Bullish potential detected for CSCOEntry conditions:
(i) higher share price for NASDAQ:CSCO along with swing up of indicators such as DMI/RSI, and
(ii) observation of market reaction around the pre-market 4 hourly support/resistance line established during trade on 14th May at $121.41.
Depending on risk tolerance, the stop loss for the trade would be:
(i) below the recent swing low from 21st May at $113.57, or
(ii) below the rising 15 day EMA (currently $108.16).
CSCO
Can Cisco's AI Pivot Ensure Future Dominance?The Q3 FY26 Earnings Catalyst
Cisco Systems reported record Q3 FY26 revenue of $15.84 billion on May 13, 2026, up 12% year-over-year. Non-GAAP earnings came in at $1.06 per share, beating the $1.04 consensus. GAAP EPS was $0.85, up 37% YoY. Total product orders grew 35% year-over-year, with hyperscaler orders growing triple-digits. Wall Street reacted decisively. The stock surged roughly 14 to 19% the next session to around $116, its sharpest single-session rally since 2002. Six major firms raised price targets, with the new range running from $112 to $132 versus a prior consensus of $89.54.
The AI infrastructure orders line was the headline driver. Hyperscalers placed $1.9 billion in AI infrastructure orders in Q3 alone, up from $600 million a year earlier. Year-to-date AI orders reached $5.3 billion, already exceeding the prior $5 billion full-year target with a quarter remaining. Cisco raised its FY26 AI hyperscaler order target to approximately $9 billion (4.5x the FY25 figure) and lifted its AI-related FY26 revenue forecast from $3 billion to $4 billion. Management is also targeting at least $6 billion in AI hyperscale revenue for FY27. Full-year FY26 guidance moved up to $62.8 to $63.0 billion in revenue and $4.27 to $4.29 in adjusted EPS.
High-Tech Innovations and Strategic Patents
Cisco's silicon strategy is the structural advantage analysts keep flagging. The Silicon One portfolio anchors its AI networking story, with five new hyperscaler design wins in Q3 alone (three in systems, two in optics), including the first two for Silicon One P200-powered systems. The Acacia coherent pluggable optics business booked over $1 billion in orders in Q3 and is on track for over 200% year-over-year growth in FY26. Cisco shipped more than 750,000 400G pluggables and over 40,000 800G units to date. Bank of America and Citi both flagged that Cisco is less supply-constrained than peers because it designs its own silicon, which is a meaningful structural advantage in tight AI hardware markets. Competitors like Arista and Nvidia operate with strong portfolios in this space, but Cisco's combination of in-house silicon, optics through Acacia, and systems integration positions it well in the physical AI infrastructure layer.
Macroeconomics and Industry Trends
The AI infrastructure capex cycle continues to power networking and optics demand from hyperscalers, with all five major hyperscalers growing triple-digits in AI-related orders in Q3 per Morgan Stanley. Beyond AI data centers, Cisco is benefiting from a multi-year campus networking refresh cycle, with campus orders growing by more than 25% year-over-year and data center switching orders up more than 40%. The company's remaining performance obligation backlog stood at $43.5 billion, up 4% year-over-year, giving meaningful revenue visibility. Bank of America noted that Q4 revenue guidance is nearly double the Street's previously expected 8% growth rate, driven by hyperscaler demand, the campus refresh cycle, pricing, and enterprise AI spend.
Cybersecurity Threats and Solutions
Cisco's SD-WAN platform has been under sustained attack in 2026. On May 14 to 15, Cisco disclosed CVE-2026-20182, a CVSS 10.0 authentication bypass in Cisco Catalyst SD-WAN Controller and Catalyst SD-WAN Manager, the sixth Cisco SD-WAN zero-day weaponized this year. CISA added it to the Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog within 24 hours, with a May 17 federal remediation deadline. The flaw was exploited in limited attacks by a sophisticated threat actor that Cisco Talos tracks as UAT-8616, the same group that previously exploited CVE-2026-20127 (also CVSS 10.0), going back to 2023. Cisco patched the new flaw and has been merging security operations more tightly with its AI infrastructure offerings. The security business itself remained flat at about $2.0 billion in Q3, which is the one soft spot in an otherwise strong report and worth watching against the rising threat backdrop.
Geopolitics and Global Operations in 2026
The U.S.-Israel war on Iran and broader Middle East tensions continue to disrupt global supply chains and create real component cost pressure for networking hardware OEMs. Cisco has navigated tariff uncertainty better than feared this year, with management citing pricing actions and supply chain agility. Like other large tech companies, Cisco faces ongoing public scrutiny over how its enterprise products are used by government and military customers, including the kind of human rights and reputational risk that has affected other tech giants over the past several years. Trade tensions and export controls remain a structural variable that could affect future hyperscaler orders or component sourcing.
