Btcdominance
BITCOON DOMINANCE at a decision point (12H)Bitcoin dominance has reached a key resistance level at the top and is currently in a critical zone. If it gets rejected from the red box, we could see a green market this month.
Let's see what happens!
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #4👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Today, I'll be conducting a deep analysis of Bitcoin, often referred to as the king of crypto due to its significant market dominance and cap. We'll be exploring suitable futures triggers for the New York session and examining the effects of the recently released U.S. inflation rates, which have favored the U.S. dollar.
⏳ Hourly Time Frame
As you can see, the long trigger we set yesterday was activated and has already yielded profits. The price approached our target resistance at 98482 but is currently being rejected from this area and is moving back down towards the support level at 95108.
🔍 This 95108 trigger remains robust, and if this area breaks, we can open a position. This support was effective yesterday, as you might have noticed—even though the news favored the U.S. dollar, this support prevented further price decline. Therefore, a break below this could likely initiate the next bearish leg for Bitcoin, with the first short position target at 92802.
📊 Excluding the news release time, market volume has generally been ranging and is progressively decreasing, indicating that a significant move is imminent. For long positions, the 98482 trigger remains suitable. The second long trigger is at 99946, with the primary trend-changing trigger still firmly at 101819.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
As I mentioned yesterday, I observed significant bearish momentum in the BTC.D chart, with the 61.10 support now breached. The next nearest support for Bitcoin dominance is at 59.84.
👀 With Bitcoin's dominance declining, if the market moves upwards, the Total2 triggers I will identify could be more suitable than the long triggers for Bitcoin itself. However, if this breach proves to be a fakeout and dominance returns to its box and moves towards its upper boundary, it could inject strong bullish momentum into Bitcoin's dominance, making a long position in Bitcoin more favorable.
✅ If the market falls and Bitcoin's dominance continues to decrease, Bitcoin positions will likely be more profitable. Conversely, if Bitcoin's dominance rises, altcoins will drop more than Bitcoin.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Moving on to Total2, you can see that despite the decline in Bitcoin's dominance, Total2 has maintained its position better than Bitcoin itself. Notice that Bitcoin has reached its primary support, whereas Total2 has only retracted from a recent high at 1.24.
✨ The ceiling of 1.24 remains a suitable trigger for long positions, though it should be approached as a scalp to a target of 1.28. The main breakout trigger is the breach of 1.28, which would confirm a trend change. For short positions, the risky position at 1.19 and the main position at 1.16 remain valid, targeting 1.1.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Finally, let’s touch on USDT.D. This index could not maintain its position above its resistance, effectively causing the entire market to hold strong at support levels yesterday, contributing to the rejection of USDT.D from this area.
💥 Our triggers on USDT.D haven't changed significantly. For long positions, breaking 4.44 would be suitable as it would decrease Tether's dominance and potentially favor a market downturn; for short positions in a falling market, 4.62 is optimal, increasing Tether's dominance and potentially leading to a market decline.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
When Alt-Season? Here's the Key FactorAlt-Season = BTC.D going down, but liquidity is king.
Right now, I don’t believe we’ll see a true alt-season until the Fed starts QE.
At the last FOMC meeting, Powell confirmed that QT will continue, meaning there is no reason to expect QE soon.
For QE to return, something needs to break—whether in the stock market or the broader economy.
Right now:
- Stock indices are at all-time highs
- The economy remains resilient
But cracks could form later this year
Possible triggers for QE:
- A stock market correction
- A credit event (bank failures, debt crisis)
- A sudden economic downturn
Why QE Matters for Crypto
- QE (Quantitative Easing) = Fed buys assets → Lowers interest rates → Pumps risk assets.
- QT (Quantitative Tightening) = Fed sells assets → Raises interest rates → Drains liquidity.
Crypto thrives in QE environments—that’s why we had the last alt-season in 2021, during extreme money printing.
In the chart, BTC.D is overlaid with Total Fed Assets.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet expands (QE) → BTC.D drops → Alts pump.
- When the Fed’s balance sheet contracts (QT) → BTC.D rises → BTC dominance increases.
Bottom Line:
For altcoins to outperform, we likely need another QE cycle. Without it, liquidity remains tight, and BTC.D stays high.
