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Candlestick Analysis

CRV 1D Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing CRV on the 1-Day timeframe . 👀 On the daily timeframe for CRV, we can see that after a strong rally, the coin entered a corrective descending channel. Now there are signs of a potential breakout from this channel on this timeframe. If the channel’s upper boundary is broken — which overlaps with the key resistance at 0.7634 — we can say a new bullish trend is starting for this coin. That would mean it’s leaving this compression and correction phase and forming a new upward structure. On the USDT pair, CRV has already managed to build a higher low, and on the BTC pair, it is also gaining momentum for a move. This coin can be added to your watchlist for trading opportunities. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, after a long period fluctuating below the 50 zone, it is now heading toward its resistance near 54. If RSI pushes through this level, it could break that oscillation resistance and continue higher. 🕯 Since the start of the correction, trading volume has declined, but some long-term holders are still keeping this coin and adding more. These informed buyers may resume accumulation once the descending channel is broken. Pay attention: with an increase in volume, this coin could experience a sharp rally. Recent candles also show stronger buying pressure compared to earlier ones. 💸 On the BINANCE:CRVBTC trading pair, we see a similar descending channel as the USDT pair. If the descending channel breaks on the USDT chart, a similar breakout could occur here, drawing whale attention and fueling a pump with strong growth potential for CRV. A major resistance lies at 629 on this pair; breaking that level would significantly increase the chance of a channel breakout and a strong upward move. 🧠 For trading this coin, a long scenario exists: if the CRV/BTC pair breaks resistance, strong buying volume could flow into CRV. On the USDT pair, if the channel top is broken, with a daily candle close above the prior day’s wick and RSI confirming above 54, a new bullish structure could form for this coin. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Long
by CryptosWinter
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 51☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after this recent bullish leg, price has now reached its resistance at $120,827. If this resistance breaks — a zone packed with short orders — Bitcoin could start an extremely sharp and powerful upward leg, essentially triggering a short squeeze. At the moment, Bitcoin is entering a corrective phase; with the start of this correction, price could head down toward its Fibonacci retracement supports, bounce from one of those levels, and then form a new trading structure. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, price has been ranging around the 70 zone and briefly entered overbuy. It is now moving toward the 50 area, its oscillation mean. A break below 50 could deepen the correction, but if support holds, RSI could again head toward the resistance zone near 70 and re-test the overbought boundary. 🎮 The Fibonacci retracement drawn from the breakout at $114,562 to $120,827 highlights several strong support areas. The most important zones for Bitcoin are the 0.236 and 0.382 retracement levels. Support here, followed by a fresh structure, could set up strong trading opportunities. 🕯 The size and volume of buy candles have been exceptionally strong and increasing — something rarely seen in Bitcoin with such a one-sided move to the upside. Now, during this corrective phase, even as selling pressure appears, roughly 70% of that sell volume is being absorbed by buyers. What we must watch closely is how buyers decide to allocate capital from here. If the key Fibonacci levels are lost, we respect the market’s decision and only then consider new trades. 🧠 For a Bitcoin position If you don’t have an open position, I recommend waiting for a new structure to form at critical Fibonacci levels, and only enter after a breakout of that structure. If you already hold a position, consider partial profit-taking, since USDT dominance has also reached an important support zone. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 30❄️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing ETH on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Ethereum, we can see that after reaching its resistance area at $4510, it reversed from that zone and moved downward. At the same time, Ethereum had support at $4461; if this support breaks, it could enter a healthy correction and head toward its marked support levels, forming a new structure afterwards. At that point, we could consider entering an Ethereum position. However, since breaking the level highlighted in previous analyses, Ethereum has already gained 11% up to now. 🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, we see that for roughly a day it stayed above the 50 area up to the overbuy boundary near 70. The 70 zone then acted as a static resistance, preventing Ethereum from entering its overbought state. As a result, selling pressure started, and price is now heading toward its swing support around 44. 🕯 The volume, count, and size of buy candles during the recent upward leg were strongly increasing, but not as strong compared to Bitcoin, since Bitcoin dominance didn’t drop significantly. Consequently, now we see sell candles increasing after hitting the 4510 resistance, completing a pullback from its bullish leg. 💸 Looking at the BINANCE:ETHBTC trading pair, we see that it moved upward along with ETH/USDT, but the percentage move was weaker than the tether pair. Whale interest in this pair is currently low, and it may not hold strong weight for them, especially since Bitcoin dominance didn’t fall heavily in this phase. The next trigger level for a breakout and rally in ETH/BTC is around 0.03753; if that zone breaks, Ethereum’s relative value could increase significantly. 🧠 For an Ethereum position, I think we should wait until a new structure forms, with fresh support and resistance zones created by whales. Then, after a breakout of that new structure, we could enter a trade. Another reason I don’t have an immediate scenario for Ethereum is that it has already rallied 11% and is now within a corrective phase. ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
Litecoin to $400... Just not yet moonboy!Yesterday (Oct 2, 2025) was supposed to be the big day for the Canary Funds CRYPTOCAP:LTC ETF. With the government shutdown stalling agencies, the SEC didn’t issue an approval, so the “event” turned into a non-event. Meanwhile seasonality kicked in—Q4 is often bullish—and we got the standard “new month/new quarter” squeeze across crypto. LTC tagged ~$122, then started giving it back. We’re roughly ~6% off the spike already as late longs get forced out. Here’s how I see it: Higher time frames look constructive. On the 4H/D1 charts, structure shows a bullish reversal after August’s washout. Price held the daily 200 EMA near $100 on the last retest and pushed up cleanly. That’s the anchor for any continued upside. Lower time frames need a reset. On the 1H, this was a textbook overextension. I’m expecting mean reversion back toward the 1H 200 EMA / prior breakout before any sustainable leg higher. Don’t get bullish into the wick highs—wait for pullbacks. Levels I’m watching Support: $108–$105 first, then the $100–$95 zone (daily 200 EMA). Lose that area with acceptance and LTC can do what it loves—round-trip—bringing $80 → $70–$65 back into view. Resistance: $122–$125 intraday supply, then the $135–$140 pocket near the descending trendline. A clean break/hold above $140 opens the door to $150. Bottom line: Short-term, I’m bearish into a pullback as price reverts toward the mean. On 4H/D1, I’m still bullish as long as $100–$95 holds—if we base there, I like the $140 magnet later this quarter. Just remember: Litecoin is notorious for mean-reverting. Trade the pullbacks; don’t chase the spikes.
by Trading_Soldier
NZDUSD: Sell Stop in Planned DowntrendThis is not an active entry but a planned sell stop entry. Daily Timeframe: Price crossed above HTL but quickly formed a doji to indicate weakness EMA20 is below EMA60 and price is below EMA20 so there's an overall weak downtrend H1 Timeframe: Strong ATL is in the process of weakening as price recently failed to make a higher high When price crossed below ATL, EMA20 should show confluence by crossing below EMA60 and the EMA band should continue expanding If price makes a clean break lower, there's strong indication that there will be confluence with the daily downtrend
Short
by FinancialGamblR