Culture, Management, and Strategic Restructuring
CEO Chuck Robbins announced a workforce reduction of fewer than 4,000 jobs alongside the Q3 results, representing less than 5% of total employees. Cisco said severance and other costs will result in pre-tax charges of about $1 billion, with roughly $450 million recognized in fiscal Q4. The cuts begin May 14, 2026. Robbins framed the move as an intentional redirection of investment toward silicon, optics, security, and AI infrastructure rather than a cost-driven reaction to weakness. The market endorsed that framing, with the stock rallying despite the layoff announcement. Operating margins remain strong, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 34.2% in Q3 and a non-GAAP gross margin of 66.0%. The path forward depends on whether Cisco can sustain the AI orders pace through Q4 and into FY27, whether the campus refresh cycle has further to run, and whether security can return to growth. At a forward P/E around 27x on the new FY26 guidance, Cisco is no longer cheap, but it sits at a discount to networking peers like Ciena and trades on a story that Wall Street has finally begun to take seriously.
Cisco Expands Secure AI Factory with NVIDIA!Cisco Strengthens Its Partnership with NVIDIA to Deliver Unified AI Infrastructure, Extending Capabilities from Centralized Data Centers to Decentralized Edge Locations Where Real-Time Decisions Are Critical
SAN JOSE, Calif., March 16, 2026 /PRNewswire/ — In a significant advancement aimed at accelerating enterprise AI adoption, Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) today announced a major expansion of its Secure AI Factory in collaboration with NVIDIA. This initiative provides organizations with a comprehensive, integrated framework for deploying artificial intelligence workloads across their entire infrastructure—from centralized, high-capacity data centers to distributed local sites where data is generated and instantaneous decisions are required. The expanded solution is designed to serve a broad spectrum of users, including large enterprises, neocloud providers, sovereign cloud operators, and service providers, enabling them to transition AI projects from experimental pilots to full-scale production without the complexity of integrating disparate, multi-vendor systems. By streamlining this process, Cisco compresses deployment timelines from months to weeks while embedding security as a foundational element from the outset.
"Most organizations understand the potential for AI to transform their businesses, but they're navigating how to deploy the technology safely and at scale," said Chuck Robbins, Chair and CEO of Cisco. "In partnership with NVIDIA, we're solving that challenge with an architecture that sets a new standard for performance—making it simpler to deploy, operate, and secure AI infrastructure."
Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA, echoed this sentiment, emphasizing the critical importance of security across the AI stack. "AI factories are transforming every industry, and security must be built into every layer—from silicon to software—to protect data, applications, and infrastructure," Huang stated. "Together, NVIDIA and Cisco are building the secure foundation for AI infrastructure—core to edge—so companies can scale intelligence with confidence."
AI That Operates Across the Entire Distributed Enterprise, Not Solely Within the Data Center
A central theme of the announcement is the recognition that AI inference increasingly occurs at the edge—where data originates and where time-sensitive decisions cannot afford the latency of round-trip communication with a centralized data center. Use cases span critical environments such as hospital floors requiring immediate diagnostic support, manufacturing facilities analyzing video feeds in real time to ensure worker safety, and moving vehicles that depend on instantaneous processing for navigation and operational integrity. This distributed reality fundamentally reshapes infrastructure requirements, necessitating that inference workloads run locally, in closer proximity to data sources, devices, and the precise moment a decision must be executed.
To address this shift, Cisco and NVIDIA are enabling organizations to support edge inferencing use cases through two key strategic initiatives:
Transforming the Enterprise Edge: Cisco is now supporting NVIDIA RTX PRO™ 4500 Blackwell Server Edition GPUs across its Unified Computing System (UCS) and Unified Edge product portfolios. This integration empowers enterprises to run mission-critical AI workloads at the edge without incurring the substantial energy costs and physical footprint typically associated with data center-scale hardware. The solution delivers enterprise-grade performance in a form factor optimized for space-constrained and power-sensitive edge environments.
Transforming the Service Provider Edge: In a parallel development, Cisco today introduced the Cisco AI Grid with NVIDIA reference design. This architecture combines the capabilities of Cisco's Mobility Services Platform with NVIDIA RTX PRO Blackwell Series GPUs, enabling service providers to leverage their existing network infrastructure to offer managed edge AI services. This approach delivers carrier-grade reliability, performance, and data sovereignty—allowing providers to meet enterprise customer demands for secure, localized AI processing while utilizing their established network assets.
