BTC after reaching the targets from the previous analysis After reaching the targets from the previous analysis, I see two possibilities from a weekly timeframe:
Either the price directly drops to $84,085, or BTC makes a pullback to values between $102,934 and $104,702, from where I would look for a short position towards $84,674.
My trading plan would be:
Entry: $102,934.9
SL: $109,414.5
TP: $84,674.4
RRR: 2.82
Candlestick Analysis
Gold 🔵Entry
🔴SL
🟢TP
*`ANALYSIS`*
1. Strong support level respected several times
2. 30 min candle closed below support, meaning support is broken
3. Didn't sell cause the SL would have been big & the candle was breaking the previous candles low in first 2minutes without making a liquidity wick first.
*`Entry`*
When price broke the low of previous exhaustion candles wick with stops above the previous 15min candle high.
*`Set-up`* Impulse Entries
*`Session`* Pre-London
*`Trade Result`*
+0.8%💰
+24pips🎯
FireHoseReel | BNB Daily Analysis #2😄 Hey! How’s everything? Hope you’re doing great!
🍾 Welcome to FireHoseReel — make sure to follow and enjoy the analysis along the way.
If you ever want a custom chart breakdown, just leave a comment and I’ve got you.
😎 Now let’s jump into the analysis of my favorite coin: BNB .
👀 BNB – 4H Timeframe
BNB recently gave us a short trigger on the 4-hour chart after breaking its key support at $896. Price dropped right toward our first target at $818, hit it cleanly, and is now stuck in a “mid-zone” with no clear direction.
Even on a multi-timeframe view, we currently don’t have any valid entry trigger, so we need to wait for new structure formation before planning the next move.
📊 Volume Analysis
Our volume indicator played a major role here:
Once the support broke and the short trigger activated — exactly as mentioned in yesterday’s analysis — sell pressure increased sharply.
Whales also started selling their BNB as soon as the support failed, and many traders used this opportunity to enter short positions.
Volume is still showing bearish pressure, and the last two 4H candles had a strong increase in selling activity, turning into clear downward momentum.
✔️ Now let’s analyze something different — BNB/BTC pair
On the 4H timeframe, this pair is still moving inside its trading range and has managed to maintain its relative strength against BTC.
However:
• A breakout above the range high at 0.010162 could trigger a strong bullish move
• A breakdown below the range low at 0.009800 could lead to a deeper correction in the BNB/USDT pair and accelerate the bearish momentum there
For now, the pair holds a bullish bias, but we need confirmation through an actual breakout.
✍️ Current Scenarios
We don’t have a new setup today, as yesterday’s short position already played out and is still valid.
For a new entry — long or short — we need BNB to build a fresh market structure and give us a clean trigger.
Until then, patience is the best strategy.
🛞 Risk Management & Disclaimer
Please remember to always use proper risk management and position sizing. Nothing in this analysis is financial advice. The market can change quickly, so always trade based on your own strategy, research, and risk tolerance. You are fully responsible for your own trades.
Why is Microsoft Stock $MSFT dropping hard?Microsoft just did what every impatient trader hates… after a massive rally, the candles are shrinking, emotions are rising, and here comes the correction everyone said ‘couldn’t happen.’ Today I’ll show you—using pure supply and demand—why MSFT is being magnetically pulled back into the monthly demand imbalance like a toddler to a candy shop. No fundamentals, no drama… just price action, imbalances, and patience. Let’s dive in.
Microsoft Monthly Supply & Demand Analysis
After Apple’s strong monthly correction setup, Microsoft (MSFT) is showing the exact same pattern — but even cleaner.
This is what I love when I teach traders to learn to trade stocks using pure price action and supply and demand imbalances. You don’t need news, earnings, or any guru opinion — everything is already priced in at the higher timeframes. Just like I explained in the Supply and Demand Free Course , the bigger timeframes tell you what the professionals already did months ago.
Let’s break it down.
Candles Shrinking = Momentum Weakening
Fast-forward to mid/late 2025:
- The wide-bodied candles disappeared
- Small-bodied candles appeared
- Then came the big bearish candle
This is classic momentum decay. This is exactly when most traders start acting emotionally:
- They zoom into 5-minute charts
- Their IQ drops by 50 points
- They forget the trend
- They forget the imbalance
- They become chart zombies
But price action never lies — we’re simply seeing exhaustion after a massive markup.
