Nifty Short term resistances and Supports. Nifty came crumbling down on Profit booking and US trade deal issue not settling down even as another month goes by.
The support currently for Nifty remain near the trend line which is at 25708. If this support is broken Nifty may fall further and the next supports in line are at 25629, 25585, 25512 and a strong Father line support of 200 Hours EMA at 25455.
Resistances on the other hand for Nifty in case of any of the mentioned support is taken remain at 25841 Strong Mother line resistance of 50 Hours EMA and 25880. If these 2 resistances are crossed and we get a closing above them the next resistances in line are at 25956, 26039 and 26108.
After we get a closing above 26108 we can think of Nifty regaining the previous all-time high or even crossing it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
Candlestick Analysis
Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: ETHBTC
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Thu 30 Oct 25
Time: 12:00 pm
Session: NY Session PM
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 0.03498
Profit Level (TP) 0.031992 (+ 8.75 %)
Stop Level (SL) 0.03523 (– 0.71 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 12.24 R
🔸 Technical Context
Wyckoff Structure:
ETHBTC remains in Phase E, completing distribution and entering the markdown sequence.
The pair broke consolidation support following repeated up-thrusts (UTAD) at premium pricing.
Market Structure Shift:
CHOCH confirmed bearish control after rejection from resistance (0.0359–0.0362).
BOS validated breakdown continuation toward the 4 hr FVG (0.0337 – 0.0333).
Phase E now marked by consistent lower highs and liquidity draws below structural lows.
Liquidity Targets / Zones:
Primary Target: 0.0319 (4 hr FVG + order block confluence).
Extended Objective: 0.0300 — deep demand and liquidity resting zone.
Resistance Zone: 0.0359 – 0.0362 (previous supply area).
Volume Profile:
Increasing sell-side volume through breakdown candle; institutional participation confirmed by accelerated momentum at liquidity breach.
🔹 Narrative & Bias
Following weeks of compressed distribution, ETHBTC finally confirmed bearish continuation through Phase E progression. The setup aligns with BTC dominance re-expansion and risk rotation away from ETH as capital flows toward Bitcoin safe-haven liquidity.
Sentiment Context:
Macro: Altcoin weakness amid USD resilience and broader market risk aversion.
On-Chain: ETH exchange inflows rising → evidence of distribution.
Technical: Repeated failures to reclaim resistance zone confirmed bearish supply control.
Projection:
Price expected to extend toward 0.0320 and potentially 0.0300 as the final liquidity objectives beneath September lows are met. Any re-accumulation likely to form only after a full mitigation of the FVG zone (0.0331 – 0.0319).
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair / Symbol: ZS (Zscaler Inc)
Direction: Buy-Side Trade
Date: Tue 7 Oct 25
Time: 7:45 am
Session: LND Session AM
Timeframe: 1-Day
Metric Value
Entry 291.56
Profit Level (TP) 375.42 (+28.79 %)
Stop Level (SL) 286.09 (–1.85 %)
Risk–Reward (RR) 15.54 R
🔸 Technical Context
Structure:
Higher-timeframe break of structure (BOS) through prior swing-high resistance. Price respected the 0.5–0.618 retracement zone (Fib support) and reclaimed previous supply now turned demand.
Fibonacci Confluence:
Targets extend to 1.618–2.618 expansion levels (355 → 410 → 486 zones), aligning with historical resistance clusters.
Momentum Indicators:
Volume expansion and EMA slope confirm renewed institutional demand post-pullback.
Macro Trend:
Sustained up-channel from 2023 lows; structure suggests continuation into Q4 2025 with rotation toward previous all-time-high (486).
🔹 Narrative & Bias
Zscaler remains a leader in cloud-security and zero-trust network access.
The breakout follows a series of higher-lows within a well-defined accumulation base.
Institutional flows appear to be returning to cybersecurity and AI-linked SaaS stocks ahead of U.S. earnings season.
Fundamental Backdrop:
Expansion of AI-driven MDR and SOC solutions increasing client retention.
Sector rotation favouring defensive tech during market uncertainty.
Projection:
Expect price continuation toward the 1.618 Fib extension (≈ 355–376) initially, followed by potential mid-term target ≈ 410–486 should bullish sentiment persist into late Q4 2025.