What’s your take? Will QE return in 2024, or will the Fed hold the line?
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #3👋Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let's dive into Bitcoin analysis. As usual, I will review the best futures triggers for the New York session. The U.S. inflation report has just been released, so we can consider its impact when opening positions.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday’s analysis activated the short trigger at 97218, leading the price to the first target at 95979, where it found new support at 95108. I hope you took advantage of yesterday’s trigger and profited from the market movement.
🔍 Today, we have valid triggers for opening positions, as an interesting structure has formed for both long and short trades. If 95108 support breaks, you can enter a short position with a target at 92702.
📊 Market volume has been decreasing since reaching 95108, and we need to see which direction volume enters next. If bearish volume increases along with the support break, bearish momentum will strengthen, potentially initiating the next downward leg.
🔼 The long trigger is at 96394, with momentum confirmation coming from an RSI break above 50. This setup is considered risky and should be entered with minimal risk. The main long trigger is at 98482, which has become a strong resistance, and its targets could be 99946 and 101819.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday’s BTC.D triggers were not activated, and the dominance is currently ranging.
💥 A curved trendline is visible on the chart. If it breaks, the trigger for confirmation will be at 61.49, signaling an increase in Bitcoin dominance.
✔️ Support at 61.10 is a key level, and considering the current market momentum, it is likely that this support will break, leading to a trend shift.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
Yesterday’s Total2 short trigger was activated alongside Bitcoin’s short trigger, so if you opened short positions on altcoins, you should currently be in profit.
🔑 Today, we also have valid triggers for trading. The short trigger is at 1.19, but this level is quite risky. The main short trigger is at 1.16. However, as seen earlier, Bitcoin’s trigger is much cleaner, and if Bitcoin dominance drops, a short position on Bitcoin will likely be better than on altcoins.
📈 For long positions, 1.24 is a valid trigger, but the price is still far from it. If this level breaks, we could open a long position with a target at 1.28.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
USDT dominance triggers have not yet been activated, but the key levels have been updated. Here are the new triggers:
🔽 If 4.62 breaks (which is already happening and may complete within this candle), USDT dominance will increase, confirming our short positions.
💫 For long positions, the trigger is at 4.44. If this level breaks, USDT dominance could drop to 4.24.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Is Altcoin Season STILL About to Begin in 2025?Looking at CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D , before the 2021 altseason kicked off, there were 3 key stages:
▍Stage 1: A steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Along the neckline of the rounded top, a rounded bottom developed.
▍Stage 3: BTC.D dropped sharply, triggering a crazy altseason.
For 2025, it seems we're about to enter Stage 3:
▍Stage 1: Again, a steep rounded top formed.
▍Stage 2: Just like before, a rounded bottom appeared along the neckline.
What’s different this time?
BTC.D just retested the neckline resistance zone for the second time yesterday.
After touching it, BTC.D formed a long lower wick, signaling strong rejection.
Now, it's all about watching the next moves.
If BTC.D mirrors Stage 3 from the last cycle, we could see a sharp drop soon.
And if that happens, the crazy altseason might start before anyone is ready.
🔴 for more future script "guesses" like this!
🔥 I've dropped another 2 analyses for the 2025 altseason on the right hand side if you're using computer, and scroll down a bit to see the link if you're using mobile.
TradeCityPro | BTC.D The Best Way to Find Alt Season!👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro Channel!
Let's go together to one of my favorite charts, which is actually a topic that has made the crypto market easier, and if it weren't for these dominances, I would probably go to analyze Forex together.
🌐 Overview Bitcoin
Before starting the analysis, I want to remind you again that we moved the Bitcoin analysis section from the analysis section to a separate analysis at your request, so that we can discuss the status of Bitcoin in more detail every day and analyze its charts and dominances together.
This is the general analysis of Bitcoin dominance, which we promised you in the analysis to analyze separately and analyze it for you in longer time frames.
