Candlestick Analysis
EURJPY: Rejection Block Support Fuels Bullish momentum!Greetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of EURJPY, recent price action confirms the presence of bullish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by seeking high-probability buying opportunities that target the long-term highs, where a significant liquidity pool resides.
Key Observations:
Weekly Timeframe Insight:
Last week, price retraced into a weekly bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG), which has acted as a strong support zone. This reaction has initiated a bullish response across lower timeframes, validating the weekly FVG as a meaningful area of institutional demand.
H4 Bullish Market Structure Shift:
Following the weekly bounce, the H4 chart presented a clear bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS), signaling the onset of upward momentum. Price then retraced into an extreme discount, where it found support at a well-defined Rejection Block—an institutional array we expect to hold as a launchpad for further bullish continuation.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Monitor the Rejection Block zone for bullish confirmation setups on lower timeframes (M15 and below) to validate potential long entries.
Target Objective:
The draw on liquidity remains at higher premium levels, with the liquidity pool above the long-term highs serving as our primary objective.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
As always, exercise patience, wait for confirmation, and maintain strict risk management.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📈
CHFJPY: Pullback From Resistance Confirmed?! 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY may retrace from a key daily horizontal resistance.
A breakout of a support line of a consolidation range
on that on an hourly time frame provides a strong intraday confirmation.
Goal - 182.42
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
GBPJPY SWING: SHORT-TERM BEARISH OPPORTUNITYHi there,
Overall for the 3rd quarter of the year, I speculate a bullish candle close, however, for price to rally, it needs to trade lower to gather the needed liquidity. Hence, the short-term bearish move.
If you turn your chart to the 3M, you will see the wick of the last quarter's candle which translates to the Monthly OB that price is most likely to trade into after running multiple stops.
Check out my next post on CADJPY.
Cheers,
Jabari
EU Scalp (wrong bias) - Trump speech Came into the day with a neutral bias looking for some kind of retracement deeper into the hourly leg.
After a bearish London with bearish H1 order flow showing (H1 wicks + rejecting the Order block) we sell our liquidity shakeout right in the middle of New York session.
It's really got me interested was how close we came to the daily DOL (or so I thought) before retracing
WTI Crude: Bulls on the Back FootWTI crude oil has found plenty of willing buyers beneath $65 per barrel recently, often acting as a launchpad for abrupt squeezes higher. But with supply gushing as OPEC+ returns 2.2 million barrels per day to market at a time when concerns about the U.S. economy are growing, whether that continues remains debatable—especially after the sharp $5-plus slide over the past week.
With the price closing at its lowest level since early June on Tuesday, traders should be alert to the risk of an extension of the bearish move.
Given how often the price has been bid up beneath $65, the inclination is not to act immediately if Tuesday’s lows are taken out. Instead, $63.70 is a level to watch, having acted as resistance through May and June. A break below there would create a cleaner setup for shorts, allowing positions to be initiated with a stop just above for protection. $62.00 saw some action earlier in the year, but $60 looks the more compelling downside target.
RSI (14) is beneath 50 while MACD is negative, having already crossed below the signal line—both hinting that selling rallies may work better than buying dips near term.
Of course, if the contract can’t break $65 meaningfully despite the bearish backdrop, the setup could be flipped, allowing for longs to be established above with a stop beneath, targeting either the 200-day moving average or $68.44 resistance.
Good luck!
DS
XAGUSD SWING: SHORT-TERM BEARISH OPPORTUNITY Hi there,
For Silver, I am long term bullish but we have a set up for some short opportunity.
As annotated, we are primed to see lower prices... between 34 - 34.5
If this happens, I'd resume looking for massive long opportunities.
You might want to keep this on your radar.
