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Candlestick Analysis

BTC/USD: Hammer Candle Meets NvidiaGranted, it could easily be seen as catching a falling knife or position squaring before a key risk event, but the hammer candle that printed on the BTC/USD daily chart has me interested, particularly as it came from a zone where it’s attracted buying in the past. It makes me wonder whether we’ve seen the lows for now, opening the door for countertrend long setups in the near term. For one, BTC/USD has a decent track record for delivering reliable bullish and bearish reversal signals. The shooting star candle on 6 October kicked the bearish move off, with a bearish engulfing on 11 November coinciding with the resumption of the bear trend following a fleeting bounce. And that’s only the signals we’ve seen recently, with many others proving to be prescient earlier in the year. Secondly, the dip and reversal from beneath $92,000 is noteworthy given price action seen around the level over the past year. There were constant dips and bounces from beneath it in late 2024 and early 2025, before it eventually flipped to offering resistance after a successful bearish break in February. Now testing the level again from above, you can’t dismiss the signal entirely. While momentum indicators remain firmly bearish, favouring selling into strength, with RSI (14) now sitting in oversold territory, there’s grounds for countertrend long trades to be considered for those anticipating a short squeeze. For now, I’m watching the price action around $92,000 as we move towards the key macro event for the week, Nvidia’s earnings report. With a correlation coefficient of 0.87 with Nasdaq 100 futures over the past fortnight, it suggests how traders respond to the earnings update will likely influence how BTC/USD trades. Should the price hold $92,000, longs could be set above the level with a stop beneath for protection, targeting either former downtrend support located around $96,000 today or former support at $99,060. On Nvidia’s earnings report, I don’t think anyone can say with certainty as to what will transpire, other than history suggests the chip giant will likely breeze past top-line revenue forecasts with bullish guidance from CEO Jensen Huang. But that’s essentially consensus, meaning the performance of riskier assets in the aftermath may reflect whether it’s good enough to justify the hype. Sure, the recent pullback has lowered the bar somewhat, but the bar remains incredibly high. If it can impress, bitcoin may well bounce. Good luck! DS
FOREXCOM:BTCUSDLong
by FOREX.com
1
BTC The Final Arc Before Saturn — Long to 126KAfter a full harmonic completion of the 2024 → 2025 expansion leg (53 K → 98 K), Bitcoin has now reached the last major rebalance zone within the macro distribution range. We’re likely forming the final bullish displacement before the six-year contraction cycle begins in early 2026. This setup is derived from an ICT structural framework — liquidity, displacement, and re-accumulation — aligned with a larger cyclical model I’ve tracked since 2020. Technical Thesis: Timeframe: 1D / 1W Bias: Long (swing) Entry Zone: 94 K – 96 K (daily order block at discount) Stop: 87 K – Below prior swing low TP1: 116.3 K TP2: 126.3 K (macro equal-highs liquidity) Macro Reversal Window: Mid-Feb 2026 (start of the “Great Short”) Narrative Context: Each BTC cycle follows a four-fold rhythm: Expansion → Equilibrium → Inflation Peak → Contraction. The current move represents the final ascent, the last Sol-Jovian surge before Saturn’s compression phase. If this plays out, BTC will complete its Magnum Opus — a fractal mirror of 2017’s structure, scaled and extended by one harmonic. From there, the Great Short (2026 – 2032) begins — a multi-year descent where value returns to the patient. In summary: I’m long into 126 K — but preparing the foundation for a generational short once that liquidity is taken.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Xeegs
21
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Long
by TradeWithMky
Short trade 📘 Trade Journal Entry — 30min Asset: TRXUSDT Timeframe: 30min TF overview Model: Distribution → liquidity sweep → Sell-Side Continuation Bias: Bearish Session: NY PM Entry: 0.29024 Stop: 0.29301 (0.95%) Target: 0.27907 (3.84%) RR: 4.03 📉 TRXUSDT.P – Full Technical & Sentiment Breakdown (30-Min Chart Context) 1. Higher-Timeframe Bias (Market Structure & Liquidity) 🔹Price is trading below the major reaccumulating range midpoint, showing inability to sustain above 0.2950–0.3000, which acts as a structural ceiling. 🔹The macro flow is distribution → liquidity sweep → signalling sell-side continuation. 🔹A consistent pattern of London + NY session highs being swept, followed by sharp reversals confirms algo-driven sell-side narrative. 🔹Directional Bias: Sell-side, targeting inefficiencies and unmitigated demand below 0.2850 and 0.2780. 📌Pattern Seen Across All 3 Trades Tokyo prints inducement + creates the manipulation range. London sweeps liquidity (Buy-side taken). NY delivers displacement downwards (Sell-side model). 🔴Sentiment TRX market sentiment turned risk-off during NY session, syncing with liquidity hunt behaviour. Late NY session often gives the strongest liquidity dumps. TRX showed rotation out of altcoins into dominant BTC pairs. Macro crypto sentiment: risk-off → supporting deeper drawdown. 🧭Summary The TRXUSDT sell-side setup price seems to be forming a clear session-based distribution model type, sweeping London highs before NY delivered displacement to the downside. Each entry aligned with bearish FVG retests, breaker block confirmations, and declining volume on pullbacks. Sentiment across the crypto market turned risk-off, fuelling deeper sell-side delivery into untouched inefficiencies and liquidity pools below