Is Apple Stock $APPL About To Crash Hard?Apple. Yes, one of the most liquid, most loved, and most worshipped stocks on the planet is about to teach retail traders a very expensive lesson. And no, you don’t need fundamentals, Bloomberg breaks, or Tim Cook whispers. You just need supply and demand imbalances, price action… and a little patience — the hardest skill ever created by nature.
Let’s dive into why AAPL could drop like a stone straight into the next monthly demand level. And yes… smaller timeframes can turn us into absolute dummies, so today I’ll save you from yourself.
Apple. The king of liquidity. The heavyweight champion of market capitalization. The stock that every beginner wants to buy… usually at the worst possible moment, of course.
And today, we’re going to talk about what really matters for the next years — the monthly supply and demand structure, not the tiny little M15 candles that make us behave like confused chickens.
Why Apple Is Setting Up a Major Drop (Again)
AAPL has been in a long-term bullish trend for years, but what many traders forget is this:
👉 Rallies eventually need to correct.
👉 Big imbalances act like magnets.
👉 Smaller timeframe “signals” make people behave like total dummies.
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 11/21/2025 SessionCME_MINI:NQZ2025
- PR High: 24166.25
- PR Low: 24018.00
- NZ Spread: 331.0
Key scheduled economic events:
09:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI
- S&P Global Services PMI
Session Open Stats (As of 12:35 AM)
- Session Open ATR: 525.13
- Volume: 66K
- Open Int: 301K
- Trend Grade: Long
- From BA ATH: -8.4% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as ranges)
- Long: 26636
- Mid: 25410
- Short: 24039
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
BA: Back Adjusted
BuZ/BeZ: Bull Zone / Bear Zone
NZ: Neutral Zone
CRUDE OIL (WTI): Bullish Move After Trap
There is a high chance that Crude Oil will pull back
from the underlined daily key level.
I see a confirmed bear trap followed by a bullish imbalance
candle on an hourly.
I expect a rise at least to 58.51 level.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Nasdaq 100, Tesla and Apple OutlookWall Street is on the verge of closing lower for a third week for the first time in eight months. I explain why I think there could be further losses ahead, why Tesla (TSLA) is a preferred short setup and why to keep an eye on Apple (AAPL).
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
NZDCHF: Trend ContinuationDaily TF
Not much to say other than price is in a clear downtrend
H1 TF
Price crossed below ATL and is holding
EMA20 is barely below EMA60 so this is a weak downtrend confluence
Trading: definitely proceed with caution and consider reducing size and then scaling in momentum picks up
AUD/JPY: Exhaustion at The High?AUD/JPY briefly traded at a 16-month high on Thursday before reversing lower. At current levels it’s on track to form a spinning-top doji on the weekly chart, and it has already printed a shooting-star candle on the daily at the November high and monthly S1 pivot.
Given the multi-week bearish RSI divergence and false breakout at the highs, the bias is for some mean reversion towards at least the 20-day EMA. The 100 handle and 50-day EMA near the January high also make viable downside targets for bears, should the yen enjoy a bout of risk-on strength.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
BITCOIN ON MOUNTLYHello everyone,
I’ve been reviewing Bitcoin on the monthly timeframe and analyzing its local lows, and the results turned out to be quite interesting. Since the major correction in December 2017, Bitcoin has shown recurring corrective structures on this timeframe. When measuring the drawdowns from cycle tops, we typically see corrections in the 70–80% range. Also, before each major downturn, the price tends to form two local lows, with the second one usually providing traders a final opportunity to exit.
This year, based on both historical behaviour and current market dynamics, we’re seeing a similar pattern develop. Considering these factors, I expect the market to remain bearish for at least the next nine months. I see the current potential bottom near $58,800, and if this level breaks, the maximum correction could bring Bitcoin down into the $29–33K range.
On the upside, the $93–102K zone remains, in my view, the most favorable range for exiting the market.
Wishing you all success.
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 20, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 20, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bullish Extension Continues, Nifty Just 29 Points Away from All-Time High!
