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DIA

SP 500 Wave structure UPDATE based on low 6317The chart posted based on The fact we just missed the .382 target of 6180 This low was 6317 . But The spirals of 2/9 2/11 top gave the projection for the crash cycle of 55 days it fell short by 3 days . The market should peak on friday 4/10 near 6811/6841 to end The first ABC rally we should have a Larger ABC decline into The 23th plus or minus 2 days the drop should The 50 % of this rally then start a nice 5 wave rally into a Minor new high near 7150 to 7210 At most . I still target OCT 10th week as UGLY that drop should see a 5600/5100 handle based on The Fractal .Best of trades Wavetimer
CBOE:SPX
by wavetimer
9
DIA | Trade Plan | 04/17/2026 The trade plan is written on the chart with the levels that I believe are important and their entries and profit targets. I think we will end up seeing a rejection of this S/R flip and the theoretical long within a 2 week period but my initial bias is bearish; there being a 2nd rejection at the current chop zone that I wrote out and an eventual drop down to the cyan levels. I understand the markets don't appear this way now and the historical probabilities of similar deltas of price over time suggest more bullish price action in theory. I also understand that many talented analysts and traders have a much different analysis than me but I don't think we have seen the entire fallout of the energy markets yet. There is also some data that suggests markets drop after rate cuts, and finally, I think the change in PDT rules is a top signal. I have some correlations of theoretical bearish setups on the other indexes that I will post. I will not be foolish though, and will trade the levels we get, so I always write out both directions. All levels must have a candle close below / above them, I do not trade “live” breakouts, due to liquidity sweeps (wick rejects over support / resistance). In order to do this correctly that is something that will need to be respected or you’ll find yourself in the wrath of volatility. — TWC 🥷
AMEX:DIAShort
by ArunaReborn
DJI nearing The end of WAVE 1 or A Crash The chart posted is that of The DJI it is very similar to the NYA As to the form and cycle and SPIRALS calling for the event 2/9 2/11 top . I have 5 spirals from today to tuesday .We are also nearing the .382 retracement of the move from April 7 Low . I am starting to BUY CALLS Now and will move to 100 % long by tuesday I am Now 40 % as of this post in late 2027 in the money calls . Oil will top this weekend and Gold should see its low by Tuesday in wave C . Best of trades WAVETIMER !
AMEX:DIA
by wavetimer
3
Analysis of $AAPL’s Wedging PatternCurrent Technical Setup NASDAQ:AAPL is currently exhibiting a wedging pattern, which is characterized by converging trendlines that reflect a tightening range in price action. While technical indicators at this stage suggest caution, attention should be paid to both volume levels and any momentum shifts. These elements can provide early signals regarding a potential change in trend direction. Potential Bullish Scenario A breakout above the current resistance level, particularly if accompanied by a noticeable increase in buying volume, could confirm a bullish reversal. This development would likely allay concerns about a stage 3 pattern and set the stage for renewed upward movement. Such a breakout could attract new interest from both short-term traders and long-term investors, thereby reinforcing positive sentiment throughout the market. Bears’ Perspective and Downside Risks Conversely, should NASDAQ:AAPL fail to maintain its pattern of higher lows and begin to lose key support levels, the result could be further consolidation or even a breakdown. This scenario would likely increase volatility. Monitoring momentum indicators such as the MACD or RSI for divergences can offer early warning signs in either direction. Additionally, external influences—including overall market trends and macroeconomic developments—may play a significant role, underscoring the importance of a flexible, responsive trading approach. Key Technical Observations Despite the current struggle, there are positives to note: a series of higher lows is evident. However, negatives include a recent lower high, a challenge near a price resistance area, and the 20-period simple moving average (SMA) converging with the 50-period SMA. While there is a long-standing bullish bias, it is acknowledged that the stock could be in a stage 3 period. Importantly, this phase does not preclude an eventual move to the upside, though caution is warranted at this juncture. Conclusion Ultimately, the wedging pattern presents both opportunities and risks for market participants. Staying attentive to changes in price action, volume dynamics, and technical signals is crucial for successfully navigating this environment. Those who remain agile and adaptable will be best positioned to respond effectively, regardless of whether the eventual resolution favors bullish or bearish outcomes.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by Brent_Calver
