BTC 1H Aanalysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 42😃 Hey , how's it going ? Come over here — Winter got something for you!
⏰ We’re analyzing BTC on the 1-Hour timeframe.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe for Bitcoin, we can see that after reaching the seller trigger zone around $117,825, price was rejected to the downside. Currently, it is losing an important support level on this timeframe, and if we get a candle close below this zone, Bitcoin will likely move toward the buyer trigger area. After that, the market will enter a decision-making phase, where we will have to wait and see what happens in the coming week.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, there is a key level around 34. If momentum breaks below this level, we could see a deeper correction in Bitcoin’s price.
🕯 The size and volume of red candles are increasing, showing that many traders are selling Bitcoin and closing their long contracts. We need to watch how far this selling pressure continues. This correction, along with the selling momentum, is not unusual — it’s a natural part of Bitcoin’s price movement. Once this correction is complete, we’ll need to see what structure Bitcoin forms next.
🧠 For Bitcoin to make a real bullish reversal without entering an accumulation phase, the support level currently being lost could turn into a strong resistance trigger for future long positions. However, the main trigger remains at $117,825. If Bitcoin breaks above and holds that level, it could even set a new all-time high (ATH).
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Candlestick Analysis
Bearish Grip Tightens as 3585 Comes Into ViewAs gold continuously tests and falls below the 3650-3640 area, the space below has been opened to a certain extent. According to the current gold trend structure, as the candle chart shows a long upper shadow line near 3705, there are obvious signs of profit-taking, and there is strong selling pressure from above; a downward-opening trend channel is formed in the structural form, and the center of gravity of gold is gradually shifting downward. The bears are relatively stronger, and there is no obvious bottoming signal below at present. Gold still has the potential to continue to decline!
Although gold has rebounded slightly after several attempts at the 3635-3625 area, the strength of these rebounds has fallen far short of expectations, indicating relatively weak bullish momentum. As gold gradually moves downward, short-term resistance has shifted to the 3660-3670 area. Strong resistance is around 3685, but given the current rebound strength, it is unlikely that gold will reach this resistance area in the short term.
And I think gold will easily continue to decline and test the 3620-3610 area. Once gold falls below this area, the space below will be completely opened. Gold is likely to continue its downward trend to around 3585, and may even experience a deeper correction to around 3550.
Therefore, in a bearish market, we must firmly adhere to a short-gold trading strategy. If gold rebounds weakly to the 3655-3665 area, I would likely prioritize shorting gold. The short-term retracement target will first target the 3625-3615 area.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 19, 2025 – Friday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 19, 2025 – Friday 🔴
Flat Open, Sharp Fall, and a Range-Bound Trap
🗞 Nifty Summary
Gift Nifty hinted at a 50-point gap down, but Nifty opened nearly flat at 25,410. However, the bulls couldn’t hold, and within the first 45 minutes, the index slipped 132 points, breaking S1 and PDL to mark the day’s low at 25,297.
The rest of the day was stuck in a narrow 50-point band, with both sides witnessing fakeouts. The index finally closed exactly at S1 (25,352.5), about 66 points above the low.
The total range for the day stood at 142 points, and closing below previous day low showing weakness after yesterday’s sharp recovery attempt.
Yesterday’s note highlighted:
“The 100-point recovery was unexpected.”
— Today, that very recovery got completely wiped out in the early part of the session.
🗞 Last 3 Sessions breakdown
17th Sep 2025 → Open: 25,276.60 | Close: 25,330.25 | Change: +91.15 (+0.36%) → Bullish, small green candle
18th Sep 2025 → Open: 25,441.05 | Close: 25,423.60 | Change: +93.35 (+0.37%) → Bullish continuation, narrow range
19th Sep 2025 → Open: 25,410.20 | Close: 25,327.05 | Change: −96.55 (−0.38%) → Bearish, closes near 17th close
📌 Pattern Check:
The 3-session structure shows some similarity (~65%) with an Evening Star, but not a textbook one:
1st candle = Bullish
2nd candle = Strong bullish continuation (not a small-bodied star)
3rd candle = Bearish close near/below 17th session’s midpoint
👉 Interpretation:
This looks like a weak Evening Star variation, hinting at possible reversal.
For trading perspective, it’s more of a caution signal than a short trigger — confirmation from the next session’s candle is essential.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,410.20
High: 25,428.75
Low: 25,286.30
Close: 25,327.05
Change: −96.55 (−0.38%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open).