📊 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly time frame, Bitcoin dominance has had a very good upward trend and after the 39.40 to 47 percent box exit, this upward trend has begun, and I must also say that supply and demand There is no demand for this chart and many lines cannot be interpreted in it
After the resistance level of 54.20 was broken, we were bullish the entire time and this chart was practically telling us that it is better to go and pay attention to Bitcoin itself than to be involved in buying baskets and other things and Bitcoin itself is going to give more profit during this period
And another argument arises that if you pay attention, most altcoins are at their bottoms, while Bitcoin is completely above its ceiling of $69,000 compared to previous bull runs and only altcoins that were in a good position compared to Bitcoin were profitable, such as solbtc, and this shows that the time for strange profits for most altcoins has not yet come
When will this happen? When the market is bullish, Bitcoin dominance starts to fall and money flows from Bitcoin itself into other altcoins, and that is when altcoins are just starting to come alive and make a good move, like in 2021.
See the chart above, there is a chart that shows the fall of Bitcoin dominance in the weekly time frame, while the market has made a short correction and is going to record a new high again, and now the reaction of altcoins in this space is interesting.
Now we have the chart of this event. We see that during the fall of Bitcoin dominance, it was the time when the majority of the charts started to move, and altcoins experienced a Sharpe rise, and money flowed from Bitcoin into altcoins, and the btc altcoin pair became bullish, and this shows that we are witnessing alt season.
Now what happens? On the chart, I would say that we have entered the alt season? Weekly engulfing of Bitcoin dominance or a sharp decline and rest. On the other hand, I think we are at the end of the uptrend because there is really more money on altcoins and other events, and this money is staked, so we probably won't see any other numbers. On the other hand, when we reach 40%, we can say that our alt season is over!
📝 Final Thoughts
Stay calm, trade wisely, and let's capture the market's best opportunities!
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #2👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
Let’s analyze Bitcoin and identify suitable futures triggers for the New York session.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
If you entered a position yesterday on the price pullback to the 97218 zone, you're now in profit. If your position has a risk-to-reward ratio of 2 or higher, I recommend securing some profits. Otherwise, if you want to keep your position open, watch the 98903–99946 range, and if the price gets rejected from this area, secure your profits.
🔍 We also have new trade setups for today, with two triggers for long and two for short, either of which could activate. For a long position, a breakout of 98903 or 99946 is suitable. The 98903 breakout is riskier since we’d be entering a long position within a resistance zone, while the 99946 breakout may be difficult to enter as it might not provide a strong confirmation candle but is a safer long entry.
🔼 The key resistance above these two triggers is 101819, which can be used as a target. A breakout above 64.74 in the RSI would also serve as a momentum confirmation.
📉 For short positions, the first trigger is a breakdown of 97218, which has acted as a strong minor support. If we see a reaction here, this level will be confirmed, and on a second test, we can enter a short position. A breakdown of the 50 level in the RSI would confirm this setup. However, this is a risky trade, so it should be taken with minimal exposure.
✔️ The next key level is 95797, which has seen multiple price reactions. If the price forms a lower high below 101819, the chances of breaking this level increase. The target for this short setup is 92700.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Yesterday, I mentioned that if Bitcoin dominance stabilized below 61.34, long positions on altcoins would be more logical, which played out as altcoins outperformed Bitcoin.
✨ Today, if BTC.D remains below 61.06, it could indicate a trend shift in higher timeframes. Conversely, if it reclaims 61.34, Bitcoin could once again be the better choice for long positions in a bullish market.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
Total2 triggered its setup alongside Bitcoin and is now testing the 1.24 zone. The only long trigger at the moment is a breakout of 1.24. However, keep in mind that the primary trigger was at 1.22, and the next major trigger is at 1.28, making any long entry now quite risky. Personally, I wouldn’t take this trade.
💫 For short positions, wait for the price to drop back below 1.22, then use Dow Theory and a break of the newly formed low as a short entry trigger.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
Now, let’s analyze USDT.D. This index began its decline after breaking 4.51 and retesting it. The next trigger is at 4.41, and if it breaks, we can expect a further drop to 4.22.
🧩 On the other hand, if it reclaims 4.51 and moves toward 4.64, it could increase the likelihood of Bitcoin’s 97218 short trigger being activated. If USDT dominance rises, the target will be 4.64.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own analysis before opening any position.
BTC Dominance is bearish (4H)Bitcoin dominance has hit a very strong supply zone, and we should not forget this.
From this point or after touching the supply, it may move toward the specified TP levels.