Driving Performance and Efficiency for Massive-Scale AI Factories
Building upon the momentum generated by recently launched systems powered by Cisco Silicon One G300—designed for scale-out architectures—and the P200—optimized for scale-across configurations—Cisco continues to push the boundaries of performance while simultaneously simplifying the deployment process. Key advancements in this area include:
Next-Generation Performance: Cisco has unveiled its latest high-speed switches engineered to power the most demanding AI workloads. This includes a new 102.4 Terabits per second (Tbps) Cisco N9100 switch powered by NVIDIA Spectrum-6 Ethernet switch silicon, representing a significant leap in data throughput capacity. This new offering joins the now generally available 800G N9100 switch, which is powered by NVIDIA Spectrum-4 Ethernet switch silicon, providing organizations with a range of high-performance networking options tailored to varying scale and performance requirements.
Rapid Deployment Through Simplified Operations: Cisco Nexus Hyperfabric, now integrated as a component of the broader Cisco Nexus One platform, will extend its support to include Cisco N9000 Series switches, notably the N9100 Series powered by NVIDIA Spectrum-X Ethernet silicon. This integration transforms what has traditionally been a complex, multi-vendor integration puzzle into a streamlined, full-stack solution. By unifying management and operations, organizations can dramatically reduce AI infrastructure deployment times and alleviate the operational burden on IT teams.
For customers constructing large-scale AI factories, Cisco now offers two validated architectural paths. The first is an AI factory based on a reference architecture compliant with the NVIDIA Cloud Partner (NCP) program. The second is a Cisco Cloud Reference Architecture built on Cisco Silicon One, which adheres to the same foundational design principles, providing customers with flexibility and choice without compromising on performance or reliability.
Security Deeply Integrated Into Every Layer of the AI Stack
In an era where AI models represent high-value intellectual property and AI agents operate with increasing autonomy—taking actions, making decisions, and interacting with other agents—security can no longer be an afterthought. Cisco is embedding comprehensive protection into the fabric of its Secure AI Factory with NVIDIA, safeguarding against both external threats and anomalous behavior from autonomous agents. This multi-layered security approach encompasses:
Securing AI Infrastructure: The security of AI is fundamentally dependent on the integrity of the hardware on which it runs. Recognizing that attackers increasingly target infrastructure layers, Cisco Hybrid Mesh Firewall delivers consistent security policy enforcement across a diverse array of enforcement points, including network switches, workload agents, and other critical infrastructure components. Expanding this capability, Cisco is now extending Hybrid Mesh Firewall policy enforcement to NVIDIA BlueField data processing units (DPUs) embedded within NVIDIA GPU servers connected to Cisco Nexus One fabrics. This deeper integration enables threats to be blocked at the server level before they can propagate to organizational data, providing protection from the inside out with zero compromise on performance.
Securing AI Agents: Cisco AI Defense provides robust model security and automated vulnerability testing. Through integration with NVIDIA NeMo Guardrails—a component of NVIDIA AI Enterprise software—Cisco now adds purpose-built guardrails specifically designed for AI agents operating at the edge. This integration helps AI developers and security teams proactively stay ahead of emerging threats and maintain trust in AI deployments. As AI deployments become increasingly distributed, with agents at edge locations frequently interacting with core systems to execute complex workflows, AI Defense now extends its protective capabilities to secure these agent-to-agent interactions, ensuring end-to-end governance across the distributed environment.
Cisco Secures Enterprise AI Agent Development
Building on its commitment to infuse security across all layers of AI infrastructure and support the emerging agentic workforce, Cisco also announced that Cisco AI Defense will now provide support and security for NVIDIA's OpenShell runtimes. OpenShell is a component of the NVIDIA Agent Toolkit, an open platform for agent development. Cisco AI Defense adds critical controls and guardrails to govern both agent and claw actions, ensuring that every tool use and operational action is continuously monitored and validated. By providing this level of oversight, Cisco AI Defense enables enterprises to confidently deploy AI agents to manage critical workflows, effectively bridging the gap between rapid innovation and robust risk management. This integration allows organizations to trust that their autonomous systems will operate reliably, securely, and in alignment with established governance policies.
CSCO Correction TargetCisco (CSCO) Stock Analysis
As shown on the chart, Cisco is trading near the upper boundary of its 9-month channel. After forming two strong divergences on the 4H chart (Chart A) and the daily chart (Chart B)—confirmed by both MACD and RSI—the stock has entered a corrective phase.
Given the presence of a very strong gap marked on the chart, price is likely to correct at least toward the gap zone, and potentially extend further to the support zone, which may also align with the lower boundary of the 9-month channel.
