GBPAUD: Second AttemptExperienced a bit of unwanted volatility earlier this morning, but I do think there's still quite a bit of downside pressure.
On the daily timeframe, price still remains below HTL. On the H1 timeframe, price appears to be ranging, but is painting larger bearish bars.
I think there is an opportunity to scale in if price crosses below EMA20 and the EMA20/60 band continues to expand.
Candlestick Analysis
Long trade
15min TF overview
📌 Trade Journal Entry – RENDERUSDT
Trade Type: Buyside
Date/Time: Tuesday, 30th September 2025 – 11:30 AM
Session: London to New York AM Overlap
Pair: RENDERUSDT Perpetual (15m timeframe)
🔑 Trade Details
Entry: 3.247
Profit Level (TP): 3.679 (+13.30%)
Stop Level (SL): 3.234 (-0.40%)
Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 33.32
📊 Technical Structure
Low Sweep: Price swept liquidity beneath prior lows before reversing upward.
Breaker Block: Formed after the liquidity grab, acting as a bullish reversal signal.
FVGs (Fair Value Gaps): Multiple FVGs filled on the way up, showing strong displacement and continuation of bullish order flow.
MSB (Market Structure Breaks): Confirmed bullish trend shift.
Consolidation Phase: Preceded the sweep, suggesting accumulation before expansion.
📈 Trade Narrative
The setup was built from a liquidity sweep and breaker block retest, followed by strong bullish displacement. The market respected demand zones and FVGs, providing multiple entries, but the 3.247 execution aligned with the London to NY overlap volatility.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: PUMPUSDT Perpetual
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Tue, 30th Sept 2025
Time: 4:00 pm
Session: NY Session PM
Trade Details
Entry: 0.006105
Profit Level (TP): 0.007619 (+24.78%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.005827 (-4.56%
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 5.33
Market Structure & Context
Trend: The Market was in a corrective downtrend, then swept key lows, initiating a bullish reversal.
Low Sweeps: Multiple liquidity sweeps under 0.0058 reinforced a spring-like accumulation setup. Demand Zone (1H): 0.0058–0.0060 acted as the turning point.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Price expansion left upside inefficiencies that align with target zones.
Moving Averages: EMA and SMA crossovers supported a bullish shift at entry.
Narrative (Wyckoff / SMC)
Accumulation: Prolonged sideways chop with repeated low sweeps → spring phase.
Confirmation: Strong displacement candle breaking above the structure confirmed bullish intent.
Entry: Aligned with demand retest post-displacement.
Liquidity Draw: Targeting inefficiencies and overhead liquidity at 0.0076.
Key Levels
Entry Zone: 0.0061
Stop: 0.0058
Intermediate Targets: 0.0068 / 0.0072
Final Target: 0.0076
Action Plan
Take partials at 0.0068 (first FVG fill).
Hold the majority position toward the 0.0076 liquidity pool.
If price retraces into 0.0062–0.0063, monitor for add-on opportunities with tight stops.
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EURUSD
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Wed, 1st Oct 2025
Time: 7:00 am
Session: London Session AM
Trade Details
Entry: 1.17321
Profit Level (TP): 1.18481 (+0.70%)
Stop Level (SL): 1.17141 (-0.09%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 7.49
Market Structure & Context
Trend: Price rebounded from a corrective low and retraced into demand.
Fib Levels: 0.5 retracement zone (1.1730) supported entry.
Liquidity Context:
Previous day low sweep → liquidity taken.
Recovery into the demand block validated the bullish bias.
Confluence Factors:
FVG alignment with entry.
YDDO (yesterday’s daily open) is acting as support.
MA alignment points to bullish short-term momentum.
Narrative (Wyckoff / SMC)
Spring-like behaviour: Market swept liquidity below 1.1712 then bounced.
Displacement: Breakout from consolidation confirmed buyers’ strength.
Entry: Taken at equilibrium zone (1.1732) aligning with 50% retracement.
Target: Overhead liquidity at 1.1848.
Stop Placement: Beneath demand block (1.1714), protecting against structural break.
Key Levels
Entry Zone: 1.1730–1.1732
Stop: 1.1714
Target: 1.1848 (liquidity pool)
Intermediate Levels: 1.1760 / 1.1795
Action Plan
Take partials at 1.1760 (local structure break level).
Hold majority position in the 1.1848 liquidity pool.
If price retraces back to 1.1716, monitor for invalidation and potential flip scenario.
