ASR Prints Higher High Eyeing Buy-Back ZoneASR has delivered a decisive breakout, printing a strong higher high and confirming bullish market structure. Current focus is on the designated buy-back zone for re-accumulation, aligning with the continuation bias. Should this zone fail to hold, the primary demand area below remains a strategic accumulation point for long-term positioning. Both zones present opportunities to compound holdings in line with the broader bullish trajectory illustrated on the chart.
Candlestick Analysis
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair: XYOUSD
Direction: Buyside trade idea
Date: Fri 3rd Oct 2025
Time: 5.30 pm
Session: London to New York Session PM
Timeframe: 30 Min
Trade Details
Entry: 0.00947
Profit Level (TP): 0.01000 (+5.60%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.00941 (−0.63%)
Risk-Reward (RR): 8.83
Narrative
The market had been in a prolonged decline, forming measured leg extensions (A–L–N counts) until exhaustion. Price swept liquidity at recent lows before reversing with a strong bullish impulse. A series of Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Breaks of Structure (BoS) confirm a shift in market dynamics. Entry aligns with FVG + EMA/WMA confluence, positioning risk below session demand. Target is the round number liquidity magnet (0.01000), aligned with session high inefficiencies.
Technical Drivers
Liquidity sweep followed by bullish reversal.
FVGs + demand retests validating continuation bias.
EMA/WMA crossover support confirms trend alignment.
Session timing (LND→NY PM) provides a volatility expansion window.
Fundamental Context
XYO Layer Dec blockchain provides a purpose-built solution for data density industries (AI, IoT, logistics). Its shared ledger architecture supports simultaneous operations, potentially enhancing adoption narratives and long-term demand.
Nifty Analysis EOD – October 3, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – October 3, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bulls stamp authority with a strong close near the highs
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 67-point gap down at 24,785.70, and the first 5-min candle was wild, spanning 97 points. The initial upmove managed to fill the gap but couldn’t sustain above, slipping back quickly.
The IB Range (24,747.55 – 24,855.70) set the tone, and for most of the session (until 2:40 PM), the index swung wildly inside this wide band, offering multiple trade opportunities on both sides.
Around 2:10 PM, a trendline false breakdown (liquidity trap) shook out bears. Soon after, bulls reclaimed control, breaking the trendline, PDC, and PDH, and pushed the index to a new day high of 24,904.80. Nifty closed strong at 24,895, almost at the high, firmly above the previous day’s high.
The session was energetic for traders, packed with volatility and clean structure, and the close reinforced bullish continuation.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap down open at 24,785.70.
First 5-min candle = 97 points → extreme volatility.
IB Range set between 24,747 – 24,856, market chopped inside until 2:40 PM.
2:10 PM: False breakdown trap → liquidity grab.
Bulls took charge → breakout above IB, PDC, and PDH.
Day high: 24,904.80 → close: 24,895 (near highs).
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,759.55
High: 24,904.80
Low: 24,747.55
Close: 24,894.25
Change: +57.95 (+0.23%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Solid green body: ~134.7 pts.
Range: ~157.25 pts (moderate).
Very tiny upper/lower wicks.
📚 Interpretation
Flat-to-weak open, dip to 24,747, then steady climb.
Closing almost at the high = strong conviction.
Minimal rejection → clean bullish candle.
🕯Candle Type
Bullish Marubozu (near-perfect) → Buyers in full control.
Confirms continuation of bullish reversal from Oct 1st.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 179.73
IB Range: 108.15 → Wide
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Highlights
11:10 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:2.08)
14:10 Short Trade – SL Hit
14:35 Long Trade – Target Achieved (R:R 1:3.96)
📌 What’s Next? / Bias Direction
Bias: Bullish continuation.
If bulls clear 25,000 with momentum, the next leg may unfold toward 25,115–25,250. Supports at 24,785–24,830 need to hold for trend continuity.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
24890 ~ 24915
24990 ~ 25000
25048
25085
25115
Support Zones:
24830
24785
24745
💡 Final Thoughts
“Markets often test patience with traps before rewarding conviction with momentum. Today’s close above PDH is a classic sign of strength.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
V-Shape recovery in progress for Nifty. Today we will try to study Nifty chart on an hourly scale. Hourly scale means the candles that we see in the chart represent nifty movement for 1 hour each. Each candle represents 1 hour movement of Nifty. Now let us watch closely what happened here.