Market Outlook: $SPY Attempts to AdvanceCurrent Market Conditions Since October, the market has experienced considerable volatility and choppiness. This raises a fundamental question: Is the market entering a Stage 3 topping phase, or is it simply consolidating the substantial gains achieved throughout 2025? Influence of News and Volatility Currently, market movements are heavily influenced by breaking news, contributing to ongoing uncertainty and heightened volatility. With unresolved issues such as inflation and the emerging potential conflict involving Iran, the market will likely continue to trade within the same range observed over the past six weeks. It is important to acknowledge that, at times, political developments can directly impact financial markets, even though this commentary is not intended to be political in nature. Outlook: Bullish Breakout vs. Pullback Despite the present uncertainty, the outlook remains cautiously optimistic, with a higher probability of a bullish breakout rather than a significant breakdown. However, should a market breakdown occur, it is expected to remain within the defined pullback zone illustrated on the accompanying chart. Practical Implications for Investors and Traders In light of these dynamics, investors and traders should adhere to their own trading or investing plans. Overall, the broader market continues to demonstrate underlying strength unless new evidence suggests otherwise. Disclaimer and Recommendation Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own research and follow their individual trading strategies. All investments carry inherent risks, making it essential to exercise caution and make informed decisions when allocating capital in financial markets.
AMEX:SPY
by Brent_Calver
PUT/CALL BUY SIGNAL setting up for the sp 500 and dia smh The chart posted is my model of PUT/Call We have been rising each day as was the VIX and the sp 500 rallied and stopped at .618 All are Bearish But we Fail to break down and The NYSE A/d line has been making new highs a bullish message > I think that The DIAGONAL 5th wave is Not completed I can see if we can just take out the .618 at 6909 The sp 500 could see as the entire World indexes a last blowoff wave The spirals of 2/9 to 2/11 Top did see a High print in The DJI and the high in the sp 500 at 6993 before the drop . I am back in cash and I think The IGV which I said would bottom in the 79 handle is trying to form a base trying now ! Tops come two ways a slow process and a weaking technical and Euphoria . Best of trades WAVETIMER
USI:PC
by wavetimer
1
$GOOGL After Earnings Pullback Set-UpOverview of the Pullback I am currently monitoring Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) after its recent retreat following its earnings announcement and a decline from its all-time high. This type of pullback, ranging between 10% and 20%, is typical during an ongoing uptrend. Such corrections are generally considered part of a healthy market movement within a bullish phase. Technical Observations Upon reviewing the chart, it appears that Google may have established support at a previous low, as indicated by a horizontal line on the chart. The stock has responded with what appears to be a reversal candle, signaling a potential change in direction. Additionally, today's session has produced what looks like a confirmation candle, further supporting the possibility of a rebound from this support level. Positioning Strategy Based on these technical signals, I have initiated a half-size position in Google. My plan is to increase this to a full-size position if the stock confirms its strength by forming a higher low. To manage risk, I have set a stop-loss just below the horizontal support area. This approach allows for a disciplined entry and risk management as the setup develops. Previous Position It is worth noting that I held a position in Google prior to the most recent earnings report. However, I did not maintain enough of a profit cushion to confidently hold through the volatility of the earnings announcement, which led me to exit before the results were released. Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to perform their own analysis and follow their personal trading strategies. Every investment involves inherent risks, so it is crucial to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in the financial markets.