Analysis will be updated.
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NASDAQ:CSCO
CISCO is perhaps one of the best shorts for 2026.Cisco (CSCO) has been trading within a 15-year Channel Up and just last month (Dec 2025) it hit the Internal Higher Highs trend-line, which is the Resistance level that has priced the last two major market Tops (Dec 2021, July 2019).
At the same time, it almost reached its All Time High (ATH) of $82.00, which was priced back at the peak of the Dotcom Bubble in March 2000. With the 1M RSI also overbought last month (73.45), this Higher High test presents a strong long-term sell opportunity, perhaps one of the strongest for 2026.
The reason is that, after every such market top since August 2013, Cisco has always corrected back (Bear Cycle) to its 1M MA100 (green trend-line) as part of a technical Bearish Leg to the 15-year Channel Up. So far such 1M MA100 corrections have happened 5 times (green circles).
The last two major ones (as mentioned after the Jul 2019 and Dec 2021 Tops), declined by -44.43% and -40.16% respectively. Assuming there is a decreasing rate of -4% on each new Bearish Leg, we can claim that the emerging one could drop by -36%. That translates into a $52.00 Target but a direct test of the 1M MA100 is estimated (based on its current trajectory) to take place around $55.00. So a 55.00 - 52.00 Target Zone would seem fair.
If however for some reason, the 1M RSI hits 39.00 before the price reached $55.00, it would be advisable to start buying regardless, as 39.00 has been the Support since 2011, marking not only the 2022 and 2020 bottoms (Higher Lows) but also the first one of the 15-year Channel Up on August 2011.
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Is Cisco Building the Internet of Tomorrow or Something Else?Cisco Systems has undergone a dramatic transformation in 2025, evolving from a traditional hardware vendor into what the company positions as the architect of secure, AI-driven global infrastructure. With fiscal year 2025 revenue reaching $56.7 billion and a remarkable 30% surge in operating cash flow, Cisco's financial performance tells only part of the story. The company has strategically positioned itself at the intersection of three critical technological timelines: the immediate AI infrastructure boom, the ongoing geopolitical supply chain realignment, and the long-term quantum computing development.
The company's geopolitical strategy has been particularly aggressive. In response to escalating US-China trade tensions and tariffs reaching up to 145% on certain components, Cisco has pivoted its manufacturing operations to India, establishing it as a new global export hub. Simultaneously, the company launched its Sovereign Critical Infrastructure portfolio in Europe, offering air-gapped solutions that address European concerns about digital sovereignty and US extraterritorial reach. These moves position Cisco as the "trusted vendor" for Western alliance infrastructure while monetizing the fragmentation of the global internet.
On the technology front, Cisco has made bold bets on the future. A landmark partnership with IBM aims to build the world's first large-scale quantum network by the early 2030s, with Cisco developing the optical infrastructure to connect quantum processors. The company has also integrated SpaceX's Starlink into its SD-WAN portfolio and participated in NASA's Artemis program. Meanwhile, its AI-native Hypershield security platform, protected by the company's 25,000th patent, and the integration of the Splunk acquisition demonstrate Cisco's push into AI-era cybersecurity.
The convergence of these initiatives reveals a company no longer simply selling networking equipment, but rather positioning itself as essential infrastructure for Western technological sovereignty. With explosive demand from hyperscaler customers generating over $2 billion in AI infrastructure orders and analysts raising price targets amid a 25% stock rally, Cisco appears to have successfully weaponized the geopolitical moment to reinforce its market position for the next generation of computing.
CSCO Cisco Systems Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CSCO before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSCO Cisco Systems prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 74usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-11-14,
for a premium of approximately $1.75.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Cisco: Poised for Final Push HigherCisco shares recently established the low of turquoise wave 4 and have since gained fresh upward momentum. Although the stock has since entered a sideways trading phase, we still anticipate a renewed push higher in the near term to complete the final stage of beige wave b in an impulsive move. Only after this move do we expect selling pressure to increase again. That said, it’s possible the high of beige wave alt.b has already been reached. This scenario would be confirmed by a decisive drop below the $52 support level (probability: 35%).
CSCO Cisco Systems Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought CSCO before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSCO Cisco Systems prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 75usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-10-17,
for a premium of approximately $1.70.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
What Fuels Cisco's Quiet AI Domination?Cisco Systems, a long-standing titan in networking infrastructure, is experiencing a significant resurgence, largely driven by a pragmatic and highly effective approach to artificial intelligence. Unlike many enterprises chasing broad AI initiatives, Cisco focuses on solving "boring" yet critical customer experience problems. This strategy yields tangible benefits, including substantial reductions in support cases and significant time savings for customer success teams, ultimately freeing resources to address more complex challenges and enhance sales processes. This practical application of AI, coupled with a focus on resiliency, simplicity through unified interfaces, and personalized customer journeys, underpins Cisco's strengthening market position.