Long trade Trade Journal Entry
Pair/Asset: TSLA (Tesla Inc.)
Trade Type: Buyside trade
Date: Friday, 26th Sept 2025
Session: London to New York Session AM (11:00 AM)
Trade Details
Entry: 427.51
Profit Level (TP): 465.20 (+8.82%)
Stop Level (SL): 425.82 (-0.40%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 22.3
Technical Narrative
Pre-Trade Context:
The price consolidated above a demand zone at 423–427, which coincided with the origin of a prior order block. Inducement & BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed bullish intent.
Several fair value gaps (FVGs) were present on the climb, supporting bullish continuation.
Entry Justification:
*Entry at 427.51 aligns with the mitigation of the demand zone and FVG fill.
*The structure flipped bullish after the sweep of local lows, setting the stage for an upside liquidity grab.
Target Rationale:
*TP aimed at 465.20, aligning with the previous swing high and liquidity above.
*Clean imbalances left on the rally offer magnets for price.
Risk Management:
Tight SL at 425.82, just below the demand origin to invalidate trade if broken.
Observations & Notes
The accumulation structure within demand was well-formed before the breakout.
Entry captured an early move with FVG alignment + inducement sweep.
Monitor for potential rejection near 448.96 (intermediate resistance) before TP.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: MNQ1! (Micro E-mini Nasdaq-100 Futures)
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Wed, 1st Oct 2025
Time: 6:00 am
Session: London Session AM
Trade Details
Entry: 24,765.00
Profit Level (TP): 25,408.50 (+2.59%)
Stop Level (SL): 24,631.50 (-0.54%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 3.62
Market Structure & Context
Trend: Strong bullish continuation with higher highs and higher lows.
Fib Levels: Entry aligns closely with 0.618 retracement of the prior impulse (24,765).
Support Zone: EMA + structure overlap provided strong confluence for bullish continuation.
Imbalances: Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) below have been partially filled, and the market shifted back to bullish order flow. Volume: Consistent increase on bullish expansions, supporting continuation narrative.
1Hr TF overview
Narrative (Wyckoff / SMC)
Accumulation: Market held demand zone between 23,800–24,000 before breaking structure upward. Markup Phase: The SA series of higher swing highs confirmed bullish order flow.
Entry Justification: Entry at 24,765 aligned with retracement into support/FVG.
Liquidity Draw: Overhead liquidity resting near 25,250–25,400, aligning with Fibonacci 1.618 extension (25,248). Stop Placement: Below retracement low at 24,631 to protect against false breakdown.
Key Levels
Entry Zone: 24,760–24,770
Stop: 24,631
Intermediate Targets: 25,100 / 25,250
Final Target: 25,408
Action Plan
Secure partials at 25,100 (previous high).
Let the remaining position run toward the 25,408 liquidity pool.
If momentum accelerates, trail stop into break-even + profit lock once 25,100 clears.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: GBPUSD
Trade Type: Buy-side trade
Date: Wed, 1st Oct 2025
Time: 8:45 am
Session: London Session AM
Trade Details
Entry: 1.34653
Profit Level (TP): 1.34889 (+0.18%)
Stop Level (SL): 1.34465 (-0.14%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 1.55
Market Structure & Context
Trend: Recovery after corrective downtrend; bullish short-term momentum confirmed with structure reclaim. Support Zone: 1.3446–1.3450 reclaimed as support following liquidity sweep below. Liquidity Inducement: Price swept lows and reclaimed support, fueling the entry.
Target Zone: 1.3488 (aligned with previous high liquidity pool).
Narrative (Wyckoff / SMC)
Accumulation: Price consolidated near 1.3446, sweeping liquidity.
Inducement: Bears trapped beneath YDO level (yesterday’s open).
Markup Phase: Entry positioned at 1.3465 after breakout and retest, targeting liquidity above 1.3488. Stop Placement: Beneath accumulation low at 1.3446, covering invalidation.
Key Levels
Entry Zone: 1.3465
Stop: 1.3446
Target: 1.3488
Intermediate Reaction: 1.3477 EMA zone
Action Plan
Secure partials at 1.3477 (EMA confluence).
Hold core position towards 1. the 3488 liquidity pool.
Tighten stop above breakeven once 1.3477 is cleared.
BTCUSD: Watching for Exhaustion at the HighsHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Bitcoin setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, the price action for Bitcoin has been extremely volatile, with multiple failed breakdowns and breakouts. After a complex struggle, the most recent significant event was a powerful breakout above the 116800 level, followed by a successful retest, which confirmed the shift in control to buyers.
Currently, following that breakout, the price has entered a high-momentum rally. This upward impulse is strong but is becoming technically extended, which often increases the probability of a sharp corrective pullback as buyers begin to take profits.
My Scenario & Strategy
My scenario is a tactical short, aiming to capture this likely corrective move. After such a strong, impulsive rally, a pullback to test the original breakout level is a very common and healthy market dynamic. I'm anticipating that the price will make one last small push to a new high, where it will likely fail to find new buyers.
Therefore, the strategy is to watch for this exhaustion at the highs. A confirmed reversal would validate the short scenario. The primary target for this corrective move is the 116800 level, which aligns with the key Support zone.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
BTCUSD | Why the Short is Possible - Daily Short SetupBitcoin has just completed a clean setup that often signals a high-probability short.
🔑 Technical Breakdown (Chart Notes):
Sweep: Price ran above the August highs, collecting liquidity from breakout buyers and stops.
Shift: After the sweep, market structure flipped bearish, showing sellers stepping in.
79% OTE + Daily OB: BTC is now trading right inside the Optimal Trade Entry zone, which aligns with a daily Order Block (supply). This confluence makes it a prime reversal area.
📝 In My Words:
The market likes to trap late buyers by running liquidity above obvious highs. Once that’s done, price usually shifts lower to hunt the next pool of liquidity. Here, BTC swept the highs, flipped structure, and retraced deep into a supply zone where institutions often sell. Unless bulls can break above 120.8K – 121K, the path of least resistance is lower.
🎯 Downside Targets:
First inefficiency fill: 114.2K – 112.1K
Main liquidity draw: 98.2K
⚡ Trader’s Note:
This short is possible because price delivered the textbook sequence: liquidity grab → structure shift → return to supply. But remember, it’s not about “being right,” it’s about managing risk. If BTC closes strong above the OB, invalidate the short and step aside.
BTCUSD | Why the Short is Possible - Daily Short SetupBitcoin has just completed a clean setup that often signals a high-probability short.
🔑 Technical Breakdown (Chart Notes):
Sweep: Price ran above the August highs, collecting liquidity from breakout buyers and stops.
Shift: After the sweep, market structure flipped bearish, showing sellers stepping in.
79% OTE + Daily OB: BTC is now trading right inside the Optimal Trade Entry zone, which aligns with a daily Order Block (supply). This confluence makes it a prime reversal area.
📝 In My Words:
The market likes to trap late buyers by running liquidity above obvious highs. Once that’s done, price usually shifts lower to hunt the next pool of liquidity. Here, BTC swept the highs, flipped structure, and retraced deep into a supply zone where institutions often sell. Unless bulls can break above 120.8K – 121K, the path of least resistance is lower.
🎯 Downside Targets:
First inefficiency fill: 114.2K – 112.1K
Main liquidity draw: 98.2K
⚡ Trader’s Note:
This short is possible because price delivered the textbook sequence: liquidity grab → structure shift → return to supply. But remember, it’s not about “being right,” it’s about managing risk. If BTC closes strong above the OB, invalidate the short and step aside.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Next Goal - 3900
Gold looks bullish again today,
following a completion of a correctional movement after an update of the ATH yesterday.
The market was accumulating for some time within a horizontal range on an hourly time frame.
A confirmed bullish CHoCH indicates its highly probable completion.
The price will most likely continue rising now.
Goal - 3900
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GOLD (XAU/USD): Bullish Rally ContinuesIt appears that gold is expected to continue its upward trend, potentially reaching the 3920 level.
A confirmed break of structure on the 4-hour chart suggests that buyers are currently in control.
Given the lack of significant US news today, the market is anticipated to maintain a strong bullish sentiment.
Long trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: GBPAUD
Direction: Buyside trade
Date: Wed 1st Oct 2025
Time: 6.45 am (London Session AM)
Timeframe: 15 Min
Trade Details
Entry: 2.03789
Profit Level (TP): 2.04837 (+0.51%)
Stop Level (SL): 2.03534 (−0.13%)
Risk-Reward (RR): 4.11
Narrative
Price swept prior lows and traded into multiple fair value gaps (FVGs) around 2.033–2.036 zones, confirming demand.
Clear market structure break (MSB) signalled a momentum shift.
Entry aligned with London open volatility after a strong recovery move from the liquidity sweep.
Confluence with VWAP and EMA/WMA support adds validation.
Target positioned at session high liquidity clusters (2.048xx region) with multiple inefficiencies above acting as magnets.
Technical Drivers
Demand zone & FVG alignment: Provided strong buyside liquidity.
Sessson timing (London AM): Typically strong expansion window.
Volume spike at reversal: Suggested accumulation at lows.
EMA/WMA crossover bias: Supporting upward continuation.
GBPCHF: Pullback Trade From Support 🇬🇧🇨🇭
There is a high chance that GBPCHF will bounce from
a key intraday support cluster.
A bullish imbalance candle that was formed after its test
suggest a strong buying pressure.
Goal - 1.0763
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I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trade idea on Xauusd My speculation on Xauusd is an If Else situation
A break above 3,875 resistance confirms that the bulls are incharge Else
A break and retest of of 3,854.531 support confirms that the bears are incharge hence a push to the down side
Let’s see how it all plays out from this London session through till New York session. Stay tuned for any updates for when we see our confirmation at either side
GBPAUD: Price Holding Below Daily HTLDaily Timeframe:
Price initially crossed below daily HTL on September 11th, but failed to hold below it as price reversed for the following days
Price crossed below daily HTL again on September 30th, but closes below significantly
Price attempted to trade above HTL, but failed to close above it accordingly
H1 Timeframe:
There's confluence here as price crosses below ATL
Price is also below EMA20 and the EMA band is beginning to widen
RSI up + MACD cross on M15 & M5 + Bull Engulf + EMA200 bounce RSI oversold + MACD about to cross on M15 & M5 + Bull Engulf on M15 with spike down bounced off EMA200 = A+ setup
Took this trade following spike down into EMA200 on M15 and bounce. MACD also crossed on both M15 and M5. Large bullish engulf on M15. Excellent setup.
Short trade
Trade Journal Entry 2 – New Sell-Side Setup
Pair: CHZUSDT Perpetual
Trade Type: Sell-side trade
Date: Wed, 1st Oct 2025
Time: 5:00 am
Session: Tokyo to London AM
Trade Details
Entry: 0.04610
Profit Level (TP): 0.04100 (-8.42%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.04690 (-0.71%)
Risk-to-Reward (RR): 11.78
Context & Structure
Major Low Spike: The prior buy-side move has now been completed; the price has hit liquidity above. Supply Zone: Overhead rejection zone at 0.046–0.047 aligning with the imbalance.
FVGs: Multiple inefficiencies now beneath the price act as downside magnets.
Narrative: Expectation of reversion → price to rebalance inefficiencies and retest demand lower.
Key Notes
The buy-side leg has successfully closed out, now flipping the bias to the sell-side with fresh liquidity targets. This sequencing is classic Wyckoff cycle rotation: accumulation → markup → distribution → markdown.
EURUSD Bearish Continuation Pattern- Price formed bearish market structure with lower high & new lower lows.
- Price rejected at the Bearish Trendline with bearish candlesticks.
- Price broke Support level at (1.17260 - 1.17472) that turned to new resistance level.
* Setup Invalidated When Price breaks the bearish trendline and closes above it.
The Number 3 Crypto + The New Low Buying StrategyThis crypto BINANCE:XRPUSDT
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Even though i kept going
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Bearish Momentum Builds: Gold Aims for 3850–3840Gold touched around 3895 during its rise and then began to retreat, reaching a low of around 3856. Currently, gold is fluctuating in a narrow range around 3870. According to the current trend, gold will not continue to maintain its strong position in the short term, and because of the US government shutdown, there may be no economic data in the short term. Out of caution, the market may also press the pause button on gold to ease the upward trend!
From a technical perspective, gold fell from around 3872 to around 3793 yesterday, with a retracement of as much as $79; while today gold only fell from 3895 to around 3856, with a retracement of only $39. Judging from the adjustment space and testing cycle, the gold correction is not sufficient and there is still demand to continue to fall, at least to the 3850-3840 area.
As gold retreats, it may be difficult for the bullish momentum to regain its strength in the short term. Under the counterattack and pull of the bears, the high-level volatility trend may be exacerbated. In the short term, gold is under pressure in the 3870-3880 area. If it is difficult for gold to break through this area in the short term, gold may continue to fall to the 3850-3840 area through this resistance area. Once it falls below this area, gold may continue to fall to the 3820-3810 area.
So in terms of trading, I still think we can continue to try to short gold in the 3870-3880 area, first looking at the retracement target area: 3860-3850.






















