Candlestick Analysis
Short trade
Sell-Side Trade — BTCUSDT (15m)
Pair: BTCUSDT
Bias: Sell-side
Date: Fri 16th Jan 2026
Session: London Session AM
Time: 5:00 am (UK)
Entry TF: 15-minute
Execution Levels
Entry: 95,525.7
Take Profit: 94,140.5 (1.45%)
Stop Loss: 95,623.3 (0.10%)
Risk–Reward: RR 14.19
Session-Based Narrative
🌏 Tokyo Session
Price formed a tight consolidation beneath resistance.
Liquidity was engineered but not expanded.
Typical range-building and inducement behaviour.
➡️ Sentiment: Neutral → Bearish setup
🇬🇧 London Session
London attempted continuation but failed to reclaim premium.
Multiple reactions at FVGs and prior highs without displacement.
Structure showed weak bullish follow-through.
➡️ Sentiment: Distribution
🇺🇸 New York Session
NY delivered sell-side displacement, breaking internal structure.
Buy-side liquidity above was left untapped → confirmation of failed continuation.
Price began targeting sell-side liquidity and inefficiencies below.
➡️ Sentiment: Bearish continuation
Trade Thesis Summary
Following a completed bullish expansion, BTCUSDT entered a distribution phase marked by failure to hold premium pricing and repeated rejection from higher-timeframe supply. London and New York sessions confirmed bearish intent through internal structure breaks and sell-side displacement. With buy-side liquidity exhausted and inefficiencies resting below, price is expected to continue lower toward sell-side targets.
GBPAUD: Bullish Move From Support 🇬🇧🇦🇺
There is a high probability that GBPAUD will pullback
from the underlined support.
Goal - 2.0004
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Long trade
5min TF overview and entry
Pair YGG
Buyside trade
LND Session AM
Thu 15th Jan 26
4.15 am
Entry 0.07274
Profit level 0.07274 (5.52%)
Stop level 0.06878 (25.4%)
RR 25.4
Neutral → Bearish corrective within a broader bullish impulse
The price is transitioning from expansion into distribution, with sell-side pressure emerging after the buy-side objective was achieved.
🧠 Structural & Liquidity Read
Price delivered a strong bullish expansion from the sell-side drawdown low, efficiently rebalancing multiple FVGs. The rally fulfilled a buy-side objective, reaching into premium pricing relative to the prior dealing range.
Following the expansion, the price failed to hold above the London/NY highs, signalling buy-side liquidity exhaustion. The rejection from highs shows distribution behaviour, not continuation.
Narrative Summary
Price completed a bullish expansion phase, efficiently delivering into buy-side liquidity resting above prior session highs. Subsequent failure to hold premium pricing, combined with NY session rejection and volume acceptance below the high-volume node, signals distribution rather than continuation. Current sentiment favours a bearish corrective phase or consolidation until sell-side liquidity is sufficiently rebalanced.
Hindustan Petroleum Corporation Ltd (HPCL) Demand Zone Reversal
HPCL has shown a strong price reaction from a well-defined demand zone, indicating active accumulation at lower levels. The stock has respected this support area multiple times, suggesting downside exhaustion.
From a macro perspective, easing concerns around the global crude oil supply—supported by improving diplomatic dialogue with Iran—have reduced pressure on oil prices. This acts as a sentiment tailwind for OMCs, including HPCL.
Technically, price action indicates:
Potential downtrend reversal with higher buying interest near support
Improving structure after prolonged corrective phase
Early momentum shift favoring bulls if price sustains above the demand zone
If follow-through buying continues, HPCL may attempt a pullback rally towards nearby resistance levels. However, failure to hold the demand zone could invalidate the reversal and resume the broader downtrend.
Trade Outlook:
Bias: Cautiously Bullish
Key Zone to Watch: Demand support area
Confirmation: Sustained price action above short-term resistance with volume
Note: Trade with proper risk management and confirmation, as broader market sentiment remains a key variable.
AUDJPY: I finally Bought 🇦🇺🇯🇵
This morning, I finally opened a long position on AUDJPY.
I was patiently waiting for a pullback, after the last bullish wave
and BoS.
The price testing a powerful confluence zone based on a rising
trend line and a horizontal support.
With a high probability, it will rise now and reach 106.65 level.