The company's strategic evolution also involves a nuanced embrace of Agentic AI, viewing it not as a replacement for human intellect but as a powerful augmentation. This shift from AI as a mere "tool" to a "teammate" enables proactive problem detection and resolution, often before customers even recognize an issue. Beyond internal efficiencies, Cisco's growth is further fueled by shrewd strategic investments and acquisitions, such as the integration of Isovalent's eBPF technology. This acquisition has rapidly enhanced Cisco's offerings in cloud-native networking, security, and load balancing, demonstrating its agility and commitment to staying at the forefront of technological innovation.
Cisco's robust financial performance and strategic partnerships, particularly with AI leaders like Nvidia and Microsoft, underscore its market momentum. The company reports impressive growth in product revenues, especially in its Security and Observability segments, signaling a successful transition toward a more predictable, software-driven revenue model. This strong performance, combined with a clear vision for AI-driven customer experience and strategic collaborations, positions Cisco as a formidable force in the evolving technology landscape. The company's disciplined approach offers valuable lessons for any organization seeking to harness the transformative power of AI effectively.
Need to see if price can hold above 62.39-63.98
Hello traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get the latest information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(CSCO 12M chart)
The most important area on the CSCO chart is around 42.85.
Therefore, if it falls to around 42.85 and shows support, you should check if there is a strong buying trend.
-
(1M chart)
It is showing a stepwise upward trend while rising on the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, the start of the decline is likely to start when it shows resistance on the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, if it falls in the 53.38-58.42 range, it is likely to fall to around 42.85.
If the decline continues, you should check if the HA-Low indicator is newly created.
If it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, it is likely to be a buying period.
-
(1D chart)
There is no way to know how far the price will rise.
However, it is only expected based on the Fibonacci ratio.
Since it has risen above Fibonacci 0.618 (62.96), the next target is expected to be around 1 (94.26).
-
We can find the time to respond by referring to the indicator indicating the high point and modify the detailed trading strategy accordingly.
The indicators indicating the high point include DOM (60), StochRSI 80, and HA-High.
Among them, the indicator used in the basic trading strategy is the HA-High indicator.
The basic trading strategy is to buy near the HA-Low indicator and sell near the HA-High indicator.
However, if it is supported by the HA-High indicator and rises, it is likely to show a stepwise upward trend, and if it is resisted by the HA-Low indicator and falls, it is likely to show a stepwise downward trend.
Therefore, the trading method should be a split trading method.
-
You can predict the trend based on the arrangement of the M-Signal indicators on the 1D, 1W, and 1M charts used in the trend perspective and the price position.
Accordingly, if the price is maintained above the 62.39-63.98 range, there is a high possibility that the upward trend will continue.
If not, there is a possibility that it will fall to the vicinity of 58.42 or the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart.
If the OBV indicator falls below the High Line or the Low Line, the price is likely to show a downward trend.
Therefore, you should check at what point the support test is performed.
-
It is difficult to grasp the flow in real time for stocks that are renewing the ATH.
However, I think that by using indicators that indicate the high point, you can have some time to respond.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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OptionsMastery: 2 scenarios on CSCO. 🔉Sound on!🔉
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Thank you as always for watching my videos. I hope that you learned something very educational! Please feel free to like, share, and comment on this post. Remember only risk what you are willing to lose. Trading is very risky but it can change your life!
CSCO rally ending soon?My overall thesis is we are in the very early stages of a multi-year decline ultimately with the S&P 500 below 3500. I have been wrong many times before so I will just take this thing in stages and see if it plays out. After this massive decline, we should be in for a great market rally of many decades. I am expecting the market to end its recent rally this week. The current rarely would be about a week in length depending when it began for individual stocks. The rally has done a few important things with its slow and prolonged upward movement, mainly prevents a wave 3 signal from occurring during the next decline.
My wave 3 indicator tends to signal wave 3s and 3 of 3s. See my scripts for the specifics of the indicator. If the market had a short wave 4 up and then a sharp or prolonged drop during wave 5, a new wave 3 signal would occur which violates the currently placed Minor wave 3 (yellow 3). Allowing separation from the current wave 3 signal enables wave 5 to drop quick or slow.
