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UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t sold UNH near the top: Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UNH UnitedHealth Group Incorporated prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 350usd strike price at the money Calls with an expiration date of 2026-12-18, for a premium of approximately $23.70. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NYSE:UNHLong
by TopgOptions
Bitcoin: Trend Continuation or Preparing for a Pullback?Hello everyone, On the H4 timeframe, Bitcoin is maintaining a relatively clear bullish structure after rebounding strongly from the 66,000–67,000 zone. The fact that price has moved above both EMA 34 and EMA 89, while these moving averages are starting to slope upward and expand, suggests that short-term momentum has shifted into a more positive phase. The recent rally has pushed price toward the 74,000–75,000 area with fairly solid momentum. However, at this level, the market is beginning to show signs of hesitation, with candles forming upper wicks and narrower ranges. This reflects selling pressure reacting at resistance, but more in the form of supply absorption rather than a clear reversal signal. At the moment, the 72,500–73,000 zone is acting as the nearest support, aligning with EMA 34. If price continues to hold above this area, the bullish structure remains intact, and the potential for further upside toward 76,000–78,000 is still valid. On the other hand, if this support is lost and price falls below EMA 89 around 70,500–71,000, the short-term trend could weaken and shift into a consolidation phase. In the broader context, capital flow is still leaning toward risk assets amid expectations of stable interest rates. However, pressure from bond yields and a strong USD remains a factor that could trigger short-term pullbacks. As a result, the uptrend may continue, but likely with intermittent technical corrections to rebalance the market.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DomicChaina
36
AAOI Applied Optoelectronics potential rally by EOYApplied Optoelectronics AAOI is well-positioned for a strong rally toward $24 per share by the end of 2025, supported by multiple operational and strategic catalysts. A key recent development—the warrant agreement with Amazon—adds a powerful endorsement and financial backing that enhances the bullish case. 1. Amazon’s Strategic Warrant Agreement: A Major Vote of Confidence On March 13, 2025, AAOI issued a warrant to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, granting Amazon the right to purchase up to approximately 7.95 million shares at an exercise price of $23.70 per share. About 1.3 million shares vested immediately, with the remainder vesting based on Amazon’s discretionary purchases, potentially up to $4 billion in total purchases over time. This agreement signals Amazon’s strong confidence in AAOI’s technology and its critical role as a supplier of high-speed optical transceivers for Amazon Web Services and AI data center infrastructure. The warrant price near $24 effectively sets a floor and a valuation benchmark, supporting the thesis that AAOI’s stock could reach or exceed this level by year-end. 2. Major Data Center Wins and Hyperscale Customer Re-Engagement AAOI recently resumed shipments to a major hyperscale customer, with volume shipments of high-speed data center transceivers expected to ramp significantly in the second half of 2025. This re-engagement with a key customer aligns with the surging demand for AI-driven data center infrastructure, providing a strong revenue growth catalyst. 3. Robust Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion Q1 2025 revenue doubled year-over-year to nearly $100 million, with gross margins expanding to over 30%, reflecting operational efficiencies and favorable product mix. The company expects to sustain strong quarterly revenue ($100–$110 million) and ramp production capacity to over 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end, with 40% manufactured in the U.S. 4. Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience AAOI is scaling manufacturing in the U.S. and Taiwan, enhancing supply chain robustness and positioning itself to benefit from potential government incentives for domestic production. Its automated, largely in-house manufacturing capabilities provide a competitive edge in meeting hyperscale and AI data center demand. In conclusion: Amazon’s warrant agreement at a $23.70 strike price not only provides a direct valuation anchor near $24 but also serves as a powerful strategic endorsement of AAOI’s technology and growth prospects. Combined with robust revenue growth, expanding manufacturing capacity, and key customer re-engagement, AAOI has a compelling case to reach or exceed $24 per share by the end of 2025.
