Short trade
Pair: EURUSD
Direction: Sell-side trade
Date: Monday, 25th August 2025
Time: 12:32 PM (NY Session PM)
Timeframe: 30m TF Entry
🔹 Trade Parameters
Entry: 1.17245
Profit Target: 1.16059 (−1.02%)
Stop Loss: 1.17428 (−0.15%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 6.85
🔹 Trade Narrative
Trade executed after a sharp NY session rally into premium pricing (above ORI and pivot).
Entry positioned at key rejection zone around 1.1724–1.1742, coinciding with higher TF imbalance + liquidity sweep.
Stop placed just above NY high (1.17428) to protect against a false breakout.
Profit target anchored to YDL (1.1609) and session range low, providing a clean liquidity objective.
Candlestick Analysis
SUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Channel Breakdown LoomsSUSDT 4H Chart Analysis | Channel Breakdown Looms
🔍 Let’s break down the recent price action on the S/USDT 4-hour chart, focusing on the pivotal ascending channel structure and its implications for the next move.
⏳ 4-Hour Overview
S/USDT has been moving within a well-defined ascending channel, marked by higher highs and higher lows. Price is now testing the lower boundary of this channel, making the 0.3127 support a crucial level. The recent uptick in volume during the downward leg hints at mounting bearish pressure.
🔻 Short Setup:
A confirmed breakdown (BO) below 0.3127 would signal an exit from the ascending channel, opening the door to accelerated downside. With channel support breached, the next key target sits at 0.2710, in line with historical liquidity and the channel’s projected lower range.
📊 Key Highlights:
- Price action is currently at the channel’s lower boundary, with a breakdown below 0.3127 required to confirm bearish momentum.
- Volume has increased on the recent downward move, supporting the idea of a channel exit and follow-through selling.
- Downside target stands at 0.2710 if the channel fails, providing a clear roadmap for action.
🚨 Conclusion:
Bulls must defend the ascending channel at 0.3127, or risk seeing S/USDT cascade toward 0.2710. Watch for volume confirmation—an exit below channel support could shift sentiment quickly.
AUDCHF (SWING) - BEARISH TRADE IDEAHi there,
I'm of the opinion that Q3 would print a bearish candlestick as the momentum has been bearish.
As annotated on the chart, I expect the Accumulation, Manipulation and Distribution (AMD) to play out. If that happens, we'd see August print a bearish outside candle.
However, I'd only take a trade if I see my setup in my zone of interest.
Do have a wonderful trading week.
Cheers,
Jabari
USDJPY: Bearish Momentum Builds After H4 Structure Shift!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of USDJPY, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow remains bearish, positioning us to focus on high-probability selling opportunities aligned with downside liquidity objectives.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly Bearish Order Block Reaction: Price recently reacted to a weekly bearish order block, causing an H4 market structure shift (MSS) to the downside. This confirms that the H4 order flow is now in alignment with the higher timeframe bearish bias, with the weekly order block acting as a strong institutional resistance zone.
Liquidity Dynamics: Recent price action saw sell-side liquidity swept (external range liquidity), followed by a pullback into an H4 fair value gap (FVG), representing internal range liquidity. This reinforces the expectation that the H4 FVG may hold as a firm resistance zone.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Seek confirmation-based entries on the lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate the bearish continuation.
Target Objective: Focus on discount-side liquidity pools, consistent with institutional objectives to rebalance price and capture liquidity resting below.
The main liquidity draw is towards the weekly liquidity pool- which is our long term draw on liquidity.
Remain patient, allow the market to confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
EURGBP: Bullish Continuation Setup from H4 Fair Value GapGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURGBP, we observe that the prevailing institutional order flow has shifted firmly bullish on the H4 timeframe. This directional bias positions us to focus on high-probability buying opportunities aligned with upside liquidity objectives.
Key Observations on H4:
Weekly FVG Rebalancing: Price recently rebalanced a weekly fair value gap (FVG), which acted as a higher timeframe inefficiency. Following this, we saw a market structure shift (MSS) on H4, confirming the transition from bearish to bullish order flow.
