ETH 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 3💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 We’re observing the 4-hour Ethereum chart, and ETH is trading within a 4-hour box. The ceiling of this box is at the $4,820 level, and the floor is at $4,166. The floor was once faked out, showing a reaction toward the ceiling but got rejected from this area. Buyer makers have kept the price near the midline of the box. A trendline has been drawn from the box’s lower level, and each time ETH hits this trendline, it has shown an upward reversal. Breaking and holding above the midline of the box could push ETH toward the ceiling, with the midline acting as an early trigger .
⚙️ Key RSI levels are at 50 and 70. With increased volatility, long trades on Ethereum could drive it upward, and crossing the 50 level could push ETH’s price into the upper part of the box, giving it another chance to test breaking the 70 level and setting a new high. If rejected and this scenario fails, ETH could experience a deep correction, as it hasn’t entered oversold territory or seen a deep correction for several days .
🕯 The size and volume of green candles have increased compared to red candles, which prevents a deep correction in ETH. However, yesterday in ETFs, people bought a significant amount of Ethereum, and this weakness in the corrective trend suggests that ETH has a stronger tendency to rise and climb .
🪙 We’re observing the 4-hour ETH/BTC index chart, and ETH has a strong support level against Bitcoin at 0.03972, where increased volume triggered a reversal. There’s also a resistance level at 0.04275, and breaking this level with increased volume and RSI entering overbought territory could confirm a long trade for ETH .
🔔 Our trading alarm zones for ETH positions are at $4,820, where breaking this level could signal a long position. An early trigger for a long trade could be at $4,553, where breaking this level increases the likelihood of breaking the ceiling of the 4-hour box. The short trade alarm zone is at $4,166, where breaking this level could initiate a deep correction for ETH .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Candlestick Analysis
How to Trade Morning Star and Evening Star Candlestick Patterns Learn to identify and trade Morning Star and Evening Star candlestick formations using TradingView’s charting tools in this detailed tutorial from Optimus Futures.
Morning and Evening Stars are powerful reversal patterns that often mark turning points in the market. Recognizing them can help you anticipate when momentum is about to shift—and take advantage of new trading opportunities.
What You’ll Learn:
• How Morning Stars signal bullish reversals at the end of a downtrend
• How Evening Stars indicate bearish reversals after extended uptrends
• The three-candle structure of each pattern and what it means for trader psychology
• Why indecision candles (like dojis) play a critical role in confirming momentum shifts
• Using volume confirmation to validate Morning and Evening Star setups
• The importance of context: spotting these patterns at major support and resistance levels
• Setting effective stop losses at the high/low of the pattern for risk control
• Advanced entry tactic: waiting for retracement after confirmation to optimize risk/reward
This tutorial may help futures traders and technical analysts who want to harness candlestick reversal signals to identify potential market turning points.
The strategies covered could assist you in creating structured setups when strong buying or selling pressure appears at key chart levels.
Learn more about futures trading with TradingView:
optimusfutures.com
Disclaimer:
There is a substantial risk of loss in futures trading. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Please trade only with risk capital. We are not responsible for any third-party links, comments, or content shared on TradingView. Any opinions, links, or messages posted by users on TradingView do not represent our views or recommendations. Please exercise your own judgment and due diligence when engaging with any external content or user commentary.
This video represents the opinion of Optimus Futures and is intended for educational purposes only. Chart interpretations are presented solely to illustrate objective technical concepts and should not be viewed as predictive of future market behavior. In our opinion, charts are analytical tools—not forecasting instruments. Market conditions are constantly evolving, and all trading decisions should be made independently, with careful consideration of individual risk tolerance and financial objective
BTC 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 23💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4-hour Bitcoin chart, after hitting a new high, BTC faced a quick rug pull/sell-off with strong momentum toward the $112,000 support. It then bounced with a solid 4-hour candle toward the $117,000 resistance but got heavily rejected again with selling pressure. BTC is now around $110,000, supported once by buyer makers. Today, check Forex Factory for key US economic news that could impact the market.
⚙️ Key RSI level is near 30; crossing this with high volatility could intensify selling pressure, offering a small risk opportunity. Another key level at 64; breaking this could form a higher low compared to the previous one.
🕯 Red candles are increasing in size and volume, with fewer but larger candles moving downward, indicating sustained selling pressure.
💵 On the 1-hour USDT.D chart, after breaking 4.44%, it’s moving upward but showing trend weakness. This level is key for BTC’s highs and lows. A rejection and drop in dominance could boost BTC and BTC pairs, while a hold above 4.44% could deepen BTC’s correction.