Short
by davidjulien369
A rebound after hitting bottom is bound to face pressure again.#XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD TVC:GOLD Gold rebounded after falling to around 3997, forming a V-shaped pattern and has now largely recovered its Asian session losses. However, judging from the timeline, the mid-term correction is not yet completely over. During the NY session, we should continue to pay attention to the 4000-3980 range. Only a break below this level can open up further downside potential. Similarly, as I mentioned before, the market is expected to remain volatile before the data release, so the short-term upside resistance level to watch is 4055-4060, and the key resistance level is 4080-4090. If gold prices first touch 4055-4060 and encounter resistance during the NY session, consider shorting gold with a small position.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Miracle-Walker_GC
Nifty Analysis EOD – November 18, 2025 – Tuesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – November 18, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴 26K Rejection: Bears Take Control, Wiping Out Previous Day’s Gain! 🗞 Nifty Summary Despite lingering negative global sentiment, the Nifty opened with a modest 13-point Gap Up, but the bullishness quickly vanished. The index dipped 97 points in the first minute and eventually found a base near the critical 25880 support, marking the day’s low at 25,882. After a gradual recovery to test the previous resistance levels of 25944 and 25977, the index met the same fight near the 25980 ~ 26000 zone. The rejection from the psychological 26K mark proved decisive, pushing Nifty sharply back down toward the day’s lows. The day closed at 25,910.05, resulting in a loss of 103.40 points (or -0.40%). This move erased all of the previous day’s gains and confirmed a clear sign of rejection at the upper levels. The move was tricky, briefly breaching the PDL and hinting at manipulation ahead of the upcoming expiry. The trend confirmation remains pending, and caution is advised. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels 🛡 Intraday Walk The session was dominated by bears, right from the opening bell, despite the initial small gap-up. The sharp morning decline established the day’s direction. The mid-session saw bulls attempt to reclaim ground, but the recovery was consistently capped by strong supply near 26,000. The failure to hold this key level resulted in the late-day sell-off, closing the index back near the bottom of its trading range. This volatile price action, marked by the day’s range engulfing the previous day’s range, strongly suggests an upcoming period of higher volatility or a potential change in the short-term trend bias. 📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels 🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown Open: 26,021.80 High: 26,029.85 Low: 25,876.50 Close: 25,910.05 Change: −103.40 (−0.40%) 🏗️ Structure Breakdown Type: Bearish candle Range (High–Low): ≈ 153 points — indicating higher volatility for the session. Body: ≈ 65.25 points — clear bullish dominance for the day. Upper Wick: ≈ ~8 points — confirming immediate rejection and almost no strength from buyers near the open. Lower Wick: ≈ ~34 points — buyers did attempt to defend the 25880 support, but the recovery was limited. 📚 Interpretation The strong bearish body and the close well below the open are clear indicators that the upward momentum has stalled, and selling pressure is currently dominant. The small upper wick confirms that the bearish sentiment was present from the very beginning. This candle’s large range, encompassing the previous day’s action, is often a warning sign of a shift in market sentiment. 🕯 Candle Type Bearish Candle with Lower-Wick Support — A strong bearish signal, moderated slightly by limited buying interest near the day’s lows. 🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart ⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update ATR: 194.58 IB Range: 134.05 → Medium Market Structure: Balanced Trade Highlights: 10:47 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:4.57) 12:54 Long Trade - Target Hit (R:R 1:3.28) 14:03 Long Trade - SL Hit Trade Summary: Despite the overall bearish market structure, the Gladiator Strategy successfully capitalized on the strong counter-trend buying attempts in the mid-session, yielding two high R:R profitable long trades. The final short trade was stopped out due to the sharp reversal back to the lows. 🧱 Support & Resistance Levels Resistance Zones: 25944 25977 26010 ~ 26040 (Crucial Rejection Zone) Support Zones: 25880 ~ 25865 (Current Base) 25790 25740 ~ 25715 (Ultimate Support) 🧠 Final Thoughts “Caution is the watchword until the range is broken.” The market has now established a high-volatility range between 26,040 (Resistance) and 25,865 (Support). I will maintain a cautious bullish sentiment only until a decisive breach and close below the lower level of 25700 occurs, or until bulls achieve a solid close above 26100. The upcoming sessions are likely to remain choppy as this indecision plays out. ✏️ Disclaimer This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NSE:NIFTY