Liquidity Dynamics: After external range liquidity (buy stops) was taken, price began gravitating towards internal range liquidity (FVGs), reflecting the market’s natural movement from external to internal liquidity and vice versa.
H4 FVG Support: Price is currently trading within an H4 FVG, which we anticipate will act as a firm institutional support zone, offering a favorable area to seek long setups.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation-based entries on lower timeframes (M15 and below) within the H4 FVG to refine risk and validate bullish continuation.
Target Objective: Aim for upside liquidity pools, in alignment with institutional objectives to draw price higher and capture resting buy-side liquidity.
Remain patient, let the market confirm your bias, and execute with disciplined risk management.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
Bearish MSTR is temporary; Rise to more than 412$ in the future.As it's obvious, MSTR has broken it's bullish trendline and a great pullback has happened. I believe after breaking a support at 293$, It will head toward 239$ then will rise and break the bearish trendline. After surpassing the 293$ resistance, It will catch 412$. Also it's evident that buying crypto by Michael Saylor can improve the stock price.
Long trade
15min TF overview
Pair: EURJPY
Direction: Buyside trade
Date: Friday, 22nd August 2025
Time: 2:14 PM (NY Session PM)
Timeframe: 15min TF Entry
🔹 Trade Parameter
Entry: 172.150
Profit Target: 172.547 (+0.23%)
Stop Loss: 172.100 (-0.03%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 7.94
🔹 Trade Narrative
Entry taken during NY Session PM following liquidity sweep and confirmation at the 15m timeframe. Set up aligned with session price action (PA) and targeting continuation in line with intraday bullish bias—Target Opening Range (9:30 am NY) levels used as reference point for execution. Tight stop placement reflects strong conviction in the immediate order flow bias.
🔹 Market Context
Price had consolidated after rejecting lower levels, showing accumulation before a breakout.
Session liquidity engineered around VWAP (172.27) and ORL/ORI (172.354), which provided confluence for entry. Volume supported upward momentum after rejection of lower NY lows.
ETH 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 2💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 4-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Ethereum chart, after last night’s rally, ETH hit a new all-time high but was rejected and is now moving downward while maintaining its uptrend.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 50 and 30. Breaking these levels with high volatility could trigger ETH’s next move in either direction.
🎮 Fibonacci drawn from the Jackson Hole event to ETH’s all-time high shows the 0.61 level as a key zone. Losing this could lead to a deeper correction. The 0 Fib level at $4,852 acts as a breakout zone for long trades.
🕯 Red candles are relatively large, but ETH’s pullback is milder than Bitcoin’s. It’s currently at a decision-making zone with a new structure forming.
🪙 ETHBTC pair shows whales are undecided after last night’s drop. The alarm zone for the ETH/BTC pair is at 0.04218; a break above could spark a new bullish leg for ETH.
🔔 ETH’s alarm zone for longs is at $4,852.52. A breakout here with increased volatility and volume could push ETH to higher highs.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
EURUSD: Time For PullbackEURUSD shows strong bearish signals after testing a significant intraday support following by the formation of a large FVG on Friday.
The price established a bullish trap, which was succeeded by a bearish breakout of minor resistance and a confirmed local character change.
I anticipate a pullback to the 1.1676 level.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 22💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour Bitcoin chart, after the last attempt to push toward resistance, it faced a strong rejection at $115,000 and moved toward the box's lower boundary. Currently in the alarm zone for a short position, but personally, I wouldn’t open a short here.
⚙️ Key RSI levels are 45 and 20. The 20 level is a support in the heart of oversold territory, where Bitcoin’s volatility spikes and often sees a reversal. The 45 level acts as resistance, with volatility triggering reversals upon hitting it.
🕯 Volume shows larger and more frequent red candles, with price heading toward its support levels.
💵 USDT.D broke and held above 4.27% but got rejected at 4.4%. A break and hold above 4.4% could increase selling pressure on Bitcoin.
🔔 Bitcoin’s alarm zones today aren’t very logical, so we can focus on altcoins instead. I’ll post a few altcoin picks on TradingView and the channel today.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
USDCAD: Pullback Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇦
There is a high chance that USDCAD will recover
after a formation of a huge FVG on Friday.