Not the Bottom Yet—Gold Poised to Retest 3800Gold failed to break through 3900 again and fell all the way from around 3897 to 3819, with a drop of $78 again. The two recent declines of this magnitude have greatly hit the confidence and sentiment of market bulls, and the bearish atmosphere in the market may become even stronger. Although gold rebounded again after touching 3819, it failed to hit 3900 twice and has successfully constructed an M-shaped double top structure in the short-term structure. Suppressed by this technical structure, the bullish momentum may be difficult to sustain and will intensify the short-term volatility. The volatility range is likely to be switched to the 3860-3820 area. Therefore, based on the current market changes, we cannot blindly be bullish on gold for the time being. From a technical perspective, gold is under pressure in the 3850-3860 area in the short term, so if gold rebounds and touches near this area, we can give priority to shorting gold, first targeting the retracement target area: 3835-3825 area. Once gold falls below the level around 3820, it is very likely to test the support strength of 3800 again.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by WaveRider_Steffen
3
Long trade 📌 Trade Journal Entry – PENGUUSDT Trade Type: Buyside Date/Time: Tuesday, 30th Sept 2025 – 12:30 PM Session: LND to NY Session Overlap AM Pair: PENGUUSDT Perpetual (15m timeframe) 🔑 Trade Details Entry: 0.02759 Profit Level (TP): 0.03372 (+22.26%) Stop Level (SL): 0.02659 (-0.60%) Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 36.94 📊 Technical Structure Consolidation Phase: Price compressed around 0.02670 before the breakout. Liquidity Sweep: Below 0.02672, flushing late longs and triggering demand. Demand Zone (15m): Confirmed around 0.02650–0.02700; price launched from here. FVGs: Bullish fair value gaps supported continuation on impulse move. Fib Retracements: Key alignment with 0.236–0.382 retracement zones, offering confluence targets. Break of Structure (BOS): Strong shift in market structure after sweep, confirming bullish narrative. 🏦 Narrative Textbook Wyckoff accumulation: Price completed a spring action (final liquidity sweep at 0.02670). Demand confirmed by immediate displacement and BOS. Rapid momentum expansion through untested FVGs confirmed strength. Target aligned with 0.5 Fib retracement at 0.03372.
Long
by davidjulien369
1
Long trade 📌 Trade Journal Entry – BNBUSDT Trade Type: Buyside Date/Time: Friday, 26th Sept 2025 – 11:00 AM Session: London to New York Session AM Pair: BNBUSDT Perpetual (1H timeframe) 🔑 Trade Details Entry: 1,042.02 Profit Level (TP): 1,082.87 (+14.93%) Stop Level (SL): 1,035.16 (-0.75%) Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 19.92 📊 Technical Structure Range Sweep: Price cleared the range low at 942.23, triggering liquidity Origin & Base Line: Demand confirmed at the sweep origin, providing a strong confluence. Break of Structure (BOS): Bullish intent confirmed post-sweep with higher highs forming. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): Multiple unfilled bullish FVGs supported displacement and continuation. EMA/WMA Alignment: Momentum confirmed with EMA trending above WMA. 🏦 Narrative This setup is a Wyckoff spring into bullish expansion: Market swept the range liquidity at 942.23. Aggressive buy-side pressure created immediate displacement, and BOS aligned with the previous Asian high & low range, demand zone conviction, and an entry placed at 1,042.02 just above the validation zone. Expansion target 1,082.87 liquidity pool. ⚡ Summary BNB’s move reflects a classic liquidity sweep → accumulation → expansion cycle. The confluence of structural confirmation and demand validation.
Long
by davidjulien369
4
Long trade 📌 Trade Journal Entry – ETHBTC 🔻 First Trade (Sell-side) Date/Time: Thursday, 25th Sept 2025 – 4:00 PM Session: LND to NY PM Entry: 0.037180 Profit Level (TP): 0.03003 (+19.23%) Stop Level (SL): 0.037644 (-1.24%) RR: 15.54 Outcome: Trade closed on Friday, 26th Sept 2025 at 9:30 AM Final TP: 0.03615 (+2.77%) Final RR: 2.24 🔹 Second Trade (Buyside) Date/Time: Friday, 26th Sept 2025 – 9:30 AM Session: LND to NY AM Entry: 0.03628 Profit Level (TP): 0.03741 (+3.11%) Stop Level (SL): 0.03599 (-0.80%) RR: 3.9 📊 Technical Structure Consolidation Phase: Observed before the breakdown, with a range of 0.03539–0.03516. Phase E Regression: Market transitioned from Phase D bottoming into a Phase E decline, characterised by lower highs. MSBs: Multiple market structure breaks confirm downside momentum before a potential reversal. Demand Zone (4hr TF): 0.03611 – 0.03660 acted as the buyside support where a bullish response was initiated. FVGs: Noted along retracement path; price filled gaps before continuation. 🏦 Narrative Sell-side Play: The first short capitalised on ETHBTC weakness, but the closure collapsed to a more modest 2.24 as profit, which led to the assumption of Buyside Recovery: A clean demand zone (4hr TF) tap allowed for a reversal entry and upside aligned with order flow and EMA/WMA support. Overall: This trade sequence shows an effective switch from distribution to the accumulation phase and Wyckoff alignment.
