Bearish momentum to extend?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 94,255.27
1st Support: 80,712.26
1st Resistance: 106,846.29
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Cryptocurrencysignals
Bearish reversal?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 3,203.88
1st Support: 2,725.92
1st Resistance: 3,681.97
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
LITECOIN can easily hit $43 in the next 10 months.Litecoin (LTCUSD) started its new Bear Cycle after a rejection on the 4-year Lower Highs trend-line. Now that it sits below its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which was formally a Resistance during the Bull Cycle, we can claim that the next stage should be targeting the Higher Lows 1 trend-line.
Given that all previous Bear Cycles lasted for at least a year and that the last one dropped less than the 2018, we can expect LTC's new Bear Cycle to last up until August 2026 at least. Even a 'modest' decline should still see it targeting Higher Lows trend-line 2, which by the end of August 2026 should have hit $43.00 at least.
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AVAX – 15m Technical Analysis (Breakout Setup)🔥 AVAX – 15m Technical Analysis (Breakout Setup)
( BINANCE:AVAXUSDT )
✅ 1) Pattern Analysis – Falling Wedge
A falling wedge usually signals that sellers are weakening, and buyers are absorbing liquidity.
What confirms the breakout?
Price broke above the wedge’s upper trendline.
A large bullish candle with increased volume.
Retest area around 13.20–13.25, which is happening now.
📌 This is a classic bullish breakout behaviour.
✅ 2) Entry Logic
The entry around 13.25 is technically correct because:
It's exactly at the breakout retest zone.
Buying pressure is visible.
Volume supports continuation.
This setup is high probability when supported by volume (which is clearly rising).
✅ 3) Stop Loss (SL)
Your SL below 13.05 – 13.10 is perfect because:
It sits below the wedge structure.
If price returns below this level, the breakout becomes invalid.
This is the correct technical placement.
✅ 4) Take Profit (TP) Projection
Your TP zone around 13.70 – 13.80 is realistic and matches:
Previous major support turned resistance.
Measured move of wedge height placed at breakout.
High-volume node from earlier.
✔ Expected targets:
TP1 → 13.48 (first resistance)
TP2 → 13.68 (upper range)
TP3 → 13.78–13.80 (full wedge target)
✅ 5) Market Behaviour to Expect
After a falling wedge breakout, price typically:
Breaks the trendline ✔
Pulls back slightly to retest the breakout level
Then accelerates upward toward targets
BITCOIN vs S&P500 Is the Bear Cycle correlation a myth?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has entered a new Bear Cycle while the stock markets remain near their All Time Highs (ATH). The general notion is that when BTC starts a Cycle (either Bull or Bear), the stock market, which on this particular analysis is the S&P500 (blue trend-line) follows suit. But how much truth is in it?
Here we see those Bear Cycles since 2011. As you can see in 2011 and 2022 both BTC and the S&P500 dropped around the same time. In 2018 even though both started falling, the S&P500 recovered shortly after, even made new ATH but dropped again remaining volatile. On the other hand in 2014, the S&P500 kept rising, even though BTC was in a Bear Cycle.
As a result, the above notion isn't 100% accurate, not entirely a 'myth' but for sure not a certainty. We even plotted all previous S&P500 sequences during BTC's Bear Cycle, on today's Cycle and as you can see the worst case scenario based on that is a 2022 type correction (grey fractal), which would bring the index back to the April 2025 lows. Bitcoin will most likely have a typical Bear Cycle, especially with the last two (2022 and 2018) being almost identical.
So do you think the Bear Cycle correlation is a myth or not? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN Mayer Multiple shows the way to the Bear Cycle bottom.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) remains on a short-term rebound, as mentioned before, a standard counter-trend/ dead cat bounce during Bear Cycles.
Here you see the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB), an indicator we've used countless times to determine tops, bottoms and general trends of a Cycle. This time we plot this simple yet powerful tool to make an early estimate on the potential bottom of this Bear Cycle.
We will keep this short as there is no reason to overcomplicate things, especially at this stage. BTC is as we said on a small rebound currently after almost testing the 2SD below (blue trend-line) of the MMB. On all previous Bear Cycles show on this chart, every time this happened, the market bounced and consolidated then.