by kzatakia
CADJPY: Buyers' Dominance 🇨🇦🇯🇵 I think that CADJPY will update the high soon. The market completed a correctional movement, after setting a new higher high higher close with a break of structure. A strong buying imbalance on a 4H time frame suggests a highly probably rise. Expect a movement up to 111.0 level. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️ I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VasilyTrader
1
Trading Block Level (Explained Simply)🔍 What Is the “Block Level”? In Drummond Geometry, a Block Level is a key support or resistance zone that forms when the market stops trending and enters congestion (sideways movement). It’s often found about 2–3 PL Dots back from the current price — think of it as the “floor” or “ceiling” that price builds after a trend ends. As shown below, the down trend starting on 3rd of Nov. and lasting till the 07th is broken on the 07th via the CE candle which "creates" the block level (red box with high and low of 2-3 PL Dots back) If the block level holds, congestion continues. If it breaks, a new trend begins in that direction. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💡 Theory – What You Expect When trading at the block level: Assume the block is strong unless proven otherwise. Price usually does more than just a PL Dot refresh — it swings across the PL Dot and back again. Flow slows down near a strong block area. If the block is weak , you’ll notice good flow through it — this means congestion is ending and price will break out. On the image above you can see that the 10th Nov. candle has weak flow (smaller than previous day, Zone 5 is holding, close and open are not far from each other,...), thus this indicateds that the flow slows down in the block area and implies that the block area is strong. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ⚙️ How a Block Level Forms A block level sets up: During congestion entrance , after a trend has ended. Around 2–3 PL Dots back from the current bar. Within the context of Envelope Theory — the block often appears at or near an envelope border. The higher time period (HTP) will always guide what’s most likely to happen next. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 📈 How to Trade Block Level 1.Check your higher timeframe (HTP): If HTP shows strength , trade for congestion action first , then expect a trend run . If HTP shows weakness , prepare to trade against the block , aiming for a breakout through it . 2.Watch the flow: Slow, choppy flow = congestion likely holding. Strong, directional flow = block will likely break. 3.Use nearby energy areas (support/resistance close to price) to confirm entries. The further out energy areas (stronger, wider zones) act as backup support/resistance. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧭 In Simple Terms Think of the Block Level like a wall: A strong wall = price bounces → sideways market continues. A weak wall = price smashes through → a new trend starts. Your job is to observe which one is happening using the PL Dot behavior, flow, and the higher timeframe structure. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ✅ Quick Recap Concept Meaning Block Level The base or cap of congestion, ~2–3 PL Dots back Strong Block Price stalls or swings within range Weak Block Price breaks through → new trend HTP Strength Trade for congestion and trend continuation HTP Weakness Trade breakout through the block Goal Align flow + energy fields + PL Dots to confirm strength
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by JordanMT
3
How to navigate volatile market conditions after the government #XAUUSD TVC:GOLD OANDA:XAUUSD As I mentioned on Friday, if the closing price failed to stabilize above 4110-4120, gold would weaken further on Monday. Sure enough, gold again fluctuated downwards, testing the 4050 support level. With Friday's panic selling gradually subsiding and the US government reopening, significant fluctuations are unlikely in the short term. Key data such as NFP and PMI may be released this week. Before the data is released, the market may be relatively cautious, and I think the market may tend to fluctuate and recover. Short-term support levels to watch are 4050-4030. If the price retraces and tests this support again during the European session, we can try to continue going long on gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Miracle-Walker_GC