Since a large number of sell orders have been accumulated, we expect a deeper drop.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
USDT Dominance Chart AnalysisUSDT dominance broke out of a long-term descending channel.
However, it is showing signs of rejection at nearly 4.60% and could head back towards support.
21-day MA (black line): Previously acted as resistance, but now provides some support.
100-day MA (purple line): Was breached, but is now being retested as support.
A red candle after the recent breakout suggests a possible failed breakout scenario.
The green arrow indicates a potential decline towards 4.20% or even lower.
Support: 4.20% (previous resistance, now potential support).
Low Support: 4.00%
Resistance: 4.60%
If you found this analysis helpful, hit the Like button and share your thoughts or questions in the comments below. Your feedback matters!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #1👋 Welcome to TradeCityPro!
This is the first analysis in the Bitcoin series on the channel, which will be uploaded daily. In this series, we will analyze futures triggers that can provide us with positions on the same day. Therefore, most of the analyses will be conducted in lower timeframes.
✨ However, in today’s analysis, I will also cover Bitcoin in higher timeframes since this is the first analysis and needs to be comprehensive.
📅 Weekly Timeframe
In the weekly timeframe, we see a strong uptrend where the last leg started from the 54,900 bottom and moved up to the 104,700 resistance. The candle volume has been mostly bullish, aligning with the uptrend.
🔍 Currently, the price is resting below the 104,700 resistance, and the last weekly candle, which closed just yesterday, resembles a rolling pin, indicating indecision among buyers and sellers as the price moved both up and down but ultimately closed in a range.
💥 In RSI, there are two crucial support levels. The first is at 61.85, which RSI is currently near, and if it reacts positively to this level, a new bullish momentum could enter the market. The next support is at 43.90, a critical level for market momentum. As long as RSI stays above this level, bullish momentum remains in the market.
🔼 For the next bullish leg to start, RSI likely needs to enter the overbought zone, attracting more buyers and initiating the next wave. In terms of price action, breaking the 104,700 resistance would be the best trigger for the next move.
⚡️ On the other hand, the price has so far corrected to the 0.236 Fibonacci level near 90,000 and still has the potential for further corrections. If it continues, the next support levels are at the 0.382 and 0.618 Fibonacci zones, which overlap with 81,800 and 70,000, respectively.
📣 Since this series will have daily updates and we will analyze the weekly timeframe after each weekly candle closes, I won’t discuss lower supports or higher resistances until the time is right.
📅 Daily Timeframe
In the daily timeframe, the price is ranging between 91,925 and 106,612. As seen, the price has been rejected from the range high for the second time and has dropped to 96,312.
🧩 Bearish momentum has been decreasing since reaching the 96,312 support, and a rounding formation is gradually forming. A positive aspect is that if Bitcoin establishes a bottom in this zone and moves toward the range high again, it will create a higher low compared to the 91,925 support, increasing the chances of a breakout to the upside.
📊 The volume of the last red candles in the bearish leg has been quite low. In the two recent green candles from yesterday and today, the volume is also very low, meaning the price might soon start its movement. So, it’s best to move to lower timeframes to find a suitable futures trigger.
⌛️ 4-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, I won’t analyze much but will instead focus on identifying futures triggers.
🔽 For a short position, the setup is quite clear. There is a solid trigger at 95,798, which the price has tested multiple times, making it a reliable trigger. Since this short position is being opened within the range and near the range low, it should be taken quickly and secured at low risk-to-reward ratios like 2 or 3. It is not an ideal trigger for a long-term trade.
📈 For a long position, the first trigger was the breakout of 97,304, which has already happened, and the price has confirmed above this level. If you haven’t taken a position on this breakout, you can enter on a pullback if a suitable candle forms or if there’s a trigger in lower timeframes. Keep in mind that this trigger is the riskiest, so enter with minimal risk.
✔️ The next long trigger is at 98,937, which is more reliable. If the price stabilizes above this level, we can expect a bullish leg toward the range high.
⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe
In this timeframe, as seen, the price is pulling back to the 97,304 level while engulfing the previous red candles. RSI is also stabilizing above 64.12. If the candle closes as it is, a long position will be suitable. The key resistance level is at 99,730.
📉 For a short position, the trigger remains similar to the 4-hour timeframe. However, since the price has faked this level in this timeframe, we should wait for another reaction at this area to confirm the actual trigger point.