This chart applies select movement extensions based on wave 1's movement on the left and then another based on wave 3's movement on the right. I keep the values between 0%-100% on the chart for wave 2s and 4s retracements of the preceding wave's movement for reference even though the retracement values would be inverted.
Specifically for CSCO, Minor wave 3 was the shortest impulsive wave, likely indicating wave 5 will be 75 bars (30 minute scale) or less. This will likely put a restriction on the length of the decline. Assuming wave 4 ends on Thursday or Friday, Minor wave 5 would be around a week long. In that time, at the very least it should drop below wave 3's bottom of 59.23. Using some basic movement extensions, it will likely go lower. Once we bottom, we should see another rally over a few weeks. I will forecast what that could look like as Intermediate wave 1 nears its end.
What Network Leap Forward is Cisco Making?Cisco Systems Inc. is not merely adapting to the digital era; it's pioneering it. With strategic foresight, Cisco has leveraged its legacy in networking to embrace the future of artificial intelligence (AI), as evidenced by its optimistic revenue projections for fiscal 2025. This leap forward is not just about increasing numbers but also about reshaping the infrastructure backbone for AI across enterprises, challenging traditional views of network capabilities.
At the heart of Cisco's evolution is the Global Enterprise Modernization Software and Support (GEMSS) agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense, marking a transition from conventional networking solutions to a more dynamic, software-centric approach. This initiative secures Cisco's role in government technology and demonstrates its commitment to modernizing security and efficiency through zero-trust architectures in public sector environments. Such moves inspire us to rethink how security and connectivity can coexist in increasingly complex digital ecosystems.
Moreover, Cisco's strategic acquisition of Splunk and its focus on recurring revenue through cloud services illustrate a broader industry shift towards sustainability and scalability in business models. This pivot challenges business leaders to consider how they can transform their operations to be more resilient and adaptive in an AI-driven market. As Cisco navigates through governmental sales downturns with a diversified supply chain strategy, it sets a precedent for corporate agility in the face of global economic shifts, urging us to look beyond immediate challenges to the vast opportunities on the horizon.
Cisco Systems Up 7% In Premarket Amidst Rising Annual OutlookCisco Systems (NASDAQ: CSCO) is making headlines as its stock surges 7% in premarket trading, fueled by a robust earnings report, an upgraded annual revenue outlook, and solid demand for its networking gear.
Strong Earnings and AI-Driven Growth
Cisco’s latest earnings report and guidance have impressed analysts and investors alike. Here’s why:
1. Upgraded Revenue Guidance:
Cisco raised its fiscal 2025 revenue forecast to $56 billion–$56.5 billion, up from its previous range of $55.3 billion–$56.3 billion. This upward revision reflects strong demand for its networking products, particularly routers and ethernet switches, which are critical for AI-powered data centers.
2. AI as a Growth Catalyst:
CEO Chuck Robbins highlighted Cisco’s role in helping customers scale their network infrastructure to meet the demands of AI. With AI adoption accelerating, Cisco is well-positioned to benefit from the surge in data center investments.
3. Strong Q2 Performance:
Cisco reported Q2 adjusted earnings of $0.94 per share, beating estimates of $0.91, and revenue of $13.99 billion, surpassing the expected $13.87 billion. This marks another quarter of consistent execution and growth.
4. Shareholder-Friendly Moves:
The company increased its dividend by 3% to $0.41 per share and authorized an additional $15 billion in share buybacks, bringing its total repurchase program to $17 billion. These moves underscore Cisco’s commitment to returning value to shareholders.
5. Resilience Amid Tariff Headwinds:
Despite the impact of tariffs on China, Cisco has factored these costs into its guidance, demonstrating its ability to navigate macroeconomic challenges.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical perspective, CSCO is showing strong momentum, but traders should be mindful of potential pullbacks.
1. Premarket Surge:
CSCO is up 6.90% in premarket trading, reflecting strong bullish sentiment following the earnings report.
2. Overbought Conditions:
The stock closed yesterday’s session with an RSI of 78.26, indicating overbought conditions. This suggests a potential pullback in the near term, which could provide a buying opportunity for traders.
3. Key Support and Resistance Levels:
- Support: The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level could serve as a key support zone if the stock cools off.
- Resistance: A breakout above the 1-month high of $67 could open the door to further upside, potentially targeting the analyst price target of $75.
4. Long-Term Uptrend:
CSCO has gained over 17% in 2024, reflecting strong institutional interest and a favorable market outlook.
Analyst Sentiment and Valuation
Analysts are bullish on CSCO, with at least six firms raising their price targets following the earnings report. The average 12-month price target stands at $60.82, representing a slight downside from current levels. However, this target may be revised upward given the company’s strong performance and growth prospects.
