media coverage). They need to get some new Investor Relations / PR... but again... lucky for you they haven't yet. Otherwise it wouldn't be cheap still.
They have signed at least 5 non-disclosure deals with potential partners. Average time from Feasibility Study to commencement of construction is 1.7 years. That puts us in Q1 2027 followed by a two year construction phase. My scenarios assume no dilution.
NIFTY IntraSwing (Spot) Levels & Future Levels for 30th Oct '25🚀 "NIFTY Future Levels for 30th Oct 2025" mentioned in BOX format.
🌡️Plot Levels Using 3 Min, 5 Min Time frame in your Chart for Better Analysis
L#1: If the candle crossed & stays above the “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Bullish bias.
L#2: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLB#1 & UBTgt
L#3: If the candle stays above “Sell Gen” but below “Buy Gen”, it is treated / considered as Sidewise. Aggressive Traders can take Long position near “Sell Gen” either retesting or crossed from Below & vice-versa i.e. can take Short position near “Buy Gen” either retesting or crossed downward from Above.
L#4: If the candle crossed & stays below the “Sell Gen”, it is treated / considered a Bearish bias.
L#5: Possibility / Probability of REVERSAL near RLS#1 & USTgt
HZB (Buy side) & HZS (Sell side) => Hurdle Zone,
*** Specialty of “HZB#1, HZB#2 HZS#1 & HZS#2” is Sidewise (behaviour in Nature)
Rest Plotted and Mentioned on Chart
Color code Used:
Green =. Positive bias.
Red =. Negative bias.
RED in Between Green means Trend Finder / Momentum Change
/ CYCLE Change and Vice Versa.
Notice One thing: HOW LEVELS are Working.
Use any Momentum Indicator / Oscillator or as you "USED to" to Take entry.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
The information, views, and ideas shared here are purely for educational and informational purposes only. They are not intended as investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any financial instruments. I am not a SEBI-registered financial adviser.
Trading and investing in the stock market involves risk, and you should do your own research and analysis. You are solely responsible for any decisions made based on this research.
"As HARD EARNED MONEY IS YOUR's, So DECISION SHOULD HAVE TO BE YOUR's".
Do comment if Helpful .
In depth Analysis will be added later (If time Permits)
When Generals Run and Soldiers Nap — The Market’s Odd ParadeEver seen an army march where the generals sprint ahead, but the soldiers just yawn and stay behind?
That’s exactly what’s happening in the U.S. futures battlefield right now.
The ES, NQ, and YM — our large-cap “generals” — opened the week above their prior highs, looking ready for victory speeches. But the RTY, representing small caps, is still lagging like it hit the snooze button.
The Breadth Problem
Healthy rallies need everyone on board. When small caps don’t join the charge, it’s like running a marathon with only one leg — you might move forward, but not for long.
That’s why this gap between the big guys and the small ones is called bearish divergence — momentum without muscle.
How Deep Could It Go?
Under the surface, liquidity pockets (UFO supports) show the “landing zones” below price:
ES: ~5% lower
NQ: ~6% lower
YM: ~9% lower
RTY: ~14% lower (!)
Translation: if the market trips, the generals may bruise a knee — but the soldiers could roll down the hill.
Tick, Margin, and Scale
CME index futures come in two flavors — E-minis for the pros, Micro E-minis for precision control:
S&P 500 (ES/MES): tick 0.25 → $12.50 / $1.25; margin ≈ $21K / $2.1K
Nasdaq 100 (NQ/MNQ): tick 0.25 → $5 / $0.50; margin ≈ $30K / $3K
Dow Jones (YM/MYM): tick 1 → $5 / $0.50; margin ≈ $13K / $1.3K
Russell 2000 (RTY/M2K): tick 0.10 → $5 / $0.50; margin ≈ $9K / $0.9K
(Approximate numbers, educational only.)
The Lesson
Breadth divergences don’t “predict” the end of the rally — they just whisper: “Careful, this parade’s out of sync.”
So before chasing the next breakout, remember:
even the best generals can’t win a war if their soldiers stay in camp.
Want More Depth?
If you’d like to go deeper into the building blocks of trading, check out our From Mystery to Mastery trilogy, three cornerstone articles that complement this one:
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Trading Essentials
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Futures Explained
🔗 From Mystery to Mastery: Options Explained
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
EURCAD BUY SET UP EURCAD is back at a key 4H demand zone near 1.6200, a level that’s been defended several times by buyers.
The question now: is this another liquidity grab before a bounce… or the start of a deeper breakdown?