NASDAQ:AAOILong
by TopgOptions
Ascending Channel — Continuation to Break Supply?XAUUSD Market Structure Update Price is currently trading around the 4,830 level, continuing its bullish movement within a well-defined ascending channel after a strong reversal from the lows. This suggests the market is in a sustained bullish structure, approaching a key supply area. ➤ Market Structure • Clear Higher Highs (HH) & Higher Lows (HL) → confirms bullish market structure. • Price is respecting a clean ascending channel, indicating controlled institutional buying. • Multiple rejections from supply (~4,850 – 4,880) show liquidity resting above. • Current move is forming another HL → pushing toward supply again. • Market likely building pressure for a Buy Side Liquidity (BSL) breakout. ➤ Key Levels • Supply Zone: 4,850 – 4,880 • Current Price: ~4,830 • Channel Support (HL zone): 4,700 – 4,750 • Demand Zone: 4,600 – 4,650 • Buy Side Liquidity (BSL): above 4,880 If price holds above the 4,750 – 4,700 zone and continues forming higher lows, it would confirm bullish continuation and increase the probability of a breakout above 4,880, targeting the 5,000 – 5,030 liquidity zone. However, if price fails at supply again and breaks below the channel structure, it would signal a potential distribution and shift toward a deeper pullback.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
by GoldenPrice_ACTION
6
Gold Consolidating Before a Breakout?Hello everyone, Looking at the H4 chart, with EMA 34 (red) and EMA 89 (blue), gold is entering a rather “sensitive” phase as price continues to fluctuate right around these two moving averages. After rebounding from the 4,200 area to nearly 4,800, the market is no longer trending strongly upward but has shifted into a consolidation phase—clearly reflecting a tug-of-war between buyers and sellers. One notable point is that EMA 34 has crossed above and is now tracking closely along EMA 89, suggesting that short-term momentum is gradually improving. However, EMA 89 has not yet turned decisively upward, meaning the medium-term trend has not been fully confirmed as bullish. Price has tested the 4,780–4,800 zone multiple times but continues to face rejection, reinforcing this area as a key resistance. From a macro perspective, the latest Core PCE data came in line with expectations (0.4% MoM, 3% YoY), which explains why gold has only moved modestly rather than breaking out aggressively. Inflation remaining above the Federal Reserve’s 2% target keeps monetary policy in a cautious stance, limiting upside momentum in the short term. At the same time, elevated oil prices and ongoing geopolitical tensions remain uncertain variables, preventing capital from committing decisively. That said, the longer-term outlook still leans constructive. Major institutions like State Street maintain expectations for gold to trade within the 4,750–5,500 range for the remainder of the year, supported by concerns over rising global debt and continued demand for safe-haven assets.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by DomicChaina
44
Break of Downtrend – Reversal or Just a Pullback?Hello everyone, On the H4 chart, EUR/USD is showing more constructive signals after a prolonged period of weakness. Price has rebounded strongly from the 1.145 area, and more importantly, the recent breakout has pushed it above both EMA 34 (red) and EMA 89 (blue), indicating that the short-term structure is shifting toward a bullish phase. Momentum is being reinforced as EMA 34 has crossed above EMA 89, with both moving averages starting to slope upward. This reflects a clear return of buying pressure, in contrast to the previous phase where price was consistently suppressed below these dynamic levels. However, as price approaches the 1.170–1.175 zone, the market is beginning to show signs of hesitation. The bullish candles are losing momentum, and upper wicks are appearing more frequently—suggesting that selling pressure is reacting within this short-term resistance area. Notably, this zone also aligns with a prior supply region. In the current context, this creates a familiar dilemma: is this a genuine trend reversal, or simply a pullback within a broader downtrend? A reasonable scenario is that price may consolidate or even retrace slightly to retest the 1.162–1.165 zone, where the EMAs are now converging. If buyers step in and defend this area, the bullish structure could remain intact and set the stage for another attempt to break above 1.175. On the other hand, a failure to hold above the EMAs would suggest that this move was merely a corrective rally, with downside pressure potentially returning. At this stage, the structure is improving—but confirmation will depend on whether the market can maintain acceptance above the moving averages.