⭐️ Now, let's analyze the dominance charts. A full dominance analysis will be provided separately. The Total2 analysis will be posted tonight, and the USDT.D and BTC.D analyses will be done tomorrow, but for now, they will be reviewed in the 1-hour timeframe.
⌛️ BTC.D Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, we see Bitcoin dominance increasing after reaching the 61.34 bottom, which has contributed to Bitcoin’s recovery following the fake breakdown at 95,798.
👑 If dominance stabilizes above 62%, more money will flow into Bitcoin. In this scenario, if the market moves upward, Bitcoin will rise more than most altcoins, and if the market drops, Bitcoin will decline less than others. The main resistance is at 62.66.
💫 On the other hand, if dominance falls below 61.34, less money will enter Bitcoin. In a bullish market, Bitcoin will underperform altcoins, and in a bearish market, Bitcoin will drop more significantly.
⌛️ Total2 Analysis
In the 1-hour timeframe, the 1.22 level in Total2 overlaps with 97,304 in Bitcoin. However, as seen, Total2 is still below this support and hasn’t confirmed above it yet. The reason is the increasing Bitcoin dominance, causing altcoins to move less than Bitcoin.
☀️ The main resistance in Total2 at this timeframe is 1.28, which is also the key long trigger.
🔽 For a short position, Total2 offers a better trigger than Bitcoin. If Total2 breaks below 1.16 while Bitcoin dominance increases, shorting altcoins will be a better option than Bitcoin.
⌛️ USDT.D Analysis
As seen, the candle has closed below the 4.51 support in this index, and it has more overlap with Bitcoin than Total2.
✔️ The trigger for an increase in USDT dominance is 4.64, which would lead to a market decline. The alignment of this trigger with the short triggers in Total2 and Bitcoin could provide strong confirmation for those trades.
🔑 For a long position, breaking below the 4.40 support in this index would be a good signal. The main support is currently at 4.22, and if this level is broken, the market could begin its next bullish leg.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Will 2025 Bring an Altcoin Season or Continued Divergence?
🔷 BTC.D (Bitcoin Dominance)
Trend momentum has been strongly bullish since late 2022 and shows no signs of slowing on higher time frames (6M, 12M). When BTC.D trends higher, the market tends to concentrate capital in BTC, making it difficult for many altcoins to rally. Any short-term dips in BTC.D on daily or weekly charts could temporarily release some capital into altcoins, but overall, the dominant uptrend remains intact.
🔸 ETHBTC
The ratio has been signaling a SELL bias since late 2023, continuing throughout 2024. It reflects ETH’s weakness relative to BTC. On the 3M chart, ETHBTC is in a downtrend; any upward corrections are likely just retracements before further declines. There’s no clear sign that ETHBTC has bottomed across the monthly, 3-month, 6-month, or yearly cycles.
✔️ Conclusion
BTC.D may see short-term corrections in 2025 but is expected to continue rising overall. ETHBTC, on the other hand, will likely continue its downward trajectory, with occasional small rebounds along the way. This suggests no broad Altcoin Season in 2025; instead, expect ongoing fragmentation within the altcoin market. Capital will rotate selectively based on each sector or individual coin’s structure.
💡 Strategy
Use caution when rotating funds from altcoins to BTC to optimize returns. Carefully select altcoins that show genuine growth potential in 2025, and avoid emotional allocation. Emphasize short-term strategies—buy for the short term, take profits quickly—to navigate a market where altcoins remain highly divergent.
Bitcoin Dominance | Leading Alt Season? Or Continuation Decline?| CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D | 🔎 Weekly Analysis
As you may know. alt seasons depend on a decline in BTC.D.
BTC.D is calculated as the ratio of Bitcoin’s market capitalization to the total market capitalization of the digital asset space. When BTC.D falls, it indicates that capital is flowing out of Bitcoin into altcoins or stablecoins such as USDT, USDC, RLUSD and others.
••• BTC Dominance (BTC.D) during past alt season.
⏪ Now that we understand what BTC.D is, let's examine its behavior during previous alt season. As marked in the chart, BTC.D has experienced an uptrend. After a breakout, it pushed to new high within the upward channel, and as expected, a reversal occurred! (Price Action Rules)
••• Current state of BTC.D.