🗞 Nifty Summary
The Nifty opened with an 83-point Gap Up, confidently trading above the Previous Day’s High (PDH). The initial few minutes saw the gap fill, finding solid support exactly at the PDH level.
The index then consolidated for about 90 minutes near the CDH + IBH, forming a narrow 20-25 point range. Following this pause, Nifty resumed its upward march with steady “baby steps,” successfully breaching the crucial 26220 resistance level and marking the day’s high at 26,246.65. Although unable to sustain above 26220, leading to a sharp, volatile slip back, the index closed strongly at 26,192.15, adding +139.50 points (+0.54%) from the previous day’s close.
This was a clear bullish extension day, achieving the targets aimed for yesterday, though the lack of participation from small-cap and mid-cap segments remains a point of caution. We are now merely 29 points away from marking a new All-Time High (ATH).
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
The session was defined by an initial deep gap-up, followed by the gap-fill and strong defense of the PDH, confirming the bullish bias.
The mid-session consolidation was a low-volume affair, acting as a spring for the second leg of the upward rally.
The move through 26220 was aggressive, but the quick rejection from the high indicated strong supply at the historical peak levels.
The final closing level, however, remains robust, signaling that overall control is with the buyers, and the primary objective is the ATH.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 26,132.10
High: 26,246.65
Low: 26,063.20
Close: 26,192.15
Change: +139.50 (+0.54%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Type: Bullish candle.
Range (High–Low): ≈ 183 points — healthy, broad intraday movement.
Body: ≈ 60 points — showing controlled but steady bullish strength.
Upper Wick: ≈ 54 points — indicating profit-booking or resistance near the 26220 high.
Lower Wick: ≈ 69 points — strong buying from lower levels, confirming demand on dips.
📚 Interpretation
The strong opening and consistent follow-through buying throughout the day confirm the prevailing bullish trend. Although the upper wick is substantial, reflecting the failure to sustain the breakout above 26220, the close is well above the open and previous major resistance levels. This indicates that while bears defended the immediate high, they were unable to shift the overall market structure.
🕯 Candle Type
Bullish Candle with Both-Side Wicks (Buyers Dominant) — This is a strong continuation signal, confirming the control of the bulls despite minor overhead resistance.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 196.67
IB Range: 72.8 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
10:05 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:3.13)
12:24 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:3.96)
Trade Summary: The strategy performed exceptionally well today, capitalising on the clear directional moves after the initial range-bound phase. The two high R:R long trades captured the core bullish extension of the day.
🧱 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
26220 (Immediate Resistance)
26277 (All-Time High)
Support Zones:
26135 (Gap Fill Zone)
26104 ~ 26075 (Critical Intraday Support)
26063 ~ 26040
26000 (Psychological Support)
25950 ~ 25940
🧠 Final Thoughts
“The final frontier is 26,277.”
The market is in clear bullish territory, with all major resistance levels below 26220 successfully converted into support. The primary focus for the next session is the All-Time High at 26,277.
A decisive breach and close above this level will trigger strong momentum. If the market fails to breach the ATH, we may see a slight correction toward the 26135 support zone before the next attempt.
Traders must remain mindful that non-participation from the broader market (mid/small-caps) could eventually lead to market breadth deterioration.
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
USDJPY – Waiting for H1 CHoCH After Daily Supply RejectionAfter reacting from the Daily Supply Zone, USDJPY is now showing signs of slowing momentum on H1. This region is the decision point: either we see a confirmed structural break (CHoCH), or price continues pushing upward into unmitigated liquidity.
Execution Plan:
– Wait for an H1 candle-body close below the last bullish swing high
– Let price retrace into the newly-formed H1 supply
– Refine on M15/M5 for entry
– No shorts without structural confirmation
If price reclaims the high instead of breaking down, the bearish idea becomes invalid and the bullish trend continues, and we can look at the further SO POINT.
Patience here is key.
Bitcoin Daily Analysis – November 20 | Two Clear ScenarioHey everyone! Hope you're having an amazing and profitable day! 🌟
Today is Thursday, 20 November, and as always, here’s your fresh Bitcoin analysis.
The Fear & Greed Index is at 15 — which means the market is deep in extreme fear. 😨
And as we know… extreme fear often creates big opportunities.