Long
by DomicChaina
25
Testing EMA 89 – A Key Decision Zone for Short-Term DirectionHello everyone, Silver is currently trading right at the confluence of EMA 34 and EMA 89—an area that often acts as a decision point for the market’s next move. More specifically, EMA 34 has started to curve upward following the recent rebound from the lows, indicating that short-term buying pressure is returning. However, EMA 89 remains relatively flat to slightly downward sloping, suggesting that the medium-term trend has not yet shifted. The fact that price is being rejected right at EMA 89 is a familiar signal within a downtrend, where rebounds tend to stall at dynamic resistance. One key level to watch is the 74–75 zone. After testing EMA 89, price was quickly pushed back down, showing that sellers are still actively defending this area. With the current structure, my preferred scenario is as follows: Price may continue to pull back toward the 72.5–73 region, which aligns with EMA 34 and nearby support. If this zone holds, the market could enter a short consolidation phase and attempt another test of EMA 89. However, if price breaks decisively below EMA 34, the probability increases for a move back toward the 70–71 area, continuing the prior downtrend. As always, this is a key moment where the market will reveal whether buyers can build enough strength—or if sellers remain firmly in control. Good luck!
OANDA:XAGUSD
by DomicChaina
12
Unconfirmed Breakout – Bull Trap Risk RemainsHello everyone, Bitcoin has just delivered a strong breakout, surging from the 68,000 area up to 71,000–72,000 in a short period of time. This move came with solid momentum and increased volume, suggesting that capital has re-entered the market after a phase of consolidation. However, what stands out is the immediate reaction after the breakout. Price has struggled to hold above the 71,500 level and quickly faced selling pressure, pulling it back down. This indicates that the 71,500–72,000 zone is acting as a strong resistance area where sellers are beginning to step in. From a macro perspective, Bitcoin is currently supported by improving risk sentiment, as markets begin to price in a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve. That said, the US dollar remains relatively firm and bond yields have not declined significantly, meaning downside pressure can still emerge at any time. Given the current structure, the higher-probability scenario is a pullback toward the 69,000–68,500 zone to retest demand following the breakout. If this area holds, Bitcoin may consolidate and attempt another move toward 71,500–72,000, with the potential to extend further toward 74,000. The key question now is whether this breakout can build acceptance above resistance—or if it turns into a classic bull trap at the top.
Long
by DomicChaina
20
USD Strength Returns: Correction or Start of New Downtrend?Hello everyone, The US dollar has rebounded above the 100 level, while oil prices remain elevated around 111 USD per barrel, increasing concerns about inflation. This has led the market to adjust monetary policy expectations toward a more cautious stance, putting short-term pressure on gold. In addition, the sharp decline in other metals such as silver suggests that this is not an isolated move, but rather a broader pressure across the precious metals sector. However, what stands out is that despite the sharp drop, price is still holding above the 4,600 level — a key short-term support. At the same time, market views from analysts such as James Stanley and Rich Checkan suggest that this could still be a technical correction within a larger bullish trend, especially as global economic slowdown risks persist and safe-haven demand has not disappeared. From a technical perspective, the current structure has not yet shifted into a bullish reversal. Price remains below the EMA, and the previous rebound failed to break through key resistance. Therefore, my preferred scenario is that gold may continue to pull back toward the 4,550–4,600 area to test demand. If this zone holds, the market could rebound and move back toward the 4,750–4,800 region once again. What’s your view — correction within an uptrend or the start of a deeper decline?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DomicChaina
66
GBPUSD Rebound Seen as Selling Opportunity Near ResistanceHello everyone, The latest rebound pushed price up toward the 1.3300–1.3330 area, but strong selling pressure quickly emerged, driving price lower again. This suggests that the zone is acting as a clear dynamic resistance, where sellers remain in control of the market. Currently, price is trading around 1.3190–1.3200, close to the recent short-term lows. From a macro perspective, the US dollar has shown some signs of mild weakness recently, but not enough to establish a clear reversal trend. The market is still closely watching US economic data, particularly Nonfarm Payrolls and statements from the Federal Reserve, as these will shape interest rate expectations going forward. Meanwhile, the UK continues to face slow growth and unstable inflation, making it difficult for the British pound to sustain a strong upward move.
