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BITCOIN The 1W EMA200 candle closing is now the key..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) closed last week its 2nd straight 1W candle above the 1W EMA200 (red trend-line), which now becomes the center focus of the market for one simple reason. During the 2022 Bear Cycle, it was the 1W EMA200 that supported BTC's 2nd selling wave once it hit it. As you can see, the 1st selling wave found support on the 1W SMA100 (green trend-line), consolidating for several weeks (closing all weekly candles above it) before crashing into the 2nd wave. So far that held perfectly in the 2026 Bear Cycle as well, it even stayed below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level as in 2022. So now that the 2nd selling wave has found the 1W EMA200's Support, it remains to be seen if it will again consolidate there for a few weeks (on the 0.382 Fib as well this time), like BTC did in 2022, before crashing into the 3rd selling wave below the 1W SMA200 (orange trend-line). Yet again it appears that the 1W SMA350 (black trend-line) is the level that Bitcoin will be looking for (at least) during this Bear Cycle as well. So do you think we will consolidate again for some time around the current levels (1W EMA200) before a deeper dive? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
1
Bearish momentum to extend?Ethereum (ETH/USD) has rejected off the pivot, which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support, which is a swing low support. Pivot: 2,124.25 1st Support: 1,464.67 1st Resistance: 2,662.71 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDShort
by IC Markets
Bearish continuation?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 76,743.32 1st Support: 62,787.53 1st Resistance: 84,062.78 Disclaimer: The opinions given above constitute general market commentary and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended to be informative only, and are not advice, a recommendation, research, a record of our trading prices, an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation, or needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past performance or forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast, or any information supplied by any third party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by IC Markets
BITCOIN The Bear Cycle 'Sweet Spot'Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is currently sitting on the 4th straight red week following last week's near test of its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). As we've discussed before, the Bear Cycle may be entering Phase 2 when the 1W MA200 finally breaks. From a Fibonacci perspective, last week's Low also came close to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level from the last Bear Cycle bottom. That was when the lengthy bottoming process started for BTC. Also that 1W MA200/ 0.382 Fib break coincided with a near test of the 2.0 Fib extension (blue) from the first Low of the 2022 Bear Cycle. That is currently around $51000 and the Zone within that and the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement from the Bear Cycle bottom (around $45000) is the 'Sweet Spot'. Practically this is a 'no-miss' Buy Zone on a cyclical perspective where long-term investors can start feeling comfortable enough to initiate buying again. We've already discussed why a 1W MA350 (red trend-line) bottom would technically make sense, as this is where the 2022 Bear Cycle bottomed. So do you think the 51000 - 45000 Zone is a 'Sweet Spot' buying range for BTC? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
1
BCHUSD H1 | Could we see a a reversal from here?Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the sell entry level is at 510.97, which is a pullback resistance. Our stop loss is set at 535.48, which is a pullback resistance. Our take profit is set at 467.84, which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Stratos Markets Limited fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd fxcm.com CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC fxcm.com Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited fxcm.com Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com
FX:BCHUSDShort
by FXCM
BTCUSD BEARISH ANALYSIS [READ CAPTION]GIVE YOUR OPINION ABOUT THIS ANALYSIS Key Support Zones Support Zone 1: 66,097 This level is acting as immediate support. Price is currently consolidating above this area, indicating potential accumulation. A strong hold above this level keeps short-term bullish recovery valid. Major Support Zone: 62,262 This is the broader demand area and the origin of the strong bullish reaction. If price revisits this zone, buyers are expected to defend aggressively. A breakdown below 62,262 would invalidate the recovery scenario and shift bias back to bearish. 🔴 Resistance Levels Minor Resistance: 68,026 – 68,887 This area represents short-term supply and recent consolidation highs. A clean break above this region would confirm bullish continuation. Target Zone: 72,583 This is the projected upside objective if momentum builds. A successful breakout above resistance could drive price toward this level. 📈 Market Bias & Outlook Holding above 66,097 → Short-term bullish recovery Break above 68,887 → Momentum continuation toward 72,583 Rejection from resistance → Possible retest of support Break below 62,262 → Bearish trend resumes 📌 Summary The dominant trend was bearish, but the recent trendline break and strong reaction from support suggest a possible short-term structural shift. Confirmation will come from sustained price action above near-term resistance. If buyers maintain control above key support, upside expansion toward the 72,583 target becomes increasingly probable.
Long
by Moriss365
BITCOIN Cycle bottom fractals map the rest of 2026 towards $40k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) continues to be under heavy pressure despite having the 1W MA200 holding the crash last week. Having long lost its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which confirmed the Bear Cycle, we are now approaching its 2nd Phase, which is the bottoming process. This doesn't mean that the bottom is here but more like that the market is entering a Phase where it will gradually attempt to lead us to the bottom of the 4-year Cycle, which based on it should be around September - October 2026. Having a look at the past three Bear Cycles and drawing their Phase 2 fractals after the 0.5 Fibonacci level, that led to their bottom, we can see that the structure is quite familiar. Not identical, but similar. All principles are the same and there is a high correlation with the 2022 Bear Cycle in particular. Even though we haven't yet technically reached the middle (0.5 Fib) of this Bear Cycle, according to that fractal, BTC should start making a series of Lower Lows gradually, that can potentially lead to as low as $40000. That could be the Bear Cycle bottom. So do you think that's a strong probability for the remainder of 2026? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
19
BITCOIN Is $50000 inevitable??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is again on the downturn after almost reaching its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) just last week. One would thought that long-term buyers would make their presence clear on this historically supportive level but so far their absence is more than emphatic. If this continues, the market eyes the next critical Support level, the 1W MA350 (red trend-line), which is where the previous 2022 Bear Cycle bottomed. In fact, we identify a quite similar pattern on BTC's last three major correction events (2022 Bear Cycle and late 2019 - early 2020 on COVID flash crash). As you can see a Double Top rejection followed by a Higher Lows trend-line bearish break-out has been the common pattern on all (including the current correction). The previous two both broke below the 1W MA200 and their respective 1.618 Fibonacci extension levels, with the 2022 fractal bottoming just above the 1.786 Fib ext while the 2020 below it. In both cases, the 1W MA350 held. As a result, if buyers continue to be absent and BTC is getting heavily sold after every short-term rally, we can expect the market to target $50000, which isn't just the next psychological level but also just above the current 1.786 Fib and will still be above the 1W MA350 (based on its current trajectory). So do you think a $50k test is inevitable at this point? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! --- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** --- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by TradingShot
19
BTCUSD ANALYSIS,[READ,CAPTION]BTC – Rejection at Resistance, Bearish Continuation Setup Price is reacting strongly from a clearly defined resistance zone around 69,700 – 70,300, which has acted as supply multiple times in the past. The recent push into this area failed, confirming sellers are still defending this level. After the rejection, price shows bearish momentum with lower highs forming, suggesting a continuation move to the downside. The projected move targets the liquidity/support zone near 67,450, which aligns with previous demand and an imbalance fill. Key Levels: 🔴 Resistance: 69,700 – 70,300 ⚫ Invalidation: Clean break and hold above resistance 🎯 Target: 67,450 area Bias remains bearish below resistance. Waiting for confirmation and proper risk management before entry.
Short
by Moriss365
1