🔍 A Very Important Note Before We Begin
This latest rejection from the $88K level happened while Bitcoin dominance was rising —
meaning BTC led the move upward, not altcoins.
This detail matters a lot for today’s scenarios.
Now let’s break everything down 👇
🟥 Scenario A — Bullish Structure Building (Risky but High Potential)
Looking at the 4H timeframe, yesterday’s rejection was actually stronger than the previous one.
But here’s the interesting part:
The sellers’ attack was weaker
→ smaller candles
→ lower volume
The bullish engulfing candle we formed afterward was stronger AND higher volume than the last one.
So… is this enough to go LONG immediately?
👉 No. It’s not.
Because on the daily timeframe, sellers still have control,
and I need buyers to prove their strength one more time before entering.
✔️ What I need to see:
If Bitcoin creates a 1-hour higher low,
and then breaks the previous rejection high,
I will open a long position, even though it’s a bit risky.
Why?
Because this level has huge potential if buyers step in.
If we get that setup, I expect a reaction at higher resistance levels —
but I will try to hold the position as long as buyers stay in control.
❓ What if price pumps without building a clean structure?
No problem.
I already have a long position on ASTER,
and if another altcoin inside my strategy gives me an entry setup,
I’ll take that instead.
Still, I prefer to take one controlled long here,
even if I get stopped out — that’s part of the plan.
🟦 Scenario B — The Market Goes Sideways & Ranges
If Bitcoin decides to range in this area until the end of the week,
then two things are very likely to happen:
$90,500 will get tested
$93,500 will also get tested
And whichever level breaks after the range
will give us an excellent entry — long or short.
💥 What if a sharp drop happens?
If Bitcoin dumps sharply from here,
I won’t open any short on BTC itself.
Instead, I’ll look to short altcoins,
because they fall harder and faster than Bitcoin during panic.
And of course, I’ll keep risk small and stops even smaller.
🧠 Overall Market Approach
Right now, the market isn’t in a condition where I want to take big risks.
And that’s exactly what I recommend to you as well:
👉 Avoid emotional trades
👉 Respect your risk management
👉 Focus on survival, not perfection
Opportunities always come —
but only traders who stay in the market long enough can catch them.
Thank you so much for reading today’s analysis! 🙏
Wishing you a day full of profits, clarity, and blessings! 💛✨
Stay disciplined, stay patient, and stay sharp.
Good luck, traders! 🚀📊
Gold – Outperforming During Market UncertaintyThe price of Gold has wobbled at times this week under the pressure of a period of broad-based risk aversion that can at times force traders to unwind popular positions to balance their portfolios, but it hasn’t yet buckled! In fact, after opening on Monday around 4080 and initially selling off with global stock indices and crypto currencies to a low of 3998 early on Tuesday morning, Gold briefly recovered to touch a high of 4132 on Wednesday before moving back down to trade closer to opening levels around 4075 (0630 GMT)
Part of the resilience of Gold could be long term investors and central banks buying the dip as a diversification away from the dollar as their main safe haven asset, but it could also be down to an unstable global growth outlook, with the US and Chinese economies at potential crucial inflection points, concerns about financial risks in the private credit sector, as well as on-going geo-political uncertainty. However, Gold’s resilience may be about to face a sterner challenge of a surging US dollar.
Overnight, while stronger than expected Q3 earnings and sales forecasts from NVIDIA have helped stabilise risk sentiment in the short term, the Federal Reserve minutes of their October rate meeting showed that Fed officials were leaning towards keeping rates unchanged for the rest of the year. As a rule, a lower interest rate environment is supportive of Gold prices as it is a non-interest-bearing asset and vice versa.
Not only that, this hawkish tilt from the Fed minutes has seen the US dollar rally, a move that can also weigh on Gold which is priced in dollars, as it makes it more expensive for foreign investors. Further US dollar strength could be an area of concern moving into the release of the delayed September Non-farm payrolls report later today at 1330 GMT. This data may provide traders with more clarity about how quickly the US labour market is slowing, with an increased potential for greater swings in Gold prices as traders readjust positions for what the data could mean for the prospects of future Federal Reserve policy and the US dollar.
Gold Technical Update: Is This April to July 2025 All Over Again?