🔔 Trading alarm zones are at $112,240 and $109,800. A break and hold above/below these could offer trade setups. Always check oscillator conditions and Tether dominance. Also, focus on BTC pairs — they provide more momentum with less capital.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Bajaj Consumer Care looking strong on charts.Bajaj Consumer Care Ltd. Closing price 229.51 engages in the manufacturing and marketing of cosmetics, toiletries, and other personal care products. Its brands include Bajaj Almond Drops, Bajaj Coconut Oil, Bajaj 100% Pure, Natyv Soul, Bajaj Nomarks, and Bajaj Brahmi Amla.
Negative aspects of the stock is MFs decreased their holding in the stock in last quarter. Decline in net cash flow and high PE (25). Positive aspect of the company is that it is a company with no debt and Zero promoter pledge.
Entry for paper trading can be taken after closing above 233. The resistances for the stock will be at 248, 262 and 283. The support or the stop loss in the stock can be maintained at 204 or 196 depending on your risk taking ability.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
VIX Futures Positioning Sends Volatility Smoke SignalsIf real money exposure to the futures market is any guide, the VIX may be at or near a cycle low — implying that higher volatility could be on the horizon for Wall Street. Should a significant catalyst emerge, it could ripple through risk appetite across multiple asset classes.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at Forex.com and City Index.
CADCHF: Bearish Price Action Confirmed 🇨🇦🇨🇭
CADCHF is going to drop from an intraday horizontal resistance.
As a confirmation, the price formed a tiny double top pattern
on that and broke its neckline after a London session opening.
With a high chance, the price will drop to 0.5805
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Market Outlook – Smart Money Concepts in ActionToday’s price action gave us a perfect illustration of liquidity grabs, session structures, and imbalance fills.
Trendline Break & Retest: Price broke below the intraday ascending trendline and is now retesting that structure, hinting at potential bearish continuation unless buyers reclaim control.
Liquidity Sweeps: We saw a sharp liquidity grab during the Asian session followed by a strong bullish move in London, only to fail holding above key levels.
Imbalance Zones: Price is currently reacting around a fair value gap (FVG) highlighted on the chart. If demand fails here, we could see a push lower into the next unmitigated imbalance zone.
Session Analysis:
Asia → Choppy, liquidity sweep.
London → Strong rally, failed continuation.
New York → Now driving momentum, setting the tone for the rest of the day.
🔑 Key Levels:
Support: 3362 – 3351
Resistance: 3397 – 3405
⚡ Possible Scenarios:
Bullish Case → Price holds above 3372 and reclaims 3397 for continuation higher.
Bearish Case → Break below 3362 opens the door for deeper sell-side liquidity hunts.
📌 Bias: Neutral-to-bearish until we reclaim 3397 with conviction.
3360 is the lifeline for bulls,and a pullback means making moneyFrom a news perspective, Trump's dismissal of Federal Reserve Board Governor Tim Cook earlier this morning triggered heightened risk aversion, pushing the Fed into an unprecedented situation and potentially leading to a legal conflict. Amidst the current US economic and inflationary fluctuations and financial market instability, this incident has undoubtedly further complicated the already sensitive interest rate policy situation.
From a technical perspective, yesterday's small negative bar oscillated. After hitting the bottom of the middle track in the morning, the gold price pulled up and broke through the upper pressure of 3375-3380. The bull market dominated the market, and buying on pullbacks is still the main theme of current trading. The short-term upper pressure is focused on the 3392 line. As the gold price continues to rise, the short-term support will move up accordingly. The lower side will focus on the 3365-3355 support range.
If gold falls back to the support area of 3365-3355 in the European session, you can consider going long, with the target at 3385-3400.
Intraday gold trend analysis and trading strategiesGold closed positive on the daily chart and retreated slightly after opening in the morning. The overall trend is still fluctuating, waiting for a breakthrough. From the 4H chart, we can see that the MACD indicator is golden cross and running with large volume, and the dynamic indicator is showing a broken line and pressing down, which means that there may be a decline in the short term. Currently, the 4H middle line is near 3345, which is consistent with our judgment of short-term bottom support. Conservative traders can wait for it to fall back to the 3356-3345 area and then enter the long position, with the target looking at 3375-3390.
GOLD CONTINUES ITS BULLISH MOVEMy analysis shows that GOLD will continue it's bullish move, as we can see our Downtrend channel was invalidated, buyers gained strength and CHoC occurred this shows us strong bullish momentum. Price broke above Resistance and now is retesting it before it continues to head up high
Buying GC based on multiple confluence elementsGC formed Daily +Unicorn breaker. Overnight GC sweapt PDL, formed 1H +unicorn breaker. It returned to the breaker zone and 1H range discount (below equilibrium and formed 15M + Unicorn breaker during London open.
I've never seen more confluence elements in one place. Going for 1:2 RR
AUDUSD – Trading the Technicals Around Inflation UpdatesFor much of last week AUDUSD was struggling for any upside momentum at all, as an initial fall from a high at 0.6524 on Monday kicked off 4 straight down days in a row, eventually hitting a low of 0.6414 on Thursday, and again on Friday, pre–Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole.