Will Ethereum’s tight range lead to a breakout? | Day 34☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 Ethereum on the daily timeframe. Ethereum is currently inside a box-like structure in a trading range format. The top of this trading range is in the $4,161 area, and the bottom of this trading range is in the $3,801 price area, where by breaking these zones, Ethereum can start a stronger and more impulsive leg of movement.
🧮RSI oscillator, which has now formed two important oscillation zones for us — one around 54, which overlaps with our long trigger, and the other around 40, which overlaps with our short trigger. The fluctuation limit crossing these zones can give more momentum to Ethereum’s next move on the daily timeframe.
🕯 Ethereum’s volume, after the flash crash the market experienced, has increased sharply, but the tendency has been pushed toward selling pressure, which has caused Ethereum’s corrections to always come with selling pressure.
📈 For Ethereum positioning, the specified zones have high price action validity, where you can set alerts so that if the price reaches these zones, you can open a position. Or, in the multi-timeframe, you can find the identified support and resistance zones and open positions with lower risk around these areas, moving toward anticipating higher or lower levels, so that in each level, you can add some risk to your position.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Has Bitcoin already priced in its next move ? | Day 56☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 Bitcoin on the daily timeframe. After the flash crash it experienced, Bitcoin is almost building a box with a top at $114,559 and a bottom at $106,431, which by breaking these areas, it can get out of this trading range and give us a position.
The noteworthy point in the recent days is the Monday meeting between Trump and the President of China, which can determine the destiny of the market and give it a good direction.
🧮 The RSI oscillator, two key zones have formed for us in the areas of 54.5 and 36, and by the fluctuation limit crossing these areas, the next move of Bitcoin can begin.
🕯 Bitcoin’s volume on the daily timeframe has increased sharply after recording a new all-time high, and this has been a tendency toward increasing selling pressure. In the image, it is completely clear that you can see exactly what happened to the market after the flash crash it experienced.
📈 To take a position with this structural style that we currently have, you can refer to the multi-timeframe analysis of Bitcoin and extract the long and short position triggers, and if Bitcoin gives you an entry, enter the position around the anticipated top or bottom with low risk so that later you can add more volume to your position at higher or lower levels.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ARDX – Double Rising Window Hints Bullish ContinuationARDX – CURRENT PRICE : 6.06
The stock has broken above its long-term downtrend line accompanied by strong volume (look at red arrow). This breakout was confirmed by the formation of a Rising Window (1), signaling the end of the previous bearish phase.
Another Rising Window (2) appeared recently, again on high trading volume, reinforcing bullish sentiment and indicating the likelihood of a continuation in the uptrend. Take note also that the RSI has climbed into bullish territory (above 50), suggesting a shift in momentum towards buyers’ control and further room for upside before reaching overbought conditions.
ENTRY PRICE : 5.80 - 6.10
FIRST TARGET : 7.00
SECOND TARGET : 8.00
SUPPORT : 5.11 (bottom of the Rising Window area)
Has Bitcoin entered the distribution phase yet?👋🏻 Hey everyone! Hope you’re doing great! Welcome to SatoshiFrame channel.
✨ Today we’re diving into the 4-Hour Bitcoin analysis. Stay tuned and follow along!
👀 On the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin recently dropped due to the impact of the FOMC news but then rebounded from the key support level at $106,520 and is now facing its multi-timeframe resistances. Looking at the chart more broadly, we notice equal highs and lows around the $115,585 and $106,520 zones. With a breakout of either of these levels, Bitcoin could experience a sharp and significant move.
🧲 Bitcoin’s selling volume has slightly increased, and if the supports break, this selling could turn into pressure — collectively applying downward force on the market price. Then, buyers may re-enter and start buying Bitcoin again. The hypothesis of a possible distribution phase could turn into a valid theory; however, we must be cautious — if Bitcoin decides to move upward after Monday’s session, it could confirm a new all-time high and continue its upward trend.
✍️ The main scenario for Bitcoin lies around the $115,585 price zone. If this level breaks, we could enter a long position and stay with it for a potentially extended upward move. It’s worth noting that an increase in buying volume along this path could serve as a strong confirmation for our long position.
On the other hand, the short position scenario would become valid if the price breaks below the support and selling pressure intensifies, giving us a high-momentum short setup.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry
Symbol: AAPL (Apple Inc.)