NASDAQ:GOOGLLong
by Brent_Calver
1
$ENPH Post-Earnings Pullback StrategyEnphase Energy released its earnings report on February 3rd after market close. The company surpassed earnings expectations by 11.1% and delivered a revenue surprise of 2.6%. Furthermore, Enphase raised its forward guidance for the upcoming fiscal quarter, signaling optimism about future performance. Market Reaction Investors were taken by surprise following the earnings announcement. The stock opened with a jump of over 28% and finished the day up more than 38%. This significant move has prompted close monitoring of the stock for a potential pullback that may offer a lower risk entry point. Pullback Entry Set-Up Over the past week, the stock has been observed to identify an ideal entry following this surge. As of today, the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) appears to be providing support, which could align with a 15% pullback from recent highs. Attention will be paid in the upcoming week, possibly as early as Monday, for confirmation of this support as a suitable entry opportunity. Trading Plan If the stock closes above the 21 EMA, highlighted as the blue line on the chart, a position will be considered. The stop loss will be placed just below the 21 EMA to manage risk appropriately. Watchlist Recommendation Those who find this strategy appealing may want to add Enphase Energy to their watchlist and monitor for confirmation signals. Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to perform their own analysis and follow their personal trading strategies. Every investment involves inherent risks, so it is crucial to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in the financial markets.
NASDAQ:ENPHLong
by Brent_Calver
Let's play with Fibonacci Price Theory & EPP PatternsThis video is an update for the SPX500 and Bitcoin - showing you how price structure tells you everything you need to know about the markets and which direction you need to stay focused on. For me, trading is about learning to identify where the next big move is going to be and how I can position my trades to benefit from that move. It is not about chasing 20-50 minute trends. I'm going for the bigger price swings and I want to safely deploy my capital to profit from those moves. I teach these techniques to help traders understand PRICE is all you need to focus on. Sure, other indicators are interesting and useful to help you understand where and how price may move in the future. But I believe PRICE tells us everything we need to know. Watch this video. Ask questions if you have any. Learning to use PRICE as an indicator is critically important. GET SOME!
FX:SPX500Education
by BradMatheny
2
$FFIV After Earnings Pullback TradeOverview of the Trade Setup FFIV reported its earnings after the market closed on January 27th. The following day, January 28th, the stock experienced a gap up of over 10% and traded both higher and lower throughout the session. By the end of the day, FFIV closed with a gain on the day of nearly 8%. Since that initial surge, the stock has gradually pulled back on declining volume and tested the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Over the last two trading days, FFIV has closed above the 21 EMA, confirming support at this level. Additionally, the stock has formed a higher low, which is characteristic of an uptrend. Trade Execution and Risk Management An alert was placed just above the previous day's high. This alert was triggered shortly before the close of the current trading session. Upon activation, a half-size position was initiated, with the stop loss set at a decisive close below the 21 EMA. This setup provides an attractive risk-reward profile for the trade. As the position develops, further opportunities will be evaluated to potentially increase the position to full size, contingent on favorable risk-reward conditions. FFIV Earnings Results F5 Networks (FFIV) reported earnings of $4.47 per share on revenue of $822.47 million for the fiscal first quarter ended December 2025. The consensus estimate for earnings was $3.66 per share with revenue expected at $759.97 million. The Earnings Whisper number was $3.79 per share. FFIV delivered earnings growth of 14.6%, surpassing expectations by 17.94%. Revenue grew 7.30% year-over-year, with a revenue surprise of 8.2%. Important Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and adhere to their individual trading strategies. All investments carry inherent risks, and it is essential to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:FFIVLong
by Brent_Calver