Short
by DomicChaina
17
Gold H4: Recovery Supported by Weaker USD and YieldsHello everyone, The current backdrop is relatively supportive for gold. Recent movements in the US bond market reflect a tug-of-war in investor sentiment. Initially, yields rose due to inflation concerns driven by higher energy prices linked to tensions involving Iran. However, as recession risks gained more attention, capital rotated back into bonds — pushing yields lower and indirectly supporting gold. At the same time, expectations that central banks may need to ease policy if growth weakens are also providing a foundation for gold’s medium-term upside. With the current structure, my preferred scenario is that gold may pull back toward the 4,550–4,600 support zone to test demand. If this area holds, the market could form a consolidation base and continue higher to retest the 4,800–4,900 region, potentially extending toward 5,000 if supported by additional macro catalysts. What’s your view — continuation toward 5,000 or another rejection?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DomicChaina
11
Gold H4: Strong Rebound – Resistance AheadHello everyone, Gold has rebounded sharply from 4,419 to around 4,580–4,600 on the H4 timeframe. However, in the bigger picture, this still looks like a technical recovery as price remains below key moving averages, and the medium-term trend has not shifted yet. The 4,600–4,650 zone stands out as a key resistance area. Current momentum is not strong enough to confirm a breakout, so a rejection here is something to watch closely. If price fails to break through, a move back toward the 4,400 region remains a likely scenario. This rebound has been largely driven by geopolitical factors, particularly tensions in the Middle East and comments from Donald Trump, which have supported safe-haven demand. However, high interest rates and a strong US dollar continue to act as major headwinds for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by DomicChaina
18
Supply Test — Breakout or Lower High Trap?XAUUSD Market Structure Update - March 25, 2026 Price is currently trading around the 4,540 level after a strong bullish reaction from the demand zone, pushing into the descending channel resistance. This suggests the market is testing a key decision area between continuation and reversal. ➤ Market Structure • Overall trend remains bearish, with price respecting the descending channel. • Recent move shows a strong bullish reaction from demand (~4,300) → potential accumulation. • Price is now testing the supply zone (~4,550 – 4,600) aligned with channel resistance. • This area acts as a confluence zone (supply + trendline) → high probability reaction point. • Market may either reject to form a lower high or break structure for bullish reversal. ➤ Key Levels • Supply Zone: 4,550 – 4,600 • Channel Resistance: ~4,550 • Current Price: ~4,540 • Demand Zone: 4,350 – 4,300 • Sell Side Liquidity: below 4,300 If price rejects from the 4,550 – 4,600 zone and fails to break above the channel, it would confirm a lower high and continuation toward the 4,300 demand zone. However, a clean breakout and hold above this supply would signal a bullish structure shift, opening the path toward the 4,800 – 5,000 range.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by LawrenceMoreau
2
Silver Approaches Resistance While Downtrend Remains in ControlHello everyone, On the H2 timeframe, Silver continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, with a clear structure of lower highs and price remaining below key moving averages. The recent rebound has pushed price back into the 73–75 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and also coincides with a confluence of moving averages and a supply zone—making this a notable resistance area in the short term. One key observation is that although price bounced strongly from the 65–67 region, momentum has started to fade as it approaches resistance. The market is now showing signs of hesitation, suggesting that buying pressure is weakening at higher levels. A likely scenario here is a potential false breakout or liquidity sweep above resistance before price rotates lower again—especially if the 74–75 zone is not decisively broken with strong follow-through. From a macro perspective, silver—similar to gold—continues to face pressure from a high interest rate environment and a strong US dollar. As the Federal Reserve