1) We can see that after reaching a high of 25448 on September 25th. Nifty declined sharply. Then it consolidate in the range of 24587 and 24748. After this it moved upwards and hit the mother line at 24867.
2) As we know when the stock or index is below the Mother line the line acts as a resistance. Next 7 candles could not give closing above this line as it was a strong resistnace.
3) During the last two hours of trade we got a closing above the mother line thus it has now become a support. right now the Mother line is at 24846. So this level will be our immediate support. Below this level other supports will be at 24748 and 24587.
4) The Father line resistnace is at 24922 this level will be our immediate resistance. If we get a closing above this level the next resistances will be at 25032, 25139, 25255, 25358 and 25451. If and when we get a closing above 25451 it will be a strong Bullish breakout.
Supports and resistances other than Mother and Father line are derived by historical peaks and valleys. Mother and Father line/Support and resistance are nothing but exponential Moving averages. Mother line is 50 EMA and Father line 200 EMA.
As this is an hourly chart, Mother line is 50 Hours exponential moving average and Father line is 200 hours exponential moving average. In case of daily, weekly or monthly charts. The EMA will be 50 days, weeks or Months respectively.
To know mover about patterns such as V pattern seen here or Mother Father and Small Child theory (To understand the role of Mother line and Father line) or to be able to draw resistances and supports based on historic peaks and valleys you can read my book THE HAPPY CANDLES WAY TO WEALTH CREATION. The book is available in Amazon in paperback or Kindle version and is rated 4.8/5. This book teaches you Techno-Funda investing. (Techno Funda investing means Knowing which are Fundamentally strong companies and investing / booking profits / staying invested in them based on Technical analysis). The book has some more unique features like rating a stock with the help of Happy Candles Number wherein you can give a stock marks out of 100 based on Techincal and Fundamental analysis you have learned by reading it. Thus you can know if the stock is currently investible or not based on the marks it scores out of 100. The book also covers various aspect of behavioural finance. Lot of people who have read the book consider it as a hand book to equity investing. Buy the book you will not be dissapointed as the book is reasonably priced. Search by the key words The Happy Candles Way to wealth creation and you will get it.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
NZDJPY: Another Confirmed Pullback?! 🇳🇿🇯🇵
AUDJPY dropped as I predicted.
Another Yen pair that looks bearish to me is NZDJPY.
The price has just violate a support line of a consolidation range
on an hourly time frame.
It indicates a highly probable pullback.
Goal - 85.72
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AUDJPY: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed 🇦🇺🇯🇵
There is a high chance that AUDJPY will continue retracing from
the underlined resistance cluster.
A double top pattern formation on that and its neckline breakout
provide a reliable confirmation.
Goal - 97.18
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CRV 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing CRV on the 1-Day timeframe .
👀 On the daily timeframe for CRV, we can see that after a strong rally, the coin entered a corrective descending channel. Now there are signs of a potential breakout from this channel on this timeframe. If the channel’s upper boundary is broken — which overlaps with the key resistance at 0.7634 — we can say a new bullish trend is starting for this coin. That would mean it’s leaving this compression and correction phase and forming a new upward structure. On the USDT pair, CRV has already managed to build a higher low, and on the BTC pair, it is also gaining momentum for a move. This coin can be added to your watchlist for trading opportunities.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after a long period fluctuating below the 50 zone, it is now heading toward its resistance near 54. If RSI pushes through this level, it could break that oscillation resistance and continue higher.
🕯 Since the start of the correction, trading volume has declined, but some long-term holders are still keeping this coin and adding more. These informed buyers may resume accumulation once the descending channel is broken. Pay attention: with an increase in volume, this coin could experience a sharp rally. Recent candles also show stronger buying pressure compared to earlier ones.