- Valuation: CSCO trades at a 12-month forward P/E ratio of 16.23, significantly lower than peers like Arista Networks (43.21). This makes Cisco an attractive option for value-oriented investors.
Conclusion: A Stock to Watch
Cisco Systems is riding a wave of strong fundamentals and technical momentum. Its upgraded revenue guidance, AI-driven growth potential, and shareholder-friendly policies make it a standout in the tech sector. While the stock is currently overbought, any pullback to key support levels could present a buying opportunity for long-term investors.
Cisco (CSCO): Waiting for an entry after earningsCisco NASDAQ:CSCO recently reported its Q1 earnings, and the results exceeded expectations. With a reported revenue of $13.841 billion versus the estimated $13.775 billion, and earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $0.91 against an expected $0.872, the company delivered a positive surprise. This marks the ninth consecutive quarter where Cisco has beaten revenue estimates.
On the technical side, the previously bearish outlook has been invalidated. We have updated our chart, adjusting the wave (4) bottom to align with the lower trend channel. After a remarkable 33% rally in just 100 days, the stock is due for a “healthy” pullback, potentially targeting the range high of $52-$48. However, this will heavily depend on further market reactions to the earnings report.
From a broader perspective, we are now targeting a push towards or even above the upper trend channel for the wave 3 and subsequently the wave (5). However, these moves are long-term prospects and will take time to materialize.
The focus remains on recurring revenue, which has grown significantly year-over-year, reaching $29.6 billion in the fourth quarter. While recurring revenue from subscriptions is a bullish factor, potential concerns regarding company spending in the second half of 2024 need to be monitored.
We are closely observing the lower time frame for potential entry opportunities, keeping an eye on the anticipated pullback to confirm healthy growth momentum.
CSCO Cisco Systems Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on CSCO:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSCO Cisco Systems prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 57.5usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.87.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$CSCO Can Go Either WayNASDAQ:CSCO is currently forming a double inside day.
If price goes above previous daily high of $49.15 , profit target is $49.65 and then $50.04 .
If price goes below previous daily low of $48.26 , profit target is the 0.618 mark in the middle of the gap at $46.99 .
Potential Options Contracts:
Calls
$50c 9/20 @ $0.25 | Vol. 529, OI. 23,104
$50c 10/18 @ $0.65 | Vol. 584, OI. 16,867
Puts
$48p 9/20 @ $0.34 | Vol. 139, OI. 8,470
$47.5p 10/18 @ $0.73 | Vol. 510, OI. 7,020
$CSCO Faked Breakdown!NASDAQ:CSCO had two back-to-back inside days 9/9 and 9/10 and on 9/11 broke the previous day low (9/10) but was a fake breakdown and began to shoot up after 11:00am.
You're currently viewing NASDAQ:CSCO on the 65minute chart.
There are 6 bars per day on a 65m chart.
The stock is up 3.74% since Wednesday, 9/11 @ 11:00am.
I didn't take the trade but the calls are up from my previous NASDAQ:CSCO post:
NASDAQ:CSCO 50c 9/20 (0.25 -> 0.37) +48%
NASDAQ:CSCO 50c 10/18 (0.65 -> 0.90) +39%
Price can either consolidate around the 0.28 fib, go higher to $50 or retrace back to 0.382 fib.
Cisco's Beats Earnings Report, Layoffs, and the Road AheadCisco Systems (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CSCO ) has made headlines again, not just for its fiscal fourth-quarter results, but also for a significant shift in its workforce strategy. The networking and technology giant has announced a 7% reduction in its global workforce, marking a continuation of cost-cutting measures that began earlier this year. This move comes as Cisco pivots toward higher-growth areas like cybersecurity and artificial intelligence (AI), reflecting the company’s strategic focus on future-proofing its business in an evolving tech landscape.
Earnings Beat Expectations Despite Revenue Dip
Cisco's fiscal fourth-quarter results revealed a mixed bag of figures. The company reported revenue of $13.6 billion, representing a 10% decline year-over-year. However, the dip wasn't as severe as analysts had anticipated, with earnings per share (EPS) coming in at $0.54, down 44% but still ahead of expectations. This resilience is particularly notable given the ongoing challenges in Cisco's core networking business, which has faced pressure as enterprise customers increasingly migrate their computing operations to the cloud.