Body: ~83.15 points (moderate).
Upper wick: ~18.55 points.
Lower wick: ~40.75 points.
Closed closer to the low → Selling pressure throughout the session.
📚 Interpretation
Market opened flat but faced resistance near 25,428 (close to yesterday’s high).
Selling dragged it to 25,286, with only a mild recovery into the close.
Indicates a supply zone around 25,420–25,450.
🕯Candle Type
Bearish candle with a small lower wick.
Not a reversal by itself, but signals loss of momentum after prior strength.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 22, 2025
Resistance: 25,420–25,450 remains strong.
Support: 25,285–25,300 (today’s low).
Breakdown below 25,240 → Downside may stretch to 25,200–25,140.
Bulls need to reclaim 25,400+ quickly to keep the uptrend alive.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 159.12
IB Range: 114.45 → Wide
Market Structure: balanced
Trade Highlights:
11:45 Short Trade → SL Hit
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,340 ~ 25,385
25,425 ~ 25,460
25,500 (Psychological Level)
25,535
Support Zones:
25,307
25,290
25,275 ~ 25,260
25,240
💡 Final Thoughts
The market delivered a sharp fall early, followed by a dull range-bound trap. The weak Evening Star variation hints that momentum is fading.
👉 Bulls must reclaim 25,400+, else a drift toward 25,200 cannot be ruled out.
📖 “Markets often whisper before they shout — today was one such whisper of caution.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
USDT.D 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing USDT.D and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1H timeframe of USDT dominance, we noticed that after touching the support zone, we were expecting a breakdown. However, with a fake-out, it reversed and is now correcting upwards. The next resistance for USDT dominance could be around 4.34%.
🧮 The RSI oscillator is approaching the key level around 70 (overbuy zone). If USDT dominance enters this area, it could trigger a deeper correction in the market.
🕯 The green candles in USDT dominance (profit-taking and closing of long contracts) are gradually increasing. We should watch closely how these candles react as we approach the 4.34% resistance level.
🧠 Since we don’t want to open shorts here, the best strategy is to wait and see how USDT dominance reacts before entering any positions. This is very important. In the meantime, we can build a watchlist and focus on other setups.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Short trade
15min TF overview
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: EURGBP
Type: Sellside trade
Date: Thu 18th Sept 2025
Session: LND Session AM (8:00 am)
Timeframe: 15m
Trade Parameters
Entry: 0.86776
Profit Level (TP): 0.86669 (+0.12%)
Stop Level (SL): 0.86848 (-0.08%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 1.49
Narrative
Market performed a Tokyo high sweep, followed by a ChoCH (Change of Character) at the London open.
Sell entry triggered at 0.86776, coinciding with the premium pricing zone after liquidity run.
Stop Loss positioned just above high sweep (0.86848), guarding against continuation.
Take Profit aimed at intraday liquidity pocket (0.86669), aligned with discount FVG fill.
Session timing (LND AM) adds further confluence, as liquidity grab typically precedes directional move.
Entry 5min TF
XAUUSD: Bounce from 3615 Support LevelHello everyone, here is my breakdown of the current Gold setup.
Market Analysis
From a broader perspective, after a strong run-up within a prior Upward Channel, the price action for Gold has transitioned into a horizontal consolidation Range. This shift from a trending to a ranging market indicates a period of balance as buyers and sellers digest the previous impulsive move.
Currently, the price is in a corrective phase within this Range. After recently failing to break above the Resistance Zone, sellers have pushed the price down, and it is now approaching the major horizontal support at the bottom of the consolidation, near the Support 1 level.
My Scenario & Strategy
I think that this Range structure will continue to hold for now. The lower boundary, which aligns with Support 1 at 3615, is a significant area of historical support. This Support zone represents a high-probability area for buyers to step in and defend, just as they have in the past.
My scenario is that Gold will complete its drop to the lower part of the consolidation, testing the Support 1 level. Therefore, I expect that a successful defense of this support will lead to a rally back across the Range. My target for this move is 3700, which is placed within the major Resistance Zone at the top of the consolidation.
That's the setup I'm tracking. Thank you for your attention, and always manage your risk.
NZDJPY: Oversold Market Confirmed 🇳🇿🇯🇵
There is a high chance that NZDJPY will pullback from the
underlined horizontal daily demand zone.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
suggests a strong buying pressure from that.