maintains a relatively tight stance, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets remains elevated, limiting strong inflows into precious metals. In addition, silver’s industrial demand component is also under scrutiny, as global growth uncertainties weigh on outlook expectations. In the near term, if price fails to achieve a confirmed breakout above 75 with supporting volume, this move is more likely to be a technical rebound within a broader downtrend. In that case, the 67–69 area remains a potential downside target. On the other hand, a clean and sustained breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish structure and open the door for a deeper corrective move higher.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DomicChaina
11
Silver Approaches Resistance While Downtrend Remains in ControlHello everyone, On the H2 timeframe, Silver continues to trade within a well-defined descending channel, with a clear structure of lower highs and price remaining below key moving averages. The recent rebound has pushed price back into the 73–75 zone, which aligns with the upper boundary of the channel and also coincides with a confluence of moving averages and a supply zone—making this a notable resistance area in the short term. One key observation is that although price bounced strongly from the 65–67 region, momentum has started to fade as it approaches resistance. The market is now showing signs of hesitation, suggesting that buying pressure is weakening at higher levels. A likely scenario here is a potential false breakout or liquidity sweep above resistance before price rotates lower again—especially if the 74–75 zone is not decisively broken with strong follow-through. From a macro perspective, silver—similar to gold—continues to face pressure from a high interest rate environment and a strong US dollar. As the Federal Reserve maintains a relatively tight stance, the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets remains elevated, limiting strong inflows into precious metals. In addition, silver’s industrial demand component is also under scrutiny, as global growth uncertainties weigh on outlook expectations. In the near term, if price fails to achieve a confirmed breakout above 75 with supporting volume, this move is more likely to be a technical rebound within a broader downtrend. In that case, the 67–69 area remains a potential downside target. On the other hand, a clean and sustained breakout above resistance could invalidate the bearish structure and open the door for a deeper corrective move higher.
OANDA:XAGUSDShort
by DomicChaina
17
Gold H4 Rebounds After Sharp Drop but Downtrend HoldsHello everyone, On the H4 timeframe, gold is showing a clear rebound after the sharp decline toward the 4,200–4,300 zone. However, when viewed in the broader context, the primary trend remains bearish as price continues to trade below key EMA levels and the sequence of lower highs and lower lows has not been broken. The current recovery has pushed price back into the 4,580–4,600 region, which aligns with short-term EMAs and also acts as the nearest resistance zone. This area often serves as a structural retest following a previous breakdown. Notably, although the rebound has been relatively fast, volume has not shown a strong expansion, suggesting that buying pressure is not yet sufficient to confirm a sustainable trend reversal. If price is rejected from this zone, the market is likely to resume its primary downtrend. What’s your view — continuation lower or early signs of stabilization?
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DomicChaina
23
GBP/USD Consolidates Below ResistanceHello everyone, On the H4 timeframe, GBP/USD is showing a clear phase of consolidation as price continues to fluctuate around the 1.34 area—right at the intersection of key moving averages. After an extended downtrend, the market did attempt a recovery, but notably, the bullish momentum has not been strong enough to fully break the previous bearish structure. At the moment, price is testing the long-term moving average (blue line), which is acting as dynamic resistance. Each time the pair approaches this zone, it faces rejection, indicating that sellers are still maintaining control of the market. Meanwhile, the short-term moving average has started to flatten, reflecting a consolidation phase rather than the development of a clear bullish trend.