Gold hit an all‑time high of 4381 in October, but since then price action has been choppy, with a sharp 11.25% two‑week sell‑off into the recent lows. This kind of consolidation can often follow strong acceleration phases, raising the question of whether the popular metal is now entering a similar corrective pattern to the one seen between April and July 2025, when repeated swings and sideways trading dominated price action.
Between April and July 2025, Gold surged to a high of 3500, before a sharp 11% sell‑off took price down to the 3120 May low. From there, the market shifted into a sideways consolidation phase, unwinding the earlier upside price overextension. This pause allowed the Bollinger mid‑average to ‘catch up’ with price, providing a support base. Once the average was tested, fresh price strength emerged to resume the broader uptrend.
It’s worth stressing that while Gold consolidated between April and July, there’s no certainty the same pattern will repeat now. What history does show is that consolidation phases often act to unwind both upside and downside extremes, and that risk could be present in Gold over the coming days, weeks, or even months, as the market digests the recent volatility.
Possible Shorter Term Support /Resistance Over Payrolls:
While longer‑term risks point to possible consolidation, the short‑term focus in Gold is could be shaped by today’s September Payrolls release. This event could trigger price volatility, making it important to track daily support and resistance levels. Traders may be monitoring how price reacts around these key levels, as they may define the immediate directional bias.
Potential Support Levels:
The latest price weakness from the 4245 November 13th high has so far found support at the daily Bollinger mid‑average, currently at 4042. This level appears to be helping stabilise price activity and even seeing signs of recovery, keeping it as an important short‑term reference point.
With the 4042-level established as the first potential support on Thursday, it may be monitored if weakness develops. A break below 4042 could open scope for further declines toward 3998, the November 18th low, and potentially to 3887, which is the October 28th low.
b]Potential Resistance Levels:
With a rally emerging from the support at 4042, traders could now be monitoring the November 13th high at 4245 as the first resistance. Since selling pressure has recently capped strength at this level, a closing break above 4245 may be needed to suggest further attempts at upside momentum.
A break above 4245 might lead to renewed strength, with the focus then possibly shifting toward the October 20th all‑time high at 4381 as the next key resistance level.
Today’s payrolls release could see increased short‑term price volatility, bringing daily support and resistance levels into focus. However, unless the data provides a clear directional signal, the broader risk backdrop could suggest Gold continues its consolidation, unwinding the recent over‑extended upside conditions further.
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Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
GBP/AUD: Upside Potential from High Volume ZoneCurrent Situation:
GBP/AUD price reached the resistance level at 2.03417, where limit players halted the upward movement and pushed the price down into a high volume zone. A small reversal structure is forming in this area, indicating a possible resumption of growth.
Primary Scenario:
We expect continuation of upward movement from the current support zone. The presence of an unfilled gap above confirms the probability of price attraction to these levels. The high volume zone serves as a platform for building buying interest from institutional participants.
Target Levels:
Primary target: filling the gap above current levels
Secondary target: updating the high around 2.03417 and beyond
Alternative Scenario:
If price fails to hold within the high volume zone and breaks below it with increased selling volume, this will invalidate the bullish scenario and open the path for a deeper correction.
Trading Plan:
Entry Zone: Current high volume zone (position already opened)
Key Resistance: 2.03417
Support Level: Lower boundary of the high volume zone
Position Management:
Monitor price development in the reversal zone. Upon confirmation of upward movement, partial profit-taking is recommended as price approaches the 2.03417 level, followed by trailing the remaining position.
Risk Management:
Stop-loss should be placed below the high volume zone to protect against the alternative scenario realization.
ETHEREUM(ETH/USD): Consolidation – The Silence of VolatilityEven though ⚠️ETHEREUM is trading in a bearish trend since October, 📉
The pair has been in a deep consolidation, since the last 3 days 🗓️
The price is currently testing a strong horizontal support level where the price is consolidating. ↔️
Because the trend is strongly bearish, chances will be high to see
a further bearish continuation. 🐻
Your reliable confirmation will be a breakout and a 4H candle close below the underlined support. 🕯️
The next goal for the sellers will be 2840 🎯
Alternatively, the market may continue consolidating and trading within the range. 🔄






