Goal - 83.3
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Canara Bank – Breakout With Retest, Momentum BuildingBullish | Timeframe: 1Y | Type: Positional Swing
Chart Setup:
Canara Bank has broken out of a 15-month consolidation zone above the ₹112–₹114 resistance, which acted as a neckline. Price rallied sharply from the ₹85 base, and the breakout was supported by strong volumes and momentum.
The most recent candle shows a shallow retest, with an intraday dip to ₹109 followed by a strong close above the breakout zone — classic confirmation of support holding.
Measured Move Target: ₹150–₹160
Invalidation / Stop Loss: Close below ₹108
Rationale:
Strong price-volume structure
Retest of breakout zone successful
PSU banking theme in favour
Momentum intact above all major moving averages
Disclaimer:
This idea is purely for educational purposes and reflects a technical setup based on chart patterns and price action. It is not a recommendation to buy or sell securities. PSU banks can be volatile and sensitive to macro/policy triggers. Traders should manage risk independently, use stop-loss, and size positions based on personal risk tolerance. Always do your own due diligence before taking any trade.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Classic Pullback Trade
Gold may bounce from a key horizontal support.
As a confirmation, I spotted a breakout of a neckline of a double
bottom pattern after its test.
I expect a pullback to 3670.
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BJ Long swing BJ's has been respecting this uptrend overall. We have had a very deep pull back from the ATH. I still believe in BJ's as a strong company. Of course I will jump on a lower time frame for more confluences. For example, possibly wait for this candle to close to see if selling pressure has died down overall. {Probably will get in tomorrow} 9/19. Would like to see price action respecting the recent support. I will be drawing a trend line on the 15 minute chart from this downtrend. Once I see a break of the trend line and a retest I will be getting in.
Others.d 4H Analysis - key Triggers Ahead👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing Others.d and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 4H timeframe, looking at the Others.D index, we can see that this index moves inversely to Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) and Tether dominance (USDT.D). It reflects the capital flow into altcoins (excluding BTC and ETH). Currently, it has been consolidating inside a tight box structure. After breaking above the seller’s trigger zone — the top of the box — at 7.87%, it moved upward but got rejected at the 8.3% resistance.
💡 After the rejection, it formed a higher low compared to the previous one, showing respect from buyers. Momentum then picked up quickly, pushing the price back toward the 8.3% resistance with fewer green candles but stronger momentum. We are now retesting this resistance, and a confirmed breakout here could serve as a first small confirmation for a potential altcoin bull run.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, one critical level stands out: the 70 overbought zone. Considering the recent positive economic data, which fueled capital inflows into equities, this level gains even more weight. It may provide further support for Others.D cap to push higher.
🕯 After breaking out of the box, candle size and volume looked normal, but at the formation of the higher low, buyers strongly respected that level — suddenly the candle size increased sharply, showing FOMO from buyers and fresh capital entering risk assets.
🧠 We now have multiple confirmations for a possible breakout and stabilization above this resistance. If it happens, several altcoins with strong setups should be on the watchlist for entries. A clean breakout could also provide the green light to open long-term futures positions on altcoins, as a stronger rally may follow.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Short trade
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: GBPJPY
Type: Sellside trade
Date: Wed 17th Sept 2025
Session: LND Session AM
Timeframe: 15m
Trade Parameters
Entry: 200.400
Profit Level (TP): 200.040 (+0.43%)
Stop Level (SL): 201.477 (-0.14%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 3.13
Narrative
Market consolidated during the Asian range, then ran buy-side liquidity at the London open.
A strong displacement candle marked the potential shift, with price rejecting from premium pricing zones.
Sell entry taken after the liquidity sweep above intraday highs.
Stop placed above session high (201.477), protecting against further bullish continuation.
Target set toward discount zone ~200.040, aligning with imbalance fills & prior demand levels.
Supporting confluences: RSI turning down from mid-60s, volume shift confirming sell-side momentum.
Nifty Analysis EOD – September 18, 2025 – Thursday🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – September 18, 2025 – Thursday 🔴
Gap-Up Test, Triangle Breakdown, and Sharp Recovery
🗞 Nifty Summary
Nifty opened with a 111-point gap-up at 25,441, right near our target zone of 25,460. The first 10 minutes formed an IB range of 55 points, and for the next 3 hours the index consolidated inside this band, shaping a symmetrical triangle pattern. (Refer to the 5 min Chart)
At 12:30 PM, the triangle broke down, and within 30 minutes its pattern target was achieved. In this move, Nifty not only filled the opening gap but also broke below R1 and PDH. At that stage, PDC, CPR, and the previous day’s resistance zone at 25,340 acted as strong support.