Long
by davidjulien369
BTC 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 50☃️ Welcome to the cryptos winter , I hope you’ve started your day well. ⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe . 👀 On the 1H timeframe for Bitcoin, after breaking through the taker-seller zone around $117,550, price pushed up toward its resistance area near $120,000. From there, we’ve started to see early signs of rejection. With a 1H candle close rejecting this zone, we can say that after such a strong rally, Bitcoin is now entering its corrective phase, moving back toward its key support levels. Let’s break it down deeper. 🧮 The RSI oscillator, after consolidating for about 1 day and 6 hours around the overbuy boundary, has now started to exit that zone. This suggests potential downside momentum toward its key swing supports. Keep in mind, a static swing resistance formed at the 78 level in overbuy territory. If that breaks — along with the taker-seller zone — long trades could push RSI up toward 91 before facing a possible rejection (a less likely scenario for now). At this stage, I don’t have a clear key support zone to highlight, but with corrective structure forming, I’ll point out the levels to watch in future updates. 🕯 Today’s buying candles expanded slightly in size and volume following the weaker USD news. However, because the move up has been sharp and the number of selling candles limited, hitting the taker-seller zone increases the probability of a pullback. A strong close with solid selling volume would confirm corrective pressure for Bitcoin. 🧠 I believe the smarter approach is to wait for the corrective structure to play out first. Once the new resistance levels are defined and broken, we can look for setups. Keep in mind, shorting here isn’t ideal — the broader trend is still strongly bullish and momentum is very powerful. The goal is to position for the next high-probability move, not fight the trend. ↗️ Long scenario: A Bitcoin long could be considered on a clean break above RSI 78 combined with a strong candle close above the marked taker-seller zone, ideally supported by increasing buy volume. Multi-timeframe candle setups would give stronger confirmation for entry. 📉 Short scenario: At the moment, I don’t see a high-probability short setup. Long positions are simply carrying more edge (and dopamine). ❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
by CryptosWinter
Long trade 15min TF overview 📌 Trade Journal Entry – RENDERUSDT Trade Type: Buyside Date/Time: Tuesday, 30th September 2025 – 11:30 AM Session: London to New York AM Overlap Pair: RENDERUSDT Perpetual (15m timeframe) 🔑 Trade Details Entry: 3.247 Profit Level (TP): 3.679 (+13.30%) Stop Level (SL): 3.234 (-0.40%) Risk–Reward Ratio (RR): 33.32 📊 Technical Structure Low Sweep: Price swept liquidity beneath prior lows before reversing upward. Breaker Block: Formed after the liquidity grab, acting as a bullish reversal signal. FVGs (Fair Value Gaps): Multiple FVGs filled on the way up, showing strong displacement and continuation of bullish order flow. MSB (Market Structure Breaks): Confirmed bullish trend shift. Consolidation Phase: Preceded the sweep, suggesting accumulation before expansion. 📈 Trade Narrative The setup was built from a liquidity sweep and breaker block retest, followed by strong bullish displacement. The market respected demand zones and FVGs, providing multiple entries, but the 3.247 execution aligned with the London to NY overlap volatility.
