Fundamental : Open Interest on the South African Rand is increasing which is a Bearish signal/confluence. Commercial (Hedgers) Short positions are also increasing which for Exotic pairs like USDZAR means they are covering their Longs and add yet another Bearish confluence. Non-Commercial is also increasing its Long positions which is once again Bearish since you...
Fundamental : Historically for Silver when Open Interest (OI) is going down it is a bearish signal and vice versa unlike other symbols. In this case Open Interest is decreasing which is Bearish, Commercial (Hedgers) Long positions are slowly going up while their Short positions seem to be slowly decreasing which is another Bearish confluence. For Non-Commercial...
Fundamental : The COT Report for Canadian Dollar is showing a increase in Open Interest (OI) which is a Bearish sign. Commercial (Hedgers) Long positions are increasing at the same time OI is increasing which means they are covering their Longs and is also considered Bearish. Non-Commercial Short positions are increasing as well adding to the Bearish sentiment.
...
Fundamentals : The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) kept interest rates at a 12-year high of 4.35%. The COT (Commitment of Traders) Non-Commercial Report for AUDUSD showed a larger number of participants holding shorts over longs but we’ve had about 15k shorts close their positions since the last COT report so there is that going against the bearish sentiment. Net...
Rationale:
COT sentiment
The last COT report shows that Commercials' net short positions have been decreasing, which could indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side.
The COT report can be used as a tool to gauge the market sentiment of traders. When Commercials' net short positions decrease, it could signal a potential shift in sentiment towards...
Rationale:
COT sentiment
The last COT report shows that Commercials' net short positions have been decreasing, which could indicate a shift in sentiment towards the bullish side.
The COT report can be used as a tool to gauge the market sentiment of traders. When Commercials' net short positions decrease, it could signal a potential shift in sentiment towards...
Commitments of Traders (COT) report for Bitcoin futures on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) as of June 13, 2023. Here's a breakdown of the data:
Bitcoin Futures (Code-133741):
Total Open Interest: 13,251 contracts
Non-Commercial Traders (Speculators):
Long Positions: 10,086 contracts
Short Positions: 9,343 contracts
Spreading Positions: 1,875...
Whilst this year's 'rally' on the S&P 500 has been mediocre at best, the increase in net-short exposure to S&P futures has been impressive. As of last Tuesday, large speculators pushed their net-short exposure to the futures contract to their most bearish level since late 2007.
Yet with prices rising whilst speculators increase bearish exposure, there is a clear...
On April 11th, 2023, the COT report indicated a significant increase in the number of futures contracts held by large speculators, which indicated a bullish sentiment towards Bitcoin in the futures markets.
The net long positions held by large speculators increased by 5,000 contracts from the previous week, and the net long positions held by small speculators...
According to the latest COT report, there was a significant increase in the number of futures contracts held by large speculators (i.e., non-commercial traders) in the Bitcoin futures markets. As of April 11, large speculators held a net long position of 10,000 contracts, which was an increase of 5,000 contracts from the previous week's report.
This increase...
During the followig weeks i will try to highlight Commercials Positions
AND During that periods pin point the change that Occure durring the give time .
Find out more using the tag COT REPORT
Dyor
The surprise production cut announcement from OPEC+ on Sunday caught us off guard!
With oil prices surging close to 7%, the question arises: will this trend persist?
To put the production cut into perspective, the unexpected 1.16 million barrels per day reduction is a continuation of the cuts announced last October. In total, these cuts will represent roughly...
Hey Traders here is a quick video that explains how to use the Commitment of traders report before you make a trading decision. This is a government report that is released weekly every Friday. The report will show the institutional current futures market positions from the previous tuesday. The benefit in having this information weekly is that it will show you...
We forecast a gradual demand for the JPY on the premise of global economic uncertainties. This idea is supported by almost 50% decline in net short positions of large speculators on the JPY since May 2022 from negative 110k to 54k. However, speculative positions on the Euro recently flipped to the negative to dampen the optimism of a recovery on the Euro. BoJ has...
Copper / HG Futures market may be setting up for a move back to the upside.
After a huge expanding bullish candle in the beginning of June that saw price blast through the volume Point of Control (POC) which goes back to October last year the price then immediately reversed and we have seen a sell off for the majority of this month. However yesterday we saw a...
My chart idea illustrates a confluence of fundamental and technical analysis which leads me to believe a long trade in the Lumber futures market may getting close.
On the fundamental side:
- We have seen Commercial buyers become net long for a whole month, last time this happened was mid 2020 and this then led to a ~130% price rise over 2 months when the price...
Hey friends, and trader
We forecast downside movement for the USDJPY for several reasons
1. USD is overbought and over-priced in 2 months ago
2. JPY is oversold and this is a good and cheap price for this safe-haven currency
3. Smart buyers are buying in these prrices.
4. As you see in the picture, The non-commercial traders usually are buyers in these prices...
As we saw last hedge-founder (non-commercial traders) activity on this pair and how to hold this asset so we predicted text months around December price of EURUSD near the 1.08 area
Take a short position in swing trade style and be patient like big players.
Wish you best, good luck