The company’s revenue projection for fiscal 2025 is set between $55 billion and $56.2 billion, with an EPS forecast ranging from $1.93 to $2.05. Although these numbers fall slightly below Wall Street’s estimates, Cisco’s focus on subscription revenue, particularly from its recent $28 billion acquisition of cybersecurity firm Splunk, is a positive sign. Subscription revenue alone contributed $27.4 billion, accounting for more than half of the company’s total sales.
Workforce Reductions
The decision to cut 7% of its workforce, months after a 5% reduction earlier this year, underscores Cisco's commitment to realigning its resources toward sectors with higher growth potential. The layoffs, while significant, are part of a broader strategy to invest in key areas such as cybersecurity and AI, where the company sees substantial long-term opportunities.
This strategic pivot is crucial as Cisco (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CSCO ) navigates a rapidly changing market environment. The company’s investments in AI and cybersecurity are not just about diversification but also about strengthening its competitive edge in industries that are expected to see explosive growth in the coming years. By reallocating resources from traditional networking to these high-growth areas, Cisco (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CSCO ) is positioning itself to capitalize on emerging trends that are reshaping the technology landscape.
Market Reaction: A Positive Turn
Investors responded positively to the earnings report and the strategic realignment, with Cisco’s stock rising more than 7% in Thursday's Market trading. The share price, which has struggled throughout the year, showed signs of recovery, reflecting renewed investor confidence. However, Cisco's stock chart reveals a complex picture. The shares recently formed a head and shoulders pattern, a technical formation that often signals a potential market top. Despite this, the post-earnings rally suggests that market sentiment may be shifting in favor of the bulls, especially as trading volumes remain lackluster, indicating a lack of conviction behind the previous downward move.
Investors will closely monitor key resistance levels for Cisco shares. Selling pressure may arise around $48.50, $50, $52.50, and potentially up to $58, where the "head" of the head and shoulders pattern is situated. A close above this level could invalidate the bearish formation, allowing for further gains, supported by a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 63, which suggests potential growth for Cisco (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CSCO ) stock.
The Road Ahead
Cisco's latest moves highlight its proactive approach to navigating a challenging and competitive market. By doubling down on high-growth sectors like cybersecurity and AI, the company is not just cutting costs but also strategically positioning itself for future success. As Cisco continues to adapt to market demands and technological shifts, its ability to execute on these strategies will be key to maintaining its leadership position in the tech industry.
The road ahead for Cisco may be fraught with challenges, but with its focused strategy and recent earnings beat, the company is well-positioned to weather the storm and emerge stronger on the other side. Investors and industry observers alike will be closely monitoring Cisco’s next moves as it continues to redefine its business in the face of rapid technological change.
Cisco's Next Chapter Overcoming Challenges Seizing OpportunitiesCisco Systems Inc., a global leader in networking and IT solutions, is undergoing a significant restructuring to navigate the challenging economic landscape and pivot towards higher-growth segments. The company recently announced a major layoff affecting 7% of its global workforce, signaling a shift in strategy.
Financial Performance:
Despite a 10% year-over-year revenue decline to $13.6 billion in its fiscal fourth quarter, Cisco exceeded analyst expectations. Earnings per share (EPS) dipped by 44% to $0.54, but the figures were better than projected, offering some relief to investors.
Strategic Shift:
Cisco’s acquisition of Splunk in March has strengthened its position in the cybersecurity market. The company is focusing on software and security solutions, aiming for higher recurring revenue and reduced reliance on traditional hardware. Cisco's investments in AI and automation are key to its future growth.
Market Reaction:
The market reacted positively to Cisco’s earnings announcement and restructuring plan, with the stock surging in after-hours trading. Investors are optimistic about Cisco's ability to address current challenges and position itself for future success.
5G Ecosystem Role:
Cisco is playing a crucial role in the 5G ecosystem. The company’s strategy includes:
[
Core Network Transformation: Solutions for building and operating 5G core networks.
RAN Solutions: Collaborations with vendors to provide orchestration and automation platforms.
Edge Computing: Investments to enable low-latency applications.
Security: Robust solutions to protect against cyber threats.
Challenges and Opportunities:
The 5G market offers significant opportunities but also poses challenges such as intense competition, complex deployments, and proving ROI to service providers. Cisco's focus on end-to-end solutions, partnerships, and R&D investments is critical to staying ahead.
Conclusion:
Cisco's future hinges on a balancing act between cost-cutting and innovation. The company's ability to adapt to industry shifts, including the rise of 5G and AI, while managing economic and supply chain challenges, will be crucial for long-term success.
CSCO Cisco Systems Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on CSCO:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of CSCO Cisco Systems prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 45usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2024-8-16,
for a premium of approximately $1.41.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.






