Long
by davidjulien369
Long trade Trade Journal Entry Pair: PUMPUSDT Perpetual Trade Type: Buy-side trade Date: Tue, 30th Sept 2025 Time: 4:00 pm Session: NY Session PM Trade Details Entry: 0.006105 Profit Level (TP): 0.007619 (+24.78%) Stop Level (SL): 0.005827 (-4.56% Risk-to-Reward (RR): 5.33 Market Structure & Context Trend: The Market was in a corrective downtrend, then swept key lows, initiating a bullish reversal. Low Sweeps: Multiple liquidity sweeps under 0.0058 reinforced a spring-like accumulation setup. Demand Zone (1H): 0.0058–0.0060 acted as the turning point. Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Price expansion left upside inefficiencies that align with target zones. Moving Averages: EMA and SMA crossovers supported a bullish shift at entry. Narrative (Wyckoff / SMC) Accumulation: Prolonged sideways chop with repeated low sweeps → spring phase. Confirmation: Strong displacement candle breaking above the structure confirmed bullish intent. Entry: Aligned with demand retest post-displacement. Liquidity Draw: Targeting inefficiencies and overhead liquidity at 0.0076. Key Levels Entry Zone: 0.0061 Stop: 0.0058 Intermediate Targets: 0.0068 / 0.0072 Final Target: 0.0076 Action Plan Take partials at 0.0068 (first FVG fill). Hold the majority position toward the 0.0076 liquidity pool. If price retraces into 0.0062–0.0063, monitor for add-on opportunities with tight stops.
Long
by davidjulien369
Long trade Trade Journal Entry Pair: EURUSD Trade Type: Buy-side trade Date: Wed, 1st Oct 2025 Time: 7:00 am Session: London Session AM Trade Details Entry: 1.17321 Profit Level (TP): 1.18481 (+0.70%) Stop Level (SL): 1.17141 (-0.09%) Risk-to-Reward (RR): 7.49 Market Structure & Context Trend: Price rebounded from a corrective low and retraced into demand. Fib Levels: 0.5 retracement zone (1.1730) supported entry. Liquidity Context: Previous day low sweep → liquidity taken. Recovery into the demand block validated the bullish bias. Confluence Factors: FVG alignment with entry. YDDO (yesterday’s daily open) is acting as support. MA alignment points to bullish short-term momentum. Narrative (Wyckoff / SMC) Spring-like behaviour: Market swept liquidity below 1.1712 then bounced. Displacement: Breakout from consolidation confirmed buyers’ strength. Entry: Taken at equilibrium zone (1.1732) aligning with 50% retracement. Target: Overhead liquidity at 1.1848. Stop Placement: Beneath demand block (1.1714), protecting against structural break. Key Levels Entry Zone: 1.1730–1.1732 Stop: 1.1714 Target: 1.1848 (liquidity pool) Intermediate Levels: 1.1760 / 1.1795 Action Plan Take partials at 1.1760 (local structure break level). Hold majority position in the 1.1848 liquidity pool. If price retraces back to 1.1716, monitor for invalidation and potential flip scenario.
Long
by davidjulien369
Long trade Trade Journal Entry Pair/Asset: TSLA (Tesla Inc.) Trade Type: Buyside trade Date: Friday, 26th Sept 2025 Session: London to New York Session AM (11:00 AM) Trade Details Entry: 427.51 Profit Level (TP): 465.20 (+8.82%) Stop Level (SL): 425.82 (-0.40%) Risk–Reward (RR): 22.3 Technical Narrative Pre-Trade Context: The price consolidated above a demand zone at 423–427, which coincided with the origin of a prior order block. Inducement & BOS (Break of Structure) confirmed bullish intent. Several fair value gaps (FVGs) were present on the climb, supporting bullish continuation. Entry Justification: *Entry at 427.51 aligns with the mitigation of the demand zone and FVG fill. *The structure flipped bullish after the sweep of local lows, setting the stage for an upside liquidity grab. Target Rationale: *TP aimed at 465.20, aligning with the previous swing high and liquidity above. *Clean imbalances left on the rally offer magnets for price. Risk Management: Tight SL at 425.82, just below the demand origin to invalidate trade if broken. Observations & Notes The accumulation structure within demand was well-formed before the breakout. Entry captured an early move with FVG alignment + inducement sweep. Monitor for potential rejection near 448.96 (intermediate resistance) before TP.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by davidjulien369
1