#BTCUSDT #4h (ByBit) Descending trendline breakout and retestBitcoin pulled back to 200MA support where it printed a kind of bullish hammer, seems likely to bounce.
⚡️⚡️ #BTC/USDT ⚡️⚡️
Exchanges: ByBit USDT
Signal Type: Regular (Long)
Leverage: Isolated (18.0X)
Amount: 5.0%
Entry Targets:
1) 117707.1
Take-Profit Targets:
1) 122924.9
Stop Targets:
1) 115091.7
Published By: @Zblaba
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P #4h #Bitcoin #PoW bitcoin.org
Risk/Reward= 1:2.0
Expected Profit= +79.8%
Possible Loss= -40.0%
Estimated Gaintime= 1 week
Candlestick Analysis
GBPAUD: Consolidation is Over?!The 📈GBPAUD pair appears to have completed a consolidation phase within a broad horizontal parallel channel on a 4H chart.
The recent formation of a higher high suggests potential upward movement.
Confirmation of this trend requires the market to close above the identified resistance level, establishing a higher close.
A buying opportunity may present itself following a pullback, with a target price of 2.0937.
Break of Structure VS Liquidity Grab. How to Identify Valid BoS
The main problem with break of structure trading is that you can easily confuse that with a liquidity grab.
But don't worry.
There is a secret SMC price model that will help you to confirm a break of structure in a second.
Learn smart money concepts trading secrets and a simple strategy to trade break of structure on any forex pair.
Let's study a break of structure that I spotted on AUDUSD forex pair.
We see that the market is bullish on a daily time frame and the price has just violated a previous high with a break of structure.
The issue with that is the fact that such a violation can easily be a liquidity grab and a bullish trap .
Buying the market immediately after a BoS, we can incur a huge loss .
We need something that would help us to accurate validate that.
Fortunately, there is a simple price model in SMC that will help.
After you spotted a break of structure on a daily time frame,
use a 4h time frame for its validation.
After a BoS on a daily time frame, the market usually starts retracing , setting a new local high.
To confirm that it is not a trap, you will need a break of THAT structure on a 4H time frame.
It will increase the probabilities that the entire bullish movement that you see on a daily is not a manipulation.
Here is what exactly we need.
After the price violated a daily structure and closed above that, we see a minor intraday retracement on a 4h time frame.
A bullish violation of the last high there is our BoS confirmation and a clear indicator of the strength of the buyers.
You can execute a buy trade, following a simple strategy then.
Set a buy limit order on a retest of a broken high on a 4H,
a stop loss should be below the last higher low,
a take profit is based on the next supply zone on a daily.
To avoid the traps, a single time frame is not enough for profitable trading break of structure.
Learn to integrate multiple time frames in smart money concepts trading. It will help you make thousands of pips weekly.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 16💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after losing the $115,000 support zone, Bitcoin is moving toward lower price levels. With increasing selling pressure, a deeper correction is likely.
⚙️ Our key RSI level is 33. If this level breaks down, short positions will gain more momentum, and the probability of entering the oversold zone will increase.
🕯 Candlestick behavior shows that bearish/red candles are larger in size and volume, initiating each corrective wave strongly. In contrast, bullish candles are smaller in size, higher in number, and have less volume, which reflects the strong dominance of sellers.
💵 USDT dominance (1-hour timeframe) has successfully broken above 4.37%. The next resistance lies at 4.50%. If this level is also broken, it will likely trigger even more selling pressure on Bitcoin.
🔔 Alarm Zone : There is no specific alarm zone right now, but by watching for pullbacks and breakouts in either direction, we can determine when to open new positions.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Nifty showing strength but nearing key resistances now.Nifty had a good closing today up 103.7 points closing just below 25K at 24980.65. Things have taken a positive turn after the GST relief related announcement from GOI. Today Reliance did heavy lifting as it was up 2.84%.
Now the Nifty is entering a zone where there are few important hurdles. Once they are crossed there is a fair Chance of proper Bull run. The resistance in front of Nifty now are at 24992, 25042, 25133 and most importantly the zone between 25245 to 25328. Above 25328 there is strong Bullish territory.