Astera Labs $ALAB Technical Analysis Overview of Recent Price Action Astera Labs experienced significant momentum as a hot stock between July 2025 and September 2025, climbing an impressive 146% from its initial breakout point to reach its all-time closing high. Following this strong rally, the stock subsequently retraced approximately 45% of its gains. Current Trend Channel Formation Since the retracement, NASDAQ:ALAB appears to be trading within an upward-sloping channel, characterized by a pattern of higher lows. This technical setup suggests a potential continuation of the bullish trend, provided support levels within the channel remain intact. Trading Strategy Considerations Going forward, a key area of interest is the 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). If ALAB manages to reclaim this level, it could signal renewed strength and provide an entry point for initiating a position. In such a scenario, the upper boundary of the channel would serve as an initial price target, while the lower upsloping trendline should be used as a stop reference to manage risk. Upcoming Earnings Event Investors should note that Astera Labs is scheduled to report earnings in 13 days from today. This event may introduce increased volatility and should be factored into any trading decisions. Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and adhere to their individual trading strategies. All investments carry inherent risks, and it is essential to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:ALABLong
by Brent_Calver
$QQQE NASDAQ 100 Equal-Weighted ETF: Breaking Out?Overview The NASDAQ:QQQE NASDAQ 100 Equal-Weighted ETF has recently shown signs of breaking out from a period of consolidation. Since reaching its all-time high on October 27, 2025, the ETF has been trading within a wedging pattern. This technical formation typically indicates the potential for a resumption of the previous uptrend. Recent Price Action On the most recent trading day, the intraday high for NASDAQ:QQQE surpassed the previous high set on October 27th. This development reinforces the notion that the ETF may be poised to continue its upward movement. Trading Strategy In anticipation of a breakout and sustained uptrend, a half-size position has been initiated. The 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), represented by the blue line on the chart, will serve as the reference point for setting a stop loss to manage risk. Risk Management and Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to perform their own analysis and adhere to personal trading strategies. All investments involve inherent risks, so it is crucial to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:QQQELong
by Brent_Calver
Analysis of the $AIPO – A.I. and Power Infrastructure ETFIntroduction The NASDAQ:AIPO – A.I. and Power Infrastructure ETF is an investment vehicle that integrates exposure to companies involved in both power generation and artificial intelligence. This unique combination aligns with the growing demand for technological advancement and energy infrastructure, positioning it as a compelling option for those seeking to capitalize on the expansion of the A.I. sector. Fundamental Perspective From a fundamental standpoint, the ETF comprises companies considered to be at the forefront of the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence landscape. These organizations play a pivotal role in shaping the future of A.I., reinforcing the fund’s relevance in today’s market environment. Technical Analysis Technically, the NASDAQ:AIPO ETF appears poised to break out of its basing pattern, suggesting potential upward momentum. This observation supports the consideration of an entry point for investors who are monitoring technical signals. Investment Approach A half-sized position has been initiated with the intention of maintaining the investment over a longer time horizon. To manage risk, a stop loss has been established: the position will be reconsidered should there be two consecutive closes below the 21-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicated by the blue line on the chart. Key Holdings Notable holdings within the fund include companies such as NYSE:PWR , NYSE:ETN , NYSE:GEV , NYSE:VRT , TSX:CCO , NASDAQ:CEG , NYSE:BE , among others. These constituents contribute to the fund’s exposure across both power infrastructure and artificial intelligence sectors. Important Disclaimer Readers are strongly encouraged to conduct their own analysis and adhere to individual trading strategies. All investments carry inherent risks, making it essential to make careful and informed decisions when allocating capital in financial markets.
NASDAQ:AIPOLong
by Brent_Calver
Breakdown after Jan 14 Volatility Event - Get some.This video highlights the continued price action I suggested would take place after the Jan 14 volatility event. Honestly, watching the markets open tonight, moving in the direction of my trades (metals, SPY/QQQ/TECS/XLK/others). I could not be happier. Additionally, Nat Gas is starting to make a big move higher. I've been positioning into this move for more than 30 days. Now, the dual Polar Vortex may setup driving very cold temps into the US/UK. Sometimes, you have to trust the ADL predictive modeling and play those bigger moves for profits. I just wanted to share this success and to ask you if you were able to follow my research and GET SOME as well. We could see a big breakdown over the next 24 hours on news or social issues in the US/UK. Get some.
FX:SPX500Short
by BradMatheny
8