Then, on Friday afternoon it all changed. Powell was more dovish than many FX traders expected which initiated a rush to resell dollars in the hope of the Fed being prepared to cut interest rates as soon as their meeting on September 17th. This led to AUDUSD rebounding strongly into the weekend, eventually closing the week right back where it started around 0.6500.
Yesterday, in a quiet day’s trading AUDUSD managed to consolidate these gains, but this morning with the RBA minutes from the Australian central bank’s last meeting in early August indicating a willingness to cut interest rates again in 2025, as and when the economic data allows, prices have started to edge back to the downside again with a drop to a low of 0.6470 at the time of writing (0700 BST).
Now, looking forward, traders need to consider preparing for 2 key pieces of inflation data, the first from Australia, when the monthly CPI is released at 0230 BST Wednesday (August 27th), then the second on Friday from the US, when the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the PCE Index is released at 1330 BST (August 29th). Both inflation updates have the potential to shift trader thinking on where AUDUSD may move next.
The technical outlook could also have an important influence on trader decision making.
Technical Update: Powell Confirms 0.6419 as Support
Much of last week’s AUDUSD activity saw continued price weakness, although Chairman Powell’s testimony on Friday always remained the key focus for FX traders. However, with the initial decline testing the August 1st low at 0.6419, this may have been viewed by some as a support level, at least for the short term.
As the chart above shows, Powell’s Jackson Hole speech did help to reinforce this support at 0.6419, triggering a price rally to end the week. This may now leave traders questioning the directional risks for AUDUSD in the week ahead.
With this in mind, it may help to identify the key support and resistance levels which could influence AUDUSD next price moves.
Potential Resistance Levels:
Following the latest recovery in price, the August 25th session high at 0.6505 could now mark initial resistance this week. How prices behave around this level, particularly on a closing basis, may indicate whether the rally has further upside momentum.
A closing break above 0.6505 may prove to be a potentially positive development. While not a guarantee of continued price strength, it could open scope for a move towards 0.6569 (August 14th high), even 0.6625 (July 24th extreme).
Potential Support Levels:
Initial support remains between the 0.6414/19 band (August lows) which helped fuel Friday’s rally. A closing break below this zone may lead to a further period of price weakness.
If a closing break below 0.6414/19 occurs, further weakness may follow, with potential for tests of 0.6355 (38% Fibonacci retracement), even then declines towards 0.6271 (50% retracement), if this level was to break.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
Gold’s Next Move = Your Next ProfitOn Friday, gold prices soared due to Powell's dovish remarks, reaching a high of around 3379, and the candle chart showed signs of a V-shaped reversal. From a technical perspective, gold still has the potential to continue to rise, and as of now, gold has not effectively fallen below 3360. While effectively curbing the downward space, it also shows that a certain amount of buying momentum is still continuing.
However, gold has not yet effectively broken through the 3380-3390 area, and the upper space has not been completely opened. If gold cannot break through this area, the bullish momentum may gradually weaken in the short term. In order to accumulate enough momentum to break through this area, gold may usher in a pullback in the short term.
First, we should focus on the 3355-3345 area below. As long as gold remains above this area, the overall bullish pattern will remain. Therefore, this area is the entry area where we should try to go long on gold for the first time after gold pulls back.
Therefore, we currently have two trading options:
1. When gold first hits the 3380-3390 area, consider shorting gold.
2. When gold first hits the 3355-3345 area, consider longing gold.
NZDCHF: Downtrend MomentumSimilar to NZDCAD, there's a very similar signal on NZDCHF.
Daily Timeframe:
Unlike with NZDCAD, price broke through support very cleanly. It is currently holding below with no indication of a fakeout.
Likewise, EMA20 remains firmly below EMA60, which is the other indication that this is a downtrend.
Hourly Timeframe:
I use an ascending intraday trendline to indicate when the counter-trend movement is coming to an end. As price breaks below the intraday trendline, that's a good indication of confluence in the overall trend direction.
The EMA crossover is not great, which is a little bit of a concern to me. Will need to reduce risk and potential scale into a position depending on how this trade goes.
Long trade
15min TF overview
Pair: GBPJPY
Direction: Buyside trade
Date: Friday, 22nd August 2025
Time: 2:15 PM (NY Session PM)
Timeframe: 30min TF Entry
🔹 Trade Parameters
Entry: 198.581
Profit Target: 199.417 (+0.42%)
Stop Loss: 198.490 (-0.05%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 9.19
🔹 Trade Narrative
Entry taken during NY Session PM, following liquidity sweep and displacement.