As a confirmation, I see a bullish Change of Character
on an hourly time frame.
Goal - 1.385
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EUR/USD Long EUR/USD Long position off of the previous resistance, now serving as potential support. Of course I will be waiting on more confluence before getting I the trade. For example, I would like to see (price action) rejection off of the support. If price blows past the support with strong selling pressure I will of course not take this trade. I will be watching the very large (fair value gap). It was made because of news so it could have just been a impulsive move to the up side because of the looming rate cuts or lack there of.
GBP/USD Long GBP/USD long from the bounce off the trend line. Of course I will be waiting on more confluence before getting I the trade. For example, I would like to see (price action) rejection off of the trend line. If price blows past the trend line with strong selling pressure I will of course not take this trade. I will be watching the very large (fair value gap). It was made because of news so it could have just been a impulsive move to the up side because of the looming rate cuts or lack there of.
NZDJPY (SWING) - BEARISH TRADE OPPORTUNITYHi there,
I'm looking towards seeing lower prices as price is bearish longer term and we recently broke a strong weekly support level (check the weekly chart to see it clearly).
Now, if price trades into my area of interest, I'd be waiting to see a trade setup to go short.
Let's see how this plays out.
Follow for more or check my page for more posts to come.
Cheers,
Jabari
GBPUSD: Key Resistance may HoldThere is a strong probability of a retracement on 📉GBPUSD pair from the identified intraday resistance level on Monday.
Confirmation of this assessment is derived from the observed double top pattern on the hourly timeframe, coupled with a bearish reaction prior to the market close during the New York session last Friday.
Target objective: 1.3500.
BTC 1H Analysis – Key Triggers Ahead | Day 21💀 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Satoshi got something for you !
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-hour timeframe timeframe .
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe of Bitcoin, we can see that Bitcoin has still maintained a good bullish trend after breaking out of the channel and is currently in correction, but it hasn’t yet formed a proper structure for trades.
⚙️ The key RSI zones are 40 and 70. When the oscillator crosses these levels, trading volatility increases and this will cause price movement.
🕯 Candle size and volume grew during the Jackson Hole event, but since the market is in holidays, there isn’t much volume present. We need to wait for the opening of the next weekly candle for volume to enter the market.
💵 On the 1-hour timeframe of USDT.D , we can see that during the Jackson Hole event, Tether dominance moved strongly downward into an oversold area, and a large amount of Tether entered the market.
🔔 Bitcoin alarm zones are still the same as before. Breaking these levels can give us positions. Since Bitcoin hasn’t built a complete structure yet and the market is in holidays, we won’t take trades.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
August 24, Forex Outlook: What Can Traders Expect This Week?Welcome back, traders!
In today’s video, we’ll be conducting a Forex Weekly Outlook, analyzing multiple currency pairs from a top-down perspective—starting from the higher timeframes and working our way down to the lower timeframes.
Pairs to focus on this Week:
USDJPY
USDCAD
EURGBP
EURJPY
GBPCHF
NZDCHF
USDCHF
Our focus will be on identifying high-probability price action scenarios using clear market structure, institutional order flow, and key confirmation levels. This detailed breakdown is designed to give you a strategic edge and help you navigate this week’s trading opportunities with confidence.
📊 What to Expect in This Video:
1. Higher timeframe trend analysis
2. Key zones of interest and potential setups
3. High-precision confirmations on lower timeframes
4. Institutional insight into where price is likely to go next
Stay tuned, take notes, and be sure to like, comment, and subscribe so you don’t miss future trading insights!
Have a great week ahead, God bless you!
The Architect 🏛️📉
The Bigger Picture in Gold: A Complete Cross-Market ViewFor directional swing traders, Gold’s summer price action has been particularly challenging. Strong impulsive moves have frequently been followed by tight consolidations and equally strong reversals, making it difficult to capture clean continuation trades.
In such environments, the most effective strategy is often to step back and reassess the broader context.