The supports for Nifty remain at 24866, 24820 (Father Line support), 24742 (Mother line support). Below 24742 there can be further bearish weakness which can pull Nifty down towards 24573 or even 24341. (But that can happen only if we get a closing below 24742.
Right now the Nifty seems to be in Bullish mode with few resistances approaching.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
WeBull Corporation | BULLOver the past few days, specifically from August 6th to August 15th, NASDAQ:BULL has been in a sideways position. Then, on August 16th, NASDAQ:BULL confirmed a breakout from the sideways movement. Therefore, we can target a minimum price of $18 with the potential for up to $20.
August 11, Forex Outlook: Key Market Expectations for the Week!Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
USDCHF
NZDCHF
EURNZD
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
▒₿▒ TWIN SHOOTING STARS | WK ▒₿▒COINBASE:BTCUSD
[ [ ]]
Hello everyone,
We identified a critical juncture for Bitcoin, marked by two consecutive weekly Shooting Star candles. The wait for confirmation is now over. The market has made its decision, and the bearish thesis we outlined has been validated.
The Bearish Thesis: Confirmed and In Control
The potent storm warning we identified has now made landfall.
What Happened: The weekly candle closed decisively bearish, breaking below the floor of the recent consolidation range (~$115,000). This move confirms the immense selling pressure at the ~$124,000 resistance and validates the double Shooting Star pattern as a major top for the time being.
What It Means: The period of indecision is over. Sellers have taken control, and Bitcoin has officially entered a corrective phase on the weekly timeframe.
The Bullish Case Has Faltered
The alternative scenario of a "Bullish Rectangle" or a simple healthy pause has been invalidated. The hope that buyers would absorb supply and push higher was negated by the strong weekly close to the downside. The price action has confirmed that the recent sideways movement was distribution, not accumulation.
The Updated Game Plan: What to Watch Now
With the breakdown confirmed, the context of our key levels has changed. They are no longer possibilities; they are now active targets and established resistance.
Established Resistance: $124,000. This level is now the confirmed peak. The bulls would need to reclaim this formidable level to even begin to suggest a return to the uptrend.
Broken Support / New Resistance: The previous "Indecision Zone" of $112,000 - $115,000 has now been broken. In the event of any bounce, this area is now expected to act as resistance.
The Primary Target: With the initial warning sign at ~$111k triggered, the focus now shifts to the next major support zone. The logical destination for this corrective move is the previous multi-month resistance from May-July. Therefore, the primary target is $104,000 - $100,000.
Bear Market Confirmation: As before, a decisive weekly close below $104,000 would break the entire macro market structure, signaling that this is more than a correction and likely the start of a longer-term bear market. The probability of the bull run being over would then become extremely high (>85%).
Conclusion
The time for a neutral stance is over. The technical evidence confirms that Bitcoin is in a correction with a high probability (70% likelihood) of heading towards the $104,000 support zone. The path of least resistance is now clearly to the downside. Any rally back to the $112k-$115k area is likely to be met with selling pressure.
This is not financial advice (NFA). This is for educational purposes only. Always do your own research (DYOR).
Posted by: Kairos
GBPUSD – Is the August Rally Now Over?Last Thursday GBPUSD printed a 1 month high at 1.3595, capping an August rally that saw it bounce just over 450 pips from a low of 1.3140 seen on August 1st. Now, the question for FX traders to consider is where does GBPUSD move next?
The August rally seems to have helped ensure that many of the over-extended weak GBPUSD short positions have been squeezed out leaving the decks a little clearer at the start of this new week.
The first move yesterday was to probe the downside, as risk sentiment dipped and the dollar bounced while traders awaited the outcome of key talks on the future of Ukraine between President Trump, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy and European leaders, which included UK PM Kier Starmer. This move resulted in an interim weekly low being registered this morning at 1.3487 before fresh buying interest appeared.
Interestingly, despite progress towards a new summit between Ukrainian President Zelenskiy and Russian President Putin being made, GBPUSD has so far struggled for any upside momentum (0700 BST).