Trade direction aligned with broader bullish continuation after rejection of lower levels near YDL (198.416) and VWAP confluence (198.974). A stop is placed tightly beneath a structural low / order block to minimise downside risk. Profit target placed just below 199.417 key resistance, allowing exit before the liquidity pool.
Short trade
Pair: EURUSD
Direction: Sell-side trade
Date: Monday, 25th August 2025
Time: 12:32 PM (NY Session PM)
Timeframe: 30m TF Entry
🔹 Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.17245
Profit Target: 1.16059 (−1.02%)
Stop Loss: 1.17428 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.85
🔹 Trade Narrative
Trade executed after a sharp NY session rally into premium pricing (above ORI and pivot).
Entry positioned at key rejection zone around 1.1724–1.1742, coinciding with higher TF imbalance + liquidity sweep.
Stop placed just above NY high (1.17428) to protect against a false breakout.
Profit target anchored to YDL (1.1609) and session range low, providing a clean liquidity objective.
SUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Channel Breakdown LoomsSUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Channel Breakdown Looms
🔍 Let’s break down the recent price action on the S/USDT 4-hour chart, focusing on the pivotal ascending channel structure and its implications for the next move.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
S/USDT has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Price is now testing the lower boundary of this channel, making the 0.3127 support a crucial level. The recent uptick in volume during the downward leg hints at mounting bearish pressure.
🔻 Short Setup:
A confirmed breakdown (BO) below 0.3127 would signal an exit from the ascending channel, opening the door to accelerated downside. With channel support breached, the next key target sits at 0.2710, in line with historical liquidity and the channel’s projected lower range.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Price action is currently at the channel’s lower boundary, with a breakdown below 0.3127 required to confirm bearish momentum.
- Volume has increased on the recent downward move, supporting the idea of a channel exit and follow-through selling.
- Downside target stands at 0.2710 if the channel fails, providing a clear roadmap for action.
🚨 Conclusion:
Bulls must defend the ascending channel at 0.3127, or risk seeing S/USDT cascade toward 0.2710. Watch for volume confirmation—an exit below channel support could shift sentiment quickly.
AUDCHF (SWING) - BEARISH TRADE IDEAHi there,
I'm of the opinion that Q3 would print a bearish candlestick as the momentum has been bearish.
As annotated on the chart, I expect the Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution (AMD) to play out. If that happens, we'd see August print a bearish outside candle.
However, I'd only take a trade if I see my setup in my zone of interest.
Do have a wonderful trading week.
Cheers,
Jabari
USDJPY: Bearish Momentum Builds After H4 Structure Shift!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of USDJPY, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow remains bearish, positioning us to focus on high-probability selling opportunities aligned with downside liquidity objectives.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly Bearish Order Block Reaction: Price recently reacted to a weekly bearish order block, causing an H4 market structure shift (MSS) to the downside. This confirms that the H4 order flow is now in alignment with the higher timeframe bearish bias, with the weekly order block acting as a strong institutional resistance zone.
Liquidity Dynamics: Recent price action saw sell-side liquidity swept (external range liquidity), followed by a pullback into an H4 fair value gap (FVG), representing internal range liquidity. This reinforces the expectation that the H4 FVG may hold as a firm resistance zone.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate the bearish continuation.
Target Objective: Focus on discount-side liquidity pools, consistent with institutional objectives to rebalance price and capture liquidity resting below.
The main liquidity draw is towards the weekly liquidity pool- which is our long term draw on liquidity.
Remain patient, allow the market to confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
EURGBP: Bullish Continuation Setup from H4 Fair Value GapGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURGBP, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow has shifted firmly bullish on the H4 timeframe. This directional bias positions us to focus on high-probability buying opportunities aligned with upside liquidity objectives.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly FVG Rebalancing: Price recently rebalanced a weekly fair value gap (FVG), which acted as a higher timeframe inefficiency. Following this, we saw a market structure shift (MSS) on H4, confirming the transition from bearish to bullish order flow.
Liquidity Dynamics: After external range liquidity (buy stops) was taken, price began gravitating towards internal range liquidity (FVGs), reflecting the market’s natural movement from external to internal liquidity and vice versa.
H4 FVG Support: Price is currently trading within an H4 FVG, which we anticipate will act as a firm institutional support zone, offering a favorable area to seek long setups.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation-based entries on lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate bullish continuation.
Target Objective: Aim for upside liquidity pools, in alignment with institutional objectives to draw price higher and capture resting buy-side liquidity.
Remain patient, let the market confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
Bearish MSTR is temporary; Rise to more than 412$ in the future.As it's obvious, MSTR has broken it's bullish trendline and a great pullback has happened. I believe after breaking a support at 293$, It will head toward 239$ then will rise and break the bearish trendline. After surpassing the 293$ resistance, It will catch 412$. Also it's evident that buying crypto by Michael Saylor can improve the stock price.