From there, a sudden 100-point sharp recovery pulled the index back to the mid-point of the earlier triangle. Nifty closed at 25,420, just 28 points below the day’s high.
📌 Yesterday’s note said:
Bulls face resistance at 25,340, breakout above it could open 25,460+ ✅ (tested in gap-up).
Sideways consolidation may happen ✅ (saw 3+ hours).
Pullback for gap-filling likely ✅ (done by mid-session).
📌 Yesterday’s note end:
👉 What wasn’t expected: the late-session sharp recovery, which shows bulls are still alive but lack strength to break new highs decisively. Tomorrow’s session becomes a litmus test for bulls — they must cross today’s high and close above 25,450 to keep momentum intact.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart with Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 25,441.05
High: 25,448.95
Low: 25,329.75
Close: 25,423.60
Change: +93.35 (+0.37%)
🏗️ Structure Breakdown
Red candle (Close < Open), yet index closed higher vs yesterday’s close.
Body: ~17.45 points (small).
Upper wick: ~7.90 points.
Lower wick: ~93.85 points (long).
Close is slightly below open but far above the day’s low → strong intraday recovery.
📚 Interpretation
Opened strong, extended slightly to 25,449, then fell to 25,330.
Buyers defended support and absorbed selling pressure, pulling back to 25,420.
Despite closing red, the candle reflects bullish undertone with demand at lower levels.
🕯Candle Type
Hammer-like candle → long lower shadow, small real body near the high. Suggests support defence and dip-buying strength.
📉📈 Short-Term View – September 19, 2025
Support: 25,330 (today’s low).
Resistance: 25,445–25,450 (today’s high).
👉 Sustaining above 25,330 keeps the bullish structure intact.
👉 Breakout above 25,450 could open doors to 25,535–25,550.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 160.98
IB Range: 55.15 → Medium
Market Structure: ImBalanced
Trade Highlights:
12:30 PM – Short Trigger → Target Achieved (R:R = 1:3.59)
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
Resistance Zones:
25,460
25,500 (Psychological)
25,535
Support Zones:
25,385
25,340
25,307 ~ 25,290
25,275 ~ 25,260 (Previous Day Low & Gap)
💡 Final Thoughts
The day perfectly tested the upper target, retraced for gap fill, and rebounded sharply. Bulls showed resilience but need confirmation. Tomorrow is key: above 25,450 = continuation; below 25,330 = weakness resurfaces.
📖 “Markets often test your conviction by shaking you out before the real move begins.”
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
Gold Not Bottomed Yet:Selling Rallies Remains Key After a deep V-shaped rebound to near 3673, gold fell sharply again, hitting a new low near 3627. Clearly, after the rate cut, most investors took profits, driving gold prices down. As gold's center of gravity shifts downward, the current short-term resistance area has shifted to 3660-3670.
From the current structural perspective, gold is shifting from strength to weakness, with bears gradually recovering and taking control. Following the sharp rally, there is also a need for a technical pullback. While gold has rebounded slightly, there are no clear bottoming signals. I believe gold has not yet reached a low and is likely to continue to test the 3625-3615 area. If this area is broken, it will open up further downside potential, potentially extending the downward trend to around 3580.
GBPUSD Rejection at 1.3727 – Sell Rallies, Eye 1.32In my previous analysis on FX:GBPUSD , I highlighted the 1.3600 zone as a key resistance area that could trigger a reversal and open the way towards 1.3200.
I initially took a short position, but as the buying pressure persisted, I closed the trade with a 40-pip loss and stepped aside, keeping my medium-term bearish view unchanged.
That decision proved correct: yesterday the pair spiked to a local high at 1.3727, only to reverse sharply and leave behind a long-tailed bearish Pin Bar — a strong technical signal of rejection at the highs.
My bias remains the same: I expect the market to eventually move lower and test the 1.3200 area.
📉 Trading Plan: I will look to sell rallies, with confirmation of downside acceleration coming on a break back below 1.3550.
AEHR - RISING WINDOWTechnically AEHR is bullish as the stock made a strong rising window. Based on ICHIMOKU CLOUD, price is above cloud and chikou span is above candlestick - indicating bullish scenario. Kijun Sen is rising. MACD indicator showing bullish momentum.