Direction: Buy-Side Trade
Date: Fri 10 Oct 25
Time: 11:00 am
Session: LND to NY Session AM
Timeframe: 1 Hour
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 248.43
Profit Level (TP) 278.00 (+11.88%)
Stop Level (SL) 243.56 (–1.98%)
Risk–Reward (RR) 6.0 R
🔸 Technical Context
Structure:
Price broke out from an extended accumulation zone with confirmation from a BOS (Break of Structure) and Demand Zone Retest on the 15-minute and 1-hour timeframes.
The move aligns with a strong fair value gap fill and retest of the order block around 244–245, which acted as a springboard for the next impulsive leg.
Fibonacci Expansion:
1.618 projection → 261.30 (short-term target)
2.618 projection → 267.60 (intermediate)
3.618 projection → 274.00 (high-probability swing)
4.236 projection → 277.92 (extended TP)
Volume Confirmation:
Volume spikes visible at the breakout candle reinforce institutional participation, marking a clear transition from consolidation to markup phase.
🔹 Narrative & Bias
Apple continues to exhibit buyside momentum after consolidating above the September accumulation range. The breaker block re-entry at 245 aligned with fib 0.618 retracement and strong volume demand, confirming bullish continuation.
Current structure mirrors prior accumulation-distribution cycles seen before major upside runs.
Macro Context:
Tech sector rotation in line with AI & earnings optimism.
Broader equity market stability encouraging risk-on positioning in mega-cap tech names.
Projection:
Price expected to extend toward 267–278 levels before the next major consolidation phase, with potential for partial take-profits near the 1.618 extension.
How to trade gold stably as the weekly and monthly charts close?#XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD
As we expected, gold broke through the previous strong resistance at 4030 and continued its bullish trend, reaching a high of 4046, very close to our target of 4050. Although the price of gold retreated somewhat after the brief surge, from the daily chart, the short-term price of gold is still above the MA5 moving average, while from the 4-hour chart, the middle band coincides with the MA20. Therefore, I don't think this means the bulls have given up; on the contrary, it's more like a way to better accumulate momentum at the bottom. This strategy remains effective, and we can still consider going long on gold when the price retraces to the 3985-3975 range.
Nifty Analysis EOD – October 31, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – October 31, 2025 – Friday 🔴
Bulls Trapped Early — Bears Closed the Week with Authority!
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened flat to mildly negative, but the sentiment quickly turned bearish as the index slipped 63 points within the first minute, breaking below the Previous Day’s Low (PDL). Just as the tone seemed set for a full bearish day, a sudden aggressive recovery spike flipped the momentum — Nifty rallied 131 points from the day’s low, crossing CDO, CDH, and even the CPR zone.
However, the 25950 resistance zone halted this unexpected surge. The CPR tried to hold as support but eventually failed, leading to a sharp fall below PDL, CDL, and S1. The index finally found a pause around the 25790 support, staying range-bound between 25830 ~ 25760 for most of the session.
In the final minutes (around 2:50 PM), Nifty broke the
consolidation and tested the key 25715 ~ 25725 support zone, closing the day at 25731.90, almost at the day’s low.
The first 20 minutes trapped the bulls, and the bears rode comfortably through the rest of the session. Today’s close erased the past 9 trading days of gains, also finishing below last week’s low, signaling clear selling pressure between 25800 ~ 26,000.
Heading into Monday, sustaining below 25725 ~ 25715 could open the door to the next support zone of 25580 ~ 25550. Bulls need to reclaim 25790 quickly to avoid deeper retracement.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Flat-to-weak open quickly turned bearish, breaking PDL.
A surprise 131-point spike trapped early bulls.
Resistance at 25950 and CPR rejection flipped momentum back to bears.
Sharp fall below S1; support emerged at 25790.
Long sideways phase around 25800, followed by a late sell-off to 25725.
Closed near the day’s low — bears in firm control.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,863.80
High: 25,953.75
Low: 25,711.20
Close: 25,722.10
Change: −155.75 (−0.60%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish candle with long upper wick, close near day’s low.
Range (High–Low): 242.55 points → wide and volatile.
Body: ≈ 141.70 points → decisive selling pressure.
Upper Wick: ≈ 89.95 points → strong rejection from highs.
Lower Wick: ≈ 10.90 points → weak recovery near close.