▶️ After a significant spike, it is currently following an upward channel.
A spike followed by a channel pattern is a common price action occurrence.
As Marked in the chart, similar to previous alt seasons, BTC.D has experienced a breakout from the upward channel and has pushed to new high. Therefore, we can expect a potential reversal!
🔳 Final words
Is it time to buy some altcoins? If you ask me, it's not yet time to invest. We cannot predict whether a reversal is happening or not. Since we avoid taking unnecessary risks, we should wait for clear sign of reversal in the BTC.D
❤️🔥 Thanks for reading my idea!
What does the BTC's dominance say to us?CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
👨🏫 Analyst Alex Kelly: Bitcoin dominance looks very promising to change the trend and create a long-awaited Altseason.
✍️ Crossing the intersection of the trend line and the middle zone, along with the ascending corner pattern, confirms this move.
🚀 It's time to buy altcoins.
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice. Always manage your risks and trade responsibly.
👉 Follow me for daily updates,
💬 Comment and like to share your thoughts,
📌 And check the link in my bio for even more resources!
Let’s navigate the markets together—join the journey today! 💹✨
Bitcoin Dominance Pumping , Is the Altcoin Market in Trouble ?Bitcoin dominance has broken a significant resistance level, signaling a shift in market dynamics. The previous double top formation has completely failed, and dominance is now sustaining above the prior highs. This development has bearish implications for altcoins, as Bitcoin's growing market share typically leads to capital outflows from the altcoin sector.
Key Points on the Chart
Double Top Failure & Breakout Confirmation
The market was previously forming a double top pattern, a classic reversal setup that often signals a potential decline.
However, BTC dominance not only broke the double top resistance but has held above it for multiple days, confirming bullish continuation.
A failed double top often results in a strong move upward, as short-sellers covering their positions add to the momentum.
Ascending Channel Structure
The chart shows BTC dominance moving within a rising wedge/ascending channel formation.
The breakout above the mid-channel resistance suggests an acceleration in trend strength, increasing the likelihood of BTC dominance rising further. As long as dominance stays within this structure, Bitcoin will likely outperform the altcoin market.
Key Support & Resistance Levels
56.44% level was a major resistance in the past and is now a confirmed support zone.
61.91% (current level) marks the breakout region, now acting as new support.
If dominance continues its uptrend, the next potential resistance area could be 66%–68%, marking the upper boundary of the trend.
Impact on Altcoins
Altcoin Weakness Likely to Continue
Historically, when BTC dominance increases, altcoins tend to bleed as capital rotates toward Bitcoin. Many altcoins may struggle to gain momentum unless BTC dominance reverses from this region.
Conditions for Altcoin Recovery
For altcoins to regain strength, BTC dominance must decline from this breakout zone.
A rejection from the upper trendline (~64%–66%) could create a temporary relief rally in altcoins.
Altcoin Seasonal Trends
Typically, altcoins start recovering once BTC dominance peaks and shows weakness.
Until then, Bitcoin remains the safer bet, while altcoins carry higher risk.
Trading Considerations & Strategy
For BTC holders: The breakout suggests strong dominance continuation, meaning Bitcoin may remain the best-performing asset in the short term.
For altcoin traders: Monitor Bitcoin dominance closely a drop back below 60% would be the first sign of relief for altcoins.
For market timing: If BTC dominance approaches 64%–66%, a potential rejection could provide entry points for altcoins.
Bitcoin dominance has broken a crucial structure, signaling altcoin weakness and Bitcoin strength. Until BTC dominance reverses or consolidates, altcoins may struggle to gain momentum. Watch the 64%–66% zone for signs of exhaustion if BTC dominance starts rejecting from there, it could mark the beginning of an altcoin resurgence.
The Exact Target When Altseason Will Be Started Revealed!Hello, Skyrexians!
Recently we have already made analysis on CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D where pointed out that this Bitcoin season finally is about to end. Today we share with you our precise analysis of last dominance growth to understand when there is going to be the final reversal.