by DomicChaina
16
XAUUSD Market Structure Update March 23, 2026Demand Hit — Bounce or Breakdown Next? XAUUSD Market Structure Update March 23, 2026 Price is currently trading around the 4,230 level after a sharp impulsive sell-off into the major demand zone. This suggests the market has completed a strong Sell Side Liquidity (SSL) sweep and is now reacting at a key decision point. ➤ Market Structure • Price previously rejected from the higher timeframe supply (~5,450) → confirms macro distribution. • A strong bearish expansion leg has formed, with no significant pullbacks → clear institutional selling. • Price has now tapped into the major demand zone (~4,200 – 4,150). • This area likely contains Sell Side Liquidity (SSL) → potential for short-term bounce. • Current structure shows a reaction phase, where market decides between reversal or continuation. ➤ Key Levels • Supply Zone (HTF): 5,400 – 5,500 • Intermediate Resistance: 4,650 – 4,700 • Intraday Resistance: 4,450 – 4,500 • Demand Zone: 4,200 – 4,150 • Sell Side Liquidity (SSL): below 4,150 If price holds above the 4,200 demand zone and forms a bullish MSS, it would confirm a relief rally toward the 4,650 level (Target 1). However, a clean breakdown below 4,150 would invalidate the bounce scenario and open the path for deeper bearish continuation toward the 3,800 – 3,600 liquidity zone (Target 2).
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSD
by LawrenceMoreau
2
EUR/USD Compression: Setup for Rally or Bear Trap?Hello everyone, On the H4 timeframe, EUR/USD is showing a notable structure as price moves within a rising wedge following a prior downtrend. This type of formation is typically associated with a corrective move rather than a true reversal—especially when price remains below key moving averages and has yet to break through overhead resistance. After the sharp decline from the 1.18 area to below 1.145, the pair found a temporary bottom and began a gradual recovery. However, this recovery is occurring within a narrowing range, forming higher lows but without strong bullish momentum. Currently, price is testing the short-term moving average along with the resistance zone around 1.1600–1.1650, which also aligns with a previous supply area. This is a critical zone that will likely determine whether the market can transition into a bullish structure or if this is simply a corrective bounce within a broader downtrend. Looking deeper, the moving averages are still sloping downward and acting as dynamic resistance. This suggests that the primary trend remains bearish. The higher-probability scenario, in my view, is that price may face rejection in the current zone and rotate back down toward the 1.1500 support area—or even lower if selling pressure re-emerges. From a macro perspective, the US dollar continues to hold strength as the Federal Reserve maintains a cautious stance on rate cuts. Elevated Treasury yields are still supporting the USD, which in turn puts pressure on EUR/USD. Meanwhile, the euro lacks strong fundamental catalysts at the moment, making it difficult for the pair to sustain a meaningful breakout.
Long
by DomicChaina
7
Gold Sell-Off: Downtrend Expands or Bottom Forms?Hello everyone, On the H4 chart, gold is clearly showing a well-defined bearish structure after decisively breaking below the key support zone around 5,000 USD and extending its decline toward the 4,300–4,400 area. Notably, the most recent leg down came with wide price ranges and a surge in volume, signaling a liquidation phase rather than a typical correction. Moving averages continue to slope downward and diverge, confirming that bearish momentum remains dominant, while current rebounds appear technical in nature and insufficient to alter the overall structure. At the moment, price is attempting to bounce from oversold conditions, but rallies are still being capped below dynamic resistance levels. Unless gold can quickly reclaim the 4,700–4,800 zone, downside pressure is likely to persist in the near term. From a macro perspective, the environment remains unfavorable for gold. The US dollar continues to hold strength, while Treasury yields stay elevated, as expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts keep being pushed further out. This increases the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset like gold. At the same time, despite escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and persistently high oil prices, these factors are not providing the usual support. Instead, they are reinforcing inflation concerns, which in turn support the case for prolonged restrictive monetary policy. Another important factor is capital flow. Gold ETFs have seen continued outflows over recent weeks, reflecting cautious sentiment and a lack of strong institutional demand—typically not a positive signal during periods of structural weakness. Overall, the current decline appears to be more than just a technical pullback; it carries the characteristics of a broader trend continuation, with both technical and macro factors aligned to the downside. However, after such an aggressive sell-off, the market may still experience short-term relief rallies driven by oversold conditions.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by DomicChaina
28