📚 Interpretation
Despite a volatile start, the bears dominated throughout. The session’s failed recovery and close near the lows reflect an exhaustion of buying power. The long upper shadow signals repeated rejections at resistance, confirming that sellers continue to defend higher levels strongly.
🕯Candle Type
A Bearish Continuation Candle, extending Thursday’s weakness. The upper shadow rejection shows that bulls’ attempts to reclaim ground were quickly overpowered by sellers.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 206.86
IB Range: 131.65 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced (Bearish Bias)
Trade Highlights:
9:53 – Short Trade → Target Achieved (R:R 1:2.89)
10:26 – Short Trade → Trailing SL Hit
13:37 – Short Trade → Trailing SL Hit
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
The October expiry week ended with a decisive bearish tone.
If Monday opens below 25715 and fails to reclaim 25790, expect a slide toward 25580 ~ 25550 in the short term.
Conversely, only a close above 25880 can ease selling pressure and hint at a relief bounce.
For now, bearish momentum remains dominant — trade light, stay objective, and let the structure confirm before committing.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25790
25865 ~ 25880
25920 ~ 25944
Support Zones:
25635 ~ 25615
25585
25550
25510
25460 ~ 25440
💡 Final Thoughts
“When the market traps the impatient, it rewards the disciplined. Let structure—not emotion—guide your trades.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
EUR/JPY: Bullish Move After BreakoutThe EURJPY pair has successfully breached and closed above a significant daily/intraday resistance cluster, which was established based on the all-time high.
This previously broken structure has now transitioned into a support level.
Upon retesting this new support, the price action formed a minor cup and handle pattern on the hourly timeframe.
Consequently, I initiated a long position upon the retest of the pattern's broken neckline.
NZDCHF: H1 ATL BreakKey observations across the D1 and H1 timeframes
D1
Pair is in a clean downtrend
Right now, the bearish bar hasn't closed below the low of the bullish bar, which is a small point of concern for selling strength
H1
Price is crossing below a very structural ATL
EMA bands haven't crossed over yet
ASX SPI futures test key uptrend as bears circleAustralian ASX 200 SPI futures look vulnerable, with bearish signals continuing to pile up on the charts.
On the left-hand side, we can see price trading beneath the 50-day moving average, a level it bounced from strongly when tested earlier in the year. Having closed beneath it on Thursday, another bounce was seen in overnight trade where volumes are typically far lower than the day session. However, so far, the rally was sold into, leaving price dangling just above uptrend support.
While it comes with the disclaimer that price action around month-end always needs to be treated with caution, unless we see a solid bounce during the day session, the unconvincing price action over the past week may be enough to encourage bears to seek out lower levels.
The momentum picture has turned noticeably over recent weeks, with RSI (14) trending lower and now beneath 50, indicating pressure is swinging to the downside. MACD also points to waning topside pressure, having crossed the signal line before moving sharply lower towards negative territory. At the very least, it suggests momentum is turning, increasing the probability of bearish setups playing out.
On the weekly timeframe on the right, as things currently stand, we’re staring at a bearish engulfing candle—another warning sign that downside may be looming. It’s obviously not completed yet, but without a meaningful rally on Friday, it may not be lost on other traders, especially given how poor price action has been recently.
If we see a break and close beneath the May uptrend, shorts could be established below the level with a stop above for protection. Possible downside levels to target include 8830, 8750 or 8600, depending on desired risk-reward from the trade.
Should price continue to hold the uptrend and bounce back above the 50DMA and close there, the setup could be flipped, with longs established above the moving average and a stop beneath the uptrend. A break above minor resistance at 8950 could open the door for a potential run back towards the record highs.
Good luck!
DS
Market volatility, why I dare to be bullish on BTC#BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
The BTC market has been declining since yesterday's US session, with a sharp drop following Powell's hawkish comments, hitting a low of around 106,500. Institutional trading activity has decreased in the short term, suggesting a deliberate wait-and-see approach, anticipating further price corrections before re-entering the market. Therefore, do not blindly participate in trading in the short term.
The current BTC market may seem bustling, but it is actually rife with undercurrents. A new direction will only be established when sentiment reaches its peak and volatility subsides. Perhaps the next real starting point will not be in the current clamor, but after the cheers of retail investors subside. Pay attention to the performance of the downward channel support level of 160,000-104,500. If it pulls back to this range, you can consider establishing a small long position.