Cheers,
Jabari
NovoNordisk, LT dirt cheap | GLP-1 a misunderstood growth marketNovo Nordisk stock has lost quite some weight since the release of Eli lilly's drug Zepbound and Mounjaro and since the rise of compounded, or generic copycat GLP-1 alternatives. The growth of the company has slown down a bit, but the overall GLP-1 market growth is still impressive and misunderstood. Both Lilly and NVO have become some of the cheapest PEG stocks in the markets and compettitors, of which most known, Hims en hers health also took a slice of growth of this market by telehealth GLP-1 descriptions.
The copycat descriptions could be dangerous due to unvalidated low quality GLP-1 or agonist GLP-1 substances. Therefore a lot of law suits have been initiated by NVO.
Where Oral Wegovy still has to be FDA approved withinin ~4, 7 months in USA, the company also has new medication approvals awaiting in the pipeline, medications like Cagrisema. (Phase 3 clinical trials, approval in late 2025 or early 2026)
Amycretin - a unimolecular long-acting GLP-1 and amylin receptor agonist.
Where investors have already praised Lilly for the better drug, GLP-1 demand is surging harder than production for both companies.
Where Wegovy and Ozempic are approved by The FDA to sell, many costs for the patients themselfs aren't covered by the health insurance yet. Wegovy or Zepbound isn't covered for mainstream when prescribed by your physician yet. it's only covered for severe obisty for example. Therefore penetration rates of the drug aren't very high yet and will get higher where it will be coverd for more people. Also due to the high cost many copycat GLP-1 agonist market have arisen.
There is some improvement in cost coverage for these types of medicine Which will boost the revenue due to prescribtion sales.
Next these facts, there are still new markets for GLP-1 to be approved like in india and Japan where worldwide demand is much greather than production capacity. Both Lilly and NVO are expanding fast. Many new production volume is created and Needed!, NVO is expanding production sites in brazil and china.
I'm exited for the earnings today. NVO has had many dumps before but has proven to be a up only company. The profits of the company have doubled from $7B to >$14B since Wegovy FDA approval. from the top shares have dumped 70% where there is still >10% growth. Since the FDA approval (june 2021), other markets excluded the share is just +40% up. The stock is much cheaper now with double the profits and revenue, and still >10% growth.
Let's see what happens with earnings. Good luck.
Nifty Analysis EOD – August 5, 2025 – Tuesday 🟢 Nifty Analysis EOD – August 5, 2025 – Tuesday 🔴
🌀 Double Inside Day – Calm Before the Storm?
📊 Nifty Summary
In the wind of negative news, yet Nifty starts neutral at the resistance zone of 24,725 ~ 24,735 but was unable to hold there and fell 140 points within the first 45 minutes.
After this initial sell-off, Nifty found support around 24,590, which coincided with yesterday's Fib 0.786 level, R1, and Previous Week Low (PWL).
These levels were well-defended throughout the session. Near the end, the index recovered ~80 points and closed at 24,649.55, close to yesterday’s Fib 0.5.
Can we consider today's move a retracement or a pullback of yesterday's move?
Same as Monday, today’s action stayed inside the previous session’s range, forming an Inside Bar. Now it appears as a Double Inside Bar on the daily chart.
📉 5 Min Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
📉 Daily Time Frame Chart with Intraday Levels
🕯 Daily Candle Breakdown
Open: 24,720.25
High: 24,733.10
Low: 24,590.30
Close: 24,649.55
Change: −73.20 (−0.30%)
Candle Structure Breakdown:
🔴 Red Candle (Close < Open):
24,720.25 − 24,649.55 = 70.70 points
🔼 Upper Wick:
24,733.10 − 24,720.25 = 12.85 points
🔽 Lower Wick:
24,649.55 − 24,590.30 = 59.25 points
Interpretation:
After a flat open, the index tried to move higher but faced resistance near 24,730, then reversed.
Buying interest was seen near the 24,590 zone, but sellers remained in control.
It closed below the open with a decent lower wick, indicating some buying support but overall weakness.
Candle Type:
🕯 A pullback candle with a moderate real body and long lower wick – suggests buyers attempted to support the fall, but sellers dominated.
🛡 5 Min Intraday Chart
⚔️ Gladiator Strategy Update
ATR: 202.71
IB Range: 139.95 → 🟠 Medium
Market Structure: Balanced
Trade Summary:
❌ No entry triggered by system
📌 Support & Resistance Levels
🔼 Resistance Zones:
24,725 ~ 24,735
24,780 ~ 24,795
24,860 ~ 24,880
🔽 Support Zones:
24,675 ~ 24,660
24,620
24,542 ~ 24,535
24,500
24,470 ~ 24,460
🧠 Final Thoughts
Today's double inside bar structure signals contraction and indecision — markets are waiting for a decisive breakout.
“The tighter the coil, the bigger the breakout.”
Keep an eye on these tight ranges. Patience before power!
✏️ Disclaimer
This is just my personal viewpoint. Always consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
NZDCHF: Bearish Continuation from Re-Delivered Re-Balanced ArrayGreetings Traders,
In today’s analysis of NZDCHF, recent price action confirms the presence of bearish institutional order flow. As a result, we aim to align ourselves with this directional bias by identifying strategic selling opportunities.
Key Observations on H4:
Bearish Market Structure Shift: The H4 timeframe has recently confirmed a bearish shift in market structure, providing us with a clear framework to seek short setups in line with institutional momentum.
RDRB Resistance Zone: Price has retraced into a Re-Delivered Re-Balanced (RDRB) array—an area where prior institutional selling took place and has now been re-engaged. This region is expected to serve as resistance, offering a high-probability zone for confirmation entries to the downside.
Trading Plan:
Entry Strategy: Monitor lower timeframes (M15 and below) for bearish confirmation setups within the RDRB array.
Target Objective: The current draw on liquidity remains the liquidity pool residing at deeper discount levels, which aligns with our short bias.
For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:
As always, stay disciplined, wait for clear confirmations, and manage your risk responsibly.
Kind regards,
The Architect 🏛️📉
Next Stop 3420? Gold Bulls Push the LimitBecause the U.S. non-farm payroll report performed worse than expected, gold rebounded strongly last Friday and recovered half of its losses in one fell swoop. The bulls returned strongly. Today, after consolidating at a high level, gold continued to choose to break upward, reaching a high of around 3385.
There is no doubt that bullish forces still hold the upper hand. From a fundamental perspective, the Federal Reserve is currently facing greater pressure to cut interest rates; and it can also be clearly seen from the candlestick chart that a significant "W"-shaped double bottom structure has been constructed near 3268 and 3280, which has limited the gold's retracement space while also playing a key structural support role in the rise of gold. With the combined effects of news and technical factors, gold still has the potential to continue its upward trend. And I think there is still a great possibility that gold will test the 3400 mark again. Once gold stabilizes at 3400, it will definitely hit the 3420-3430 area.
As the center of gravity of gold gradually shifts upward, the lower support area also moves up. The current short-term support is obviously in the 3365-3355 area, while the relatively strong support is in the 3345-3335 area. According to the current pattern structure, the bulls may not allow gold to retreat to the 3345-3335 area. So in terms of short-term trading, we first consider the opportunity to enter long positions in the 3365-3355 area!
EURCAD SWING: SHORT-TERM SHORT OPPORTUNITYHi there,
Been a while... I was motivated resume sharing my trade ideas by a follower turned Pal (Shloydo). I say this to say - I'd be sharing my thoughts on price more often.
After running equal highs on the monthly chart, price created a MSS and I'd like to see a short-term bearish movement in price.
Once price trades into the highlighted key level (which aligns with the quarterly open price), I'd be looking for a setup to go short.
You could add this to the pairs on your radar.
Cheers,
Jabari
How to navigate the Amazonian Squeeze. AMZNHello I am the Cafe Trader.
This week has been a deep dive on the MAG 7 and today AMZN is up next.
We are going to look at long term and short term opportunities.
We are near the All Time Highs, with one final Seller to get through before making the break.
Today we tested to see if those sellers are there still (and indeed they are). Today was a key reaction, I'm going to give you the keys to profit.
Long Term
It's important to consider how aggressive you would like to be with pricing. This list of prices should align with your conviction with Amazon.
Aggressive: $226 is where the current aggressive players are sitting. They are going to look to buy again at this level, although they should be the weakest of the buyers.
Fair sentiment: 203-210 is where stronger buyers are sitting. I think this price is still realistic to get to.
Conservative: 161 - 171 Is a great price, buyers have shown to buy this with extreme demand. Amazon at this price is a fantastic purchase, if you are holding from here or lower, congradulations.
Short term
Testing the supply and rejecting tells us that sellers are still really active in this zone. We will see how tomorrow closes, if we do not close in the supply zone, there is a good chance that net week will have some bearish winds and a great chance of testing the light demand at 226. this brings us to the two trading ideas.
1 Green line
I think we will test those sellers by next week. and i think its very possible that we break trend and touch the light demand line. If its a slow drag down to the light demand, Shorts will have to cover as soon as any real demand shows up (Light Demand Line).
Entry 226.50
Stop 221.50
Partial TP 233, or you can hold for a test of the highs (242 would suffice)
2 Red Line
If we get a Hot reaction from the supply zone, or if we close below 233.50 tomorrow, Look for a retest and short entry off the supply zone. If the reaction starts to be slow (more than 5 days of red bars) it's likely this will turn into the green scenario.
Entry 233.5
Stop 237
Partial TP 226.5
Full TP 218
That's all for AMZN Follow for more!
Also comment if you would like me to chart a stock you are considering.
@thecafetrader
Wait for a pullback and then test the previous high#XAUUSD
The gold market closed positively on the daily chart, with strong support near 3345-3340 below. The market trend is still dominated by bulls,🐂 but the daily moving average support is too far from the high point. It is not ruled out that it may retreat to the moving average support near 3345-3340,📊 and then rise again.🚀
From the monthly chart, 🌙although the monthly chart closed positive, the market is generally converging at a high level. Upper resistance remains, and a breakout is unlikely without breaking through this resistance level (no further discussion will be given).📉
Judging from the weekly chart, the Bollinger Bands have shrunk, and the MACD indicator has formed a death cross with large volume, indicating weak fluctuations at the weekly level.😩
Judging from the daily chart, 📊the current technical indicators are tending to the zero axis, and the rapid upward correction of the smart indicator indicates that the price fluctuation tends to rebound. The current focus is on yesterday's high around 3385. It is expected to break through 3430. The lower support Bollinger band middle track and moving average tend to stick together around 3346-3340.🌈
Judging from the hourly chart and 4H chart, 📊the overall rhythm tends to fluctuate and fall. The short-term pressure from above is around 3375-3385, and a break above will definitely lead to an increase.📈
On the whole, pay attention to yesterday's NY starting point near 3365-3360, and the strong support below is 3346-3340. The hourly and 4H charts tend to fluctuate and fall, so for short-term trading we need to short on rallies. 📉
Intraday trading suggestions are as follows:
1. Consider going long currently around 3365-3360📈, targeting 3374-3380🎯. If it breaks through, look for 3400.
2. Go long if it retraces below 3355-3340, targeting 3375-3385. Wait for further adjustments.🐂
3. If the price first reaches the resistance level of 3375-3385 and holds, consider going short with a small position and anticipate a pullback towards 3365-3355.🐻
BTC intraday strategy analysis and operation layout#BTCUSD
Currently, BTC rebounded again to test the upper resistance area of 115000-116000, indicating that buyers are still defending this structure, but it is still suppressed by the upper resistance. From a derivatives perspective, open interest has fallen by 0.91% over the past 24 hours, while options trading volume has also fallen by over 13%, indicating a decrease in speculative activity. Despite a 34.28% increase in 24-hour trading volume to $61.71 billion, the long-short ratio has fallen below 1.0, reflecting cautious market sentiment.
As long as BTC maintains above 114,000-113,000, the short-term structure remains neutral. If it fails to break through the overhead resistance and stabilize above 116,500, bulls may lose control of the lower trendline of the channel, triggering a renewed bearish push.
If BTC can successfully hold above 116,500, it could potentially return to 118,000 or even challenge the macro resistance level of 120,000. On the contrary, if BTC finds it difficult to break through the short-term resistance level, it will still return to the 114,000-113,000 area.
🚀 BUY 116,500-117,000
🚀 TP 118,000-119,000
COIN: Retesting Broken Resistance - Decision Point IncomingCOIN (Coinbase) has pulled back sharply after its breakout run to ~420 and is now retesting the prior resistance zone near 310–315, which previously acted as a lid during Q1.
This area now becomes a classic support-turned-resistance flip and serves as a major decision point for price:
Technical Levels & Setup:
310 horizontal zone = former resistance from February/March → now being retested
Buyers stepping in here would confirm a bullish retest, keeping the breakout structure intact
Failure to hold opens the door for a deeper flush toward 220-250
Price currently sitting on the zone with indecision - watch for confirmation candle (hammer / bullish engulfing)
Measured breakout continuation still targets 450+ if support holds
Is COIN simply back-testing the breakout before another leg higher - or is this the start of a larger reversal?
AUDUSD: Short entry triggerGood morning everyone,
today I am sharing a Short signal received now via alert from the LuBot Ultimate indicator.
Entry made on correction (approximately 50% of the trigger candle).
In this case I will follow the levels suggested by the indicator regarding both the TP and SL. Levels that will update as the trade progresses.
The signal is confirmed by the negative structure (red candles) that has just started on the 4H and a bearish trend confirmed by the signal a few candles back (Bear Trend signal).
The predictum also shows a bearish signal, therefore predicting a negative situation for the current month.
👍 If you want to see other similar posts, like/boost
🙋♂️ Remember to follow me so you don't miss my future analyses
⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your research before making investment decisions.
CHFJPY: Pullback Confirmed?! 🇨🇭🇯🇵
CHFJPY may pull back from a key daily support.
A formation of a bullish imbalance candle on an hourly time frame
with a bullish CHoCH provide a reliable confirmation.
Goal - 182.45
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURUSD: Time For PullbackThe 📉EURUSD pair reacted significantly to the highlighted intraday resistance zone following the market's opening on Monday.
After testing this blue structure, the market began to consolidate, creating a horizontal trading range on the hourly chart.
A bearish breakout below its support level signals a strong downward trend, suggesting a potential pullback from the resistance level, with a target of 1.1473.
BTC sounded the alarm, 115,000 became the key point#BTCUSD
Last week, as global risk sentiment deteriorated, the cryptocurrency market came under pressure, pushing BTC back from its recent highs. This correction was significant, and while BTC has subsequently rebounded, technically, the bearish divergence signaled by the daily MACD indicates weakening short-term rebound momentum. The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are trending downward, indicating that the market remains in a period of volatile correction.
If BTC cannot effectively break through the upper resistance of 115,000 in the short term, the bears may continue to exert their strength. You can consider shorting with the target at 114,000-113,000.
🚀 SELL 115,000-116,000
🚀 TP 114,000-113,000
Technical indicators are bullish across the boardInfluenced by the NFP data, gold prices rose strongly, fully recovering last week's losses. The current gold market has broken the previous bull-bear equilibrium and remains in a strong upward trend. We are currently bullish but will not chase the rise. We will wait for gold to fall back and stabilize before trying to go long. Gold is currently in a sideways consolidation. If gold touches the upper short-term resistance of 3365-3370 again in the European session and encounters resistance and pressure, you can consider shorting with a light position and waiting for a pullback. If the gold price breaks up strongly, pay attention to the key suppression level above 3375-3385.
As the price of gold continues to rise, the support has moved up. Pay attention to the short-term support of 3345-3330 below. If it retreats and stabilizes, you can consider going long. Independent traders must strictly implement trading plans, and those who are not sure about the market must set stop-loss orders.
OANDA:XAUUSD