BTC 4H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 19💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Bitcoin we observe that, after being rejected from the 115,000$ area, it is moving towards its support in the 112,000$ zone .
⚙️ We have two key areas on RSI: the support area around 30, where RSI is currently located, and the key zone for a trend change around 73, where volatility usually increases .
🕯 The size of the red candles has each time been larger than the green candles, showing stronger selling pressure .
💵 USDT.D on the 4H timeframe has resistance around the 4.46% area. If this area breaks, Bitcoin selling pressure will increase .Note that Tether dominance is close to its 4H top .
🔜 Today is the Jackson Hole event .
🔔 The alarm zone for a short position is at the 112,000$ level. If this level is lost and price action confirms, we can have a very low-risk trade. For a long position, breaking the 115,000$ area could be the start of a trend reversal .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Candlestick Analysis
XAUUSD – Bullish Outlook Confirmed1. Yesterday’s Context
In my yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that although Gold had broken below the 3330 support, it was most probably a false break.
Yesterday’s price action confirmed this view: Gold pushed back above the broken level, accelerated higher, and even broke above the falling wedge trendline, reaching a high around 3352. On top of that, the daily chart closed with a strong bullish engulfing pattern.
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2. The Key Question
Is this the start of a larger bullish continuation?
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3. Why the Setup Looks Bullish
• False break below 3330 quickly reversed.
• Break above the falling wedge trendline = strong bullish signal.
• Daily bullish engulfing confirms momentum shift.
• Technical structure now favors continuation to the upside.
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4. Trading Plan
At the time of writing, Gold is in a normal correction after yesterday’s strong rally.
• I remain bullish.
• I am looking to buy dips into support zones.
• Target: around 3380 as the next upside level of interest.
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5. Final Note 🚀
The outlook remains unchanged: the bias is bullish, and yesterday’s breakout gives conviction that buying dips is the right strategy.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
ZECUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Symmetrical Triangle BO WatchZECUSDT Daily Chart Analysis | Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Watch
🔍 Let’s dissect the ZEC/USDT daily chart, where price action is nearing a pivotal breakout from a symmetrical triangle—often a precursor to major moves when combined with rising volume.
⏳ Daily Chart Overview
Zcash has been consolidating over recent weeks, forming a clear symmetrical triangle pattern bounded by converging trendlines. This pattern, characterized by lower highs and higher lows, signals that volatility is being compressed and a decisive breakout may be imminent.
🔺 Long Setup:
A daily close above the $45.50 resistance, especially with strong volume, will act as a “safe trigger” and confirm breakout validity. If bulls take charge here, the next upside objectives are $55.00 followed by $73.55. Watch for volume confirmation, ideally on a 4H candle close above resistance, to further add confidence to the breakout.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Symmetrical triangle pattern shows growing pressure for a directional move.
- Recent price tested triangle resistance; a close above $45.50 is the bullish trigger.
- Upside targets post-breakout are $55.00 and $73.55, provided volume supports the move.
- Volume spike serves as crucial confirmation—don’t chase without it.
🚨 Conclusion:
ZEC is coiling within a symmetrical triangle, setting the stage for potential breakout action. Bulls are watching $45.50 for a clean breakout trigger, eyeing $55 and $73.55 as next targets. Always wait for strong volume and confirmed closes before acting—symmetrical triangles can break both ways if conviction is lacking.
NZDUSD 1H longI see a possible trade Idea here that I'm watching closely,
NZD is falling nice and clean that's how I want to see it.
The gameplan is as follows:
- If NZDUSD is falling further into my support zone I start buying
- Opening a market buy order and buy all the way down every 20 points a buy limit order
- But the drop have to be straight down long red candles no pullbacks and consollidation just as the trend is falling now.
- There is NZDUSD high impact news that can fuel it hopefully
- Optional the RSI have to be oversold
That's it let's see what's gonna happen :)
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 21, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 21, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Bulls holding the line, but fading strength visible near 25,150
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a gap-up of 98 points at 25,144.85, continuing its bullish tone above the previous day’s high. But from the very first tick, it slipped lower to fill the gap and found support at 25,055, where it formed the IB range. A sharp recovery took it back toward the open, but multiple attempts failed to cross Day Open / Day High / IB High.
Around 2:15 pm, another breakout attempt was strongly rejected, pushing the index below the PDH, and Nifty finally closed at 25,076.95.