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#GBPAUD ShortI believe there is a short coming for GA is Friday/ end of the week. Usually, Fridays a bit tricky and risky but at times it continues the trend of Thursday close, and as of now is a strong bearish. Even though I like catching pullbacks, I just believe on a Friday, it will just liquidate is current trend and try to set up the bullish move next week. There is also no price down there in recent months which means orders are waiting to get tapped in and most of them are going to be sell stops because if price falls to that area everyone will predict it will fall as it creating new lows, until the market makers liquidate those sell stops and buy out those orders and push price bullish, while trapping retail traders and small banks. reversing the trend and there planning this move friday to set them up next week.
CBA To Bounce from Support?With the risk of Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hikes rising, the ASX financials sector could face further pressure ahead. I therefore retain my bias that CBA will eventually break below 150. For now, however, it continues to hold above this level while the broader ASX enjoys a materials-led bounce. The longer support holds, the greater the chance CBA attempts to close the gap with the ASX over the near term — provided the index itself does not roll over.
CBA remains above support despite Wednesday’s high-volume bearish candle, and a bullish pin bar has since formed. Bulls could look to fade dips within Thursday’s range for a minor counter-trend move towards the 156.10 high. A break above this level would open the door to a move towards 160.
Beyond that, I will continue to look for evidence of a swing high, in anticipation of an eventual break below 150.
Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index
Simplicity at its best Simply liquidated previous day's highs, inversed a Fair Value Gap and the first bearish candle to close below a 5min low was confirmation to take a sell order.
I'll admit i experienced a bit of turbulence but because my SL was placed 10 ticks above most recent high, i avoided manipulation and went on to close a few hours later at tp
Catch Hood's 2026 bounce. Hello I am the Cafe Trader.
Today we’re looking at Robinhood (HOOD).
Last Year, we nailed the bottom.
Seasons of Range
Coming off that huge run, it is natural for HOOD to cool off. As you can see, we are Consolidating off those highs. Price has not found real demand yet, but it is working its way lower toward an area where buyers are likely to start showing interest.
Patience Pays
We are right in the middle of the range, if you were looking to go long, I have a great area to add to your long term or to play the reversal.
Long Idea
Entry: ~97 (Demand zone)
Stop: 87.76
TP: 131.90
Note:
This is a Wide demand range, The bounce can happen anywhere in this zone, so If you are adding to your long term you can Dollar Cost Average . If you are playing the bounce with the shorter term, or playing options, Then you will want to get aggressive where I have this entry.
Stay patient, Let the price come to you.
Happy Trading,
@thecafetrader
EURAUD SHORTMarket structure bearing on HTFs 3
Entry at both Weekly and Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Weekly EMA retest
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 1.75000
H4 Candlestick rejection
Rejection from Previous structure
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 120%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
CADCHF LONGTrade IDEA 1 for 2026:)
Market structure bullish on HTFs DW
Entry at both Weekly And Daily AOi
Weekly Rejection at AOi
Previous Weekly Structure Point
Daily Rejection at AOi
Previous Daily Structure Point
Around Psychological Level 0.57500
H4 Candlestick rejection
TP: WHO KNOWS!
Entry 95%
REMEMBER : Trading is a Game Of Probability
: Manage Your Risk
: Be Patient
: Every Moment Is Unique
: Rinse, Wash, Repeat!
: Christ is King.
Pullback in Financial ETFThe State Street Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF hit a new high last week, and now it’s pulled back.
The first pattern on today’s chart is October 3's final price of $53.72. XLF stayed below that weekly close most of the fourth quarter, stalling there in mid-November before breaking out in December. XLF tested that level yesterday before bouncing, which may suggest that old resistance has become new support.
Second, Wednesday’s rebound from lows produced a “hammer” candlestick. That’s a potentially bullish reversal pattern.
Third, the bounce occurred at roughly 50 percent of the distance between the November low and the high earlier this month. It’s also near the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Do those points confirm its direction is pointing higher?
Next, the 20-day SMA is above the 50-day SMA. Both are higher than the 100- and 200-day SMAs. Such a sequence, with faster SMAs above the slower SMAs, may indicate a bullish long-term trend.
Finally, stochastics have dipped near oversold territory.
Standardized Performances for the ETF mentioned above:
SPDR Select Sector Financial ETF (XLF)
1-year: +13.33%
5-years: +85.79%
10-year: +183.05%
(As of December 31, 2025)
Exchange Traded Funds ("ETFs") are subject to management fees and other expenses. Before making investment decisions, investors should carefully read information found in the prospectus or summary prospectus, if available, including investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses. Click here to find the prospectus.
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