When the 2SD below trend-line broke, the market reached the 3SD below (green trend-line) rather aggressively and quickly. In all instances, that was the Bear Cycle bottom, with the only exception being the 2022 Bear Cycle, which gave one last short-term rebound/ consolidation and bottomed when it broke below the 1W MA300 (red trend-line).
The 1W MA300 has historically had a hidden but key role on BTC Cycles. When tested, always after the initial MMB bottom, it provided a 2nd and final opportunity to enter (buy) the new Bull Cycle at such a low price.
It is possible to see something like that happen again. With its course (1W MA300), assuming the current Bear Cycle also lasts for around 52 weeks (364 days) like the previous two, we estimate it to be a little under $60000 by October 2026. The MMB 3SD below though could be by that time around $40000. It is possible of course that we breach the 1W MA300 (much) earlier thus at a lower price, meaning also potentially hitting the MMB bottom a little higher.
In any case the bottom range seems roughly by $60k - $40k. Since determining the Cycles (hence Tops - exits, Lows - entries) has always been more about timing and less about pricing, this is why we've discussed before that it would be a good idea to start buying (call it DCA if it suits you better) around $60k. As always, however, these are just the facts. The decision is yours.
So at what price do you think this Cycle will bottom? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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PEPE/USDT Trend Shift? Hull MA Break Signals Possible Upside🔥 PEPE/USDT – Hull Breakout Bullish Blueprint | Swing Trade Masterplan 🐸🚀
Asset: PEPE/USDT — “PEPE vs Tether”
Crypto Market Opportunity Blueprint (Swing Trade)
📈 PLAN — Bullish Plan confirmed with Hull Moving Average Breakout 💚⚡
Entry: YOU CAN ENTRY ANY PRICE LEVEL
Stop Loss: This is thief SL @ 0.00000440
Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) Adjust your SL based on your startergy & own risk.
PLACE SL AFTER THE BREAKOUT CONFIRMATION ONLY.
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) iam not recommended to set only my SL. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
🎯 TARGET — Following SMA Resistance + Overbought Zone + Trap Alert ⚠️🔰
Simple Moving Average act as a strong resistance + overbought + trap is there
→ OUR target @ 0.00000570
Note: Dear Ladies & Gentleman (Thief OG's) iam not recommended to set only my TP. its your own choice you can make money then take money at your own risk.
📡 Related Pairs to Watch (Correlation + Key Points) 🔍📊
1️⃣ BINANCE:SHIBUSDT 🐕🔥
High correlation with meme-coin liquidity flows.
When SHIB pumps aggressively, PEPE usually follows due to risk-on behavior in the meme sector.
Watch for SHIB breakout above local resistance → signals strong liquidity returning to meme coins.
2️⃣ BINANCE:DOGEUSDT 🐶⚡
DOGE is the macro driver of meme-coin sentiment.
If DOGE shows HMA / SMA breakout, PEPE often mirrors with delayed volatility.
Large spikes in DOGE funding rates = PEPE momentum probability increases.
3️⃣ BINANCE:FLOKIUSDT 🐺💥
FLOKI often leads mid-cap meme rotation cycles.
When FLOKI rallies, PEPE tends to follow after short consolidation → swing traders use this correlation.
4️⃣ CRYPTO:WIFUSD (Solana Meme Leader) 🐕🦺🚀
A strong SOL ecosystem rally pulls meme funds from multiple exchanges.
PEPE benefits from cross-chain meme rotation once WIF volatility cools off.
5️⃣ BINANCE:BTCUSDT & BINANCE:ETHUSDT (Macro Drivers) 🧠📉📈
If BTC ranges & ETH strengthens → altcoins, esp. memes, get liquidity boost.
PEPE breakout success rate increases when:
BTC volatility is low
ETH shows positive funding rates
🧩 Summary for Traders (High Engagement Style)
PEPE preparing bullish continuation with Hull MA breakout 🔥
SMA resistance near target = take profits wisely
SL only after confirmation—Thief OG style 🕶️💼
Watch correlated meme-pairs for early signals
Liquidity rotation across SHIB → FLOKI → PEPE remains strong
BTCUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bearish
The price is reacting off the buy entry, which is acting as pullback support.