Now, looking forward, there are some key scheduled events throughout the remainder of the week that could influence the direction of GBPUSD into the weekend. The first event is the UK CPI reading for July which is released at 0700 BST tomorrow morning. Higher than expected inflation in the UK was a major factor that led to a shock revote amongst BoE policymakers before deciding to cut interest rates 25bps (0.25%) at their meeting at the start of August. Another strong CPI reading on Wednesday could see trader hopes for one more rate cut in Q4 priced out altogether, with knock on implications for the currency.
On Thursday, the UK (0930 BST) and US (1445 BST) PMI surveys for August are due, and the service activity readings could provide pivotal information for traders trying to work out the direction of growth in the two countries. Then on Friday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell speaks from the Jackson Hole Symposium at 1500 BST. Traders will be eagerly awaiting his comments to see if he flags the possibility of Fed rate cut when policymakers meet next on September 17th, or if he still sticks to the current ‘unchanged’ mantra he has followed in previous months.
Whatever the outcome it could be a volatile end to the week for GBPUSD traders to manage.
Technical Update: Back to 1.3589 Resistance
August has been a relatively strong month for GBPUSD so far, with a 3.46% recovery from the 1.3140 August 1st low to a high of 1.3595, on August 14th. However, as the chart below shows, this price strength has retested and so far, failed at resistance provided by the previous high from July 24th at 1.3589.
Looking forward, much could depend on how the resistance at 1.3589 performs over coming sessions. If it continues to cap any future GBPUSD rallies the risks for renewed downside moves may increase, while a successful break above this level could lead to a more sustained phase of price strength.
Possible Resistance Levels:
Having faced selling pressure around the 1.3589 level on two occasions (July 24th and August 14th) this area remains a potentially key resistance focus. Closing breaks above 1.3589 are required to suggest further GBPUSD strength might be on the cards.
If a daily closing break above the 1.3589 resistance does materialise, while not guaranteed, it could pave the way for further price strength, with the next potential resistance being seen at 1.3789, which is the July 1st session high.
Potential Support Levels:
While the resistance at 1.3589 continues to hold price strength, risks remain for a resumption of downside moves toward potentially important support levels.
The Bollinger mid-average currently at 1.3419 may now be the next support focus for traders. A close below this level, if seen, could be a catalyst for further price weakness, potentially leading to a fresh decline toward 1.3140/42, the August 1st low and 38% retracement level.
The material provided here has not been prepared accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients.
Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
GBPCAD 1H shortLast week I spotted the GBPCAD setup, long extended candles to the upside and no significant pullback yet.
RSI overbought as an extra indicator.
So I started to place sell orders in total 2 sell orders, I took the trade over the weekend because the pullback didn't happened yet. But today was the day!
GBP showed weakness and starting to drop. I closed the trade at 1R profit but it was nice to see that my initial target 2R and even 3R was also possible.
Happy with the result!
Not sure that this chart has had enough bullish consolidationsNot sure that this chart has had enough bullish consolidations on the way up. Day 1 of the new weekly candle has already created a massive -35% reversal candle.
Yikes. Usually when you have this kind of run-up, the path of least resistance is all the way back down to where it started.
CMG - Bullish Engulfing off 200 SMA & Support Zone?(Weekly chart) NYSE: CMG price action went through a series of flush downs into multiple support levels, where market makers likely cleared out stop-losses. At that zone, price formed a bullish engulfing pattern, signaling a potential attempt to rebound and regain momentum.
Price action highlights:
1) Flush down into the previous high level (resistance turned support).
2) Confluence with the 200 SMA on the weekly chart – a strong long-term support line.
3) Extension through the lower Bollinger Band, signaling short-term oversold.
4) Stochastic oversold, hinting at potential reversal.
5) Last week formed a strong bullish engulfing candle at supports.
This setup offers a favorable risk-reward profile — limited downside with strong upside potential.
Trip Wave Analysis – 18 August 2025- Trip reversed from the resistance zone
- Likely to fall to support level 16.00
Trip recently reversed down from the resistance zone located between the strong resistance level 18.50 (which has been reversing the price from the middle of last year) and the upper weekly and daily Bollinger Bands.
The downward reversal from this resistance zone stopped the previous intermediate ABC correction (2).
Given the strength of the resistance level 18.50, Trip can be expected to fall to the next support level 16.00 (low of the previous weekly Bullish Engulfing).