⸻
📉 Technical Overview
• Price has tapped into the same support block that previously triggered a strong push to 1.6460.
• Multiple equal lows (liquidity) formed below 1.6200 — this could be a sweep setup before another move up.
• A 4H close above 1.6230 would confirm short-term bullish structure and signal potential continuation toward 1.6400 – 1.6460.
• Invalidation: If price closes below 1.6160, expect sellers to target 1.6100 next.
📊 Setup Summary:
• Bias: Bullish from support
• Zone: 1.6180 – 1.6210
• Target 1: 1.6400
• Target 2: 1.6460
• Stop Loss: Below 1.6150
#EURCAD #Forex #PriceAction #SmartMoneyConcepts #Liquidity #SupportZone #SwingTrading #4HAnalysis #TradingViewIdeas
DOGE's situation+next targets and expected movementsNo matter how bad Dogecoin looks on lower timeframes, the higher timeframes tell a different story—one of strength and potential. As you can see, the weekly chart has formed a large Cup and Handle pattern. If this pattern breaks out, the price could easily surge above $1. So be patient and stay alert, because you don’t want to miss the next bull run.
Unfortunately, the harsh truth is that 99% of you *will* miss it.
Gold holds gains but faces strong resistance at $3975📊 Market Overview:
Gold prices remain steady around $3960–$3965, sustaining upside momentum after breaking above the key $3950 resistance. The market is supported by expectations that the Fed may cut rates sooner, while a weaker USD continues to bolster gold. However, profit-taking pressure around $3970–$3975 is slowing the rally ahead of the U.S. session.
📉 Technical Analysis:
• Key Resistance: $3975 – $3985 – $4000
• Nearest Support: $3955 – $3948 – $3935
• EMA: Price is above EMA 09 & EMA 20 (H1) → short-term trend remains bullish.
• Candlestick & Momentum: H1 candles are holding above the $3950 breakout zone, confirming ongoing buying strength, though RSI nearing overbought may trigger a minor correction.
📌 Outlook:
Gold remains in a short-term uptrend above $3955. A clear break above $3975 could open the door to $3985–$4000, while a drop below $3955 may trigger a pullback toward $3948–$3935 before any rebound.
💡 Trading Strategy Suggestion:
🔺 BUY XAU/USD at: $3935 – $3932
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3929
🔻 SELL XAU/USD at: $3975 – $3978
🎯 TP: 40 / 80 / 200 pips
❌ SL: $3981
NOU(TSX: NOU) — Swing Trade💰 NOU — Swing Trade Breakdown (TSX: NOU)
🏢 Company Snapshot
Nouveau Monde Graphite Inc. is a Québec-based developer of graphite and battery-anode materials. The company’s integrated mine and battery plant strategy has put it at the center of Canada’s EV supply chain narrative. Recent price momentum follows strong interest in critical minerals and graphite demand tied to EV growth.
📊 Fundamentals
NOU remains a development-stage, pre-revenue company — not yet profitable, so traditional metrics like P/E don’t apply. The price-to-book sits around 5×, a premium to peers, suggesting investors are pricing in future production success. Debt remains low with a debt-to-equity ratio near 0.15, and the company holds roughly $73 M CAD in cash against ~$18 M CAD in debt.
However, free cash flow is deeply negative (-$70 M TTM), and ROE sits around -53%, reflecting the heavy capital burn of early-stage mine development.
Summary: Healthy balance sheet for a small-cap, but still a high-risk bet on future execution rather than current profitability.
📈 Trends & Catalysts
Revenue Growth: Minimal — still pre-production.
EPS Trend: Losses widening as project spending increases.
Cash Flow: Negative, typical for early miners.
Balance Sheet: Solid liquidity but ongoing share dilution.
Catalysts:
Final Investment Decision (FID) expected for Phase 2 mine and Bécancour plant.
Government and EV-supply-chain incentives for Canadian graphite.
Technical breakout momentum following months of accumulation.
Risks:
Execution and funding risk.
High valuation vs fundamentals.
Possible dilution if additional financing is needed.
🪙 Industry Context
Graphite and battery materials are seeing renewed strength. Over the last month, the graphite segment has rallied hard — with NOU up roughly +50% and nearly +90% YTD — outperforming broader materials. Sentiment remains bullish, though volatility is high as traders rotate through battery-related names.
📐 Technicals
NOU recently surged from around C$2.50 to nearly C$8.00, then retraced back toward support near C$3.50–3.80, which aligns with its 50-day SMA around C$3.44. The 200-SMA sits lower near C$2.75, confirming a still-bullish long-term structure.