Buy Entry: 92,439.84
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 89,010.49
Pullback support
50% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 98,827.85
Pullback resistance
50% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
ETHUSD H4 | Bullish Bounce Off Pullback SupportMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently falling toward the buy entry, which aligns with a pullback support level sitting slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. The market is also trading above the Ichimoku cloud, suggesting this zone could provide potential support for a bounce.
Buy Entry: 3,079.09
Pullback support
Slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 2,876.32
Pullback support
Slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 3,407.09
Pullback resistance
Slightly above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
XLMUSD can drop another -50% before it bottoms.Stellar (XLMUSD) is in the middle of its Bear Cycle and currently consolidating within its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) in anticipating of Phase 2 of the Cycle's structure.
As you can see, the dominant pattern since the January 2018 High has been a Triangle, with the recent Cycle Top making direct contact with the Lower Highs trend-line and the bottom with the Higher Lows trend-line.
There is a very high degree of symmetry among those Cycles. Fine example is the 1W RSI, which every time it hit 38.50, the price had always tested the 1W MA200 while on its Bear Cycle and always after breaking below the initial (dashed) Triangle, which is the first pattern post the Bull Cycle Top.
As far as the bottom is concerned, there is obviously the Higher Lows trend-line to consider but at the same time, the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level can also assist as the previous two Cycle bottoms were priced just above it.
As a result we estimate that this Bear Cycle may bottom around 0.13000 before XLM turns into a long-term buy opportunity again.
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BITCOIN Can this Bear Cycle be mapped?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is on its 3rd straight week of consolidation on its 1W MA100 (green trend-line) after marginally breaking below it (green circle). We've shown in previous analyses how the build up, including the Higher Lows trend-line (1W RSI Lower Highs Bearish Divergence) and the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) rebound, of the 2025 Bull Cycle High, mirrors the 2021 peak formation.
Given the strong similarities, there are valid probabilities suggesting that those can expand into the Bear Cycle too. And this is what we attempt to do on today's post, mapping the new Bear Cycle based on the 2022 price action.
As you can see, we have classified the 2022 Bear Cycle into three phases. The key characteristic of those is MA contact. Phase 1 ends when the price hit the 1W MA100, Phase 2 when it hits the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and Phase 3 the 1W MA350 (red trend-line). So far the symmetry is also high on the time range between the 1W MA50 and 1W MA100 contacts among the two fractals (245 days vs 224 days).
If this holds for the whole duration of the 2026 Bear Cycle as well, we can expect it to roughly be 52 weeks (364 days) from the Bull Cycle Top to the Bear Cycle bottom, like the 2022 sequence.
The time Fibonacci levels help at maintaining a sense of positioning within the Bear Cycle, with the 0.236 Fib being just before Phase 1 ends and Fib 0.618 when Phase 2 makes contact with the 1W MA200.
Even though a straight up repeat of the -77.36% decline of the 2022 Bear Cycle would put the potential new bottom just below $30k, a Fibonacci extension symmetry suggests that Fib 1.0 was the Low we just made (1W MA100), Fib 1.5 ext around the time the price makes contact with the 1W MA200 and Fib 2.0 when the Cycle bottoms.
This indicates that $63900 is the first point of interest (and potentially start of buying) and $51000 the potential bottom.
Would you agree with this mapping? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD H1 | Bullish Reversal SetupMomentum: Bearish
Price is currently falling towards the buy entry, which acts as a pullback support zone.
Buy Entry: 84,871.36
Pullback support
Stop Loss: 82,083.07
Swing-low support
Take Profit: 89,161.04
Pullback resistance
Slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
ETHUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Off 38.2% FIibonacci ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is rising towards the sell entry, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and remains below the Ichimoku cloud.
Sell Entry: 2,867.98
Overlap resistance
38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 2,972.02
Pullback resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 2,695.74
Pullback support
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
ETHEREUM made 1D Death Cross. Will it follow the 2022 BearCycle?Ethereum (ETHUSD) completed on Saturday its first 1D Death Cross in 9 months (since February 28 2025) and today the market is (so far) reacting violently to it with a strong sell-off.
The market didn't even manage to re-test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on last week's rebound and if it follows the 2022 Bear Cycle, it may look for a bottom after completing a -52.50% decline from its Cycle Top. Technically, even the build up to the Cycle Top resembles the 2021/22 fractal and as you can see the similarities are even evident on their 1D RSI sequences.