GBPUSD: Pullback From ResistanceThe 📉GBPUSD pair appears to be exhibiting bearish tendencies following a test of significant resistance levels on both the daily and intraday charts.
Furthermore, an inverted cup and handle pattern has formed on a 4-hour timeframe, accompanied by substantial intraday bearish momentum this evening, which suggests a potential downward movement.
I'm anticipating that the price may experience a retracement, potentially reaching the support level at 1.3466.
Gold on Fire: Bulls Eye an Unrelenting Surge to 3365–3375Although gold has been weak recently, we have still achieved impressive results in gold long trading because it touched 3375 and 3358 twice during the rebound process. We have made a total profit of more than 900 pips in the long trading, which can be said to be a very successful transaction in the short term.
At present, gold maintains an overall volatile market, but in the short term, gold has never effectively fallen below the 3330-3320 area. What is more obvious is that the dense trading area below is concentrated in the 3330-3310 area, so the buying support below is strong, which greatly limits the downward space of gold; in addition, gold touched around 3358 during today's rebound, and once broke through Friday's intraday high, which to a certain extent strengthened the market bullish sentiment. Therefore, when gold retreats again, there may be more buying funds willing to enter the market.
In terms of fundamentals, the ceasefire and peace between Russia and Ukraine have not yet been settled, and the geopolitical situation remains tense; and the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates are gradually strengthening. Against this background, gold still has the possibility of rising again.
Therefore, in the short term, I still prefer to trade gold long. We can consider buying gold in the 3340-3330 area, first looking at the target 3365-3375 area, and even continuing the upward trend to around 3380.
Gold bottom is solid, and a surge is imminentTrump and Putin met last Friday to discuss the Russia-Ukraine issue, and information about the talks leaked over the weekend. 💻
If Russia and Ukraine cannot successfully reach a ceasefire agreement, Europe and the United States will continue to put pressure on Russia, ⚖️then the short-term volatility may no longer exist, and the bulls may counterattack.🐂 There will be another meeting tonight, so everyone can pay attention to it.👀
Gold opened lower today, hitting a low near 3323, and then quickly rebounded. 📈From the 4H chart, the gold price broke through the middle track, turning from weak to strong in the short term, but the short-term upper resistance was not effectively broken through, and the overall pattern still showed top oscillation.🏓
Gold is currently retreating again to test the lower support. If it fails to effectively fall below the lower support, gold will continue to rebound.📈 In the short term, focus on the 3343-3332 area. If effective support is obtained here, you can consider going long, with the target at 3355-3370.🎯
Why Most Traders Missed This Starbucks Swing Trade (SBUX)Most traders miss the forest for the trees. They spend their entire day glued to intraday charts, scalping for a few cents, and they completely ignore the bigger picture. But here’s the truth: the biggest moves, the cleanest swing trades, come from the higher timeframes — monthly and weekly charts. Today, I will break down why that matters, and we’ll use Starbucks stock, ticker SBUX, as a perfect example.
The Importance of Bigger Timeframes
When you zoom out to the monthly timeframe, you’re looking at where the real money plays — hedge funds, institutions, the smart money. These guys aren’t trading 5-minute charts. They’re building positions in massive supply and demand imbalances.
If you ignore those levels, you’re basically trading blind. It’s like trying to surf without paying attention to the tide. You might catch a wave or two, but eventually, the tide will wipe you out.”
Starbucks Monthly Demand at $79.68
Let’s look at Starbucks. Right now, we’ve got a strong monthly demand imbalance of around $79.68. Price dropped into that zone, and what happens next? Buyers step in, and bullish candlesticks start forming.
This isn’t magic. This is pure supply and demand. At that price, Starbucks became too cheap for the big players to ignore. They’re scooping it up, and as a result, smaller timeframes start printing bullish price action. The monthly demand fuels the fire.
There is room to reach the tested monthly supply at $110.
EURAUD: Important Bullish Breakout📈EURAUD has broke and closed above a significant intraday resistance level after a period of consolidation
Upon retesting the breached resistance, a positive bullish response is observed. This suggests a potential for further upward movement in the market.
The anticipated target is 1.8018.