Nifty Analysis EOD – October 30, 2025 – Thursday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – October 30, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bears Take the Driver’s Seat — 26K Slips Away Again!
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 55-point gap-down right at the previously marked support zone of 26010 ~ 26020. However, the very first minute of trade confirmed weakness — the index couldn’t hold this zone and lost nearly 140 points within the first 40 minutes, breaking both key support and PDL levels.
A brief rescue attempt came from 25900, leading to a 75-point bounce, but conviction was missing — the market stayed rangebound for the majority of the session. Around 1:30 PM, a breakdown below IB Low triggered another wave of selling, marking the day’s low at 25845 in a highly volatile session.
By the close, Nifty settled at 25891.20, down 177 points, reflecting a clear shift in control to the bears.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap-down open near key support (26010–26020) failed instantly.
Sharp 140-point fall in early trade broke multiple support levels.
Rebound from 25900 lacked conviction; sideways phase dominated mid-session.
Breakdown below IB Low (13:30) opened a fresh range to 25845.
Wild volatility throughout; end-of-day close below 26K strengthened bearish grip.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,984.40
High: 26,032.05
Low: 25,845.25
Close: 25,877.85
Change: −176.05 (−0.68%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bearish candle with long upper wick and wide range.
Range (High–Low): 186.80 points → high volatility.
Body: ≈ 106.55 points → strong selling pressure.
Upper wick: ≈ 47.65 points → rejection from intraday highs.
Lower wick: ≈ 32.60 points → mild recovery from lows.
📚 Interpretation
The day began with optimism but ended in disappointment for bulls. Early strength faded quickly as sellers dominated from 26,000 onward.
The close near the lower end of the range confirms profit booking and mild distribution at higher levels. This candle follows the earlier bullish continuation with a strong bearish response, signaling short-term caution.
🕯Candle Type
A Bearish Engulfing–like continuation candle, though not textbook perfect, represents a decisive rejection near 26K — an early warning for bulls.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 202.90
IB Range: 139.80 → Medium
Market Structure: Imbalanced (Bearish Tilt)
Trade Highlights:
10:31 – Short Trade → Trailing SL Hit
10:57 – Long Trade → Target Achieved (R:R 1:1.31)
13:18 – Long Trade → SL Hit
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
As mentioned in yesterday’s note, 26010 ~ 26020 was the must-hold zone — and losing it handed full control to bears.
For bulls to regain ground, Nifty needs to close above 26K with strength.
For bears, a close below 25700 will confirm short-term dominance and possibly extend weakness toward 25580–25500.
Until then, expect high volatility and range-bound play. Avoid emotional trades; discipline is your edge.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25920
25944
25977
26010 ~ 26020
Support Zones:
25865 ~ 25845
25810 ~ 25790
25725 ~ 25715
💡 Final Thoughts
“Markets test patience before rewarding conviction. In volatility, your biggest weapon is restraint.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
What is the purpose of this back-and-forth market manipulation?#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD
Gold prices have broken through short-term resistance due to news, and the hourly and 4-hour charts show prices above the middle Bollinger Bands. Therefore, we need to adjust our strategies accordingly. However, the market is currently fluctuating rapidly, and entering the market rashly in the short term still carries significant risks. Therefore, the wise choice is to wait and see, and enter the market only after the market stabilizes. In the short term, the upside resistance level to watch remains at 4030. If gold breaks through this level strongly during the US session, the price may test 4050. The initial support level to watch is 3980-3960. If the price retraces but does not break through this level, consider taking small long positions in gold in batches, with a target of 4010-4030. Temporary adversity is the best test for traders; setbacks only make us stronger. Success belongs to the confident, opportunity belongs to the pioneers, and miracles belong to the persistent! 💪💪💪
Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EURUSD
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Thu 30 Oct 25
Time: 3:30 am
Session: London Session AM
Timeframe: 15 Min
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 1.16190
Profit Level (TP) 1.15480 (+0.61%)
Stop Level (SL) 1.16379 (–0.16%)
Risk–Reward (RR) 3.76 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
Price printed a lower-high formation following a weak London open. After multiple sweeps above intraday liquidity, the pair shifted structure with a clear CHOCH (15 min) and BOS confirmation.