Though the close is higher by +33 points vs the previous day, it left behind a red daily candle (close < open). This indicates fading bullish momentum, even though HH-HL structure is still intact.
The range was narrow (≈98 points), categorising the day as range-bound, not sideways. The previous weekly expiry was also narrow yet sideways.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
🛡 Intraday Walk
Gap-up opening at 25,144.85, above PDH → bullish continuation vibe.
Early dip → support at 25,055 → IB formed.
Recovery attempt back to day’s open, but rejection at 25,150 zone.
Second breakout attempt at 2:15 pm → harder rejection.
Index slipped below PDH → closed at 25,076.95, above support.
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,142.00
High: 25,153.65
Low: 25,054.90
Close: 25,083.75
Change: +33.20 (+0.13%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open)
Body: 58.25 points
Upper wick: 11.65 points
Lower wick: 28.85 points
📚 Interpretation
Sellers defended 25,150 again.
Close still above 25,050 → buyers alive.
Lower wick shows dip-buying at 25,055.
Net effect: Mild profit booking, not a reversal.
🕯️ Candle Type
Small bearish body with lower tail → selling pressure at top, hidden demand at support.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
🛡 Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 195.14
IB Range: 89.95 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlight: No trade trigger today.
🕵️ Range & Bias
Support Zone: 24,955 – 24,920
Resistance Zone: 25,100 – 25,140
Bias: Cautiously Bullish → above 25k, but conviction is weak.
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🎚️ Resistance Zones
25,100
25,155
25,190 (pattern target)
25,240
🎚️ Support Zones
25,050 ~ 25,030
24,995
24,955
24,920
24,890 – 24,880
💡 Final Thoughts
The market is respecting 25,050 as demand and 25,150 as supply, leaving price action compressed in a tight zone. Bulls are still holding ground, but repeated failures near resistance hint at fading strength.
📌 “Markets often whisper before they roar — repeated rejections are the whisper, the breakout will be the roar.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is my personal analysis — not investment advice. Please consult your financial advisor before trading.
CADJPY SHORT Market structure bearish on HTFs DH
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly rejection at AOi
Daily Rejection at AOi
Daily EMA retest
Previous Structure point Daily
Around Psychological Level 107.000
H4 EMA retest
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
Levels 4
Entry 105%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 18💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after hitting the $115,000 zone, it got rejected with a relatively strong red candle and is now moving toward its support at $112,700 .
⚙️ We have two key zones in the RSI : the support zone at 30 , and the resistance zone for long positions at 59.67. Breaking these levels can push Bitcoin toward its alarm zone and sensitive price area for a breakout .
🕯 The size of the red candles is getting smaller , showing reduced selling pressure , while the green reversal candles from $112,700 are closing larger and stronger than before .
💵 USDT.D on the 1-hour timeframe is moving toward its resistance at 4.46% , but the trend is weakening and the size of the buying candles is shrinking . In previous attempts to reach this zone, it faced rejection . If the 4.36% support level is lost , strong inflows could move into Bitcoin .
🔔 Our trading alarm zones are at $115,000 and $112,700 . These zones usually break with increased volume and volatility , and by watching price behavior there , we can find the best trading opportunities .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
A small rebound is not a trend reversal, continue to short#XAUUSD
Gold was stimulated by news yesterday and hit a high of 3352 at one point, but failed to effectively break through and stabilize above it. In the short term, it did not completely reverse the unilateral trend.📊
At present, gold continues to fall and rebounds after testing the effectiveness of the support level of 3330-3320 below. 📈In the short term, pay attention to the 3350 mark above.🌈 Once it breaks through and stabilizes above 3355, it is expected to test the resistance near the previous high of 3370.📉
On the other hand, if gold fails to maintain a firm footing above this level, it will likely remain volatile in the short term.↘️
This is why I didn't immediately follow up with a short position after closing my short position near 3335, 🤔opting instead to wait and see the market. 👀Gold has been fluctuating repeatedly recently. Please be cautious when trading and beware of falling into traps set by market makers.🎁
Trend change? No, the fluctuation is still there.During yesterday's NY trading session, Trump suddenly issued a statement saying that Federal Reserve Board member Cook must resign, implying that Cook may be suspected of criminal offenses. The market subsequently reacted to this, briefly surging to around 3350. Whether it can successfully break through 3350 remains a key short-term focus.