As a result, if this 1st Bear Cycle wave for ETH bottoms around $2400, we could be expecting a first rebound to test the 1D MA50 (within the 0.382 - 0.5 Fibonacci range, i.e. around $3100) and get rejected, followed by one last to test the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), within the 0.5 - 0.618 Fibonacci levels (i.e. above $3350) and get rejected to start the 2nd wave of the Bear Cycle.
Would you 'trust' this Bear Cycle build up?
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BITCOIN Two realistic bullish targets before Bear Cycle resumes?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has more likely than not entered a new Bull Cycle, a subject that we've covered extensively over the past 2 months.
As discussed however, there is no reason not to expect technical rallies here and there, practically as we've shown those are quite common in the basic Bear Cycle structure. Historically, moreover, bullish rallies of Bear Cycles have been on average more aggressive than those during Bull Cycles.
So now that the intro is over, let's move to the main course. BTC's sell-off since its October 06 $126400 All Time High (ATH) has been a Bearish Leg similar to the previous major correction of January 20 - April 07. In fact it technically seems that they are both a part of a Channel Up. Having also just completed a 1D MACD Bullish Cross as in March (though that structure made one final Low), it appears as if the first counter-trend rally of this Bull Cycle that we've talked about in the past 10 days, may materialize.
In fact, it is already under way and as we've shown in past analyses, it aims and is restricted by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the natural technical Resistance during Bear Cycles. If it actually repeats the Jan - April 2025 correction, it should now test the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on the Lower Highs trend-line, which has been the Resistance during these past 2 months.
That strong immediate Resistance Cluster also has the 0.382 Fibonacci level, which is also where the April rebound got rejected and consolidated for a few days. As a result, Target 1 is at $95850.
The second and final (over extended) Target of this is, as mentioned the 1D MA200, outside of the Lower Highs trend-line. A target scenario for this, where the price could make marginal contact with the 1D MA200, is $106450. This is where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level is, which was also Target 2 for the April fractal and where the second consolidation took place.
Do you think that is a likely roadmap for the first rally of the Bear Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN ! HAPPY THANKSGIVING ! Does the 1D MA200 spoil the mood?First of all allow me to wish everyone Happy Thanksgiving with all the blessings this day may bring to your family and loved ones.
As for Bitcoin (BTCUSD), the anticipated short-term rebound is targeting the first Lower High of the emerging Bear Cycle. What's critical in this? The 1D MA200 (red trend-line) and the reason is simple.
As the previous three Cycles show on this graph, when BTC starts a Bear Cycle and breaks below its 1D MA200, it then turns into the Resistance for the rest of the Cycle. And as you can see, it rejected every single time the Lower Highs. Practically that is the most optimal level for someone to short for as long as the Bear Cycle lasts.
As a result, we expect the current counter-trend rally/ dead-cat bounce (call it as you want), to be limited by the 1D MA200, which is currently at $110k and falling, then get rejected and start the next Bearish Leg of the Channel Down.
So do you think the 1D MA200 will play the role of the long-term Resistance from now on? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD H4 | Potential Bullish ReversalMomentum: bearish
The price is falling towards the buy entry which acts as an overlap support.
Buy entry: 89,034.03
Overlap support
Stop loss: 81,966.16
Pullback support
Take profit: 104,866.08
Overlap resistance
Slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
High Risk Investment Warning
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ), Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
ETHUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Off Pullback ResistanceMomentum: Bearish
Price is rising toward the sell entry, which sits slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement and remains below the Ichimoku Cloud — maintaining a bearish bias.
Sell Entry: 3,208.29
Pullback resistance
Slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop Loss: 3,402.89
Pullback resistance
Aligning with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Take Profit: 2,786.67
Pullback support
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Bullish bounce?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 2,994.49
1st Support: 2,878.88
1st Resistance: 3,233.25
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
Bullish rise??Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 89,628.69
1st Support: 86,150.76
1st Resistance: 96,168.75
Disclaimer:
The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
DOGE Can it reach $0.20 again before resuming the downtrend?Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading within a Channel Down since its December 02 2024 weekly High, which turned out to technically be the top of its Bull Cycle.