💸 On the BINANCE:CRVBTC trading pair, we see a similar descending channel as the USDT pair. If the descending channel breaks on the USDT chart, a similar breakout could occur here, drawing whale attention and fueling a pump with strong growth potential for CRV. A major resistance lies at 629 on this pair; breaking that level would significantly increase the chance of a channel breakout and a strong upward move.
🧠 For trading this coin, a long scenario exists: if the CRV/BTC pair breaks resistance, strong buying volume could flow into CRV. On the USDT pair, if the channel top is broken, with a daily candle close above the prior day’s wick and RSI confirming above 54, a new bullish structure could form for this coin.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 51☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after this recent bullish leg, price has now reached its resistance at $120,827. If this resistance breaks — a zone packed with short orders — Bitcoin could start an extremely sharp and powerful upward leg, essentially triggering a short squeeze. At the moment, Bitcoin is entering a corrective phase; with the start of this correction, price could head down toward its Fibonacci retracement supports, bounce from one of those levels, and then form a new trading structure.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, price has been ranging around the 70 zone and briefly entered overbuy. It is now moving toward the 50 area, its oscillation mean. A break below 50 could deepen the correction, but if support holds, RSI could again head toward the resistance zone near 70 and re-test the overbought boundary.
🎮 The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the breakout at $114,562 to $120,827 highlights several strong support areas. The most important zones for Bitcoin are the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels. Support here, followed by a fresh structure, could set up strong trading opportunities.
🕯 The size and volume of buy candles have been exceptionally strong and increasing — something rarely seen in Bitcoin with such a one-sided move to the upside. Now, during this corrective phase, even as selling pressure appears, roughly 70% of that sell volume is being absorbed by buyers. What we must watch closely is how buyers decide to allocate capital from here. If the key Fibonacci levels are lost, we respect the market’s decision and only then consider new trades.
🧠 For a Bitcoin position If you don’t have an open position, I recommend waiting for a new structure to form at critical Fibonacci levels, and only enter after a breakout of that structure.
If you already hold a position, consider partial profit-taking, since USDT dominance has also reached an important support zone.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 30❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well.
⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after reaching its resistance area at $4510, it reversed from that zone and moved downward. At the same time, Ethereum had support at $4461; if this support breaks, it could enter a healthy correction and head toward its marked support levels, forming a new structure afterwards. At that point, we could consider entering an Ethereum position. However, since breaking the level highlighted in previous analyses, Ethereum has already gained 11% up to now.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we see that for roughly a day it stayed above the 50 area up to the overbuy boundary near 70. The 70 zone then acted as a static resistance, preventing Ethereum from entering its overbought state. As a result, selling pressure started, and price is now heading toward its swing support around 44.
🕯 The volume, count, and size of buy candles during the recent upward leg were strongly increasing, but not as strong compared to Bitcoin, since Bitcoin dominance didn’t drop significantly. Consequently, now we see sell candles increasing after hitting the 4510 resistance, completing a pullback from its bullish leg.
💸 Looking at the BINANCE:ETHBTC trading pair, we see that it moved upward along with ETH/USDT, but the percentage move was weaker than the tether pair. Whale interest in this pair is currently low, and it may not hold strong weight for them, especially since Bitcoin dominance didn’t fall heavily in this phase. The next trigger level for a breakout and rally in ETH/BTC is around 0.03753; if that zone breaks, Ethereum’s relative value could increase significantly.
🧠 For an Ethereum position, I think we should wait until a new structure forms, with fresh support and resistance zones created by whales. Then, after a breakout of that new structure, we could enter a trade. Another reason I don’t have an immediate scenario for Ethereum is that it has already rallied 11% and is now within a corrective phase.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
CADJPY: Important Breakout 🇨🇦🇯🇵
CADJPY broke a major support cluster.
It opens a potential for a further decline.
The next strong support is 105.1.
It will be the next goal for the sellers.