Let's take a look at 12 hours time frame. Here we can see that Elliott waves structure. It has pumped to the wave 3 target at 1.61 Fibonacci and then retraced in the wave 4. We expect consolidation between 61% and 62% for some time before the final growth in the wave 5. This wave will be finished approximately at 65%. The red dot on the Bullish/Bearish Reversal Bar Indicator and the bearish divergence with Awesome Oscillator are going to be the reversal confirmation factors.
Best regards,
Skyrexio Team
___________________________________________________________
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Altcoins potential to start rally!As pointer before by others, Altcoins may be about to start their bullish rally.
The 3 charts indicate:
BTC price history,
BTC dominance (%)
Altcoin dominance ( minus ETH, BTC, in %)
What we see in the chart are 2 possible escenarios:
1- BTC has reached top and is about to drop, like in 2016, leading to the rise in dominance of altcoins.
2- BTC has not reached top, but the incoming BTC short rally will come together with a bigger rally (in relative terms) for the alcoin market. In other words, the BTC price action will be parasited by a capital flip to altcoins.
Keep in mind always may happen a 3rd scenario, risk is always present:
3-BTC has reached its top and will start bear market, plus Altcoins will never see a true bullish market from now on. This is particularly probable, since politics and economics in US has turned in favor of BTC mainly, leaving "most" of the altcoin market as not recognized can be a very bad thing for investor, who are eager to reduce the huge risk this crypto market implies.
DISCLAIMER:
Remember, all of this is speculation of my own, based on others analysis. You are responsible for doing your own research, and this is not a financial advice. This only represents my sentiment and opinion in the market. I do hold several crypto-curriencies, including BTC. You are responsible for your own loses.
Happy trading !
:)
I Think March Is Gonna Be a GOOD Month📆🔥 I Think March Is Gonna Be a Good Month! 🚀💡
Bitcoin Dominance and the Altseason Setup
🚀 BTC Dominance Update: Bitcoin's dominance currently sits at 61.63%, and we're seeing some interesting developments in the market!
🔹 Back in the Channel – BTC dominance has climbed back into the ascending channel, a sign that it could continue its upward momentum. However, a drop to 58% or lower would be great for altcoins.
🔹 Major Rejection at 64.5% – The recent wick to 64.5% was a clear rejection, which could indicate that BTC dominance may struggle to push higher in the short term. Historically, these sharp rejections have led to potential shifts in market dynamics.
🔹 Will BTC Dominance Hit 71-73%? – Some analysts expect BTC dominance to test the 71-73% resistance, a historical inflection point that has previously led to strong altseasons. While such a scenario could put pressure on altcoins, the market has evolved, and alts have a much larger share than before.
📉 If BTC dominance fails to break higher and starts reversing, we could see a significant rotation into altcoins. Keep an eye on this trend as it unfolds!
🔥 March could be a pivotal month, and patience might just pay off! If you’re interested in deeper insights, check out my Bitcoin Broken Cycle / Delayed Cycle video from today.
💬 Drop your thoughts below! Will BTC dominance climb higher, or are we on the verge of an altcoin breakout?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
PS. I came across an interesting chart on Twitter and wanted to share the insights with you. I have no intention of advertising anyone, nor do I use others' charts without credit—I always create my own analysis. After all, all good legends create and post on Tradingview📊🔍
BTC dominance .... Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!Crypto is More Than Just Bitcoin; Just Like Automobiles Are More Than One Brand!
In the world of digital currencies, many newcomers have only heard of "Bitcoin" and assume that the entire crypto market revolves around it. However, just as the automobile industry is not limited to a single brand, the crypto world is also filled with innovative projects and diverse digital assets, each with its own unique applications and features.
Bitcoin: The King, But Not Everything!
Bitcoin is the first and largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. It is considered digital gold and serves as a store of value. But that's not the whole story! If we compare Bitcoin to brands like "Ferrari" or "Lamborghini," which are luxurious and powerful, other cryptocurrencies can be likened to different car brands, each with its own unique functionalities and purposes.
Altcoins: The Major Players in the Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH): If Bitcoin is Ferrari, Ethereum is like Tesla—a platform that has paved a new path in blockchain technology. Smart contracts and decentralized applications (DApps) run on its network.
Polkadot (DOT): Polkadot is like a versatile car, such as the BMW X5, allowing interoperability between different blockchain networks and enhancing cross-chain communication.