The latest Lower Low of that pattern was on the October 06 2025 weekly flash crash but since then it retraced back into the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) - 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) range. The 1W MA200 has been the market's Support throughout the whole 2025. The 1W MA50 typically assumes the role of the long-term Resistance during Bear Cycles.
As a result, we expect a short-term rebound now for Doge, but that should be limited by the 1W MA50. This is also where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level is from the October 06 Low, a Fib level where he September 08 2025 Lower High was priced.
Based on that, Doge could target $0.20 (Fib 0.618) and then resume the downtrend on the Channel's new Bearish Leg. If it follows the -7% decreasing rate of the previous Bearish Leg, we can see it bottom after a 59% decline, which should be around $0.085.
Notice also that last week's Low, wasn't only on the 1W MA200 but also on the 1W RSI's Support Zone. A Zone that has been holding since June 05 2023, essentially the major Support of the Bull Cycle, and has provided four perfect buy entries already.
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BTC Rising Channel Breakdown Setup – Bearish Continuation Possib1. Rising Channel (Bearish Structure)
Price has been climbing inside a rising wedge / ascending channel, which is typically a distribution pattern during a downtrend.
2. Price Failed to COCH (Change of Character)
You labeled “price fail to COCH” — this means buyers failed to flip the trend into bullish structure.
This is bearish confirmation.
3. BOS (Break of Structure) earlier
There was a clear BOS on the left side — confirming macro bearish flow.
4. Compression into the Channel
Price is moving slowly upward with weak momentum, forming a squeezing structure.
5. POI (Point of Interest) at the bottom trendline
You marked a zone under the trendline.
A break into this zone is where momentum shifts from bullish to bearish.
6. If Trendline Breaks → Expect a Drop
Your chart shows an arrow downwards toward 80,565 as the main downside target.
This aligns well with:
Trendline support
Ichimoku cloud weakness
Rising channel breakdown pattern
Prior liquidity levels
📉 TRADE PLAN (Bearish Setup)
This plan follows the logic of the chart you provided.
🔻 Trade Type: Short Position (Sell)
Because price is at the end of a rising wedge and showing weakness.
✨ ENTRY (Sell Entry):
86,750 – 86,600
After a confirmed break and candle close below the ascending trendline + POI.
✔ Wait for a clean break and retest of the POI/trendline.
🛑 STOP LOSS:
87,350 – 87,450
Place the stop above:
The small circle you highlighted
Last minor swing high
Ichimoku resistance
This keeps maximum SL tight and structure-based.
Risk: ~600–800 points
🎯 TAKE PROFIT (Exit Levels):
TP1 – Safe Target (Liquidity Grab)
84,800 – 85,000
TP2 – Mid Target (Channel Origin)
82,500 – 83,000
TP3 – Main Target (Your Chart Target)
80,565 – 80,000
This matches your projected drop.
📐 Risk–Reward Ratio (Approx):
If using:
Entry = 86,650
SL = 87,400
TP3 = 80,565
➡ RR ≈ 1 : 8+ (excellent)
ETH/USD – Potential Bullish Reversal from Extreme POI.Analysis:
The chart suggests Ethereum is currently trading inside a strong Extreme Point of Interest (POI) after a series of Breaks of Structure (BOSS) to the downside. Price has entered a demand zone that may trigger a bullish reversal.
Key observations:
Downtrend Structure: Multiple BOSS confirmations show sustained bearish momentum leading into the Extreme POI.
Extreme POI (Demand Zone): Price is consolidating inside a deep demand area marked in red, indicating potential accumulation by buyers.
POI Reaction Expected: If price maintains support here, a bullish reversal is likely.
Fair Value Gaps (FVG):
Two major FVGs above act as logical bullish targets for price inefficiency fill.
Projected Price Path:
The drawn projection suggests:
Short-term bounce from POI
Breakout structure upward
Continuation toward higher FVG fills around $2,962, $3,130, and possibly $3,192 – $3,220.
Bias:
▶ Bullish, as long as price remains above the Extreme POI.
A breakdown below would invalidate the setup and continue the downtrend.
This is a strong smart-money style setup with a clean narrative:
Demand → Break of structure → FVG fill → Higher targets.






