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Litecoin to $400... Just not yet moonboy!Yesterday (Oct 2, 2025) was supposed to be the big day for the Canary Funds CRYPTOCAP:LTC ETF. With the government shutdown stalling agencies, the SEC didn’t issue an approval, so the “event” turned into a non-event. Meanwhile seasonality kicked in—Q4 is often bullish—and we got the standard “new month/new quarter” squeeze across crypto. LTC tagged ~$122, then started giving it back. We’re roughly ~6% off the spike already as late longs get forced out.
Here’s how I see it:
Higher time frames look constructive. On the 4H/D1 charts, structure shows a bullish reversal after August’s washout. Price held the daily 200 EMA near $100 on the last retest and pushed up cleanly. That’s the anchor for any continued upside.
Lower time frames need a reset. On the 1H, this was a textbook overextension. I’m expecting mean reversion back toward the 1H 200 EMA / prior breakout before any sustainable leg higher. Don’t get bullish into the wick highs—wait for pullbacks.
Levels I’m watching
Support: $108–$105 first, then the $100–$95 zone (daily 200 EMA). Lose that area with acceptance and LTC can do what it loves—round-trip—bringing $80 → $70–$65 back into view.
Resistance: $122–$125 intraday supply, then the $135–$140 pocket near the descending trendline. A clean break/hold above $140 opens the door to $150.
Bottom line: Short-term, I’m bearish into a pullback as price reverts toward the mean. On 4H/D1, I’m still bullish as long as $100–$95 holds—if we base there, I like the $140 magnet later this quarter. Just remember: Litecoin is notorious for mean-reverting. Trade the pullbacks; don’t chase the spikes.
US CRUDE OIL (WTI): Strong Bearish Signal?!The price of 📉USOIL appears to be showing bearish tendencies following a consolidation period of two months.
A bearish breakout below the support level of a sideways range often serves as a dependable confirmation signal.
Consequently, a downward movement towards the support level of 59.00 is anticipated.
NZDUSD: Sell Stop in Planned DowntrendThis is not an active entry but a planned sell stop entry.
Daily Timeframe:
Price crossed above HTL but quickly formed a doji to indicate weakness
EMA20 is below EMA60 and price is below EMA20 so there's an overall weak downtrend
H1 Timeframe:
Strong ATL is in the process of weakening as price recently failed to make a higher high
When price crossed below ATL, EMA20 should show confluence by crossing below EMA60 and the EMA band should continue expanding
If price makes a clean break lower, there's strong indication that there will be confluence with the daily downtrend
USDCAD: Uptrend ContinuationDaily Timeframe:
Price crosses above HTL and is holding
No inside bar formed yet so unlikely to see loss of momentum over the next day
H1 Timeframe:
Not idea that price is a bit further away from EMA20
Uptrend is indicated by EMA20 being above EMA60 and price being above EMA20
The DTL is also not a strong plot so reducing size
Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger.
Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being.
From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.
Entry IdeaEntry Idea
📈 Entry Price: 77.40
🛑 Stop Loss: 70.00
🎯 Target: 100.00
This is the first entry opportunity at this level. Make sure to apply proper risk management when trading.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea only. The company’s financials or fundamentals have not been analyzed or considered. Entry and exit decisions are your own responsibility.
Why I have USD/JPY Falling Below 139.5 On My Bingo CardUSD/JPY traders have been treated (or perhaps burned) from two months of choppy trade, reversals and false breakouts. Yet price action clues and developments from the Fed and BOJ have allowed me to revisit my original thesis of a lower USD/JPY. I now have a break below 139.50 on my bingo card.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index.
Entry opportunity Entry Idea
📈 Entry Price: 1.13
🛑 Stop Loss: 0.945
🎯 Target: 3.60 or higher
For those who missed the earlier entry, this level still offers an opportunity — but strict risk management is essential.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a technical analysis idea only. The company’s financials or fundamentals have not been analyzed or considered. Entry and exit decisions are your sole responsibility.
Long trade
📌 Trade Journal Entry – PENGUUSDT
Trade Type: Buyside
Date/Time: Tuesday, 30th Sept 2025 – 12:30 PM
Session: LND to NY Session Overlap AM
Pair: PENGUUSDT Perpetual (15m timeframe)
🔑 Trade Details
Entry: 0.02759
Profit Level (TP): 0.03372 (+22.26%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.02659 (-0.60%)
Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 36.94
📊 Technical Structure
Consolidation Phase: Price compressed around 0.02670 before the breakout.