In this article, I will attempt to do just that — to strip away the noise of short-term fluctuations and focus instead on the bigger picture shaping Gold’s market direction.
XAUUSD on the Weekly Chart
Looking at the weekly timeframe, the beginning of the current uptrend can be traced back to October 2022.
However, it wasn’t until March 2024 that XAUUSD finally broke decisively above the 2000 level. Only after this breakout did the trend accelerate meaningfully to the upside.
From that point, the long-term trend has been clear and technically consistent, with pullbacks and corrections that are typical in such strong advances.
Following the all-time high in late April, XAUUSD entered another corrective phase, and since then the market has been consolidating.
Two key observations stand out:
1. A congestion zone is forming, with both highs and lows tightening over the past four months.
2. An ascending triangle structure is becoming increasingly visible.
On the daily chart, this congestion is even more evident—especially in the past four weeks. Moreover, last week produced an interesting pattern: two strong bullish engulfing candles, the latest triggered by Powell’s remarks on Friday.
Conclusion
In the bigger picture, XAUUSD continues to look bullish as long as price holds above the 3300 level. The consolidation is healthy within the broader uptrend, and the ascending triangle suggests a potential continuation higher once the market resolves this range.
Gold Futures
The picture on Futures is broadly similar, with the uptrend starting in October 2022 and gaining momentum after March 2024. The key distinction here is that the consolidation is forming an ascending triangle, and last Friday’s bullish engulfing candle coincided with a reversal directly off the trendline support.
Note: From my perspective—and I’ve said this before—when I trade Gold, I care about Gold itself as an asset. That’s why I ignore the DXY in my analysis. Instead, I focus on how Gold performs across multiple currencies, which I find far more relevant to understanding its true strength.
XAUEUR
Here as well, the trend is clearly to the upside—confirming what I mentioned earlier: Gold has strengthened regardless of the currency it is priced in.
Over the past month, a well-defined support has formed around 2840. Last week, price action confirmed that level with a strong bullish engulfing candle, followed by two consecutive bullish pin bars.
XAUGBP
The picture is very similar to XAUEUR: the uptrend remains intact, with a clear support base forming. Last week’s price action delivered a bullish engulfing candle followed by a double bullish pin bar, reinforcing the case for continued strength.
XAUJPY
When it comes to the yen, the chart tells a different story. The series of all-time highs began back in 2022, driven not only by Gold’s global strength but mostly by the yen’s pronounced weakness.
Over the past year, price action has remained contained within an ascending channel. While the structure differs from other Gold crosses, it nevertheless continues to suggest underlying strength.
In conclusion, the overall, the bigger picture remains bullish for Gold as long as key supports hold, with the potential for continuation once current consolidations resolve.
Long trade
🔹 Trade Parameters
Entry: 0.03044
Profit Target: 0.043964 (+43.93%)
Stop Loss: 0.03006 (−1.26%)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 35.68
🔹 Trade Narrative
Execution followed a long accumulation phase where ETHBTC trended lower for months before showing a structural reversal.
Entry taken after a BOS (Break of Structure) and bullish displacement confirmed continuation higher.
Trade targets major imbalance zone above (0.0439), aligning with higher timeframe liquidity pools.
Tight stop placement just below the local higher low at 0.03006 ensured an asymmetric risk profile.
🔹 Market Context
ETHBTC has been in a macro downtrend, but the recent shift signals a potential multi-week accumulation breakout.
Key levels reclaimed:
0.03194 (TMO) acted as a demand zone.
0.03805 – 0.03893 provides intermediate liquidity resistance.
Final target aligns with macro resistance at 0.04396 – 0.05 zone.
Volume uptick confirms institutional order flow supporting reversal.
EURAUD LONG DOCUMENTATION BASE TRADE!!! STRUCTURE WITHIN STRUCTURE
Market structure 3
At AOI D
Touching EMA
Candlestick rejection DW
Previous Structure point DW
Round Psych Level 1.79000
Touching EMA Y
H4 Candlestick rejection Y
Rejection from Previous structure Y
Levels 5.46
Entry 110
There was structure within long term structure, used price action for execution