Chainlink (LINK): Chainlink is akin to a secure and smart car like Volvo, acting as an oracle in the blockchain space, connecting real-world data to smart contracts.
Solana (SOL): This cryptocurrency is like a sports car, such as Porsche—fast, scalable, and with low fees, making it highly popular among developers.
Cardano (ADA): Cardano can be compared to Toyota or Honda—stable, secure, and equipped with innovative technologies aiming to solve blockchain scalability issues.
Is Altseason Coming?
Altseason is a term referring to a period in the crypto market where altcoins (cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin) experience significant growth. This typically happens after Bitcoin stabilizes or when investors feel that Bitcoin has reached a short-term price peak.
Some signs of an approaching altseason include:
Bitcoin dominance rising and then declining (indicating a shift of capital from Bitcoin to altcoins)
Explosive growth in certain altcoins, signaling increased investor interest in alternative projects
Improved macroeconomic conditions and increased liquidity in the market
Just as the automotive world is not dominated by a single brand, the crypto market extends beyond Bitcoin. Major projects like Ethereum, Cardano, Solana, Polkadot, Chainlink, and many others offer diverse use cases worth exploring and investing in. Given current market indicators, we may soon witness a powerful altseason where altcoins experience substantial growth. Therefore, it's essential to look beyond Bitcoin and view the market from a broader perspective!
good luck
BTC.D Capitulation Liquidation candle. Bitcoin's price hovers around $97,000 on Wednesday, following a 3.5% drop the day before. David Sacks, President Trump’s crypto czar, has announced plans to assess a Bitcoin Reserve. Meanwhile, traders on the Bitcoin CME are adopting a cautious stance, advising investors to steer clear of leverage at all costs. As uncertainty and volatility rise in the wake of Trump’s supportive crypto regulations, the potential for a Bitcoin reserve is emerging, yet the market remains turbulent due to tariffs and broader economic challenges.
Additionally, Bitcoin is bracing for fluctuations as FTX prepares to start repaying creditors on February 18. The beleaguered exchange, which filed for bankruptcy in November 2022 with debts estimated at $11.2 billion, is set to disburse payouts that could reach up to $16.5 billion. To facilitate this, FTX is actively selling assets and investments in tech companies. This development is pivotal for those impacted by the FTX collapse, sparking significant interest within the cryptocurrency community.
In 2018 and 2019, the BTC.D chart faced rejections from the 60% resistance zone during the bearish years that followed the explosive bull run of 2017.
Now, we find ourselves in a different scenario, with a retest happening in a bull run year post-halvening. While it’s too early to declare the end of the rally, the usual indicators for a BTC bull peak have yet to signal a positive trend.
From a technical standpoint, BTC.D has the potential to climb to 63.84% and possibly reach as high as 72.5%. This development could spell great news for Bitcoin while casting a shadow over the altcoin market.
This shift might be driven by consistent demand from ETFs and institutional investors for Bitcoin, leaving altcoins in the dust until later in the year.
However, some speculators believe that the recent liquidations over the weekend may have drained enough leverage, allowing altcoins to begin their recovery and, at long last, outshine Bitcoin. We await the unfolding drama with eager anticipation.
DOMINANCE - the manipulation!The weekly chart clearly shows a confirmed breakdown of the rising wedge pattern.
Everyone was waiting for a retest to buy in, expecting dominance to drop and altcoins to rally—but that never happened.
Why?
Because when everyone expects a move, the market does the opposite.
What actually happened?
-The market shocked everyone with a parabolic dominance surge to 64%.
-Over $182 billion was drained from the market in just two days.
-Altcoins suffered a brutal crash, with some dropping over 50%.
-Most assets hit extreme lows, forcing mass panic selling at heavy losses—which we predicted a week in advance.
-A sharp altcoin rebound happened the same day, while dominance dropped from 64% to 61%, stabilizing at this level.
What’s next?
The rising wedge pattern is still in play, but its targets won’t be hit without manipulation.
I expect heavy market manipulation in the coming days, with dominance fluctuating between 60% and 63%, designed to drain traders’ portfolios—especially futures traders.
The expected price action is outlined in this chart. Take a look, and you'll clearly see how manipulation operates in this market.
Best regards Ceciliones🎯