GST related jump; Auto, Consumption & others breaks market slumpThere was some positive game changing news required to break the market slump which was provided by honourable PM in his Independence day speech. Now exact GST slots and how the same is implemented is yet to be seen. There was some negative news as well as EU and Ukraine and US do not seem to be on the same page with respect to ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine. So still there are some Global issues which are yet to be answered.
Additionally the Tariff war in general and with respect to India is not yet solved. Additionally the Trade talks between India and US have gone for a toss with next meeting which was to happen later this month has been postponed indefinitely. Thus the signal is not clear cut green. So once the GST Euphoria subsides there can be consolidation/correction again so traders have to be cautious. Long term investors can see this as an opportunity for reshuffling Portfolio in line with local consumption related stocks. Some of the Auto stocks have gone absolutely in the 5th gear. Consumption is heating up, Finance and Baking, Insurance, realty and FMCG can also join the band wagon along with Infra and capital goods in future. IT, Oil &Gas, Power can take a back seat for now but might join the band wagon if up move persists.
Overall what we saw today was a good up move. If Nifty is able to clear key resistances we can see strong up move across the sectors. If not so there can be further consolidation and sectoral rotation. Things are in balance right now. Predicting next move is difficult but certainly it was a good day on browsers.
Major events are unfolding but clarity will be there once the dust settles. Now the Nifty supports and resistances are as under:
Nifty supports remain at: 24810 (Father line of Hourly chart), 24746, 24671 (Mother line of Hourly chart), 24534 and 24334.
Nifty Resistances Remain at: 24995, 25116, 25246 (Trend Line Resistance above which Bulls will be comfortable), 25405, 25544 and finally 25639.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock or index. The Techno-Funda analysis is based on data that is more than 3 months old. Supports and Resistances are determined by historic past peaks and Valley in the chart. Many other indicators and patterns like EMA, RSI, MACD, Volumes, Fibonacci, parallel channel etc. use historic data which is 3 months or older cyclical points. There is no guarantee they will work in future as markets are highly volatile and swings in prices are also due to macro and micro factors based on actions taken by the company as well as region and global events. Equity investment is subject to risks. I or my clients or family members might have positions in the stocks that we mention in our educational posts. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message. Do consult your investment advisor before taking any financial decisions. Stop losses should be an important part of any investment in equity.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 15💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 4H timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that after breaking the $117,000 zone, Bitcoin faced strong selling pressure, which aligned with the Tokyo session open.
⚙️ The key RSI level is at 26. If this level is lost, Bitcoin could face even stronger selling pressure. The current RSI is around 30, which is marking a boundary for short-trade volatility.
🕯 Both trading volume and sell orders are increasing. With stronger selling pressure, Bitcoin could see a deeper correction.
💵 USDT dominance is getting heavier and forming green candles. However, the dominance is showing weakness in its upward trend. With strong support from USDT buyers, it could trigger a deeper correction across the broader market.
🔔 It’s better not to set alert zones yet, as Bitcoin is currently in a decision-making area, building a new structure. Once this new structure forms, our alert zones will become clearer.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 14💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe , we can see that Bitcoin is building a range above the $117,000 support level while trading with reduced volume.
👀 After breaking through the $118,000 zone (which acted as the midline of the range), Bitcoin has formed a consolidation just above $117,000. At the moment, it is ranging with a slight upward bias in the short term.
🕯 Trading volume and the number of transactions have decreased due to the weekend/holidays.
⚙️ On the RSI, the key resistance zone is 65.63. A breakout above this level could increase the probability of moving into overbought territory. On the other hand, losing the support zone around 37.82 could trigger selling pressure and push RSI into oversold territory.
🔔 Our alarm zones are set at $119,000 and $117,000. Breaking either of these levels could provide a trading signal. Monitoring price action around these zones will give clearer entries.
💵 Looking at USDT.D , we can see a 1-hour box range structure. It recently broke down from the bottom of the box. Now, the question is whether this decline will continue or if it will return inside the range.
🖥 Summary: Bitcoin is currently consolidating in a range with a slightly upward slope. However, due to the weekend, trading volume has dropped significantly, so any breakout needs confirmation with stronger liquidity.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .