KC=F has been in a vicious bear market just like many agricultural commodities. There is a down trend line since May, 2011. It is getting close to the apex of the symmetrical triangle as well. If it breaks up, it will be pretty bullish and it may be the start of new bull market in Coffee.
Coffee is back around the price of the beginning of the month.
Since OCT 2 we have a shy uptrend forming for coffee’s standards, in the 4h time frame (TF).
The price went up from its lowest of the current month and $104.90 to $113.35 (+8.04%) on OCT 12 and $111.70 (+6.45%) today so far.
The trend on the Higher TFs is still bearish and technically this is where...
Coffee after a 3 week structure and battle seems to be making a break towards the Fib 0.382.
The higher time frames still point down.
The ADX indicator shows uptrend but no strength yet (it usually has a delay on that).
The COT of Sep 29 shows a lot of long orders closed (-3745) and more short open (+3065) with net long positions to 54931 compared to 61741 of...
COFFEE holded the support area of ~109.20-109.50 and made a pullback breaking the trendline (marked green on chart).
However the bulls seem to be sleepy so I believe the trend continues to be bearish and we have to monitor how price will react to make our decision.
Personally I'm considering a short position around the area marked on the chart.
After the strong bullish speculation on sugar finally ended, with the price is returning to more realistic values, my attention shifted to coffee.
Coffee, which was also heavily speculated upwards, reaching an absurd price of $ 140, has returned to the $ 100 area and then rebounded. At the end of the bounce, as you can see from the chart below, a distribution...