Liquidity Sweep: Below 0.02672, flushing late longs and triggering demand.
Demand Zone (15m): Confirmed around 0.02650–0.02700; price launched from here.
FVGs: Bullish fair value gaps supported continuation on impulse move.
Fib Retracements: Key alignment with 0.236–0.382 retracement zones, offering confluence targets.
Break of Structure (BOS): Strong shift in market structure after sweep, confirming bullish narrative.
🏦 Narrative
Textbook Wyckoff accumulation:
Price completed a spring action (final liquidity sweep at 0.02670).
Demand confirmed by immediate displacement and BOS.
Rapid momentum expansion through untested FVGs confirmed strength.
Target aligned with 0.5 Fib retracement at 0.03372.
Long trade
📌 Trade Journal Entry – BNBUSDT
Trade Type: Buyside
Date/Time: Friday, 26th Sept 2025 – 11:00 AM
Session: London to New York Session AM
Pair: BNBUSDT Perpetual (1H timeframe)
🔑 Trade Details
Entry: 1,042.02
Profit Level (TP): 1,082.87 (+14.93%)
Stop Level (SL): 1,035.16 (-0.75%)
Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 19.92
📊 Technical Structure
Range Sweep: Price cleared the range low at 942.23, triggering liquidity
Origin & Base Line: Demand confirmed at the sweep origin, providing a strong confluence.
Break of Structure (BOS): Bullish intent confirmed post-sweep with higher highs forming.
Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Multiple unfilled bullish FVGs supported displacement and continuation.
EMA/WMA Alignment: Momentum confirmed with EMA trending above WMA.
🏦 Narrative
This setup is a Wyckoff spring into bullish expansion:
Market swept the range liquidity at 942.23.
Aggressive buy-side pressure created immediate displacement, and BOS aligned with the previous Asian high & low range, demand zone conviction, and an entry placed at 1,042.02 just above the validation zone. Expansion target 1,082.87 liquidity pool.
⚡ Summary
BNB’s move reflects a classic liquidity sweep → accumulation → expansion cycle.
The confluence of structural confirmation and demand validation.
Long trade
📌 Trade Journal Entry – ETHBTC
🔻 First Trade (Sell-side)
Date/Time: Thursday, 25th Sept 2025 – 4:00 PM
Session: LND to NY PM
Entry: 0.037180
Profit Level (TP): 0.03003 (+19.23%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.037644 (-1.24%)
RR: 15.54
Outcome:
Trade closed on Friday, 26th Sept 2025 at 9:30 AM
Final TP: 0.03615 (+2.77%)
Final RR: 2.24
🔹 Second Trade (Buyside)
Date/Time: Friday, 26th Sept 2025 – 9:30 AM
Session: LND to NY AM
Entry: 0.03628
Profit Level (TP): 0.03741 (+3.11%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.03599 (-0.80%)
RR: 3.9
📊 Technical Structure
Consolidation Phase: Observed before the breakdown, with a range of 0.03539–0.03516.
Phase E Regression: Market transitioned from Phase D bottoming into a Phase E decline, characterised by lower highs. MSBs: Multiple market structure breaks confirm downside momentum before a potential reversal.
Demand Zone (4hr TF): 0.03611 – 0.03660 acted as the buyside support where a bullish response was initiated. FVGs: Noted along retracement path; price filled gaps before continuation.
🏦 Narrative
Sell-side Play: The first short capitalised on ETHBTC weakness, but the closure collapsed to a more modest 2.24 as profit, which led to the assumption of Buyside Recovery:
A clean demand zone (4hr TF) tap allowed for a reversal entry and upside aligned with order flow and EMA/WMA support.
Overall: This trade sequence shows an effective switch from distribution to the accumulation phase and Wyckoff alignment.






