RSI has cooled from overbought levels (mid-60s), indicating the stock could be setting up for a secondary leg higher if demand returns.
Support is seen between C$3.30–3.50, with major resistance between C$5.50–6.60. Volume expanded sharply on the rally, then tapered during the pullback — suggesting profit-taking rather than a trend reversal.
🎯 Trade Plan
Entry Zone: C$3.50–3.80 (near support and 50-SMA)
Stop Loss: C$2.90 (below last swing low)
Target: C$6.60 (prior resistance)
Risk/Reward: ≈ 2:1
Alternate Setup: Break and close above C$5.00 with volume for a continuation move toward C$7+
🧠 My Take
This is a momentum swing on a speculative name — not a fundamental investment. I like the setup technically: clean pullback after a breakout, strong long-term trend, and supportive sector tailwind. A patient entry near the 50-SMA with a tight stop offers a solid R/R setup.
I’m watching for confirmation with volume; if it holds above C$3.50 and reclaims C$4.00, it could make another leg toward C$6+. Below C$3.30, the setup breaks down — take the loss quickly.
Bias: Bullish swing setup on retest of support within an emerging uptrend.
EUR/USD Technical Outlook – October 29, 2025The EUR/USD pair is currently trading around 1.1628, showing a mild pullback after failing to hold above the 1.1660 short-term resistance. The broader structure on the H1 timeframe still suggests a bearish bias, as price remains below key swing highs and continues to respect descending structure points.
Key Technical Levels
Resistance 1: 1.1660 – Short-term supply zone and potential retest area.
Resistance 2: 1.1720 – Major structure resistance aligned with previous liquidity grab.
Support 1: 1.1570 – Key short-term demand zone.
Support 2: 1.1500 – Extended target area if bearish continuation holds.
Trading Strategy Idea
Price may attempt a minor retracement toward 1.1660, which aligns with the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of the recent downswing. A rejection from this level could confirm renewed selling pressure, leading to a potential move back toward 1.1570 – 1.1560 zone.
Traders may look for bearish confirmation (RSI divergence or EMA crossover) before entering short positions.
Market Bias: Bearish below 1.1660
Invalidation: A clear breakout above 1.1720 would shift bias to neutral.
XAUUSD(Gold/USD)-15m Smart Money Concept Analysis / RiskyChartTechnical Breakdown:
Market Context:
The market broke structure (BOS) to the downside early in the session, showing a bearish bias.
However, a Change of Character (CHoCH) formed later, indicating a possible short-term bullish retracement or reversal zone.
Multiple CHoCH levels marked to confirm internal structure shifts.
Liquidity sweep (SMT) observed near the session low — suggesting potential accumulation before a rally.
PDH (Previous Day High) and PDL (Previous Day Low) zones highlighted to identify external liquidity targets.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) filled during retracements, supporting balanced price delivery.
Notable volume spikes on reversal candles signal institutional activity.
“Gold (XAUUSD) – Liquidity Grab & Break of Structure | Long SetuGold executed a clean liquidity sweep below equal lows (EQH) before breaking structure to the upside, confirming a potential bullish reversal from discount levels.
Key Confluences:
🔹 Liquidity sweep below 3950 (EQH zone)
🔹 Reclaim of internal structure + break of trendline
🔹 Entry from demand / discount zone (Fibo 0.38–0.5 retrace)
🔹 Volume profile shows strong acceptance above 3969 (POC)
🔹 Targeting PDH (Previous Day High) and imbalance fill near 4026
Bias: Bullish → Looking for continuation toward 4020–4030 area.
Invalidation: Break back below 3950 zone.
Words of Swizr:
🕰 Patience | Discipline | Edge
Bitcoin consolidated after a strong bullish trendBitcoin’s price has recently consolidated after a strong bullish trend. The market found significant support, suggesting that the current pullback is more of a pause than a reversal. Sellers attempted to push prices lower, but the retracement remains shallow — indicating that buyers are still defending every dip.
Technical Structure:
Price is holding above key support levels, showing strong accumulation interest. The recent consolidation appears to be a healthy correction within the broader uptrend. The structure shows higher lows forming, which supports the ongoing bullish bias. a breakout from the support zone could trigger renewed upside momentum.
If BTC maintains this structure and continues reacting positively from the support area, the next upside targets are projected around 118K – 122K
You may find more details in the chart.
Trade wisely best of Luck Buddies.
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