Last week, U.S. housing starts, a key economic measure of new residential construction, dropped to their lowest level since 2020, with single-family housing starts hitting a 16-month low. Meanwhile, overall housing inventory has climbed to its highest point since 2020, and new housing inventory has reached levels not seen since 2008. Despite a moderating mortgage...
Ignoring mainstream news and whatever and only using my data i'm seeing that CRE is experiencing unknown trouble. While SPY and other indices have been pumping possibly thanks to NVDA, CRE has been experiencing big trouble.
I think CRE trouble may spill over to the rest of the market as some kind of SVB/SIVB-like event sometime soon e.g June/July and will end at...
Small banks account for about 70% of #commercialrealestate.
Small #banks are considered those with assets less than $10B.
We've been bearish CRE for a long time. We believe that this sector will likely not get better anytime soon.
#interestrates are still holding fairly strong. They are at banking crisis levels or higher.
TVC:TNX
Simon Property Group has formed a Bearish Harami on the weekly at the PCZ of a Bearish Deep Gartley and Bearish Deep Crab, the PCZs happen to align with weekly Horizontal Resistance and may now lead to SPG making its way down to a 0.886 Retrace as the REITs continue down due to rising yields.
Welltower is yet another Real Estate focused stock that I have been tracking in anticipation of its potential downside. Yesterday they had earnings and it was nothing that impressive, so I think the Bearish RSI Divergence at this PCZ will take over and bring it down to at least $53.40 to fill the downside gap from here
Simon Property Group is going to close the month below a Bear Flag as the RSI breaks down and the MACD crosses bearishly.
If this Bear Flag plays out, it will begin to push SPG below the B point of this potential harmonic BAMM, which would only complete once SPG reaches the 0.886 at around the $47.30 level. SPG is simply yet another REITs play that I will be on...
We have a Bearish Deep Crab with a PPO Confirmation Arrow and a Circle with MACD Bearish Divergence and have broken below the faster moving EMAs. I would next expect this to make at least a 61.8% Retrace, which would take it back to about $185.
This makes the third major Dow 30 Stock that has signalled something ultra bearish like this; the other two being UNH...
Old National Bancorp has developed a 3 Falling Peaks pattern after confirming a Partial Rise of the Ascending Broadening Wedge it's been trading within. It has also confirmed MACD Hidden Bearish Divergence.
Based on the price action we've recieved the expected bearish target would be between $5.73 and $1.91
This company deals with renting out Commercial Real Estate, mostly to do with Datacenters and other Internet Connected Operations, and due to that, this makes it a perfect stock to get Bearish Exposure to if you are both Bearish on the AI Big Tech Mania and Bearish on Commercial REITs
One of the main risks for this stock is if their biggest clients, like MSFT and...