Key Zones:
Entry Zone: 1.1618 – 1.1620 (Sell-side rejection area / FVG 15 min)
Target Zone: 1.1548 – 1.1540 (Demand + daily low cluster)
Stop Zone: Above previous swing high and adaptive MA crossover
Confluences:
Price rejection at KAMA (adaptive MA) acting as dynamic resistance.
5 min BDS and FVG overlap aligned with premium pricing.
Volume expansion on the bearish impulse post-CHOCH.
Liquidity draw visible below prior daily lows (1.1550 handle).
🔹 Narrative & Bias
The short entry follows a liquidity sweep + structure break model within the London session.
The 15 min CHOCH signalled that buy-side liquidity was exhausted, creating a sell-off aligned with the higher-timeframe narrative of Euro correction and renewed USD demand.
Sentiment Context:
Macro tone supported by stronger USD data and intraday Dollar index recovery.
Euro showing exhaustion after prior session rallies; correlated GBP pairs confirm relative Euro out-performance but broader USD dominance.
Projection:
Expect price to continue seeking sell-side liquidity toward 1.1550 – 1.1540 before consolidation or a retracement into the broken structure zone for potential re-entry.
Long trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: USDCAD
Direction: Buy-Side Trade
Date: Thu 30 Oct 25
Time: 3:45 am
Session: London Session AM
Timeframe: 15 Min
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 1.39432
Profit Level (TP) 1.40009 (+0.41%)
Stop Level (SL) 1.39294 (–0.10%)
Risk–Reward (RR) 3.76 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
Price has been consolidating after a prolonged down-move, forming an accumulation range near the 1.3920 handle. During the London open, price swept liquidity below Asian lows, then produced a CHOCH (15m) and BOS, signalling reversal intent.
Key Zones:
Demand Zone: 1.3920–1.3930 (accumulation block, liquidity sweep)
Target Zone: 1.4000 psychological round number (prior London high)
Adaptive MA (KAMA): Now turning upward, supporting directional bias.
5min TF overview
Confluences:
Liquidity grab below 1.3930 confirmed with strong bullish candle.
Structure break with follow-through volume.
Session timing: London liquidity injection during transition from Tokyo.
USD strength theme across correlated pairs (EURUSD + GBPUSD).
🔹 Narrative & Bias
The setup plays into the USD strength narrative developing across the London session, with correlated weakness seen in EURUSD and GBPUSD.
After stop hunts beneath the Asian low, the 15-minute structure confirmed bullish reversal, creating a clean FVG and demand zone confluence for entry.
Projection:
Expect price to continue toward 1.4000–1.4020, with potential retrace at mid-range (1.3970). Should momentum sustain, continuation into New York could extend target levels.
Short trade
📘 Trade Journal Entry
Pair: GBPUSD
Direction: Sell-Side Trade
Date: Thu 30 Oct 25
Time: 3:30 am
Session: London Session AM
Timeframe: 15 Min
🔹 Trade Details
Metric Value
Entry 1.32064
Profit Level (TP) 1.31594 (+0.41%)
Stop Level (SL) 1.34172 (–1.11%)
Risk–Reward (RR) 3.86 R
🔸 Technical Context
Market Structure:
Persistent bearish trend through mid-October; each London and NY session forming lower highs within a descending channel.
Current setup shows continuation pattern following a BOS (Break of Structure) at 1.3233 and rejection from prior consolidation block.
Liquidity Events:
Previous London highs swept (~1.3227) before rejection.
Break below Asian range confirming sell-side continuation.
Next liquidity target seen around 1.3150–1.3140, aligning with prior daily low zone.
Confluences:
Price rejected from Kaufman Adaptive MA (KAMA), acting as dynamic resistance.
Sustained distribution phase confirmed by repeated session highs getting absorbed.
Momentum candles expanding lower, supported by increasing volume at session open.
🔹 Narrative & Bias
The setup capitalizes on the London session volatility after several days of consistent bearish flow in GBP. The rejection from the adaptive MA and the liquidity sweep above local highs signalled continuation toward draw-on-liquidity objectives below the 1.3160 region.
The short entry represents a trend continuation trade, supported by:
Structural confirmation (BOS + CHOCH)
FVG rejection near premium zone
Correlated weakness in GBP across EURGBP cross pair
Projection:
Expect price to extend to 1.3140–1.3135 before any meaningful retracement or demand-zone reaction.






