ENTRY PRICE : 19.30 - 19.70
TARGET : 30.00 (potential almost 50% roi)
SUPPORT : 14.72
ETH 1H Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 21👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing ETH and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1-hour timeframe, Ethereum broke its trendline after yesterday’s news and started moving upward. It is currently testing resistance at $4,619, and a confirmed breakout above this level could open the way for further upside movement.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, two key zones stand out. Given the positive economic news from yesterday and today, which increased capital inflows into equities, the 70 level and potential entry into the overbought zone become more significant. This could support Ethereum’s price in moving higher.
🕯 The size, volume, and frequency of green candles have increased. With continued buying pressure and momentum pushing into the overbought area, Ethereum may break the $4,619 resistance, absorb sell orders, and continue its upward move.
💸On the 1-hour timeframe, (ETHBTC), Ethereum is also showing strength. After breaking its trendline, it moved upward but is currently facing resistance at 0.0396 and has been rejected once. A breakout and stabilization above this zone would likely support further bullish movement for Ethereum against Tether as well.
🧠 If Ethereum confirms a breakout and holds above $4,619, it could trigger a strong bullish rally, potentially extending toward higher price levels. Traders should note that entries can be considered after stabilization with a multi-timeframe indecision candle setup. However, the possibility of pullbacks and corrections in Ethereum remains present.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
Do you have the courage to follow me and take a long position?Gold, as expected, reached our target trading range and then fell, hitting our desired profit-taking level, resulting in good profits for our short positions. Just now, gold briefly dipped to around 3627 before rebounding quickly. If the US session tonight sees gold test the support level of 3635-3625 without breaking below it, consider going long on gold; the short-term target could be 3655-3670.
BTC Analysis - Key Triggers Ahead | Day 41👋🏻 Hey everyone! How’s it going? Hope you’re all doing well.
❄️ Welcome to Crypto Winter.
⏰ Today, we’ll be analyzing BTC and exploring its potential opportunities.
👀 On the 1-hour Bitcoin chart, we can see that after a slight drop following the recent rate cut, Bitcoin moved toward its micro buyer zone. Following Powell’s remarks, the price pushed upward, breaking through two resistance levels at 116,000 and 117,000. It is now moving toward the 117,700 resistance area, and if this level is broken, further upside movement could follow.
🧮 Looking at the RSI oscillator, the key level is around 70. Once momentum crosses this zone, Bitcoin could gain strong upward momentum, potentially entering the overbought area.
🕯 The size and volume of the green candles have increased notably after the news, suggesting the possibility of a longer-term bullish trend. A confirmed breakout above 117,610 would likely result in more consecutive green candles on the chart.
🔴 U.S. Unemployment Claims came in lower than forecast, strengthening the U.S. economy, while the DXY index is also pushing upward.
🧠 Based on the recent U.S. dollar news, capital inflows into Stocks have increased, and Bitcoin is also trending higher. If you did not enter yesterday, a potential entry could be considered after a confirmed breakout and stabilization above the resistance zone with a proper indecision candle setup.
❤️ Disclaimer : This analysis is purely based on my personal opinion and I only trade if the stated triggers are activated .
GBPCHF: ATL BreakoutI noticed confluence over on the GBPCHF pair. Here's the breakdown on the daily and H1 timeframes.
Daily Timeframe:
EMA20 is below EMA60 > downtrend structure
Price is also bouncing below EMA20 > confirms downtrend
Price also holding below HTL based on previous end at bearish candle
H1 Timeframe:
Price is exiting the EMA band > momentum has high potential to accelerate lower
EMA20 is below EMA60 and expanding > confluence that momentum is accelerating
Long trade
15min TF overview
Trade Journal Entry
Pair: GBPAUD
Type: Buyside trade (2)
Date: Thu 18th Sept 2025
Session: LND Session AM (7:45 am)
Timeframe: 5m
Trade Parameters
Entry: 2.04827
Profit Level (TP): 2.05948 (+0.55%)
Stop Level (SL): 2.04623 (-0.10%)
Risk–Reward (RR): 5.5
Narrative
The London session created a manipulation sweep into the discount zone before bullish expansion.
Entry taken at 2.04827 following a confirmed BOS (Break of Structure) with FVG support.
Stop Loss is placed tightly below the structural low at 2.04623, giving optimal protection.
Take Profit set at 2.05948, aligning with the premium retracement zone and prior high.
Strong LND AM confluence at 7:45 am supports the setup, as liquidity grab often precedes directional continuation.






















