Hopes that diplomatic moves could avert a Russian invasion of Ukraine were shattered early Thursday, as Russia launched a full-scale attack. The move was not all that surprising, given the massive Russian buildup on the border with Ukraine during the past few weeks. Still, the fighting in the heart of Europe has weighed heavily on the financial markets, as risk...
The Japanese yen has started the week quietly and is trading slightly below the 115 line. The focus will be on Japanese inflation indicators in the coming week, with three events on the economic calendar. Like other major economies, Japan is dealing with a rise in inflation, although the pace has been much more moderate than what we're seeing in the UK or the US....
CADJPY has been trading in a downtrend for some time now, however the price has been respecting the key zone of 90.15/90.30. There has been multiple occasions in which the price has fallen to this area and reacted well. Since breaking below this key level on the 24th of January, CADJPY has been setting higher lows and the price has been conforming to an upwards...
The Japanese yen has edged higher for a second straight day. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at the 114.00 line. In economic news, Japan releases December inflation data and the BoJ will publish the minutes of its December meeting. In the US, economic releases were mixed. Unemployment claims jumped to 287 thousand, above the forecast of 220...
The US dollar has posted small gains, as USD/JPY briefly punched above the 115 line in the Asian session. The yen looked golden last week with gains of 1.15%, but has given up half of those gains so far this week. The Bank of Japan's policy meetings are generally uneventful affairs, with the bank reaffirming its monetary policy. The bank did maintain policy,...
The US dollar has edged higher at the start of the week. In the European session, USD/JPY is trading at 114.56, up 0.36% on the day. The yen is coming off its best week since November 2020, with USD/JPY falling by 1.15% last week. US Treasury yields have taken the yen on a roller-coaster ride. Earlier this month, USD/JPY punched above the 1.16 line, as 10-year US...
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The Japanese yen has edged higher and is back below the 116 level. Still, the yen remains vulnerable, especially with US treasury yields moving higher. Earlier in the week, USD/JPY broke above116 line for the first time since January 2017. The dollar has managed to push the yen to 5-year lows on the back of rising US Treasury yields. The 10-year yield, which...
Seems like yields have bottomed in the US, we got a shot at a reflationary/reopening move thanks to the recent wave of news surrounding Omicron and the $PFE/$MRK pills, together with a nice sentiment reset for the past month across the board. I'd suggest going long XXXJPY here, I'm in $GBPJPY and $EURJPY personally, but $AUDJPY also has a nice signal as well and...
The Japanese yen continues to lose ground. The yen suffered a third straight losing week, and the trend has continued on Monday. With USD/JPY currently trading around the 114.70 level, the 115 line is vulnerable. The pair last breached this symbolic level a month ago, but the dollar couldn't consolidate above this level. Japan's retail sales...
The markets were treated to some positive news out of Japan, which raised its growth projections for the upcoming fiscal year, which starts in April 2022. The government is projecting growth of 3.2%, up sharply from the July estimate of 2.2%. The upward revision comes on the heels of the supplementary budget which was approved in parliament earlier this week. On...
We've seen a bit of a recovery in GBPJPY over the last couple of weeks as risk appetite has rebounded in the markets. But how much further can it run? What's helped the move more recently is improving odds on a BoE rate hike on Thursday. It's still widely expected that the MPC will vote against hiking this time and then do so in February when they have a much...
Hi All, my main 3 take-outs from this analysis are the following: 1- In the weekly chart - so long term view - the US$ is possibly going to re-test the 110 area (at least!). In fact, in that area we have a strong uptrend line (in red) which will possibly act as support 2- The cross came out from a descending channel which lasted since the end of 2016, and this...
The Japanese yen has edged higher on Friday. USD/JPY is trading at 113.93, down 0.28% on the day. Japan's CPI edged up by 0.1% y/y in October, identical to the September gain. Higher energy costs were behind the increase, which would have been higher if not for a sharp drop in mobile phone fees. These inflation figures are certainly much more subdued than what...
Hello Traders! BOE rate outlook continues to improves following uk CPI Heading into todays European trading session, the risk tone is mixed. Asia - Pacific indices are weaker, measures of volatility mixed and safe heavens pressured. Leading Asia-Pacific indices to the downside is the ASX 200 at -0,68% followed by the Topix at -0,61%, the Hang Seng at -0,49 and...
Hello Traders! A high conviction trade is in the table, anything around 80.200 region is very good. Place stops below the supply zone. Take profit at the highs. Fundamental Drivers New Zealand Dollar (NZD) Fundamental Bias: Bullish 1. The Monetary Policy outlook for the RBNZ At their Oct meeting, the RBNZ delivered on expectations to raise the OCR to...
Hello Traders! We approached a significant support zone also having a strong fundamental upside bias. Enter at trend line break or the breakout of the zone. Stops below the zone. Take profit at the highs. Fundamental Drivers Great British Pound (GBP) Fundamental Bias: Weak Bullish 1. The Monetary Policy outlook for the BOE The BoE took a hit to their...
Hello Traders! A technically and fundamentally appealing trade is developed in the Australian Dollar Against the Japanese Yen pair. Enter at lower timeframe trend line break. Stops below the last supply zone. Take profit at the swing highs. Fundamental Drivers: Australian Dollar (AUD) Fundamental Bias: Neutral 1. The country’s economic and health...