The Japanese yen is one of those currencies that keeps investors on its toes, and it has certainly lived up to its billing in recent weeks. USD/JPY has shot up 5.79% in the month of June and is back above the 136.00 line. BoJ Core CPI, the central bank's preferred inflation gauge, ticked upwards to 1.5% in May, up from 1.4% prior and matching the forecast. There...
JPYX is in a strong downtrend, you can see I have used the rvi indicator and noticed huge levels of divergence, this is a different reading on the indicator to what price is doing, so an example in this chart is the lower high in price and the higher high on the indicator, these are subtle signs that there is disturbance inbound, these divergences can often lead...
Japan has seen inflation move higher, although nowhere near the levels in the US or the UK, which are not far from double-digits. Last week, core CPI for May came in at 2.1% YoY, unchanged from April. This was the second straight month that core CPI remained above the BoJ's target of 2%. This is a dramatic shift, given that Japan struggled with deflation for...
The Japanese yen is in positive territory today, extending its gains from yesterday. USD/JPY is trading at 135.46 in the European session, down 0.56% on the day. The yen has gained a bit of strength as USD/JPY is back below 136.00, after rising close to 136.71 earlier in the week, its highest level since September 1998. The yen received a reprieve from its recent...
What I am seeing is a lot of questions around the hanging and shallow nature of the pullback of 'iv' in this 'C' leg. We will also cover some of the Fed talk, which is getting somewhat over-cooked. In my opinion, the issue with the pullback in 'iv' is one of the classical issues with momentum and impulsive plays. We are here talking about the same leg from 100,...
The Japanese yen continues to post strong swings this week and is up sharply on Friday. USD/JPY is trading at 134.67 in Europe, up 1.86% on the day. It's been a busy week, with the markets still digesting some dramatic moves by central banks. The Fed and SNB delivered massive salvos in their fight against inflation, and the BoE continues to tighten, albeit at a...
This pair has made parabolic gains in 2022 and there seems to be nothing that can stop it. As the weekly chart shows, we did have a retracement recently, but note that the gains made by the bears in 3 weeks were recovered by the bulls in just a week. Price is now on the verge of breaking the 21 year high at 131.347. Checking out the fundamentals, I realized that...
The euro-yen exchange rate ( EUR/JPY ) hit new year-to-date highs, surpassing the psychological level of 144, as monetary policy divergences between the European Central Bank, which has already widely telegraphed its first rate hike in over a decade, and the Bank of Japan, which remains imprisoned by an extremely dovish monetary policy, widened further. The ...
The Japanese yen continues to lose ground, as USD/JPY has punched above the symbolic 130 line. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 130.01 up 1.02% on the day. The US dollar is having its way with the yen this week as USD/JPY has surged 2.23%. The driver behind the yen's plunge is an upswing in US Treasury yields. The 10-year yield rose from 2.84%...
The rally in USDJPY from early March to early May was huge, driven by a combination of a soaring greenback and a BoJ determined to support its yield curve control policy tool. But the last couple of weeks have brought some relief in the pair, driven primarily by the dollar paring gains against the broader market. And the pair may have just broken below an...
The Japanese yen is slightly lower at the start of the week. In the Asian session, the yen fell as low as 131.35, which marked a 20-year low. The speed of the Japanese yen's depreciation has been remarkable, falling 12% against the US dollar in just three months. The formula for the yen's slide has been relatively simple - US Treasuries have been moving higher,...
The Russian Rouble should go higher from here - long term hold.
The Japanese yen has reversed directions on Wednesday and is sharply lower. USD/JPY is trading at 128.54 in the North American session, up 1.04% on the day. The Bank of Japan holds its policy meeting later today, but investors shouldn't expect any major moves. The central bank has done little more than jawbone as the yen continues to fall. It's been a miserable...
Japanese officials are getting very uncomfortable with the recent yen weakness. USDJPY sliced through 128 earlier, and looks set for a move to 130 in no time. Finance Minister Suzuki repeated his mantra that “Stability is important and sharp currency moves are undesirable”. Then he took it a step further, questioning the merit of the weak yen policy... “Weak...
It was another rough week at the office for the Japanese yen, as USD/JPY fell 1.67%. The crumpling yen hasn't eked out a daily gain since March and has extended its losses today. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 126.88, up 0.42% on the day. The yen is essentially at the mercy of the US/Japan rate differential, and with that differential...
Timeframe: H1 Forecast: Market slightly pullback to offer an interesting price for 1 more push-up Trading Plan: Buy Short Term or Scalping Target: 126.460 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- Trade with care and always put stoploss.
The rally in USD/JPY has massively accelerated in recent weeks as markets and the Fed have become increasingly hawkish on US interest rates. This has happened at a time when many central banks are heading in that direction, even the ECB which at one point looked years away from interest rates above 0%. While they haven't yet conceded on the kind of rate hikes...
The dynamic strength of the greenback This strength lies in the lust to expand from the base (= the tendency towards 103xx-104xx) and further in the circumstances where technical breaks occurred or are made possible. Seller's outpost at December 2016 highs is falling apart from the Fed superiority. Buyer's are now showing that momentum can be keenly exercised in...