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Downside protected, upside unprotected — BTC to 500kThere's a ton of intriguing action unfolding with Bitcoin right now. Several cycle low indicators I track have started firing off around the $80K mark—pretty wild if you ask me. Let's break them down step by step. 1. 2-Week RSI Signal It's a straightforward fact: the two-week RSI is sitting at 42, a level that has consistently marked cycle lows in the past. So, at $80K, we've got our first major cycle low signal. 2. Fear & Greed Index Historically, after a cycle top, the first wave down has driven the Fear & Greed Index to a reading of 10 in the last two cycles. The rest of the time? It's signalled cycle lows or major bottoms ahead of massive rallies. #### What This Means: History Rhyming (Again) This setup screams repetition—Bitcoin has now topped out after exactly 1,064 days, mirroring the last two cycles. On this first corrective wave, Fear & Greed has already plunged to 10. But here's where it gets really telling: layer in the Sharpe ratio for some nuance. As the chart shows, the Sharpe ratio has dipped into negative territory—a rare event that *only* occurs during true cycle lows. Invalidation & Bear Market Confirmation The chart makes it crystal clear: Bitcoin is primed to echo the last cycle's playbook, with a full rejection at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement. In the prior two cycles, after the initial drop from the cycle high, any subsequent rally completely fizzled out right there at 0.382. If Bitcoin fails to rally and close decisively above that level by mid-January 2026, the odds skyrocket for a full-blown bear market. Keep an eye on it—this could be the pivot that defines the next leg. What do you think then? 500k or 67k by October 2026? Still fully on the upside boat. Risk is heavily skewed to the top side, not down
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by Sporia
1
Bitcoin Eyes $116.6K Breakout Confirmation📊 Market Update — Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) BTC has successfully confirmed the low time frame zone, holding steady above both the support and volume range, which signals continued short-term strength. Currently, price action is consolidating within the upper boundary of the range — a sign of buyer absorption before potential expansion. 🔹 Key Level to Watch: $116.6K This level acts as an important confirmation point — a 1-hour (or higher) close above this zone could validate a breakout continuation, opening the path toward the $120K–$125K range. If BTC sustains this structure, the bullish momentum remains intact, with low time frame structure aligning with higher trend support. 📈 Bias: Bullish Continuation 🎯 Next Targets: $116.6K → $120K → $125K
Long
by SatochiTrader
BB ANALYSIS🔆#BB Analysis : Channel Following ⛔️⛔️ As we can see that #BB is following ascending channel on daily time frame. We can see a bullish formation here. And if it trade with good volume then we can see a proper bullish move in #BB 📈📈 Also there is an instant resistance zone and if it breaks with good volume when we would see a huge movement 🔖 Current Price: $0.1714 ⏳ Target Price:   $0.2323 ⁉️ What to do? - Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.🚀💸 #BB #Cryptocurrency #ChartPattern #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
DOGE ANALYSIS🔮#DOGE Analysis 💰💰 #DOGE is trading in a symmetrical triangle in a weekly time frame and breakouts with high volume and we could see a bullish momentum in #DOGE. Before that we will see little bit retest and then bullish movement 🔖 Current Price: $0.28110 ⏳ Target Price: $0.43210 ⁉️ What to do? - We can trade according to the chart and make some profits in #ARKM. Keep your eyes on the chart, observe trading volume and stay accustom to market moves.💲💲 #DOGE #Cryptocurrency #Pump #DYOR
Long
by ZEUS_Market_Alerts
Here's Why XLM is on the Verge of a Massive breakoutThe next 10 years of success for the Stellar Network (XLM) are being shaped by decisions, developments, and trends happening right now (2024–2025). Here’s a breakdown of the long-term shaping factors currently in motion that will influence Stellar's trajectory through 2035: ------------ 🌍 1. Real-World Use Cases Being Built Now Stellar is not waiting for hypothetical adoption — it’s already deploying use cases that are foundational to its future success. Examples: MoneyGram Access gives real people the ability to cash in/out of crypto in over 180 countries. USDC on Stellar enables stablecoin remittances with instant settlement and low fees. Stellar Aid Assist provides governments and NGOs a working model for humanitarian digital cash aid. Long-Term Impact: Building trust and infrastructure in the real world now means exponential network effects later — especially in emerging markets where crypto utility > speculation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🛠️ 2. Soroban (Smart Contracts) Rollout Stellar is rolling out Soroban, a Rust-based smart contract platform that will transform the network into a programmable blockchain. Why Soroban is Important: Enables DeFi, lending, NFTs, on-chain identity, and DAOs. Designed for predictable gas fees, making it ideal for finance and compliance. Makes Stellar more competitive with Ethereum, Solana, Avalanche, etc. Long-Term Impact: Soroban turns Stellar into a platform where real, decentralized applications can live — critical for long-term value capture and developer retention. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🌐 3. Laying Global Payment Infrastructure Stellar is quietly building global payment rails through partnerships with: Fintechs (MoneyGram, Leaf, Settle, Cowrie) Stablecoin issuers (Circle for USDC, Novatti for AUDC) Payment aggregators in Africa, Latin America, Southeast Asia Long-Term Impact: By 2030, these partnerships could evolve into a globally interconnected network of on/off ramps, anchors, and stablecoins. This gives Stellar real utility far beyond speculation. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🏛️ 4. Regulatory Alignment & Compliance Tooling The Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) is heavily involved in regulatory dialogue, including: Working with the BIS Innovation Hub and IMF working groups Building on-chain compliance tools (e.g. KYC/AML anchor guidelines) Developing the Stellar Disbursement Platform, which complies with aid distribution requirements Long-Term Impact: As crypto becomes more regulated, networks that built with compliance in mind will thrive. Stellar is positioning itself as a compliant blockchain for finance, especially for governments and NGOs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸 5. Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWAs) The future of blockchain is heading toward tokenizing everything — and Stellar is already positioning itself at the front of that movement. Franklin Templeton tokenized a U.S. mutual fund on Stellar. Stablecoins like USDC and native fiat tokens are in active use. Discussions are ongoing around CBDC pilots and tokenized bonds. Long-Term Impact: The network that supports the most trusted tokenized assets — from CBDCs to real estate to securities — will gain enormous value from volume and liquidity. Stellar is in that conversation now. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧠 6. Mission-Aligned Ecosystem Funding The Stellar Development Foundation holds billions of dollars in XLM and is using it to: Fund early-stage startups building on Stellar Run accelerator programs and hackathons Expand into new regional markets (Africa, Asia, LATAM) Long-Term Impact: Unlike many ecosystems that fizzle due to lack of funding or misaligned VC interests, Stellar has long-term strategic capital to guide the network toward its mission of financial access. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🔐 7. Security, Speed, and Simplicity From day one, Stellar has prioritized: Fast block finality (~5 seconds) Very low fees (< $0.001) Energy-efficient consensus (SCP – Stellar Consensus Protocol) These strengths are especially important for high-volume, low-margin applications like: Micropayments Remittances Real-time settlements Tokenized wages and aid Long-Term Impact: As the blockchain infrastructure layer for finance matures, efficient networks will dominate. Stellar’s technical foundation makes it a sustainable long-term option. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🧭 8. Stellar’s Focused, Long-Term Vision SDF’s mission isn’t to be “just another smart contract chain” — it’s to improve access to equitable financial services, especially in underbanked regions. That vision is: Clear Consistent Attractive to partners, governments, and NGOs Long-Term Impact: Clarity of mission = better talent, partners, funding, and resilience during market cycles. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CRYPTO:XLMUSDLong
by toregee
TONUSDT Forming Falling Wedge TONUSDT is currently forming a classic falling wedge pattern—a historically bullish setup that often precedes major price breakouts. The recent breakout from the wedge accompanied by a significant surge in volume indicates a shift in market sentiment. This pattern suggests the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new bullish wave. Such formations often result in strong upward price action once the resistance trendline is broken with volume confirmation. Market participants have shown renewed interest in TON, with price currently stabilizing above a previous key resistance level, now potentially acting as support. This shift aligns with the historical behavior of wedge breakouts, where the asset consolidates briefly before continuing its climb. The current structure and momentum signal a potential 90% to 100% price appreciation, especially as investors recognize the strength of the breakout and the fundamental developments behind the project. The volume profile further supports this bullish thesis. An increase in buying pressure at the breakout level reinforces the conviction that a trend reversal is in play. If TON maintains its bullish structure, the next major resistance zones could be tested, offering traders and long-term holders a strong opportunity to capitalize on this technical shift. With rising investor interest and a textbook bullish pattern breakout, TONUSDT is a crypto pair to watch closely. The breakout from the falling wedge combined with solid volume growth and increasing sentiment across crypto communities signals that a new uptrend could be underway. ✅ Show your support by hitting the like button and ✅ Leaving a comment below! (What is You opinion about this Coin) Your feedback and engagement keep me inspired to share more insightful market analysis with you!
Long
by Alpha-GoldFX
BTC Hits ATH Time But Dont Let Euphoria Ruin Your PerceptionBitcoin has pushed into new all-time highs and is now testing the same resistance zone we saw back in December–January. While the breakout is technically impressive, price is stalling at the exact level where strong sell pressure previously kicked in. Today’s weekly close is a key confirmation point. But the bigger issue? Next week is stacked with macro volatility — PPI, FOMC, and other data drops that could rattle risk-on assets. ⚠️ What I’m Seeing: - Weekly RSI divergence continues to build - Volume is drying up, not confirming the move - Macro pressure is incoming — timing matters 🧠 My Bias: I wouldn’t be surprised by a final liquidity grab into the $120K–125K range — enough to trap late longs and generate downside liquidity. Personally, I’m de-risking. Not shorting yet — just locking in some gains. Ask yourself: Are those extra 10% upside gains worth the risk of giving back 30%-50%? Not calling tops. Just following structure. Always open to opposing views — discussion sharpens conviction. Don’t let euphoria cloud your perception. 📉 Stay safe out there.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Ccgp-investments
BTC shorts will get liquidatedHello everyone! As we all witnessed, BINANCE:BTCUSDT experienced a sharp drop following Trump's announcement of new tariffs starting June 1st on all European Union . The big question now is: is this the end for Bitcoin, or just a temporary dip? In my opinion, BTC is likely to move as follows: It will retest the long wick on the 1-hour chart, which previously bounced from a 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) , and then continue its upward movement. Don't worry, everyone, BTC remains very strong!
Long
by ahmedeidoox
Falling towards pullback support?Ethereum (ETH/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 1,940.23 1st Support: 1,827.50 1st Resistance: 2,107.47 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:ETHUSDLong
by IC Markets
Ascending Triangle pattern for Zcash or Hidden Bear Flag!!!??!?!It appears as though Zcash is forming an ascending triangle pattern, but often this can be confused with a bear flag depending on the Macro Trend of the asset. The rsi is in a great place for the price to pump. We have seen the price of Zcash touch the upward sloping support of the pattern over half a dozen times, this is the first time the price have dipped below the upward sloping support. The price is going to need to rebound immediately if we're going to see a continuation of the pattern.
COINBASE:ZECUSD
by satoshi123