Gold opened high today and then plunged. The short-term volatility pattern has not changed. Currently, gold has returned to the 3340 line to consolidate. Although the daily line closed positively yesterday, the moving average is still in a bearish pattern. Judging from the hourly chart, technical indicators are currently weak. In the absence of any major news, we will maintain a bearish outlook for the time being.
In the short term, pay attention to the short-term pressure formed by 3345-3355 above. If you encounter resistance and pressure here, you can consider shorting with a light position. Pay attention to the support of 3335-3325 area below. Focus on the 100-day moving average, which is also yesterday's low of 3311. Once this position is broken, gold will fall to the 3300 integer mark, or even near the previous low of 3280.Today's focus will be on initial jobless claims data during the New York session.
GJ SELLSAwaiting confirmation within the 199.000 resisance.
Wanting sell confirmation, though price can still break bullish I'm not confident in taking buys.
Will wait for 5min pinbar engulfing as confirmation (Bearish).
Currently there are multiple hourly bullish candles approaching the area so I will be very picky with the entry confirmation i find.
DG rundown of a trade setup and bottoming processAs always the focus shall be on two timeframes : In the chart above (NQ September contract), the daily TF is on the left and 60M TF on the right. We have inserted manually key weekly and monthly levels (HTF terminations) in order to monitor/confirm a potential bottoming process. This is done automatically with the All-in-one indicator.
The bottoming process is defined as a first close above the upcoming or “live” EBOT. Remember also that a Zone/Area holds when the close is in the Zone/Area. And only then Area 1 needs to become strong support, then Area 2 needs to follow by becoming support.
You can see on the hourly chart how the first candle demonstrated a strong down flow (long range; huge distance between open and close; close almost at extreme).
As we are not at a key HTF area but in between, we do nothing and wait for the close. The hourly will need 2-3 hourly candles closes before confirming a bottoming process (2-3 rule on all timeframes). Price is also far away from the PLdot so we also need to wait for the PLdot to "catch up" with price.
Second hourly candle is also down with good flow, albeit smaller range so potentially first indication of minor change of flow, reaching key terminations (weekly and monthly) and closing below the upcoming EBOT so no bottoming yet.
However, the PLdot is “swinging” downwards which could be interpreted as a first sign of an exhaust. Both of candle 1 and 2 are c-waves down.
Next candle is finding support @ key HTF areas and closes above the upcoming EBOT and stops the c-waves down. This candle also allowed the PLdot to catch up with the price.
This candle goes for the PLdot refresh, first to the live EBOT, then static EBOT then the live PLdot and finally static PLdot which confirms the refresh of new energy that pushes the price to close lower than the static PLdot almost at the place of the live PLdot. Remember how the closes are always important and how the live energy is always most relevant at the end of the time frame – for the hourly candle that would be in the last 30-15 minutes before the candle closes. So, a first safe entry would be LONG at the close of this candle. The conservative stop loss could be the static EBOT while another option would be the live EBOT.
A more aggressive entry would be to go down to the 5 minutes timeframe and monitor around the HTF terminations the flow there and notice the spot where the c-waves stop (yellow box). Stop loss would be the blue line in this case.
The fourth candle is a congestion entrance candle that provide a target of two PLdots back around 23362 which aligns with the daily static EBOT. This would be the target for the trade.
The fourth candle closes below the ETOP so no c-waves yet, and the candle afterwards manages to close above the PLdot, still confirming the trend and finally
the fifth candle starts a c-wave, hits the planned target
Duration in trade - 4h (four candles after entry).
What is next:
We are in a daily PLdot refresh coming from the static EBOT. Either the refresh fails to break static EBOT and the daily down c-wave continues. The 60 minutes needs to start up c-waves in this area in order to confirm up-flow, otherwise the daily needs to have the 2-3 candles (2-3 days) to confirm bottoming. Daily is still in a c-wave down. As you can see, the daily needs to go through exactly what the hourly did in this example in order to start its bottoming process.
You can use this on any timeframe, monitor and learn.
US 500 Index – Big Sentiment Test AheadIt's been a nervy couple of days for the US 500 index with US technology giants led by NVIDIA taking a hit as traders looked to reduce some risk ahead of Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell's Jackson Hole Symposium speech on Friday (1500 BST), where he could shed some light on whether or not the current market expectation of 2 25bps (0.25%) interest rate cuts in 2025 is correct or overblown.
This down move in these key Magnificent Seven stocks has had an outsized influence on the direction of the US 500 due to their large index weightings, and saw prices trade from a record high of 6490 on August 15th down to a low of 6347 yesterday (August 20th).
Before we get to the Jackson Hole risk event, later today US 500 traders will have to negotiate the earnings update from retail giant Walmart, which is released before the market close and will provide a crucial insight into the current spending patterns of US consumers, and perhaps more importantly, update traders on what spending may look like across the remainder of 2025.
Then, the US preliminary PMI surveys for August are due at 1445 BST. These are important forward-looking reports on manufacturing and service activity in the US economy and will provide a health check on the direction of growth, including updates on new orders, employment and costs. Any reading below 50 = economic contraction and any reading above 50 = economic expansion. The service activity reading, which hit a 7-month high at 55.7 in July is possibly the more relevant release for traders given that it’s been the main driver of US growth for many months now while manufacturing has struggled. Any deviation from expectations could lead to further US 500 volatility.
Technical Update: Test or Break of Bollinger Mid-Average Support?
On Friday, August 15th, the US 500 index successfully posted a new all-time high at 6490. However, price action has since turned lower, resulting in a sell-off this week.
As shown on the chart below, the index is currently testing a potential support level, marked by the Bollinger mid-average, which at the time of writing, stands at 6388.
Traders often use the mid-average as an indicator of directional risk. While prices remain above this level, the market is generally considered to be in a positive trend, but when price activity falls below the mid-average, it may signal the development of a downtrend.
Therefore, how the 6388 mid-average level is defended on a closing basis over the coming 2 days might indicate the next possible phase of price movement. A close above this level may reinforce support and suggest a potential rebound in price, while a close below it could open the door to further price downside.
With this in mind, let’s take a look at the possible support or resistance levels to consider ahead of the key risk events across the remainder of the week.
Possible Resistance Levels:
As long as the 6388 mid-average support continues to hold on a closing basis, the uptrend could be classed as still intact. This is supported by the pattern of higher highs and higher lows forming in price since the April 7th low.
As the chart above shows, this setup could be suggesting potential for further price strength, with the initial resistance at the 6490 August 15th all-time high. A closing break above here could then open scope toward 6671, which is equal to the 38.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Potential Support Levels:
While not a guarantee of a more extended price decline, closes below the Bollinger mid-average at 6388, if seen over coming sessions, may reflect increasing risks for a deeper sell-off.
Such moves might suggest potential for moves down to the next support at 6272, which is the 38.2% retracement level. If this level is in turn breached, focus may then shift to 6214, which is the August 1st low, as the next key support.
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AUDUSD: Breaks Below ChannelThere's a very strong channel that formed on CMCMARKETS:AUDUSDU2025 originating since February 2025.
On the daily timeframe, price tested the lower channel boundary at the beginning of August. At that time, price respected this channel.
However, this wasn't the case more recently when price broke below this channel boundary and closed below it.
Moving over to the hourly timeframe, I'm monitoring the price action. I plotted an initial low that price traded post-breakout.
If price crosses below this initial low and makes a new lower low, that's an indication that momentum is picking up. If price reverts back, then it's a classic fakeout and then we'll hold off on this trade as price reverts back into the channel.
USTEC INCOMING BEARISH MOVEMy analysis shows that there's a high chance the bearish move will continue. As we can see the price broke below our Uptrend Channel and made some sort of Double Top signifying a drop in bullish move.
Price then broke our major low, creating CHoC and confirmed a bearish move, now we see that it broke below the Previous low and made a deep retest to the zone, we can anticipate the price will continue going down but we will need candlestick confirmation for that
This is my intake of what will happen, follow for more Technical analysis and don't miss out😉
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 17💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, we can see that Bitcoin, after losing the $115,000 support zone, moved toward its next support at $113,000 .
⚙️ Our key RSI zone is 27.89, and if this level is lost, Bitcoin will face more selling pressure. The next key RSI zone is 49.74, and breaking above this level could push Bitcoin higher .
🕯 The size of the red candles has increased, and with each rise in trading volume, selling pressure grows stronger. Step by step, as supports are lost (big money in whale wallets and unrealized positions being released), Bitcoin faces heavier selling pressure .
💵 USD.D on the 1-hour timeframe is moving upward and is facing a strong resistance around 4.5%. If this resistance is broken, Bitcoin will likely come under even more selling pressure .
🔔 Our Bitcoin alert zone is set at $113,000: if this zone is broken, Bitcoin could fall to lower support levels. Our alert zone for a long trade is $115,000, and by observing price action around these two zones, we can identify the best type of trade .
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .